This opponent (Rotherham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rotherham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.37
1.60
1.53
0.87
1.20
vs Stronger (8)
1.62
1.62
2.50
1.75
0.75
1.50
vs Similar (22)
1.09
1.27
1.27
1.45
0.91
1.09
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Salford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.8%
Under 1.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.2%
Under 2.5
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.5%
Under 3.5
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.5%
No
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
1-0
11.4%
0-0 ✓
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
4.8%
Salford goals ↓
Rotherham goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
8.2%
4.8%
1.6%
0.4%
1
11%
14%
6.5%
2.2%
0.5%
2
8.7%
8.7%
4.4%
1.5%
0.4%
3
3.9%
4.0%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.3%
1.3%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Salford goals (down), columns = Rotherham goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Newcastle
2.71
Sheffield Weds
2.50
Tottenham
2.40
Fleetwood Town
2.33
Crystal Palace
2.25
Coventry
2.00
Blackpool
2.00
Fulham
2.00
Wycombe
2.00
Watford
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Everton
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Derby
2.00
Liverpool
2.00
Brighton
2.00
Arsenal
1.80
Southampton
1.75
Stoke
1.75
Preston
1.75
Brentford
1.75
Walsall
1.67
Cardiff
1.50
Doncaster
1.50
Sheffield United
1.50
West Ham
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Birmingham
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Crawley Town
1.50
Chelsea
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Millwall
1.50
Norwich
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Harrogate
1.50
Oxford
1.50
Tranmere
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Barnsley
1.33
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Barrow
1.33
Leicester
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Exeter
1.00
Reading
1.00
Notts County
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Barnet
0.76
Oldham
0.70
Grimsby
0.50
Shrewsbury
0.50
Colchester
0.50
Bristol City
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Salford
0.00
Port Vale
0.00
Wrexham
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Burton
0.00
Stockport
0.00
Stevenage
0.00
Cambridge
0.00
Accrington
0.00
West Brom
0.00
Bromley
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Gillingham
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Hull
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Swindon
0.00
Newport County
0.00
Crewe
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Lincoln
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Salford is 1.50 points worse than Rotherham in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester United
5.00
Blackburn
3.50
Stevenage
3.00
Notts County
3.00
Brighton
3.00
Watford
2.67
Cardiff
2.50
Southampton
2.50
Chelsea
2.50
Stoke
2.50
Huddersfield
2.50
Crystal Palace
2.50
Liverpool
2.50
Sheffield Weds
2.25
Arsenal
2.20
Sheffield United
2.00
Port Vale
2.00
Wrexham
2.00
Blackpool
2.00
Reading
2.00
Crawley Town
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Everton
2.00
Norwich
2.00
Swindon
2.00
Preston
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Newcastle
1.86
Tottenham
1.80
Fleetwood Town
1.67
Rotherham
1.50
Shrewsbury
1.50
Fulham
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Tranmere
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Brentford
1.50
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Wycombe
1.33
Walsall
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Coventry
1.00
Doncaster
1.00
West Ham
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Grimsby
1.00
Stockport
1.00
Cambridge
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Barrow
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Harrogate
1.00
Hull
1.00
Oxford
1.00
Derby
1.00
Chesterfield
1.00
Newport County
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Crewe
1.00
Lincoln
1.00
Colchester
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Barnet
0.99
Oldham
0.92
Barnsley
0.67
Birmingham
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Bristol City
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Salford
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Burton
0.00
Accrington
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Salford is 1.50 goals worse than Rotherham in terms of goals scored per game (0.00 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.43
Fulham
0.50
Everton
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Oxford
0.50
Derby
0.50
Coventry
0.67
Blackpool
0.67
Wycombe
0.67
Watford
0.67
Sheffield Weds
0.75
Bristol City
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Fleetwood Town
1.00
Chelsea
1.00
Bournemouth
1.00
Swansea
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Plymouth
1.00
Stoke
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Portsmouth
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Walsall
1.00
Preston
1.00
Luton
1.00
Charlton
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Liverpool
1.17
Crystal Palace
1.25
Brentford
1.25
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Leyton Orient
1.33
Arsenal
1.40
Doncaster
1.50
Sheffield United
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Colchester
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Leicester
1.67
Brighton
1.67
Tottenham
1.80
Bristol Rvs
2.00
Salford
2.00
Southampton
2.00
Reading
2.00
Northampton
2.00
Cambridge
2.00
West Brom
2.00
Bromley
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Hull
2.00
Chesterfield
2.00
Tranmere
2.00
Crewe
2.00
Peterboro
2.00
Bolton
2.00
Lincoln
2.00
Burnley
2.00
Sunderland
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Barrow
2.33
Cardiff
2.50
West Ham
2.50
Shrewsbury
2.50
Middlesbrough
2.50
Barnet
2.54
Barnsley
2.67
Oldham
2.73
Cheltenham
3.00
Grimsby
3.00
Port Vale
3.00
Leeds
3.00
Crawley Town
3.00
Accrington
3.00
Notts County
3.00
Gillingham
3.00
Harrogate
3.00
Norwich
3.50
Wrexham
4.00
Burton
4.00
Stevenage
4.00
Swindon
4.00
Newport County
4.00
Milton Keynes Dons
5.00
Stockport
6.00
Salford is 0.50 goals worse than Rotherham in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Salford
For 5.6 · Against 4.4 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 12.7 · Total 26.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rotherham
For 4.0 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 11.7 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Salford
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.2
9.4
4.2
4.2
4.3
25.1
26.0
24.2
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (43)
8.8
8.9
8.6
4.4
4.2
4.7
24.7
25.1
24.2
vs Weaker (6)
12.7
10.7
14.7
3.5
3.7
3.3
27.8
31.7
24.0
% over line
45%
43%
46%
62%
60%
64%
70%
78%
62%
% under line
55%
57%
54%
38%
40%
36%
30%
22%
38%
This opponent (Rotherham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rotherham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.3
9.6
3.1
3.4
2.8
24.1
24.9
23.2
vs Stronger (12)
9.6
9.7
9.5
2.7
3.5
1.8
23.2
24.8
21.5
vs Similar (38)
10.1
10.6
9.6
3.2
3.4
3.1
24.4
24.9
23.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
51%
50%
52%
42%
46%
38%
72%
71%
74%
% under line
49%
50%
48%
58%
54%
62%
28%
29%
26%
This opponent (Salford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Coventry
11.6
Tottenham
11.3
Sheffield Weds
11.3
Barnsley
11.2
Bournemouth
11.1
Newcastle
11.0
Huddersfield
11.0
Oldham
11.0
Brentford
11.0
Portsmouth
10.9
Harrogate
10.8
QPR
10.8
Luton
10.7
Sheffield United
10.6
Doncaster
10.6
Hull
10.6
Everton
10.5
Millwall
10.5
Bromley
10.5
Nottingham Forest
10.4
Liverpool
10.4
Oxford
10.4
Reading
10.4
West Brom
10.3
Barnet
10.3
Stoke
10.3
Leeds
10.3
Norwich
10.2
Crawley Town
10.2
Ipswich
10.2
Derby
10.2
Aston Villa
10.2
Peterboro
10.2
Southampton
10.1
Fulham
10.1
Crystal Palace
10.1
Bristol Rvs
10.0
Shrewsbury
10.0
Middlesbrough
10.0
Manchester City
10.0
Stevenage
10.0
Blackburn
9.9
Newport County
9.9
Bolton
9.9
West Ham
9.9
Cheltenham
9.9
Plymouth
9.9
Exeter
9.9
Brighton
9.8
Leicester
9.8
Watford
9.8
Rotherham
9.8
Manchester United
9.8
Chesterfield
9.8
Bristol City
9.8
Walsall
9.8
Blackpool
9.8
Crewe
9.8
Grimsby
9.7
Port Vale
9.7
Sunderland
9.7
Notts County
9.7
Swindon
9.7
Swansea
9.7
Arsenal
9.7
Barrow
9.6
Wolves
9.6
Chelsea
9.6
Fleetwood Town
9.6
Burton
9.6
Lincoln
9.5
Charlton
9.5
Mansfield
9.5
Cardiff
9.5
Wigan
9.4
Leyton Orient
9.4
Birmingham
9.4
Preston
9.3
Salford
9.3
Colchester
9.2
Burnley
9.2
Bradford
9.2
AFC Wimbledon
9.2
Cambridge
9.2
Wrexham
9.2
Wycombe
9.1
Northampton
9.1
Tranmere
9.1
Accrington
9.1
Milton Keynes Dons
8.5
Stockport
8.5
Gillingham
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bolton
5.1
Bournemouth
4.9
Accrington
4.8
Bradford
4.8
Chelsea
4.8
Nottingham Forest
4.6
Gillingham
4.6
Aston Villa
4.5
Watford
4.5
Sunderland
4.5
Colchester
4.5
Salford
4.5
Brighton
4.4
Crewe
4.4
Manchester United
4.4
Newcastle
4.3
Wolves
4.3
Grimsby
4.3
Chesterfield
4.3
Barrow
4.3
Portsmouth
4.2
Tranmere
4.2
Cambridge
4.2
Luton
4.2
Stevenage
4.1
Crystal Palace
4.1
Crawley Town
4.1
Tottenham
4.1
Stockport
4.0
Norwich
4.0
Blackburn
4.0
Stoke
4.0
Preston
4.0
Port Vale
4.0
Exeter
4.0
Burnley
3.9
Lincoln
3.9
Liverpool
3.9
Oldham
3.9
Arsenal
3.9
Walsall
3.9
Brentford
3.9
Southampton
3.9
Charlton
3.9
Sheffield United
3.9
Bromley
3.9
Peterboro
3.9
AFC Wimbledon
3.9
QPR
3.9
Ipswich
3.9
Birmingham
3.8
Doncaster
3.8
Barnet
3.8
Fleetwood Town
3.8
Fulham
3.8
Shrewsbury
3.8
Burton
3.8
West Brom
3.8
West Ham
3.8
Notts County
3.8
Oxford
3.8
Manchester City
3.8
Wycombe
3.7
Leicester
3.7
Huddersfield
3.7
Sheffield Weds
3.7
Mansfield
3.7
Coventry
3.7
Wigan
3.7
Swansea
3.7
Barnsley
3.7
Middlesbrough
3.6
Milton Keynes Dons
3.6
Wrexham
3.6
Bristol Rvs
3.6
Northampton
3.6
Newport County
3.6
Cheltenham
3.6
Cardiff
3.5
Hull
3.5
Bristol City
3.5
Leyton Orient
3.5
Leeds
3.5
Everton
3.5
Plymouth
3.4
Blackpool
3.4
Swindon
3.4
Reading
3.4
Derby
3.3
Harrogate
3.3
Rotherham
3.2
Millwall
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Oldham
31.7
Bolton
25.5
Stevenage
25.4
Cheltenham
25.2
Birmingham
25.0
Accrington
25.0
Salford
25.0
Stockport
24.9
Cambridge
24.8
Exeter
24.8
Colchester
24.6
Wycombe
24.6
Crewe
24.6
Luton
24.5
Grimsby
24.4
Bradford
24.4
Bournemouth
24.3
Gillingham
24.3
Portsmouth
24.2
Wolves
24.1
Lincoln
24.0
Millwall
24.0
Milton Keynes Dons
24.0
Doncaster
24.0
Wigan
24.0
Preston
23.9
Blackburn
23.7
Southampton
23.7
Rotherham
23.7
Tottenham
23.6
Peterboro
23.6
Shrewsbury
23.5
Mansfield
23.5
Swansea
23.5
Sunderland
23.4
Sheffield Weds
23.4
Charlton
23.3
Barnet
23.3
AFC Wimbledon
23.3
Aston Villa
23.1
Brighton
23.0
Watford
23.0
Burnley
23.0
Reading
23.0
QPR
23.0
Blackpool
22.9
Tranmere
22.9
Leeds
22.8
Plymouth
22.8
Newport County
22.7
Huddersfield
22.6
Cardiff
22.6
Ipswich
22.6
Northampton
22.6
Fleetwood Town
22.5
Barrow
22.5
Norwich
22.5
Crawley Town
22.5
Newcastle
22.4
Port Vale
22.3
Bristol Rvs
22.3
West Ham
22.2
Chesterfield
22.1
Hull
22.1
Chelsea
22.0
Sheffield United
22.0
Harrogate
21.9
West Brom
21.8
Leicester
21.8
Manchester United
21.7
Wrexham
21.7
Crystal Palace
21.7
Walsall
21.6
Notts County
21.6
Everton
21.6
Nottingham Forest
21.6
Oxford
21.5
Swindon
21.5
Middlesbrough
21.5
Bromley
21.5
Burton
21.5
Leyton Orient
21.3
Derby
21.3
Stoke
21.3
Coventry
21.3
Barnsley
21.2
Bristol City
21.0
Arsenal
21.0
Fulham
20.9
Liverpool
20.9
Brentford
18.9
Manchester City
17.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
61.3%
Under 9.5
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.0%
Under 3.5
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
75.0%
Under 21.5
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Salford or Draw✓ Hit
73.5%
Avg Implied -
44%
30%
27%
covers Salford + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Salford or Rotherham✗ Miss
70.1%
Avg Implied -
44%
30%
27%
covers Salford + Rotherham
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Rotherham✓ Hit
56.4%
Avg Implied -
44%
30%
27%
covers Draw + Rotherham
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Salford over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
74.3%
Under
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salford over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
39.4%
Under
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salford over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.7%
Under
84.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salford over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.9%
Under
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotherham over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
63.5%
Under
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotherham over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
26.7%
Under
73.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotherham over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.2%
Under
91.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotherham over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Salford, so a minus line means Salford give that many goals of a start and Rotherham receive them. At -1, Salford must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Salford win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Salford)Actual: Rotherham
Salford -2
7.8%
Draw -2
13.4%
Rotherham +2
78.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Salford)Actual: Rotherham
Salford -1
21.2%
Draw -1
22.4%
Rotherham +1
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Salford)Actual: Salford
Salford +1
73.5%
Draw +1
16.3%
Rotherham -1
10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Salford)Actual: Salford
Salford +2
89.8%
Draw +2
7.3%
Rotherham -2
2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Salford
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.80
0.79
1.00
0.69
0.62
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (25)
0.72
0.76
0.85
1.08
0.58
0.42
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Rotherham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rotherham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.50
0.87
0.40
0.47
0.60
vs Stronger (8)
1.12
0.38
1.50
0.50
0.75
0.25
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.55
0.64
0.36
0.36
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Salford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Salford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotherham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotherham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotherham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Salford
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.77
0.71
0.57
0.94
0.94
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
5.00
-
-
0.00
5.00
vs Similar (25)
0.84
0.68
0.69
0.62
1.00
0.75
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.25
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Rotherham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rotherham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.87
0.73
1.13
0.40
0.60
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
1.25
1.00
1.25
0.00
1.25
vs Similar (22)
0.59
0.73
0.64
1.09
0.55
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Salford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Salford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotherham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotherham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotherham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Salford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Daniel Udoh22%
Kallum Cesay21%
Kelly N'Mai19%
Kadeem Harris15%
Ryan Graydon15%
Adebola Oluwo15%
Fabio Borini13%
Matt Butcher11%
Ben Woodburn10%
Cole Stockton9%
Zach Awe9%
Jorge Grant9%
Luke Garbutt8%
Ossama Ashley5%
Ollie Turton5%
Josh Austerfield4%
Rosaire Longelo2%
Brandon Cooper0%
Tom Edwards0%
Haji Mnoga0%
Mark Howard0%
Michael Rose0%
Kevin Berkoe0%
Jay Bird0%
Nicolás Siri0%
Alfie Dorrington0%
Princewill Ehibhatiomhan0%
Matthew Young0%
Kyrell Malcolm0%
Ruben Butt0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Haji Mnoga47%
Ben Woodburn30%
Ossama Ashley26%
Ryan Graydon26%
Kelly N'Mai25%
Kadeem Harris23%
Jorge Grant18%
Adebola Oluwo17%
Tom Edwards17%
Luke Garbutt16%
Fabio Borini13%
Kallum Cesay12%
Rosaire Longelo11%
Jay Bird11%
Brandon Cooper10%
Ollie Turton9%
Matt Butcher9%
Josh Austerfield9%
Daniel Udoh5%
Matthew Young4%
Cole Stockton3%
Mark Howard0%
Michael Rose0%
Kevin Berkoe0%
Nicolás Siri0%
Zach Awe0%
Alfie Dorrington0%
Princewill Ehibhatiomhan0%
Kyrell Malcolm0%
Ruben Butt0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ryan Graydon19%
Kelly N'Mai16%
Kadeem Harris15%
Kevin Berkoe14%
Daniel Udoh12%
Luke Garbutt12%
Kallum Cesay9%
Zach Awe9%
Jorge Grant9%
Alfie Dorrington8%
Ben Woodburn7%
Fabio Borini7%
Josh Austerfield7%
Cole Stockton6%
Adebola Oluwo2%
Matt Butcher2%
Rosaire Longelo2%
Matthew Young2%
Brandon Cooper0%
Tom Edwards0%
Haji Mnoga0%
Mark Howard0%
Ollie Turton0%
Ossama Ashley0%
Michael Rose0%
Jay Bird0%
Nicolás Siri0%
Princewill Ehibhatiomhan0%
Kyrell Malcolm0%
Ruben Butt0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ryan Graydon33%
Kallum Cesay15%
Daniel Udoh12%
Kadeem Harris12%
Jay Bird11%
Adebola Oluwo7%
Ben Woodburn7%
Kelly N'Mai6%
Rosaire Longelo5%
Jorge Grant4%
Haji Mnoga3%
Cole Stockton3%
Luke Garbutt2%
Fabio Borini0%
Matt Butcher0%
Brandon Cooper0%
Tom Edwards0%
Mark Howard0%
Ollie Turton0%
Ossama Ashley0%
Michael Rose0%
Kevin Berkoe0%
Josh Austerfield0%
Nicolás Siri0%
Zach Awe0%
Alfie Dorrington0%
Princewill Ehibhatiomhan0%
Matthew Young0%
Kyrell Malcolm0%
Ruben Butt0%
Rotherham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sam Nombe32%
Martin Sherif25%
Harry Gray15%
Denzel Hall10%
Hamish Douglas10%
Kian Spence10%
Emmanuel Adegboyega9%
Josh Benson8%
Shaun McWilliams7%
Jack Holmes7%
Joe Rafferty7%
Jordan Hugill7%
ArJany Martha5%
Zak Jules3%
Jamal Baptiste3%
Reece James2%
Joe Powell0%
Kion Etete0%
Cameron Dawson0%
Thomas Holmes0%
Sean Raggett0%
Joshua Kayode0%
Duncan Watmore0%
Liam Kelly0%
Dru Yearwood0%
Ted Cann0%
Lino Sousa0%
Brandon Cover0%
Daniel Gore0%
Marvin Kaleta0%
Ciaran McGuckin0%
Lenny Agbaire0%
Gabriele Biancheri0%
Josh Ayres0%
James Clarke0%
Cohen Lee0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kian Spence33%
Harry Gray25%
Cohen Lee25%
Jamal Baptiste24%
Zak Jules22%
Daniel Gore22%
Sean Raggett20%
Brandon Cover20%
Hamish Douglas20%
Josh Ayres20%
ArJany Martha19%
Emmanuel Adegboyega18%
Kion Etete17%
Dru Yearwood16%
Joe Rafferty16%
Jordan Hugill13%
James Clarke12%
Cameron Dawson12%
Lenny Agbaire11%
Denzel Hall10%
Reece James10%
Sam Nombe10%
Liam Kelly9%
Josh Benson8%
Shaun McWilliams7%
Ted Cann7%
Joe Powell3%
Thomas Holmes0%
Joshua Kayode0%
Duncan Watmore0%
Jack Holmes0%
Lino Sousa0%
Marvin Kaleta0%
Martin Sherif0%
Ciaran McGuckin0%
Gabriele Biancheri0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
James Clarke12%
Marvin Kaleta11%
Joe Powell9%
Kion Etete8%
Josh Benson8%
Daniel Gore8%
Reece James8%
Shaun McWilliams7%
Harry Gray5%
ArJany Martha5%
Joe Rafferty5%
Denzel Hall3%
Jordan Hugill3%
Sam Nombe3%
Dru Yearwood3%
Jamal Baptiste3%
Zak Jules0%
Cameron Dawson0%
Thomas Holmes0%
Sean Raggett0%
Joshua Kayode0%
Duncan Watmore0%
Liam Kelly0%
Ted Cann0%
Jack Holmes0%
Kian Spence0%
Lino Sousa0%
Brandon Cover0%
Martin Sherif0%
Ciaran McGuckin0%
Lenny Agbaire0%
Emmanuel Adegboyega0%
Gabriele Biancheri0%
Hamish Douglas0%
Josh Ayres0%
Cohen Lee0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sam Nombe32%
Kian Spence14%
Martin Sherif12%
Emmanuel Adegboyega9%
Harry Gray5%
Jordan Hugill3%
Joe Powell3%
Shaun McWilliams0%
Zak Jules0%
Kion Etete0%
Josh Benson0%
Cameron Dawson0%
Joe Rafferty0%
Thomas Holmes0%
Sean Raggett0%
Joshua Kayode0%
Reece James0%
Duncan Watmore0%
Liam Kelly0%
Dru Yearwood0%
Denzel Hall0%
ArJany Martha0%
Jamal Baptiste0%
Ted Cann0%
Jack Holmes0%
Lino Sousa0%
Brandon Cover0%
Daniel Gore0%
Marvin Kaleta0%
Ciaran McGuckin0%
Lenny Agbaire0%
Gabriele Biancheri0%
Hamish Douglas0%
Josh Ayres0%
James Clarke0%
Cohen Lee0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
SAL (26)
€8m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BRO (19)
€4m
BAR (15)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
OLD (21)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
Salford's squad is €3m more valuable than Rotherham's (€8m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (2)
€0m
BAR (3)
€0m
SHR (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
Salford and Rotherham have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
FUL (3)
€28m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
MKD (6)
€7m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
SAL (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
BAR (5)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
BR (4)
€0m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
Salford's midfield is €1m more valuable than Rotherham's (€2m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
BAR (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
Salford's defence is €1m more valuable than Rotherham's (€3m vs €2m).
England: League Two 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League Two stats & trends →
England: League One 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →