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Şamaxı FK vs Karvan Result & Analysis

Date: 14/09/2025
Time: 12:30
Final 3-0
Şamaxı FK
Şamaxı FK
vs
Karvan
Karvan
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Şamaxı FK win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Karvan win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Şamaxı FKŞamaxı FK

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W21W11D11D13L01L01L11D12L11DA·SUM12/04H·KAP20/04A·TUR25/04H·SƏB03/05A·SAB09/05H·ARA17/05H·QAR24/05A·NEF16/08H·SAB24/08A·SUM29/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.400.671.071.201.73
vs Stronger (15)0.871.800.751.381.002.29
vs Similar (15)1.001.000.570.711.381.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Karvan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KarvanKarvan

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D20W20W03L22D12L11D32W02LH·IMI11/04A·MOI18/04H·CƏB25/04H·QAB02/05A·ZAQ09/05H·QAR16/05A·MIN22/05H·QAB15/08A·KAP23/08H·QAR31/08← Birinci DastaPremyer Liqa →
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.502.001.271.731.73
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (20)1.901.501.901.301.901.70
vs Weaker (9)2.001.442.751.001.401.80
Clean sheet %13% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Şamaxı FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sabah FA
2.36
Qarabag
2.09
Neftchi Baku
1.79
Turan
1.79
Zira
1.61
Araz
1.39
Sumqayıt
1.19
Şamaxı FK
1.15
Imisli FK
1.06
Qabala
0.88
Kapaz
0.82
Karvan
0.45
Mingəçevir
0.00
Şamaxı FK is 0.70 points better than Karvan in terms of average points per game (1.15 vs 0.45).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sabah FA
2.27
Qarabag
2.15
Neftchi Baku
1.73
Araz
1.33
Turan
1.33
Sumqayıt
1.31
Zira
1.30
Qabala
1.00
Şamaxı FK
0.94
Kapaz
0.76
Imisli FK
0.72
Karvan
0.70
Mingəçevir
0.00
Şamaxı FK is 0.24 goals better than Karvan in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 0.70).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sabah FA
0.76
Turan
0.82
Qarabag
0.82
Neftchi Baku
0.97
Zira
1.09
Şamaxı FK
1.21
Imisli FK
1.25
Qabala
1.44
Sumqayıt
1.53
Araz
1.76
Kapaz
1.85
Mingəçevir
2.00
Karvan
2.00
Şamaxı FK is 0.79 goals better than Karvan in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Şamaxı FKŞamaxı FK

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L11D00D10W11D01L00D11D01L00DA·SUM12/04H·KAP20/04A·TUR25/04H·SƏB03/05A·SAB09/05H·ARA17/05H·QAR24/05A·NEF16/08H·SAB24/08A·SUM29/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.700.330.530.730.87
vs Stronger (15)0.670.930.380.621.001.29
vs Similar (15)0.400.470.290.430.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Karvan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KarvanKarvan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L10W00D00D02L01L00D10W01LH·IMI11/04A·MOI18/04H·CƏB25/04H·QAB02/05A·ZAQ09/05H·QAR16/05A·MIN22/05H·QAB15/08A·KAP23/08H·QAR31/08← Birinci DastaPremyer Liqa →
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.530.730.670.730.40
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (20)0.800.600.700.700.900.50
vs Weaker (9)0.670.331.000.500.400.20
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Şamaxı FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Şamaxı FK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Şamaxı FK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Şamaxı FK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karvan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karvan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karvan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Şamaxı FKŞamaxı FK

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W11D01L02L00D01L00D11D11DA·SUM12/04H·KAP20/04A·TUR25/04H·SƏB03/05A·SAB09/05H·ARA17/05H·QAR24/05A·NEF16/08H·SAB24/08A·SUM29/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.700.330.530.470.87
vs Stronger (15)0.200.870.380.750.001.00
vs Similar (15)0.600.530.290.290.880.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Karvan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KarvanKarvan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W10W20W03L20W11D11D22D01LH·IMI11/04A·MOI18/04H·CƏB25/04H·QAB02/05A·ZAQ09/05H·QAR16/05A·MIN22/05H·QAB15/08A·KAP23/08H·QAR31/08← Birinci DastaPremyer Liqa →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.971.270.601.001.33
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (20)1.100.901.200.601.001.20
vs Weaker (9)1.331.111.750.501.001.60
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Şamaxı FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Şamaxı FK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Şamaxı FK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Şamaxı FK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karvan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karvan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karvan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

No selections above 70% probability for this match.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QAR (25)
€25m
SF (24)
€17m
NB (23)
€13m
ZIR (23)
€12m
TUR (23)
€10m
SUM (22)
€9m
IF (18)
€6m
ARA (19)
€6m
KAP (24)
€5m
QAB (18)
€5m
ŞF (15)
€4m
KAR (4)
€1m
MIN (2)
€0m
Şamaxı FK's squad is €3m more valuable than Karvan's (€4m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QAR (9)
€8m
ZIR (10)
€6m
SF (7)
€5m
NB (7)
€4m
SUM (7)
€4m
TUR (7)
€3m
IF (7)
€3m
ARA (7)
€3m
QAB (5)
€1m
ŞF (6)
€1m
KAP (8)
€1m
KAR (3)
€0m
MIN (2)
€0m
Şamaxı FK and Karvan have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SF (7)
€5m
QAR (3)
€3m
NB (6)
€3m
SUM (4)
€2m
TUR (4)
€2m
ARA (5)
€2m
KAP (6)
€2m
ŞF (3)
€1m
ZIR (3)
€1m
QAB (3)
€1m
IF (2)
€1m
MIN (0)
€0m
KAR (0)
€0m
Şamaxı FK's midfield is €1m more valuable than Karvan's (€1m vs €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QAR (13)
€14m
SF (10)
€7m
NB (10)
€6m
ZIR (10)
€6m
TUR (12)
€5m
SUM (11)
€4m
IF (9)
€3m
QAB (10)
€3m
KAP (10)
€3m
ARA (7)
€2m
ŞF (6)
€2m
KAR (1)
€0m
MIN (0)
€0m
Şamaxı FK's defence is €2m more valuable than Karvan's (€2m vs €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
ŞF wins
0
Draws
1
KAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Şamaxı FK vs Karvan · H/A from ŞF
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/24HŞF Vs Karvan3-0
07/03/24AKarvan Vs ŞF0-6
24/11/23HŞF Vs Karvan2-4

Şamaxı FKŞamaxı FK

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/25ASumqayıt Vs ŞF1-1
24/08/25HŞF Vs Sabah FA1-2
16/08/25ANeftchi Baku Vs ŞF1-1
24/05/25HŞF Vs Qarabag0-1
17/05/25HŞF Vs Araz0-1
09/05/25ASabah FA Vs ŞF3-1
03/05/25HŞF Vs Səbail1-1
25/04/25ATuran Vs ŞF1-1
20/04/25HŞF Vs Kapaz2-1
12/04/25ASumqayıt Vs ŞF1-2

KarvanKarvan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/25HKAR Vs Qarabag0-2
23/08/25AKapaz Vs KAR2-3
15/08/25HKAR Vs Qabala1-1
22/05/25AMingəçevir Vs KAR2-1
16/05/25HKAR Vs Qaradağ Lökbatan2-2
09/05/25AZaqatala Vs KAR3-0
02/05/25HKAR Vs Qabala2-0
25/04/25HKAR Vs Cəbrayıl2-0
18/04/25AMOIK Vs KAR1-1
11/04/25HKAR Vs Imisli FK1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Şamaxı FK
Şamaxı FK
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLD1.28
HomeWDLLL1.33
AwayWDLDD1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%38%31%
AVG goals2.442.042.81
Over 1.5 %66%50%81%
Over 2.5 %42%38%46%
Over 3.5 %24%17%31%
Scored1.241.121.35
Conceded1.200.921.46
BTTS48%38%58%
Clean Sheet26%29%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Karvan
Karvan
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWL1.66
HomeWWDDL1.80
AwayWDLLW1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%52%44%
AVG goals3.022.603.44
Over 1.5 %76%68%84%
Over 2.5 %44%36%52%
Over 3.5 %34%32%36%
Scored1.641.481.80
Conceded1.381.121.64
BTTS48%40%56%
Clean Sheet26%40%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sabah FASabah FA3378
73%
2.4
7525+50
3.0
76%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
17
5572.30.8
-
2QarabagQarabag3369
64%
2.1
7127+44
3.0
76%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
25
83142.20.8
-
3Neftchi BakuNeftchi Baku3359
48%
1.8
5732+25
2.7
73%
55%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
4361.71.0
-
4TuranTuran3359
52%
1.8
4427+17
2.2
67%
45%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3251.30.8
-
5ZiraZira3353
39%
1.6
4336+7
2.4
70%
42%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
6161.31.1
-
6ArazAraz3346
39%
1.4
4458-14
3.1
88%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3221.31.8
-
7SumqayıtSumqayıt3238
34%
1.2
4249-7
2.8
78%
56%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
4241.31.5
-
8Şamaxı FKŞamaxı FK3338
27%
1.2
3140-9
2.2
67%
45%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.91.2
-
9Imisli FKImisli FK3234
22%
1.1
2340-17
2.0
53%
31%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3130.71.2
-
10QabalaQabala3430
24%
0.9
3449-15
2.4
68%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1131.01.4
-
11KapazKapaz3327
24%
0.8
2561-36
2.6
76%
45%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1230.81.8
-
12KarvanKarvan3315
9%
0.5
2366-43
2.7
82%
48%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.72.0
-
13MingəçevirMingəçevir10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa stats & trends →

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