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Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi Result & Analysis

Date: 20/05/2023
Time: 12:00
Final 1-1
Samgurali
Samgurali
Vs
31%
28%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dinamo Batumi
Dinamo Batumi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Samgurali win✗ Miss
31.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi win✗ Miss
40.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

SamguraliSamgurali

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D02L21W30W21W10W41W10W21W31WH·TOR19/03A·DIN02/04H·SAB09/04A·DIL13/04H·SAM22/04H·GAG26/04H·SHU30/04A·TEL06/05H·DIN10/05A·TOR14/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.301.601.071.471.53
vs Stronger (16)1.251.621.251.381.251.88
vs Similar (13)1.850.922.000.671.711.14
vs Weaker (1)2.001.002.001.00--
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W20W41W22D00D31W33D02L21W31WA·GAG18/03H·SAM02/04A·TEL08/04H·DIN12/04A·TOR21/04A·SHU26/04A·SAB30/04H·DIL05/05A·SAM10/05H·GAG14/05
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.131.232.431.361.881.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.751.382.141.711.441.11
vs Weaker (14)2.571.072.711.002.431.14
Clean sheet %20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Samgurali) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%015%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.9%
Under 1.5
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.4%
Under 2.5
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.3%
Under 3.5
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.4%
No
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.3%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
8.3%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
1-0
7.0%
0-2
7.0%
2-2
5.6%
Samgurali goals ↓
Dinamo Batumi goals →
01234
07.7%8.3%7.0%3.4%1.3%
17.0%13%8.9%4.3%1.6%
25.2%7.6%5.6%2.7%1.0%
32.2%3.2%2.4%1.2%0.4%
40.7%1.0%0.7%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Samgurali goals (down), columns = Dinamo Batumi goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dinamo Batumi
2.06
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.97
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.67
Dila
1.67
Samgurali
1.58
Gareji
1.50
Saburtalo
1.42
Telavi
1.08
Gagra
1.06
Samtredia
0.95
Spaeri
0.50
Shukura
0.47
Samgurali is 0.47 points worse than Dinamo Batumi in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 2.06).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.58
Dinamo Batumi
2.31
Gareji
2.00
Saburtalo
1.61
Dila
1.56
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.53
Samgurali
1.47
Samtredia
1.45
Gagra
1.31
Shukura
1.06
Telavi
1.03
Spaeri
0.50
Samgurali is 0.83 goals worse than Dinamo Batumi in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 2.31).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.03
Dila
1.08
Dinamo Batumi
1.14
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.36
Saburtalo
1.36
Samgurali
1.42
Telavi
1.66
Samtredia
1.74
Gagra
1.81
Gareji
2.50
Spaeri
2.50
Shukura
3.11
Samgurali is 0.28 goals worse than Dinamo Batumi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 1.14).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

SamguraliSamgurali

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

SamguraliSamgurali

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (27)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (22)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (1)---0.00.0----
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)7.58.56.50.30.30.327.0-27.0
vs Stronger (4)7.58.56.53.53.53.527.0-27.0
vs Similar (24)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (22)---0.00.00.0---
% over line25%50%0%4%4%4%100%-100%
% under line75%50%100%96%96%96%0%-0%
This opponent (Samgurali) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Saburtalo
10.2
Dinamo Tbilisi
8.0
Dinamo Batumi
7.5
Dila
7.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Dila
5.5
Saburtalo
5.0
Dinamo Batumi
4.7
Dinamo Tbilisi
4.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Dinamo Batumi
27.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SamguraliSamgurali

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L00D10W00D00D11D00D10W20WH·TOR19/03A·DIN02/04H·SAB09/04A·DIL13/04H·SAM22/04H·GAG26/04H·SHU30/04A·TEL06/05H·DIN10/05A·TOR14/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.570.600.530.670.60
vs Stronger (16)0.620.690.620.620.620.75
vs Similar (13)0.690.460.670.500.710.43
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W20W11D21W00D10W10W00D10W20WA·GAG18/03H·SAM02/04A·TEL08/04H·DIN12/04A·TOR21/04A·SHU26/04A·SAB30/04H·DIL05/05A·SAM10/05H·GAG14/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.371.360.360.690.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.810.381.290.430.440.33
vs Weaker (14)1.210.361.430.291.000.43
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Samgurali) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Samgurali over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SamguraliSamgurali

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D21W20W21W10W30W10W11D11DH·TOR19/03A·DIN02/04H·SAB09/04A·DIL13/04H·SAM22/04H·GAG26/04H·SHU30/04A·TEL06/05H·DIN10/05A·TOR14/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.731.000.530.800.93
vs Stronger (16)0.620.940.620.750.621.12
vs Similar (13)1.150.461.330.171.000.71
vs Weaker (1)2.001.002.001.00--
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D30W01L00D21W23L02L11D11DA·GAG18/03H·SAM02/04A·TEL08/04H·DIN12/04A·TOR21/04A·SHU26/04A·SAB30/04H·DIL05/05A·SAM10/05H·GAG14/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.871.071.001.190.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.941.000.861.291.000.78
vs Weaker (14)1.360.711.290.711.430.71
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Samgurali) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Samgurali over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.570.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (26)
€7m
TK (22)
€7m
DB (25)
€6m
SAB (22)
€6m
DIL (23)
€4m
SAM (24)
€3m
GAG (23)
€3m
SPA (20)
€2m
SAM (4)
€0m
Samgurali's squad is €3m less valuable than Dinamo Batumi's (€3m vs €6m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (9)
€3m
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
TK (7)
€2m
DIL (8)
€2m
SAM (9)
€1m
GAG (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (1)
€0m
Samgurali's attack is €2m less valuable than Dinamo Batumi's (€1m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (5)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
DB (6)
€1m
SAM (5)
€1m
GAG (6)
€1m
DT (4)
€1m
DIL (6)
€1m
SPA (4)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
Samgurali and Dinamo Batumi have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
TK (10)
€2m
DIL (9)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
SAM (10)
€1m
GAG (9)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (2)
€0m
Samgurali and Dinamo Batumi have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
SAM wins
1
Draws
2
DB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi · H/A from SAM
DateH/AGameScore
02/04/23ADinamo Batumi Vs SAM2-0
12/11/22ADinamo Batumi Vs SAM1-2
06/09/22HSAM Vs Dinamo Batumi3-0
25/05/22ADinamo Batumi Vs SAM4-4
10/04/22HSAM Vs Dinamo Batumi0-3

SamguraliSamgurali

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/05/23ATorpedo Kutaisi Vs SAM1-3
10/05/23HSAM Vs Dinamo Tbilisi2-1
06/05/23ATelavi Vs SAM0-1
30/04/23HSAM Vs Shukura4-1
26/04/23HSAM Vs Gagra1-0
22/04/23HSAM Vs Samtredia2-1
13/04/23ADila Vs SAM0-3
09/04/23HSAM Vs Saburtalo2-1
02/04/23ADinamo Batumi Vs SAM2-0
19/03/23HSAM Vs Torpedo Kutaisi0-0

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/05/23HDB Vs Gagra3-1
10/05/23ASamtredia Vs DB1-2
05/05/23HDB Vs Dila0-2
30/04/23ASaburtalo Vs DB3-3
26/04/23AShukura Vs DB1-3
21/04/23ATorpedo Kutaisi Vs DB0-0
12/04/23HDB Vs Dinamo Tbilisi2-2
08/04/23ATelavi Vs DB1-4
02/04/23HDB Vs Samgurali2-0
18/03/23AGagra Vs DB1-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Samgurali
Samgurali
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.76
HomeWWWWW2.08
AwayLLWWW1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%60%40%
AVG goals2.742.722.76
Over 1.5 %82%84%80%
Over 2.5 %58%68%48%
Over 3.5 %22%20%24%
Scored1.581.721.44
Conceded1.161.001.32
BTTS50%56%44%
Clean Sheet34%32%36%
Corners---
Cards---
Dinamo Batumi
Dinamo Batumi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWW2.08
HomeWWDLW2.33
AwayWDWDW1.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%71%50%
AVG goals3.263.962.62
Over 1.5 %82%92%73%
Over 2.5 %60%75%46%
Over 3.5 %42%58%27%
Scored2.202.751.69
Conceded1.061.210.92
BTTS52%62%42%
Clean Sheet38%33%42%
Corners7.508.506.50
Cards4.673.507.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi3674
58%
2.1
8341+42
3.4
94%
69%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.31.1
-
2Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi3671
58%
2.0
9349+44
3.9
92%
81%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3132.61.4
-
3Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi3660
44%
1.7
5537+18
2.6
67%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2221.51.0
-
4DilaDila3660
47%
1.7
5639+17
2.6
72%
56%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.61.1
-
5SamguraliSamgurali3657
44%
1.6
5351+2
2.9
72%
56%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.4
-
6SaburtaloSaburtalo3651
39%
1.4
5849+9
3.0
78%
72%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3221.61.4
-
7TelaviTelavi3841
29%
1.1
3963-24
2.7
71%
55%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
8GagraGagra3638
28%
1.1
4765-18
3.1
64%
56%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.8
-
9SamtrediaSamtredia3836
26%
0.9
5566-11
3.2
82%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
10ShukuraShukura3617
11%
0.5
38112-74
4.2
89%
75%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.13.1
-
11GarejiGareji23
50%
1.5
45-1
4.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.5
-
12SpaeriSpaeri21
0%
0.5
15-4
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.52.5
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga stats & trends →

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