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Samgurali vs Telavi Result & Analysis

Date: 08/03/2023
Time: 11:00
Final 1-0
Samgurali
Samgurali
Vs
47%
30%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Telavi
Telavi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Samgurali win✓ Hit
46.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Telavi win✗ Miss
23.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

SamguraliSamgurali

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W20W21W11D22D21W11D03L43W12LA·LOK09/10H·TEL15/10H·SIO23/10A·GAG30/10H·TOR06/11A·DIN12/11H·DIN26/11A·DIL03/12A·GAG26/02A·SHU04/03
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.371.861.071.621.62
vs Stronger (16)1.441.751.561.111.292.57
vs Similar (14)2.070.932.401.001.890.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Telavi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TelaviTelavi

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L10W01L02L11D11D10W01L00DH·SIO09/10A·SAM15/10H·GAG23/10A·TOR29/10H·DIN05/11A·DIN10/11H·DIL26/11A·SAB03/12A·SAM25/02H·GAG04/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.030.810.880.641.21
vs Stronger (19)0.531.260.501.300.561.22
vs Similar (11)1.090.641.330.170.801.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Samgurali) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
67.4%
Under 1.5
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.4%
Under 2.5
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.3%
Under 3.5
80.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.3%
No
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
1-0 ✓
13.0%
0-0
11.7%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.5%
Samgurali goals ↓
Telavi goals →
01234
012%8.0%4.1%1.2%0.3%
113%14%5.7%1.7%0.4%
29.8%8.7%3.9%1.2%0.3%
34.5%4.0%1.8%0.5%0.1%
41.5%1.4%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Samgurali goals (down), columns = Telavi goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dinamo Batumi
2.06
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.97
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.67
Dila
1.67
Samgurali
1.58
Gareji
1.50
Saburtalo
1.42
Telavi
1.08
Gagra
1.06
Samtredia
0.95
Spaeri
0.50
Shukura
0.47
Samgurali is 0.50 points better than Telavi in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 1.08).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.58
Dinamo Batumi
2.31
Gareji
2.00
Saburtalo
1.61
Dila
1.56
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.53
Samgurali
1.47
Samtredia
1.45
Gagra
1.31
Shukura
1.06
Telavi
1.03
Spaeri
0.50
Samgurali is 0.45 goals better than Telavi in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.03).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.03
Dila
1.08
Dinamo Batumi
1.14
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.36
Saburtalo
1.36
Samgurali
1.42
Telavi
1.66
Samtredia
1.74
Gagra
1.81
Gareji
2.50
Spaeri
2.50
Shukura
3.11
Samgurali is 0.24 goals better than Telavi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 1.66).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

SamguraliSamgurali

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

TelaviTelavi

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

SamguraliSamgurali

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (38)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (20)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (18)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Telavi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TelaviTelavi

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (38)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (24)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (14)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Samgurali) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Saburtalo
10.2
Dinamo Tbilisi
8.0
Dinamo Batumi
7.5
Dila
7.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Dila
5.5
Saburtalo
5.0
Dinamo Batumi
4.7
Dinamo Tbilisi
4.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Dinamo Batumi
27.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SamguraliSamgurali

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D01L00D11D10W10W01L21W01LA·LOK09/10H·TEL15/10H·SIO23/10A·GAG30/10H·TOR06/11A·DIN12/11H·DIN26/11A·DIL03/12A·GAG26/02A·SHU04/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.700.710.640.880.75
vs Stronger (16)0.620.940.560.670.711.29
vs Similar (14)1.000.431.000.601.000.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Telavi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TelaviTelavi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D10W01L00D01L01L00D00D00DH·SIO09/10A·SAM15/10H·GAG23/10A·TOR29/10H·DIN05/11A·DIN10/11H·DIL26/11A·SAB03/12A·SAM25/02H·GAG04/03
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.530.500.500.210.57
vs Stronger (19)0.210.630.300.700.110.56
vs Similar (11)0.640.360.830.170.400.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Samgurali) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Samgurali over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telavi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telavi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telavi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SamguraliSamgurali

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W20W20W11D11D11D01L02L22D11DA·LOK09/10H·TEL15/10H·SIO23/10A·GAG30/10H·TOR06/11A·DIN12/11H·DIN26/11A·DIL03/12A·GAG26/02A·SHU04/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.671.140.430.750.88
vs Stronger (16)0.810.811.000.440.571.29
vs Similar (14)1.070.501.400.400.890.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Telavi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TelaviTelavi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L00D00D02L10W10W10W01L00DH·SIO09/10A·SAM15/10H·GAG23/10A·TOR29/10H·DIN05/11A·DIN10/11H·DIL26/11A·SAB03/12A·SAM25/02H·GAG04/03
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.500.310.380.430.64
vs Stronger (19)0.320.630.200.600.440.67
vs Similar (11)0.450.270.500.000.400.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Samgurali) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Samgurali over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telavi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telavi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telavi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.580.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (26)
€7m
TK (22)
€7m
DB (25)
€6m
SAB (22)
€6m
DIL (23)
€4m
SAM (24)
€3m
GAG (23)
€3m
SPA (20)
€2m
SAM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (9)
€3m
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
TK (7)
€2m
DIL (8)
€2m
SAM (9)
€1m
GAG (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (5)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
DB (6)
€1m
SAM (5)
€1m
GAG (6)
€1m
DT (4)
€1m
DIL (6)
€1m
SPA (4)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
TK (10)
€2m
DIL (9)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
SAM (10)
€1m
GAG (9)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
SAM wins
2
Draws
0
TEL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Samgurali vs Telavi · H/A from SAM
DateH/AGameScore
15/10/22HSAM Vs Telavi2-0
13/08/22ATelavi Vs SAM1-1
09/05/22HSAM Vs Telavi2-1
06/04/22ATelavi Vs SAM0-0

SamguraliSamgurali

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/03/23AShukura Vs SAM2-1
26/02/23AGagra Vs SAM3-4
03/12/22ADila Vs SAM3-0
26/11/22HSAM Vs Dinamo Tbilisi1-1
12/11/22ADinamo Batumi Vs SAM1-2
06/11/22HSAM Vs Torpedo Kutaisi2-2
30/10/22AGagra Vs SAM1-1
23/10/22HSAM Vs Sioni2-1
15/10/22HSAM Vs Telavi2-0
09/10/22ALokomotivi Tbilisi Vs SAM1-4

TelaviTelavi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/03/23HTEL Vs Gagra0-0
25/02/23ASamtredia Vs TEL1-0
03/12/22ASaburtalo Vs TEL0-1
26/11/22HTEL Vs Dila1-1
10/11/22ADinamo Tbilisi Vs TEL1-1
05/11/22HTEL Vs Dinamo Batumi0-2
29/10/22ATorpedo Kutaisi Vs TEL1-0
23/10/22HTEL Vs Gagra1-0
15/10/22ASamgurali Vs TEL2-0
09/10/22HTEL Vs Sioni0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Samgurali
Samgurali
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWL1.58
HomeLWWDD1.83
AwayDWLWL1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%50%35%
AVG goals2.872.892.85
Over 1.5 %87%94%80%
Over 2.5 %61%72%50%
Over 3.5 %24%22%25%
Scored1.581.721.45
Conceded1.291.171.40
BTTS53%56%50%
Clean Sheet32%28%35%
Corners---
Cards---
Telavi
Telavi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWLD1.05
HomeDWLDD1.16
AwayLLDWL0.95
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %21%21%21%
AVG goals1.741.531.95
Over 1.5 %58%58%58%
Over 2.5 %21%16%26%
Over 3.5 %11%5%16%
Scored0.760.740.79
Conceded0.970.791.16
BTTS32%26%37%
Clean Sheet42%53%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi3674
58%
2.1
8341+42
3.4
94%
69%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.31.1
-
2Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi3671
58%
2.0
9349+44
3.9
92%
81%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3132.61.4
-
3Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi3660
44%
1.7
5537+18
2.6
67%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2221.51.0
-
4DilaDila3660
47%
1.7
5639+17
2.6
72%
56%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.61.1
-
5SamguraliSamgurali3657
44%
1.6
5351+2
2.9
72%
56%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.4
-
6SaburtaloSaburtalo3651
39%
1.4
5849+9
3.0
78%
72%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3221.61.4
-
7TelaviTelavi3841
29%
1.1
3963-24
2.7
71%
55%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
8GagraGagra3638
28%
1.1
4765-18
3.1
64%
56%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.8
-
9SamtrediaSamtredia3836
26%
0.9
5566-11
3.2
82%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
10ShukuraShukura3617
11%
0.5
38112-74
4.2
89%
75%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.13.1
-
11GarejiGareji23
50%
1.5
45-1
4.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.5
-
12SpaeriSpaeri21
0%
0.5
15-4
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.52.5
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga stats & trends →

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