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Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi Result & Analysis

Date: 27/08/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 0-0
Samgurali
Samgurali
Vs
42%
29%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Samgurali win✗ Miss
42.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi win✗ Miss
28.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

SamguraliSamgurali

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W31W11D15L22D20W22D00D01L25LH·DIN10/05A·TOR14/05H·DIN20/05A·SAB24/05H·DIL28/05A·SAM01/06A·SHU06/06A·GAG05/08H·TEL12/08A·DIN19/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.331.570.861.621.75
vs Stronger (15)1.401.801.431.141.382.38
vs Similar (13)1.770.921.670.501.861.29
vs Weaker (2)2.000.502.001.002.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L11D10W22D11D14L21W31W32W41WH·SHU28/05A·DIN01/06H·DIL05/06H·FK 13/07A·FK 20/07H·AKT27/07A·AKT03/08A·SAB08/08A·SAM14/08H·GAG20/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.301.401.401.271.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.191.561.121.501.251.62
vs Weaker (14)1.501.001.711.291.290.71
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Samgurali) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.5%
Under 1.5
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.6%
Under 2.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.2%
Under 3.5
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.6%
No
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
10.2%
0-0 ✓
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
7.9%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.1%
Samgurali goals ↓
Torpedo Kutaisi goals →
01234
09.5%7.9%5.1%1.9%0.5%
110%14%7.0%2.6%0.7%
27.9%8.8%4.9%1.8%0.5%
33.7%4.1%2.3%0.8%0.2%
41.3%1.4%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Samgurali goals (down), columns = Torpedo Kutaisi goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dinamo Batumi
2.06
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.97
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.67
Dila
1.67
Samgurali
1.58
Gareji
1.50
Saburtalo
1.42
Telavi
1.08
Gagra
1.06
Samtredia
0.95
Spaeri
0.50
Shukura
0.47
Samgurali is 0.08 points worse than Torpedo Kutaisi in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 1.67).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.58
Dinamo Batumi
2.31
Gareji
2.00
Saburtalo
1.61
Dila
1.56
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.53
Samgurali
1.47
Samtredia
1.45
Gagra
1.31
Shukura
1.06
Telavi
1.03
Spaeri
0.50
Samgurali is 0.06 goals worse than Torpedo Kutaisi in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.53).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.03
Dila
1.08
Dinamo Batumi
1.14
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.36
Saburtalo
1.36
Samgurali
1.42
Telavi
1.66
Samtredia
1.74
Gagra
1.81
Gareji
2.50
Spaeri
2.50
Shukura
3.11
Samgurali is 0.39 goals worse than Torpedo Kutaisi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 1.03).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

SamguraliSamgurali

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

For 5.2 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

130446464588101013A·AKTH·AKTA·FK H·FK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.7 · Against 2.7 · Total 6.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

70423442676A·AKTH·AKTA·FK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 14.0 · Total 28.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

280141428A·AKT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SamguraliSamgurali

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (27)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (21)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (2)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.211.59.00.40.30.528.0-28.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (26)10.211.59.00.70.50.928.0-28.0
vs Weaker (24)---0.00.00.0---
% over line75%100%50%6%4%8%100%-100%
% under line25%0%50%94%96%92%0%-0%
This opponent (Samgurali) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
10.2
Saburtalo
10.2
Dila
8.9
Dinamo Tbilisi
7.8
Dinamo Batumi
7.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
6.3
Dila
5.2
Saburtalo
5.0
Dinamo Batumi
4.5
Dinamo Tbilisi
3.2

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Dila
30.7
Torpedo Kutaisi
28.0
Dinamo Tbilisi
25.0
Dinamo Batumi
24.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SamguraliSamgurali

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W11D01L00D00D02L00D00D12LH·DIN10/05A·TOR14/05H·DIN20/05A·SAB24/05H·DIL28/05A·SAM01/06A·SHU06/06A·GAG05/08H·TEL12/08A·DIN19/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.500.430.290.560.69
vs Stronger (15)0.600.530.570.290.620.75
vs Similar (13)0.460.540.330.330.570.71
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D10W01L02L01L01L21W20WH·SHU28/05A·DIN01/06H·DIL05/06H·FK 13/07A·FK 20/07H·AKT27/07A·AKT03/08A·SAB08/08A·SAM14/08H·GAG20/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.530.400.530.400.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.190.690.250.620.120.75
vs Weaker (14)0.640.360.570.430.710.29
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Samgurali) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Samgurali over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SamguraliSamgurali

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D11D00D14L22D20W20W00D01L13LH·DIN10/05A·TOR14/05H·DIN20/05A·SAB24/05H·DIL28/05A·SAM01/06A·SHU06/06A·GAG05/08H·TEL12/08A·DIN19/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.831.140.571.061.06
vs Stronger (15)0.801.270.860.860.751.62
vs Similar (13)1.310.381.330.171.290.57
vs Weaker (2)2.000.502.001.002.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L11D10W12L10W12L20W30W11D21WH·SHU28/05A·DIN01/06H·DIL05/06H·FK 13/07A·FK 20/07H·AKT27/07A·AKT03/08A·SAB08/08A·SAM14/08H·GAG20/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.771.000.870.870.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.000.880.880.881.120.88
vs Weaker (14)0.860.641.140.860.570.43
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Samgurali) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Samgurali over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.5%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (26)
€7m
TK (22)
€7m
DB (25)
€6m
SAB (22)
€6m
DIL (23)
€4m
SAM (24)
€3m
GAG (23)
€3m
SPA (20)
€2m
SAM (4)
€0m
Samgurali's squad is €4m less valuable than Torpedo Kutaisi's (€3m vs €7m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (9)
€3m
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
TK (7)
€2m
DIL (8)
€2m
SAM (9)
€1m
GAG (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (1)
€0m
Samgurali's attack is €1m less valuable than Torpedo Kutaisi's (€1m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (5)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
DB (6)
€1m
SAM (5)
€1m
GAG (6)
€1m
DT (4)
€1m
DIL (6)
€1m
SPA (4)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
Samgurali's midfield is €1m less valuable than Torpedo Kutaisi's (€1m vs €2m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
TK (10)
€2m
DIL (9)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
SAM (10)
€1m
GAG (9)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (2)
€0m
Samgurali and Torpedo Kutaisi have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
3
SAM wins
2
Draws
1
TK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi · H/A from SAM
DateH/AGameScore
14/05/23ATorpedo Kutaisi Vs SAM1-3
19/03/23HSAM Vs Torpedo Kutaisi0-0
06/11/22HSAM Vs Torpedo Kutaisi2-2
01/09/22ATorpedo Kutaisi Vs SAM3-2
21/05/22HSAM Vs Torpedo Kutaisi3-0
02/04/22ATorpedo Kutaisi Vs SAM0-2

SamguraliSamgurali

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/08/23ADinamo Tbilisi Vs SAM5-2
12/08/23HSAM Vs Telavi0-1
05/08/23AGagra Vs SAM0-0
06/06/23AShukura Vs SAM2-2
01/06/23ASamtredia Vs SAM0-2
28/05/23HSAM Vs Dila2-2
24/05/23ASaburtalo Vs SAM5-1
20/05/23HSAM Vs Dinamo Batumi1-1
14/05/23ATorpedo Kutaisi Vs SAM1-3
10/05/23HSAM Vs Dinamo Tbilisi2-1

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/08/23HTK Vs Gagra4-1
14/08/23ASamtredia Vs TK2-3
08/08/23ASaburtalo Vs TK1-3
03/08/23AAktobe Vs TK1-2
27/07/23HTK Vs Aktobe1-4
20/07/23AFK Sarajevo Vs TK1-1
13/07/23HTK Vs FK Sarajevo2-2
05/06/23HTK Vs Dila1-0
01/06/23ADinamo Batumi Vs TK1-1
28/05/23HTK Vs Shukura1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Samgurali
Samgurali
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLL1.70
HomeWWDDL2.04
AwayLWDDL1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%58%38%
AVG goals2.942.673.19
Over 1.5 %82%79%85%
Over 2.5 %60%67%54%
Over 3.5 %28%21%35%
Scored1.621.711.54
Conceded1.320.961.65
BTTS52%54%50%
Clean Sheet32%33%31%
Corners---
Cards---
Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW1.62
HomeLWDLW1.80
AwayDDWWW1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%52%36%
AVG goals2.702.642.76
Over 1.5 %72%64%80%
Over 2.5 %56%56%56%
Over 3.5 %34%36%32%
Scored1.461.561.36
Conceded1.241.081.40
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet38%40%36%
Corners10.2511.509.00
Cards6.337.006.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi3674
58%
2.1
8341+42
3.4
94%
69%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.31.1
-
2Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi3671
58%
2.0
9349+44
3.9
92%
81%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3132.61.4
-
3Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi3660
44%
1.7
5537+18
2.6
67%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2221.51.0
-
4DilaDila3660
47%
1.7
5639+17
2.6
72%
56%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.61.1
-
5SamguraliSamgurali3657
44%
1.6
5351+2
2.9
72%
56%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.4
-
6SaburtaloSaburtalo3651
39%
1.4
5849+9
3.0
78%
72%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3221.61.4
-
7TelaviTelavi3841
29%
1.1
3963-24
2.7
71%
55%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
8GagraGagra3638
28%
1.1
4765-18
3.1
64%
56%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.8
-
9SamtrediaSamtredia3836
26%
0.9
5566-11
3.2
82%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
10ShukuraShukura3617
11%
0.5
38112-74
4.2
89%
75%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.13.1
-
11GarejiGareji23
50%
1.5
45-1
4.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.5
-
12SpaeriSpaeri21
0%
0.5
15-4
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.52.5
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga stats & trends →

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