Šamorín is expected to dominate Baník Lehota p.Vtádnikom, with a 49% chance of a home win. The draw holds a 28% probability, while the away side's chances stand at 23%. The model predicts a home win, and the expected total goals average out to 2.6. The most likely score is a 1-1 draw, with a probability of 13.3%.
Šamorín's recent form is impressive, having won their last five games, including a 2-1 victory over Slovan Bratislava II. They average 1.15 goals scored and 1 goal conceded at home, particularly against similar-strength opponents. Baník Lehota p.Vtádnikom, on the other hand, have been inconsistent, drawing their last game 1-1 against Malženice and conceding an average of 1.12 goals away from home.
The model suggests Under 3.5 goals, with a 74.6% probability, and Over 1.5 goals, with a 73.6% probability. Home win percentage stands at 49%, draw percentage at 28%, and away win percentage at 23%. The model's selections include Under 3.5, with 74.6% probability, and Over 1.5, with 73.6% probability.
The win by Baník Lehota p.Vtádnikom extends their unbeaten run to six matches, with a convincing 0-2 victory over Šamorín. This was a major upset, as the model had predicted Šamorín to win, with a pre-match probability of 49%. The model's call was incorrect, however, as Baník Lehota p.Vtádnikom took the spoils. The model's selection, Home win, had a pre-match probability of 49%, while the suggested picks of Under 3.5 and Over 1.5 both proved correct, with probabilities of 74.6% and 73.6% respectively.
Šamorín| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.57 | 1.37 | 1.27 | 1.00 | 1.87 | 1.73 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 2.67 | 2.33 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| vs Similar (26) | 1.38 | 1.27 | 1.15 | 1.00 | 1.62 | 1.54 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 3.00 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 17% (-9pp vs league) | |||||
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.47 | 1.73 | 1.81 | 1.81 | 1.07 | 1.64 |
| vs Stronger (11) | 1.36 | 1.91 | 1.80 | 1.20 | 1.00 | 2.50 |
| vs Similar (19) | 1.53 | 1.63 | 1.82 | 2.09 | 1.12 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 17% (-9pp vs league) | |||||
| Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 11% | 13% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 9.5% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Šamorín| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.80 | 0.63 | 0.60 | 0.47 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 1.33 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (26) | 0.69 | 0.58 | 0.54 | 0.38 | 0.85 | 0.77 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 2.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+25pp vs league) | |||||
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.83 | 0.77 | 1.06 | 0.88 | 0.57 | 0.64 |
| vs Stronger (11) | 0.55 | 0.64 | 0.80 | 0.20 | 0.33 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (19) | 1.00 | 0.84 | 1.18 | 1.18 | 0.75 | 0.38 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 43% (+18pp vs league) | |||||
Šamorín| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.77 | 0.73 | 0.67 | 0.53 | 0.87 | 0.93 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (26) | 0.69 | 0.69 | 0.62 | 0.62 | 0.77 | 0.77 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+21pp vs league) | |||||
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.63 | 0.97 | 0.75 | 0.94 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| vs Stronger (11) | 0.82 | 1.27 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 1.50 |
| vs Similar (19) | 0.53 | 0.79 | 0.64 | 0.91 | 0.38 | 0.62 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 30% (+5pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 74.6% | 1.47 | 1.48 | 1.47 | 1.46 | 1.46 | 1.46 | +11.8% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 1.5 | 73.6% | 1.18 | 1.19 | 1.19 | 1.18 | 1.15 | - | -4.0% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 06/09/25 | A | 2-1 |
Šamorín| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 01/08/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 27/07/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 15/05/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 08/05/26 | A | 2-3 | |
| 02/05/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 22/04/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 17/04/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 11/04/26 | H | 0-2 |
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 01/08/26 | A | 2-2 | |
| 25/07/26 | H | 3-3 | |
| 15/05/26 | H | 3-3 | |
| 08/05/26 | A | 4-1 | |
| 01/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 26/04/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 22/04/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 3-3 | |
| 10/04/26 | A | 1-2 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Petržalka | 6 | 18 | 100% | 3.0 | 16 | 2 | +14 | 3.0 | 83% | 50% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.7 | 0.3 | - |
| 2 | Šamorín | 6 | 15 | 83% | 2.5 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 3.2 | 100% | 67% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 3 | Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom | 6 | 10 | 33% | 1.7 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 3.2 | 83% | 50% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.3 | - |
| 4 | Pohronie | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 3.7 | 100% | 83% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.7 | - |
| 5 | Považská Bystrica | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 10 | 10 | +0 | 3.3 | 100% | 83% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.7 | 1.7 | - |
| 6 | Žilina II | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 2.0 | 67% | 50% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 7 | Tatran Prešov | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 3.2 | 83% | 67% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.5 | 1.7 | - |
| 8 | Liptovský Mikuláš | 6 | 8 | 33% | 1.3 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 2.7 | 83% | 33% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | - |
| 9 | Inter Bratislava | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 2.7 | 83% | 67% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | - |
| 10 | Malženice | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 10 | 10 | +0 | 3.3 | 100% | 67% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.7 | 1.7 | - |
| 11 | Galanta | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 2.2 | 83% | 33% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.7 | 1.5 | - |
| 12 | Humenné | 6 | 6 | 33% | 1.0 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 2.2 | 50% | 50% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.7 | 1.5 | - |
| 13 | Slovan Bratislava II | 6 | 5 | 17% | 0.8 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 3.2 | 83% | 67% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 1.7 | - |
| 14 | Zlaté Moravce | 6 | 5 | 17% | 0.8 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 2.0 | 50% | 50% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 15 | Lokomotíva Zvolen | 6 | 3 | 0% | 0.5 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1.8 | 50% | 17% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.7 | 1.2 | - |
| 16 | MFK Bytča | 6 | 3 | 17% | 0.5 | 4 | 19 | -15 | 3.8 | 100% | 100% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.7 | 3.2 | - |