Šamorín are the clear favourites, with a 51 % chance of victory, a 28 % chance of a draw and a 21 % chance of Galanta winning. The model predicts a 2-goal total, most likely 1-1 with a 13.2 % probability. Home side Šamorín, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded. Galanta, on the road against a weaker side, averages 1.33 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. The suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.6 %), Under 6.5 (98.6 %), Away under 3.5 goals (98.6 %), Under 5.5 (95.9 %), Away under 2.5 goals (93.5 %), Home under 3.5 goals (92.6 %), Home +2 handicap (92.6 %) and Under 4.5 (89.4 %). Šamorín’s recent form shows a two-game winning run, while Galanta also enjoyed a two-game winning streak. The match is expected to be low-scoring, with the home side’s solid defence and the away side’s higher concession rate suggesting a tight contest.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Šamorín win
47.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
29.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Galanta win
22.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Šamorín
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.30
1.20
1.13
2.07
1.47
vs Stronger (4)
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
3.50
3.00
vs Similar (24)
1.46
1.25
1.00
1.17
1.92
1.33
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.50
3.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Galanta) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Galanta
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
1.42
1.25
1.75
2.38
1.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
2.40
2.00
1.00
3.00
3.33
1.33
vs Weaker (7)
1.71
1.00
1.50
0.50
1.80
1.20
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Šamorín) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
69.0%
Under 1.5
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
41.3%
Under 2.5
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
20.8%
Under 3.5
79.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
46.7%
No
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
12.5%
0-0
10.9%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.7%
Šamorín goals ↓
Galanta goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
7.6%
4.0%
1.2%
0.3%
1
13%
14%
5.7%
1.7%
0.4%
2
9.8%
8.9%
4.1%
1.2%
0.3%
3
4.7%
4.2%
1.9%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.7%
1.5%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Šamorín goals (down), columns = Galanta goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Petržalka
3.00
Šamorín
2.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Žilina II
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.33
Malženice
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Galanta
1.17
Humenné
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
Slovan Bratislava II
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.50
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.50
Šamorín is 1.33 points better than Galanta in terms of average points per game (2.50 vs 1.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Petržalka
2.67
Šamorín
2.17
Pohronie
2.00
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.83
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.67
Inter Bratislava
1.50
Tatran Prešov
1.50
Slovan Bratislava II
1.50
Žilina II
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.67
Humenné
0.67
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.67
Galanta
0.67
Šamorín is 1.50 goals better than Galanta in terms of goals scored per game (2.17 vs 0.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Petržalka
0.33
Šamorín
1.00
Žilina II
1.00
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
1.17
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.33
Humenné
1.50
Galanta
1.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Slovan Bratislava II
1.67
MFK Bytča
3.17
Šamorín is 0.50 goals better than Galanta in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Šamorín or Draw
77.2%
Avg Implied -
48%
29%
23%
covers Šamorín + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Šamorín or Galanta
70.5%
Avg Implied -
48%
29%
23%
covers Šamorín + Galanta
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Galanta
52.3%
Avg Implied -
48%
29%
23%
covers Draw + Galanta
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Šamorín over/under 0.5
Over
75.9%
Under
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 1.5
Over
41.7%
Under
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 2.5
Over
17.3%
Under
82.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 3.5
Over
5.7%
Under
94.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galanta over/under 0.5
Over
59.8%
Under
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galanta over/under 1.5
Over
23.1%
Under
76.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galanta over/under 2.5
Over
6.5%
Under
93.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galanta over/under 3.5
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Šamorín, so a minus line means Šamorín give that many goals of a start and Galanta receive them. At -1, Šamorín must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Šamorín win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Šamorín)
Šamorín -2
9.3%
Draw -2
14.8%
Galanta +2
75.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Šamorín)
Šamorín -1
24.1%
Draw -1
23.6%
Galanta +1
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Šamorín)
Šamorín +1
77.2%
Draw +1
14.7%
Galanta -1
8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Šamorín)
Šamorín +2
91.8%
Draw +2
6.1%
Galanta -2
2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Šamorín
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.53
0.53
0.47
1.07
0.60
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
0.75
0.50
0.50
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.67
0.50
0.42
0.42
0.92
0.58
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
2.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Galanta) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Galanta
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.67
0.00
1.00
1.25
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.80
1.00
0.00
1.50
1.33
0.67
vs Weaker (7)
0.86
0.43
0.00
0.50
1.20
0.40
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Šamorín) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
69.2%
Under 0.5
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
35.2%
Under 1.5
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.1%
Under 2.5
86.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Šamorín over/under 0.5 HT
Over
56.2%
Under
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 1.5 HT
Over
18.0%
Under
82.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.0%
Under
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galanta over/under 0.5 HT
Over
33.8%
Under
66.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galanta over/under 1.5 HT
Over
5.4%
Under
94.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galanta over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Šamorín
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.77
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.87
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
1.25
1.00
0.50
1.50
2.00
vs Similar (24)
0.79
0.75
0.58
0.75
1.00
0.75
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Galanta) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Galanta
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.75
1.25
0.75
1.12
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.60
1.00
1.00
1.50
2.00
0.67
vs Weaker (7)
0.86
0.57
1.50
0.00
0.60
0.80
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Šamorín) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
78.3%
Under 0.5
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
43.1%
Under 1.5
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.4%
Under 2.5
79.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Šamorín over/under 0.5 2H
Over
60.4%
Under
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 1.5 2H
Over
28.5%
Under
71.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 2.5 2H
Over
8.4%
Under
91.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galanta over/under 0.5 2H
Over
41.0%
Under
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galanta over/under 1.5 2H
Over
9.2%
Under
90.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galanta over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
93.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Slovakia: 2. liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Petržalka
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Pohronie
Považská Bystrica
Žilina II
Tatran Prešov
Liptovský Mikuláš
Inter Bratislava
Malženice
Humenné
Slovan Bratislava II
Zlaté Moravce
Lokomotíva Zvolen
MFK Bytča