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Šamorín vs Humenné Result & Analysis

Date: 01/08/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 3-1
Šamorín
Šamorín
Vs
46%
29%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Humenné
Humenné
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Squad value14 Games History15 Overall Statistics16 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The upcoming match between Šamorín and Humenné in the Slovakia 2. liga has the home side Šamorín on a 5-game winning run, having beaten Slovan Bratislava II 2-1 in their last outing. In contrast, Humenné comes off a win against Lokomotíva Zvolen, but have struggled to score, averaging just 0.58 goals per game when playing away against similar opponents.

Šamorín's home form is impressive, with an average of 1.33 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. Meanwhile, Humenné's away form is concerning, with 2.17 goals conceded per game. The model predicts a home win, with a 46% chance of Šamorín taking the three points. The predicted match result is a 1-1 draw, with a 13.8% probability. The expected total number of goals is 2.4.

The model's selections include Under 3.5, which has a 76.9% probability and an 11% edge, and Over 1.5, which has a 71.4% probability. The home win percentage is 46%, the draw percentage is 29%, and the away win percentage is 25%.

Results analysis

The win extends their run as Šamorín secured a 3-1 victory on the road against Humenné, securing the home win. The model's call was correct, backing the home win with a pre-match probability of 46%. The model's selection, Home win, proved the favourite, with the model's call being correct.

The model's selection, Under 3.5, with a probability of 76.9%, missed, while the model's selection, Over 1.5, with a probability of 71.4%, hit.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Šamorín win✓ Hit
45.9%
Avg Implied 54.4% · @ 1.67
Edge
-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
Dafabet
1.71
Pinnacle
1.69
10Bet
1.68
Draw✗ Miss
29.1%
Avg Implied 24.6% · @ 3.68
Edge
+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.90
Pinnacle
3.86
Dafabet
3.80
Bet365
3.80
10Bet
3.80
Humenné win✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied 21.0% · @ 4.32
Edge
+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.60
1xBet
4.58
Marathonbet
4.50
Dafabet
4.50
BetVictor
4.40

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ŠamorínŠamorín

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W02L21W11D11D11D32W31W20WH·BAN28/03A·INT03/04H·DUK11/04A·ZLA17/04H·LIP22/04A·POV25/04H·SLO02/05A·MAL08/05H·LOK15/05H·MAL27/07
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.401.141.002.061.75
vs Stronger (4)3.002.001.001.003.672.33
vs Similar (26)1.421.311.151.001.691.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Humenné) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HumennéHumenné

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-603L20W11D11D11D20W60W20W12L12LA·LIP19/04H·ŽIL26/04A·POH02/05H·ŠAM09/05A·SLO16/05A·JES13/08A·BAN10/09H·POH23/09H·POD21/10H·TAT25/07
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.270.930.931.471.60
vs Stronger (30)1.201.270.930.931.471.60
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Šamorín) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.4%
@ 1.19-4.8%
Under 1.5
28.6%
@ 3.82+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.19
Unibet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Under
10Bet
4.00
1xBet
3.98
Marathonbet
3.98
Superbet
3.75
Unibet
3.75
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.2%
@ 1.69-10.6%
Under 2.5
55.8%
@ 2.05+10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
Pinnacle
1.71
10Bet
1.70
1xBet
1.68
Superbet
1.68
Under
Pinnacle
2.12
BetVictor
2.10
Bet365
2.08
Superbet
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
23.1%
@ 2.66-11.2%
Under 3.5
76.9%
@ 1.39+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.75
10Bet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.66
1xBet
2.66
Unibet
2.65
Under
Pinnacle
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.37
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.6%
@ 1.65-5.8%
No
50.4%
@ 2.05+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.68
William Hil
1.67
10Bet
1.67
1xBet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
No
BetVictor
2.10
Superbet
2.07
1xBet
2.07
Unibet
2.06
William Hil
2.05

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%@ 6.65+7.5%
1-0
11.2%@ 7.09+5.4%
0-0
9.9%@ 11.58+6.3%
2-1
9.0%@ 7.17+3.2%
2-0
9.0%@ 7.65+3.6%
0-1
7.5%@ 12.36+4.1%
1-2
6.3%@ 12.71+3.0%
2-2
4.5%@ 12.35+1.2%
Šamorín goals ↓
Humenné goals →
01234
09.9%7.5%4.4%1.5%0.4%
111%14%6.3%2.1%0.5%
29.0%9.0%4.5%1.5%0.4%
34.3%4.3%2.2%0.7%0.2%
41.6%1.6%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Šamorín goals (down), columns = Humenné goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Petržalka
3.00
Šamorín
2.40
Žilina II
2.00
Tatran Prešov
2.00
Považská Bystrica
1.80
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.60
Pohronie
1.40
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.40
Humenné
1.20
Inter Bratislava
1.20
Zlaté Moravce
1.00
Malženice
0.80
Slovan Bratislava II
0.80
Galanta
0.80
MFK Bytča
0.60
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.40
Šamorín is 1.20 points better than Humenné in terms of average points per game (2.40 vs 1.20).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Petržalka
2.80
Šamorín
2.20
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
2.00
Liptovský Mikuláš
2.00
Považská Bystrica
1.80
Pohronie
1.80
Inter Bratislava
1.60
Tatran Prešov
1.60
Slovan Bratislava II
1.60
Malženice
1.40
Zlaté Moravce
1.00
Žilina II
1.00
Humenné
0.80
MFK Bytča
0.60
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.60
Galanta
0.60
Šamorín is 1.40 goals better than Humenné in terms of goals scored per game (2.20 vs 0.80).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Petržalka
0.40
Žilina II
0.80
Liptovský Mikuláš
0.80
Šamorín
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
1.20
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.20
Inter Bratislava
1.20
Tatran Prešov
1.40
Humenné
1.60
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.60
Považská Bystrica
1.80
Malženice
1.80
Pohronie
1.80
Slovan Bratislava II
1.80
Galanta
1.80
MFK Bytča
3.20
Šamorín is 0.60 goals better than Humenné in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.60).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ŠamorínŠamorín

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W00D10W11D00D10W30W11D00DH·BAN28/03A·INT03/04H·DUK11/04A·ZLA17/04H·LIP22/04A·POV25/04H·SLO02/05A·MAL08/05H·LOK15/05H·MAL27/07
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.700.500.431.060.94
vs Stronger (4)1.251.000.001.001.671.00
vs Similar (26)0.730.650.540.380.920.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Humenné) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HumennéHumenné

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L20W00D00D01L00D40W10W10W00DA·LIP19/04H·ŽIL26/04A·POH02/05H·ŠAM09/05A·SLO16/05A·JES13/08A·BAN10/09H·POH23/09H·POD21/10H·TAT25/07
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.530.400.130.670.93
vs Stronger (30)0.530.530.400.130.670.93
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Šamorín) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Šamorín over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ŠamorínŠamorín

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W02L11D00D11D01L02L20W20WH·BAN28/03A·INT03/04H·DUK11/04A·ZLA17/04H·LIP22/04A·POV25/04H·SLO02/05A·MAL08/05H·LOK15/05H·MAL27/07
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.700.640.571.000.81
vs Stronger (4)1.751.001.000.002.001.33
vs Similar (26)0.690.650.620.620.770.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Humenné) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HumennéHumenné

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D11D11D10W20W20W10W02L12LA·LIP19/04H·ŽIL26/04A·POH02/05H·ŠAM09/05A·SLO16/05A·JES13/08A·BAN10/09H·POH23/09H·POD21/10H·TAT25/07
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.730.530.800.800.67
vs Stronger (30)0.670.730.530.800.800.67
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Šamorín) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Šamorín over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.576.9%1.39
Pinnacle
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.37
+11.2%✗ Miss
Over 1.571.4%1.19
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.19
Unibet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
-4.8%✓ Hit

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (33)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (13)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (13)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
1
ŠAM wins
2
Draws
3
HUM wins

Head-to-head

Šamorín vs Humenné · H/A from ŠAM
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/25AHumenné Vs ŠAM1-1
27/10/24HŠAM Vs Humenné1-2
23/03/24AHumenné Vs ŠAM1-0
03/09/23HŠAM Vs Humenné2-2
01/04/23AHumenné Vs ŠAM3-2
02/09/22HŠAM Vs Humenné3-1

ŠamorínŠamorín

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/07/26HŠAM Vs Malženice2-0
15/05/26HŠAM Vs Lokomotíva Zvolen3-1
08/05/26AMalženice Vs ŠAM2-3
02/05/26HŠAM Vs Slovan Bratislava II1-1
25/04/26APovažská Bystrica Vs ŠAM1-1
22/04/26HŠAM Vs Liptovský Mikuláš1-1
17/04/26AZlaté Moravce Vs ŠAM1-2
11/04/26HŠAM Vs Dukla Banská Bystrica0-2
03/04/26AInter Bratislava Vs ŠAM0-2
28/03/26HŠAM Vs Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom0-1

HumennéHumenné

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/07/26HHUM Vs Tatran Prešov1-2
21/10/25HHUM Vs Podbrezová1-2
23/09/25HHUM Vs Pohronie2-0
10/09/25ABaník Veľký Krtíš Vs HUM0-6
13/08/25AJesenské Vs HUM0-2
16/05/25ASlovan Bratislava II Vs HUM1-1
09/05/25HHUM Vs Šamorín1-1
02/05/25APohronie Vs HUM1-1
26/04/25HHUM Vs Žilina II2-0
19/04/25ALiptovský Mikuláš Vs HUM3-0

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Šamorín
Šamorín
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWW1.24
HomeLDDWW1.20
AwayLWWDW1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%28%40%
AVG goals2.902.283.52
Over 1.5 %84%80%88%
Over 2.5 %50%28%72%
Over 3.5 %28%12%44%
Scored1.381.081.68
Conceded1.521.201.84
BTTS64%56%72%
Clean Sheet14%20%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Humenné
Humenné
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL1.32
HomeWDWLL1.54
AwayLDDWW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%46%23%
AVG goals2.302.042.54
Over 1.5 %72%67%77%
Over 2.5 %38%25%50%
Over 3.5 %16%8%23%
Scored1.201.171.23
Conceded1.100.881.31
BTTS44%38%50%
Clean Sheet34%38%31%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PetržalkaPetržalka515
100%
3.0
142+12
3.2
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.4
-
2ŠamorínŠamorín512
80%
2.4
115+6
3.2
100%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
3Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov510
60%
2.0
87+1
3.0
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.61.4
-
4Žilina IIŽilina II510
60%
2.0
54+1
1.8
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.8
-
5Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica59
60%
1.8
99+0
3.6
100%
100%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
6Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš58
40%
1.6
104+6
2.8
80%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.8
-
7Baník Lehota p.VtáčnikomBaník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom57
20%
1.4
108+2
3.6
100%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.6
-
8PohroniePohronie57
40%
1.4
99+0
3.6
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
9Inter BratislavaInter Bratislava56
40%
1.2
86+2
2.8
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
10HumennéHumenné56
40%
1.2
48-4
2.4
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
-
11Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce55
20%
1.0
56-1
2.2
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
12Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II54
20%
0.8
89-1
3.4
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.8
-
13MalženiceMalženice54
20%
0.8
79-2
3.2
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
14GalantaGalanta54
20%
0.8
39-6
2.4
100%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.8
-
15MFK BytčaMFK Bytča53
20%
0.6
316-13
3.8
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.2
-
16Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen52
0%
0.4
36-3
1.8
40%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.2
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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