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Šamorín vs Liptovský Mikuláš Result & Analysis

Date: 28/07/2024
Time: 08:30
Final 1-1
Šamorín
Šamorín
Vs
47%
24%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Liptovský Mikuláš
Liptovský Mikuláš
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Šamorín win✗ Miss
46.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
23.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš win✗ Miss
29.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ŠamorínŠamorín

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W12L21W02L11D02L32W11D20WA·HUM23/03H·SPI30/03A·LIP07/04H·TAT14/04A·KOM20/04H·ŽIL24/04A·POH27/04H·SLO05/05A·SPA10/05H·MAL17/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.872.272.201.001.53
vs Stronger (6)1.001.331.671.330.331.33
vs Similar (22)1.862.052.452.451.271.64
vs Weaker (2)1.001.502.002.000.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Liptovský Mikuláš) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-531W11D21W12L13L12L24L21W10W50WH·SLO24/03H·SPA30/03H·ŠAM07/04H·POV13/04H·PÚC20/04H·SLA24/04H·PET28/04H·DOL03/05H·HUM10/05H·SPI17/05
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.602.201.671.331.53
vs Stronger (10)1.201.801.402.001.001.60
vs Similar (18)2.171.442.781.671.561.22
vs Weaker (2)1.002.001.000.001.004.00
Clean sheet %20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Šamorín) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.9%
Under 1.5
13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
67.2%
Under 2.5
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
45.5%
Under 3.5
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
67.8%
No
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
10.2%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
1-0
5.2%
3-2
4.4%
Šamorín goals ↓
Liptovský Mikuláš goals →
01234
04.1%3.8%3.6%1.8%0.7%
15.2%10%7.0%3.6%1.3%
25.9%9.0%6.8%3.5%1.3%
33.8%5.8%4.4%2.2%0.8%
41.9%2.8%2.2%1.1%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Šamorín goals (down), columns = Liptovský Mikuláš goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Tatran Prešov
2.42
Zlaté Moravce
2.00
Považská Bystrica
1.69
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.65
Púchov
1.50
Petržalka
1.42
Malženice
1.31
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.31
Žilina II
1.19
Šamorín
1.15
Pohronie
1.12
Slovan Bratislava II
1.08
Stará Ľubovňa
0.92
Humenné
0.88
Šamorín is 0.50 points worse than Liptovský Mikuláš in terms of average points per game (1.15 vs 1.65).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Tatran Prešov
1.96
Púchov
1.62
Považská Bystrica
1.62
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.62
Zlaté Moravce
1.58
Pohronie
1.42
Malženice
1.27
Slovan Bratislava II
1.27
Petržalka
1.23
Žilina II
1.23
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.15
Šamorín
1.12
Stará Ľubovňa
0.92
Humenné
0.77
Šamorín is 0.50 goals worse than Liptovský Mikuláš in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 1.62).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zlaté Moravce
0.69
Tatran Prešov
0.73
Petržalka
1.00
Stará Ľubovňa
1.15
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.19
Považská Bystrica
1.35
Púchov
1.38
Humenné
1.50
Žilina II
1.50
Šamorín
1.54
Malženice
1.54
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.58
Slovan Bratislava II
1.65
Pohronie
1.96
Šamorín is 0.35 goals worse than Liptovský Mikuláš in terms of goals conceded per game (1.54 vs 1.19).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ŠamorínŠamorín

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D01L10W01L11D01L10W00D10WA·HUM23/03H·SPI30/03A·LIP07/04H·TAT14/04A·KOM20/04H·ŽIL24/04A·POH27/04H·SLO05/05A·SPA10/05H·MAL17/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.931.201.000.530.87
vs Stronger (6)0.670.671.330.670.000.67
vs Similar (22)0.951.091.181.180.731.00
vs Weaker (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Liptovský Mikuláš) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D10W01L12L00D12L21W00D30WH·SLO24/03H·SPA30/03H·ŠAM07/04H·POV13/04H·PÚC20/04H·SLA24/04H·PET28/04H·DOL03/05H·HUM10/05H·SPI17/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.831.330.870.800.80
vs Stronger (10)0.801.201.201.400.401.00
vs Similar (18)1.330.671.560.671.110.67
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Šamorín) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Šamorín over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ŠamorínŠamorín

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W11D11D01L00D01L22D11D10WA·HUM23/03H·SPI30/03A·LIP07/04H·TAT14/04A·KOM20/04H·ŽIL24/04A·POH27/04H·SLO05/05A·SPA10/05H·MAL17/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.931.071.200.470.67
vs Stronger (6)0.330.670.330.670.330.67
vs Similar (22)0.910.951.271.270.550.64
vs Weaker (2)0.501.501.002.000.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Liptovský Mikuláš) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D11D11D01L12L12L00D10W20WH·SLO24/03H·SPA30/03H·ŠAM07/04H·POV13/04H·PÚC20/04H·SLA24/04H·PET28/04H·DOL03/05H·HUM10/05H·SPI17/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.770.870.800.530.73
vs Stronger (10)0.400.600.200.600.600.60
vs Similar (18)0.830.781.221.000.440.56
vs Weaker (2)1.001.501.000.001.003.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Šamorín) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Šamorín over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.586.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LZ (16)
€1m
ZM (14)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
Šamorín and Liptovský Mikuláš have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
LZ (3)
€0m
Šamorín and Liptovský Mikuláš have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŠAM (6)
€1m
LZ (3)
€0m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Šamorín and Liptovský Mikuláš have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
LZ (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Šamorín and Liptovský Mikuláš have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
ŠAM wins
0
Draws
1
LM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Šamorín vs Liptovský Mikuláš · H/A from ŠAM
DateH/AGameScore
07/04/24ALiptovský Mikuláš Vs ŠAM2-1
17/09/23HŠAM Vs Liptovský Mikuláš3-1

ŠamorínŠamorín

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/24HŠAM Vs Malženice2-0
10/05/24ASpartak Myjava Vs ŠAM1-1
05/05/24HŠAM Vs Slovan Bratislava II3-2
27/04/24APohronie Vs ŠAM2-0
24/04/24HŠAM Vs Žilina II1-1
20/04/24AKomárno Vs ŠAM2-0
14/04/24HŠAM Vs Tatran Prešov2-1
07/04/24ALiptovský Mikuláš Vs ŠAM2-1
30/03/24HŠAM Vs Spišská Nová Ves3-0
23/03/24AHumenné Vs ŠAM1-0

Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/24HLM Vs Spišská Nová Ves5-0
10/05/24HLM Vs Humenné1-0
03/05/24HLM Vs Dolný Kubín2-1
28/04/24HLM Vs Petržalka2-4
24/04/24HLM Vs Slavoj Trebišov1-2
20/04/24HLM Vs Púchov1-3
13/04/24HLM Vs Považská Bystrica1-2
07/04/24HLM Vs Šamorín2-1
30/03/24HLM Vs Spartak Myjava1-1
24/03/24HLM Vs Slovan Bratislava II3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Šamorín
Šamorín
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDW1.18
HomeWWDWW1.38
AwayLLLLD0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%38%25%
AVG goals3.323.852.75
Over 1.5 %82%88%75%
Over 2.5 %64%73%54%
Over 3.5 %46%62%29%
Scored1.501.881.08
Conceded1.821.961.67
BTTS52%62%42%
Clean Sheet22%23%21%
Corners---
Cards---
Liptovský Mikuláš
Liptovský Mikuláš
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWW1.12
HomeLLWWW1.25
AwayLLDLW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%38%27%
AVG goals3.003.462.58
Over 1.5 %84%96%73%
Over 2.5 %60%71%50%
Over 3.5 %30%33%27%
Scored1.341.711.00
Conceded1.661.751.58
BTTS58%75%42%
Clean Sheet16%8%23%
Corners10.3811.009.75
Cards3.753.623.88

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov2663
77%
2.4
5119+32
2.7
69%
58%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.00.7
-
2Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce2652
62%
2.0
4118+23
2.3
62%
35%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.60.7
-
3Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica2644
50%
1.7
4235+7
3.0
81%
58%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.3
-
4Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš2643
46%
1.7
4231+11
2.8
81%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.61.2
-
5PúchovPúchov2639
42%
1.5
4236+6
3.0
85%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.4
-
6PetržalkaPetržalka2637
38%
1.4
3226+6
2.2
65%
38%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.0
-
7MalženiceMalženice2634
38%
1.3
3340-7
2.8
81%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.5
-
8Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen2634
38%
1.3
3041-11
2.7
73%
62%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.6
-
9Žilina IIŽilina II2631
35%
1.2
3239-7
2.7
69%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.5
-
10ŠamorínŠamorín2630
35%
1.2
2940-11
2.7
81%
54%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.5
-
11PohroniePohronie2629
31%
1.1
3751-14
3.4
88%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.42.0
-
12Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II2628
31%
1.1
3343-10
2.9
85%
58%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.7
-
13Stará ĽubovňaStará Ľubovňa2624
23%
0.9
2430-6
2.1
62%
42%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
14HumennéHumenné2623
19%
0.9
2039-19
2.3
73%
42%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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