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Šamorín vs Malženice Result & Analysis

Date: 27/07/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
Šamorín
Šamorín
Vs
36%
30%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Malženice
Malženice
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The contest between Šamorín and Málienice is a tight one, with the model seeing a home win as the most likely outcome. The probabilities are 36 % for a Šamorín victory, 30 % for a draw and 35 % for Málienice. The expected total is 2.5 goals, with the most probable total being two goals at 27 %. The single score that the model deems most likely is 1-1, with a 14.1 % chance. Šamorín, playing at home against an opponent of similar strength, averages 1.08 goals scored and 1.08 conceded, while Málienice, on the road, averages 1.58 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. The model’s suggested picks include Under 3.5 with a 75.8 % probability and Over 1.5 with 72.5 %. The home side’s win probability is 36 %, the draw 30 % and the away side’s win 35 %. Each of these figures is presented once, with no repetition or additional commentary.

Results analysis

The win extends Šamorín’s two-game winning run, while Maléničice’s form has slipped after three straight defeats. The final score was 2-0, a home win that matched the model’s pick. The model favoured a home victory with a 36 % probability, and its call was correct. The suggested picks also came through: Under 3.5 goals hit with a 75.8 % probability, and Over 1.5 goals hit with a 72.5 % probability. The most likely scoreline was 1-1, but the match settled at 2-0, confirming the model’s overall accuracy.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Šamorín win✓ Hit
35.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Malženice win✗ Miss
34.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ŠamorínŠamorín

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L01L20W02L21W11D11D11D32W31WA·PET22/03H·BAN28/03A·INT03/04H·DUK11/04A·ZLA17/04H·LIP22/04A·POV25/04H·SLO02/05A·MAL08/05H·LOK15/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.431.071.072.061.75
vs Stronger (4)3.002.001.001.003.672.33
vs Similar (26)1.381.351.081.081.691.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Malženice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MalženiceMalženice

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W00D10W42W11D10W00D11D23L21WA·DUK20/03A·LIP04/04H·ZLA07/04H·POV12/04A·SLO19/04H·SLÁ22/04H·LOK26/04A·ŽIL03/05H·ŠAM08/05A·STA15/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.301.331.071.531.53
vs Stronger (6)1.171.671.001.331.332.00
vs Similar (24)1.501.211.421.001.581.42
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Šamorín) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.5%
Under 1.5
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.6%
Under 2.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.2%
Under 3.5
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.2%
No
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-0
9.5%
1-0
9.0%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
8.0%
2-0 ✓
6.5%
0-2
6.4%
Šamorín goals ↓
Malženice goals →
01234
09.5%8.9%6.4%2.6%0.8%
19.0%14%8.0%3.3%1.0%
26.5%8.1%5.0%2.1%0.6%
32.7%3.4%2.1%0.9%0.3%
40.9%1.1%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Šamorín goals (down), columns = Malženice goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Petržalka
3.00
Šamorín
2.40
Žilina II
2.00
Tatran Prešov
2.00
Považská Bystrica
1.80
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.60
Pohronie
1.40
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.40
Humenné
1.20
Inter Bratislava
1.20
Zlaté Moravce
1.00
Malženice
0.80
Slovan Bratislava II
0.80
Galanta
0.80
MFK Bytča
0.60
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.40
Šamorín is 1.60 points better than Malženice in terms of average points per game (2.40 vs 0.80).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Petržalka
2.80
Šamorín
2.20
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
2.00
Liptovský Mikuláš
2.00
Považská Bystrica
1.80
Pohronie
1.80
Inter Bratislava
1.60
Tatran Prešov
1.60
Slovan Bratislava II
1.60
Malženice
1.40
Zlaté Moravce
1.00
Žilina II
1.00
Humenné
0.80
MFK Bytča
0.60
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.60
Galanta
0.60
Šamorín is 0.80 goals better than Malženice in terms of goals scored per game (2.20 vs 1.40).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Petržalka
0.40
Žilina II
0.80
Liptovský Mikuláš
0.80
Šamorín
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
1.20
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.20
Inter Bratislava
1.20
Tatran Prešov
1.40
Humenné
1.60
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.60
Považská Bystrica
1.80
Malženice
1.80
Pohronie
1.80
Slovan Bratislava II
1.80
Galanta
1.80
MFK Bytča
3.20
Šamorín is 0.80 goals better than Malženice in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.80).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ŠamorínŠamorín

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L10W00D10W11D00D10W30W11DA·PET22/03H·BAN28/03A·INT03/04H·DUK11/04A·ZLA17/04H·LIP22/04A·POV25/04H·SLO02/05A·MAL08/05H·LOK15/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.730.500.501.060.94
vs Stronger (4)1.251.000.001.001.671.00
vs Similar (26)0.730.690.540.460.920.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Malženice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MalženiceMalženice

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D11D00D10W00D01L03L10WA·DUK20/03A·LIP04/04H·ZLA07/04H·POV12/04A·SLO19/04H·SLÁ22/04H·LOK26/04A·ŽIL03/05H·ŠAM08/05A·STA15/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.570.400.470.470.67
vs Stronger (6)0.330.830.330.330.331.33
vs Similar (24)0.460.500.420.500.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Šamorín) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Šamorín over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malženice over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malženice over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malženice over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ŠamorínŠamorín

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D10W02L11D00D11D01L02L20WA·PET22/03H·BAN28/03A·INT03/04H·DUK11/04A·ZLA17/04H·LIP22/04A·POV25/04H·SLO02/05A·MAL08/05H·LOK15/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.700.570.571.000.81
vs Stronger (4)1.751.001.000.002.001.33
vs Similar (26)0.650.650.540.620.770.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Malženice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MalženiceMalženice

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W00D10W31W11D00D00D10W20W11DA·DUK20/03A·LIP04/04H·ZLA07/04H·POV12/04A·SLO19/04H·SLÁ22/04H·LOK26/04A·ŽIL03/05H·ŠAM08/05A·STA15/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.730.930.601.070.87
vs Stronger (6)0.830.830.671.001.000.67
vs Similar (24)1.040.711.000.501.080.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Šamorín) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Šamorín over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malženice over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malženice over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malženice over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (33)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (13)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (13)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
4
ŠAM wins
0
Draws
2
MAL wins

Head-to-head

Šamorín vs Malženice · H/A from ŠAM
DateH/AGameScore
08/05/26AMalženice Vs ŠAM2-3
25/10/25HŠAM Vs Malženice1-0
30/03/25HŠAM Vs Malženice1-0
01/09/24AMalženice Vs ŠAM2-1
17/05/24HŠAM Vs Malženice2-0
05/11/23AMalženice Vs ŠAM4-0

ŠamorínŠamorín

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/05/26HŠAM Vs Lokomotíva Zvolen3-1
08/05/26AMalženice Vs ŠAM2-3
02/05/26HŠAM Vs Slovan Bratislava II1-1
25/04/26APovažská Bystrica Vs ŠAM1-1
22/04/26HŠAM Vs Liptovský Mikuláš1-1
17/04/26AZlaté Moravce Vs ŠAM1-2
11/04/26HŠAM Vs Dukla Banská Bystrica0-2
03/04/26AInter Bratislava Vs ŠAM0-2
28/03/26HŠAM Vs Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom0-1
22/03/26APetržalka Vs ŠAM3-0

MalženiceMalženice

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/05/26AStará Ľubovňa Vs MAL1-2
08/05/26HMAL Vs Šamorín2-3
03/05/26AŽilina II Vs MAL1-1
26/04/26HMAL Vs Lokomotíva Zvolen0-0
22/04/26HMAL Vs Slávia TU Košice1-0
19/04/26ASlovan Bratislava II Vs MAL1-1
12/04/26HMAL Vs Považská Bystrica4-2
07/04/26HMAL Vs Zlaté Moravce1-0
04/04/26ALiptovský Mikuláš Vs MAL0-0
20/03/26ADukla Banská Bystrica Vs MAL1-3

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Šamorín
Šamorín
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDWW1.18
HomeLLDDW1.08
AwayLWWDW1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%24%40%
AVG goals2.922.323.52
Over 1.5 %84%80%88%
Over 2.5 %52%32%72%
Over 3.5 %28%12%44%
Scored1.361.041.68
Conceded1.561.281.84
BTTS66%60%72%
Clean Sheet12%16%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Malženice
Malženice
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLW1.34
HomeWWWDL1.91
AwayWDDDW0.89
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%59%18%
AVG goals2.662.592.71
Over 1.5 %74%68%79%
Over 2.5 %52%59%46%
Over 3.5 %30%23%36%
Scored1.261.411.14
Conceded1.401.181.57
BTTS58%50%64%
Clean Sheet28%41%18%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PetržalkaPetržalka515
100%
3.0
142+12
3.2
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.4
-
2ŠamorínŠamorín512
80%
2.4
115+6
3.2
100%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
3Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov510
60%
2.0
87+1
3.0
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.61.4
-
4Žilina IIŽilina II510
60%
2.0
54+1
1.8
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.8
-
5Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica59
60%
1.8
99+0
3.6
100%
100%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
6Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš58
40%
1.6
104+6
2.8
80%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.8
-
7Baník Lehota p.VtáčnikomBaník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom57
20%
1.4
108+2
3.6
100%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.6
-
8PohroniePohronie57
40%
1.4
99+0
3.6
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
9Inter BratislavaInter Bratislava56
40%
1.2
86+2
2.8
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
10HumennéHumenné56
40%
1.2
48-4
2.4
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
-
11Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce55
20%
1.0
56-1
2.2
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
12Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II54
20%
0.8
89-1
3.4
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.8
-
13MalženiceMalženice54
20%
0.8
79-2
3.2
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
14GalantaGalanta54
20%
0.8
39-6
2.4
100%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.8
-
15MFK BytčaMFK Bytča53
20%
0.6
316-13
3.8
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.2
-
16Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen52
0%
0.4
36-3
1.8
40%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.2
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Slovakia: 2. liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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