Samsunspor, coming off a win against Göztepe, will likely hold the upper hand in this match. The model predicts a home win, with a 44% probability of Samsunspor securing all three points. Göztepe, however, has a 27% chance of taking the spoils. The probability of a draw stands at 29%.
The expected total goals in this match is 2.4, with a most likely total of 2 goals. The most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 14% chance of occurrence.
Samsunspor has been scoring an average of 0.83 goals at home, while conceding 1.33 goals. Göztepe, on the other hand, has been scoring 0.5 goals away from home and conceding 0.83 goals.
The model's selection is the home win, with the most likely score being 1-1. The model also suggests taking Over 21.5 fouls (86.4%), Under 3.5 cards (77.2%, with a 5% edge), Over 3.5 cards (72.7%), and Over 1.5 goals (71.1%). Samsunspor has a 44% chance of winning, a 29% chance of drawing, and a 27% chance of losing.
Results analysis
Samsunspor’s win-streak was halted as the match finished 3-3, a draw that stunned the pre-match favourite, Home win, who had a 44 % chance. The model’s call was wrong. The game saw the model’s selections largely hit: Away under 3.5 goals (97.9 %) and Home under 3.5 goals (94.6 %) both came through, as did Over 19.5 fouls (94.3 %) and Home +2 handicap (89.6 %). Over 2.5 cards (87.3 %) also materialised. However, Away under 2.5 goals (91.3 %) and Home under 2.5 goals (83.4 %) missed, and Over 21.5 fouls (87.8 %) did not. Samsunspor, fresh from a 2-0 win, and Göztepe, after a 0-1 defeat, both struggled to maintain their recent form.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Samsunspor win✗ Miss
44.0%
Avg Implied 42.1% · @ 2.22
Edge
+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.30
Dafabet
2.26
1xBet
2.26
10Bet
2.22
SBO
2.21
Draw✓ Hit
29.4%
Avg Implied 28.7% · @ 3.25
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.43
Dafabet
3.35
Betano
3.35
10Bet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.32
Göztepe win✗ Miss
26.5%
Avg Implied 29.1% · @ 3.20
Edge
-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.36
Bet365
3.30
Betfair
3.30
Pinnacle
3.30
Unibet
3.25
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Samsunspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.30
1.53
1.07
1.40
1.53
vs Stronger (3)
2.67
1.67
3.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
vs Similar (17)
1.06
1.59
1.10
1.30
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (10)
1.80
0.70
2.00
0.33
1.71
0.86
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Göztepe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Göztepe
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.03
1.53
0.87
0.80
1.20
vs Stronger (7)
1.14
2.00
1.67
1.67
0.75
2.25
vs Similar (22)
1.23
0.77
1.64
0.73
0.82
0.82
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Samsunspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.1%
@ 1.29-1.0%
Under 1.5
28.9%
@ 3.34+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
10Bet
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.50
Pinnacle
3.49
Betfair
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
10Bet
3.35
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.9%
@ 1.96-4.4%
Under 2.5
56.1%
@ 1.83+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.03
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.99
Pinnacle
1.99
Betano
1.98
Under
1xBet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.88
Betano
1.87
Betfair
1.87
Marathonbet
1.84
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.8%
@ 3.33-5.2%
Under 3.5
77.2%
@ 1.30+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.49
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Under
Betano
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.8%
@ 1.72-3.9%
No
50.2%
@ 2.00+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
888Sport
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Betano
1.75
Unibet
1.74
10Bet
1.73
No
Betfair
2.15
1xBet
2.02
BetVictor
2.00
Betano
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%@ 5.88+6.4%
1-0
11.0%@ 7.30+4.9%
0-0
10.1%@ 9.01+5.1%
2-1
8.9%@ 8.29+3.5%
2-0
8.6%@ 10.22+4.2%
0-1
7.8%@ 9.08+2.9%
1-2
6.6%@ 10.33+2.2%
0-2
4.7%@ 15.46+1.8%
Samsunspor goals ↓
Göztepe goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
7.8%
4.7%
1.6%
0.4%
1
11%
14%
6.6%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.6%
8.9%
4.6%
1.6%
0.4%
3
4.0%
4.1%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.4%
1.4%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Samsunspor goals (down), columns = Göztepe goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Galatasaray
2.26
Fenerbahçe
2.18
Trabzonspor
2.03
Beşiktaş
1.76
Başakşehir
1.68
Göztepe
1.62
Samsunspor
1.50
Rizespor
1.21
Konyaspor
1.18
Gaziantep FK
1.09
Kocaelispor
1.09
Alanyaspor
1.09
Amed
1.05
Kasımpaşa
1.03
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.00
Eyüpspor
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
0.96
Çorum FK
0.95
Samsunspor is 0.12 points worse than Göztepe in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.62).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Fenerbahçe
2.26
Galatasaray
2.26
Trabzonspor
1.79
Beşiktaş
1.74
Başakşehir
1.71
Samsunspor
1.35
Rizespor
1.35
Gaziantep FK
1.26
Konyaspor
1.26
Göztepe
1.24
Alanyaspor
1.21
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.06
Amed
1.03
Eyüpspor
0.97
Kasımpaşa
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
0.94
Çorum FK
0.93
Kocaelispor
0.76
Samsunspor is 0.12 goals better than Göztepe in terms of goals scored per game (1.35 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Galatasaray
0.88
Göztepe
0.94
Başakşehir
1.03
Fenerbahçe
1.09
Kocaelispor
1.12
Trabzonspor
1.15
Beşiktaş
1.18
Alanyaspor
1.21
Samsunspor
1.32
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.38
Eyüpspor
1.41
Kasımpaşa
1.44
Konyaspor
1.47
Rizespor
1.53
Gaziantep FK
1.71
Amed
1.71
Erzurumspor FK
1.88
Çorum FK
1.89
Samsunspor is 0.38 goals worse than Göztepe in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 0.94).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Galatasaray
62%
Fenerbahçe
59%
Beşiktaş
56%
Trabzonspor
55%
Başakşehir
54%
Samsunspor
54%
Konyaspor
52%
Rizespor
50%
Gaziantep FK
50%
Kocaelispor
50%
Alanyaspor
48%
Eyüpspor
48%
Kasımpaşa
44%
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
43%
Göztepe
38%
Samsunspor is 16.0 percentage points better than Göztepe in terms of average possession (54% vs 38%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Samsunspor
For 4.6 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 3.0 · Total 6.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.8 · Against 13.4 · Total 28.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Göztepe
For 4.2 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 3.2 · Total 6.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 18.6 · Against 10.1 · Total 28.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Samsunspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.0
10.5
4.2
4.0
4.3
26.3
27.3
25.3
vs Stronger (6)
8.7
9.3
8.0
5.0
4.7
5.3
26.3
26.0
26.7
vs Similar (28)
9.9
8.6
11.4
4.3
3.9
4.9
25.7
27.3
23.8
vs Weaker (16)
9.9
9.7
10.1
3.6
4.0
3.3
27.4
27.8
27.1
% over line
54%
48%
61%
54%
56%
52%
80%
87%
74%
% under line
46%
52%
39%
46%
44%
48%
20%
13%
26%
This opponent (Göztepe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Göztepe
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.5
8.8
5.0
5.2
4.9
26.7
26.4
27.0
vs Stronger (13)
9.8
9.7
10.0
5.4
6.0
4.9
26.5
26.0
26.9
vs Similar (32)
8.8
9.2
8.5
4.8
5.0
4.6
27.0
27.1
26.9
vs Weaker (5)
9.2
11.0
8.0
5.8
4.0
7.0
25.8
22.5
28.0
% over line
43%
46%
40%
66%
71%
62%
90%
92%
88%
% under line
57%
54%
60%
34%
29%
38%
10%
8%
12%
This opponent (Samsunspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Fenerbahçe
11.0
Beşiktaş
10.2
Samsunspor
9.8
Başakşehir
9.7
Konyaspor
9.7
Gaziantep FK
9.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
9.5
Trabzonspor
9.4
Rizespor
9.4
Çorum FK
9.2
Göztepe
9.1
Galatasaray
9.1
Eyüpspor
9.1
Kasımpaşa
9.0
Amed
9.0
Erzurumspor FK
8.5
Kocaelispor
8.2
Alanyaspor
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Gaziantep FK
5.9
Fenerbahçe
5.8
Konyaspor
5.2
Çorum FK
5.2
Göztepe
5.1
Kasımpaşa
5.0
Beşiktaş
5.0
Alanyaspor
5.0
Amed
5.0
Eyüpspor
5.0
Başakşehir
4.9
Erzurumspor FK
4.9
Kocaelispor
4.8
Samsunspor
4.7
Trabzonspor
4.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4.6
Galatasaray
4.6
Rizespor
4.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Gaziantep FK
29.0
Kasımpaşa
27.8
Kocaelispor
27.2
Alanyaspor
27.1
Başakşehir
26.8
Göztepe
26.7
Trabzonspor
26.3
Rizespor
26.1
Eyüpspor
26.0
Samsunspor
25.7
Fenerbahçe
25.5
Beşiktaş
25.4
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
25.3
Konyaspor
25.0
Erzurumspor FK
23.9
Galatasaray
23.7
Çorum FK
22.8
Amed
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
38.5%
@ 1.93-9.7%
Under 9.5
61.5%
@ 1.80+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.95
Pinnacle
1.92
10Bet
1.91
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
10Bet
1.80
Betano
1.80
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
73.1%
Under 3.5
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
87.8%
Under 21.5
12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Samsunspor or Draw✓ Hit
73.5%
Avg Implied 70.8% · @ 1.32
Edge
+2.7%
44%
29%
27%
covers Samsunspor + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.35
10Bet
1.35
BetVictor
1.33
888Sport
1.33
Samsunspor or Göztepe✗ Miss
70.6%
Avg Implied 71.8% · @ 1.30
Edge
-1.3%
44%
29%
27%
covers Samsunspor + Göztepe
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.34
888Sport
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Draw or Göztepe✓ Hit
56.0%
Avg Implied 57.4% · @ 1.63
Edge
-1.4%
44%
29%
27%
covers Draw + Göztepe
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
SBO
1.66
Marathonbet
1.63
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Samsunspor over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.3%
@ 1.23+0.0%
Under
24.7%
@ 3.76-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.23
Under
Betfair
4.00
Pinnacle
3.94
BetVictor
3.80
888Sport
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Samsunspor over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
40.8%
@ 2.19-1.9%
Under
59.2%
@ 1.63+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.29
Bet365
2.20
Betfair
2.20
BetVictor
2.20
Unibet
2.17
Under
1xBet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.66
Pinnacle
1.65
Betano
1.65
Bet365
1.62
Samsunspor over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
16.6%
@ 4.76-2.9%
Under
83.4%
@ 1.16+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
888Sport
4.80
BetVictor
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Under
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
888Sport
1.17
1xBet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Samsunspor over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.4%
@ 10.99-3.3%
Under
94.6%
@ 1.04+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
13.00
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
10.75
1xBet
10.70
Betfair
10.00
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Göztepe over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
64.4%
@ 1.36-3.6%
Under
35.6%
@ 2.90+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
Unibet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
10Bet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.05
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
3.00
888Sport
2.88
BetVictor
2.88
Göztepe over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
27.7%
@ 2.80-5.6%
Under
72.3%
@ 1.40+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.97
1xBet
2.82
Marathonbet
2.82
Unibet
2.80
888Sport
2.80
Under
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Göztepe over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
8.7%
@ 7.12-4.4%
Under
91.3%
@ 1.07+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
888Sport
7.50
Marathonbet
7.10
1xBet
7.10
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
888Sport
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Göztepe over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 18.42-3.1%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
23.00
Bet365
21.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Samsunspor, so a minus line means Samsunspor give that many goals of a start and Göztepe receive them. At -1, Samsunspor must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Samsunspor win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Samsunspor)Actual: Göztepe
Samsunspor -2
8.2%
@ 9.72-1.1%
Draw -2
13.6%
@ 6.39-0.5%
Göztepe +2
78.3%
@ 1.17+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
10.00
Unibet
9.00
10Bet
9.00
Marathonbet
8.60
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.40
10Bet
6.25
Unibet
5.80
Away
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Unibet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Handicap -1 (Samsunspor)Actual: Göztepe
Samsunspor -1
21.7%
@ 4.24+0.7%
Draw -1
22.3%
@ 3.76-1.5%
Göztepe +1
56.0%
@ 1.62+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.05
Unibet
4.00
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.84
10Bet
3.75
Betfair
3.60
Unibet
3.60
Away
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.63
10Bet
1.62
Unibet
1.62
Betfair
1.57
Handicap +1 (Samsunspor)Actual: Samsunspor
Samsunspor +1
73.5%
@ 1.32+5.5%
Draw +1
16.2%
@ 4.67-3.0%
Göztepe -1
10.4%
@ 6.94-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.85
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Unibet
4.50
Away
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
6.75
Marathonbet
6.70
10Bet
6.25
Handicap +2 (Samsunspor)Actual: Samsunspor
Samsunspor +2
89.6%
@ 1.07+4.1%
Draw +2
7.4%
@ 9.50-2.3%
Göztepe -2
3.0%
@ 19.00-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Draw
Betfair
11.00
Bet365
10.00
10Bet
7.50
Away
Betfair
23.00
Bet365
19.00
10Bet
15.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Samsunspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.57
0.53
0.33
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.67
0.50
0.50
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.47
0.71
0.60
0.40
0.29
1.14
vs Weaker (10)
0.60
0.30
0.33
0.00
0.71
0.43
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Göztepe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Göztepe
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.43
0.87
0.33
0.40
0.53
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
0.86
0.67
0.67
0.75
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.32
1.00
0.27
0.27
0.36
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Samsunspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Samsunspor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samsunspor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samsunspor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Göztepe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Göztepe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Göztepe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Samsunspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.73
1.00
0.73
0.80
0.73
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
1.00
2.50
0.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.88
0.50
0.90
0.71
0.86
vs Weaker (10)
1.20
0.40
1.67
0.33
1.00
0.43
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Göztepe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Göztepe
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.60
0.67
0.53
0.40
0.67
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.14
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.25
vs Similar (22)
0.59
0.45
0.64
0.45
0.55
0.45
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Samsunspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Samsunspor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samsunspor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samsunspor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Göztepe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Göztepe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Göztepe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.6%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
888Sport
1.03
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
91.3%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
888Sport
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
+4.4%
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
89.6%
1.07
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
83.4%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
888Sport
1.17
1xBet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
+2.9%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
82.3%
1.26
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
-
+10.4%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
78.3%
1.17
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Unibet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
77.2%
1.30
Betano
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
888Sport
1.30
+5.2%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
75.3%
1.23
Betano
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.23
+0.0%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
73.5%
1.32
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.35
10Bet
1.35
BetVictor
1.33
888Sport
1.33
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
73.5%
1.32
10Bet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Unibet
1.30
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
73.1%
1.48
Pinnacle
1.53
Marathonbet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Unibet
1.43
+10.9%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals
72.3%
1.40
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
+5.6%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
71.1%
1.29
Betano
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
10Bet
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Betfair
1.30
-1.0%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
70.6%
1.30
1xBet
1.34
888Sport
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.33
William Hil
1.33
-1.3%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Samsunspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Celil Yüksel33%
Fatih Kaya33%
Emre Kılınç33%
Josafat Mendes33%
Logi Tomasson0%
Toni Borevković0%
Yalçın Kayan0%
Okan Kocuk0%
Samed Onur0%
Antoine Sekongo0%
Saikuba Jarju0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Logi Tomasson33%
Toni Borevković33%
Celil Yüksel0%
Fatih Kaya0%
Emre Kılınç0%
Yalçın Kayan0%
Okan Kocuk0%
Samed Onur0%
Josafat Mendes0%
Antoine Sekongo0%
Saikuba Jarju0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fatih Kaya33%
Josafat Mendes33%
Saikuba Jarju33%
Celil Yüksel0%
Logi Tomasson0%
Toni Borevković0%
Emre Kılınç0%
Yalçın Kayan0%
Okan Kocuk0%
Samed Onur0%
Antoine Sekongo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fatih Kaya33%
Emre Kılınç33%
Celil Yüksel0%
Logi Tomasson0%
Toni Borevković0%
Yalçın Kayan0%
Okan Kocuk0%
Samed Onur0%
Josafat Mendes0%
Antoine Sekongo0%
Saikuba Jarju0%
Göztepe
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Efkan Bekiroğlu33%
Juan Santos da Silva33%
Sinclair Armstrong33%
Alex Matos33%
Novatus Miroshi33%
Luka Gugeshashvili0%
Rhaldney0%
Ogün Bayrak0%
André Henrique0%
Taha Altıkardeş0%
Arda Kurtulan0%
Janderson0%
Ege Yildirim0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alex Matos67%
Juan Santos da Silva33%
Sinclair Armstrong33%
André Henrique33%
Luka Gugeshashvili0%
Efkan Bekiroğlu0%
Rhaldney0%
Ogün Bayrak0%
Taha Altıkardeş0%
Novatus Miroshi0%
Arda Kurtulan0%
Janderson0%
Ege Yildirim0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
André Henrique33%
Janderson33%
Luka Gugeshashvili0%
Efkan Bekiroğlu0%
Rhaldney0%
Ogün Bayrak0%
Juan Santos da Silva0%
Sinclair Armstrong0%
Alex Matos0%
Taha Altıkardeş0%
Novatus Miroshi0%
Arda Kurtulan0%
Ege Yildirim0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
André Henrique33%
Novatus Miroshi33%
Janderson33%
Luka Gugeshashvili0%
Efkan Bekiroğlu0%
Rhaldney0%
Ogün Bayrak0%
Juan Santos da Silva0%
Sinclair Armstrong0%
Alex Matos0%
Taha Altıkardeş0%
Arda Kurtulan0%
Ege Yildirim0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
BEŞ (34)
€202m
TRA (31)
€168m
BAŞ (32)
€77m
GÖZ (26)
€61m
SAM (30)
€50m
ÇF (28)
€47m
RIZ (24)
€44m
ALA (29)
€38m
KON (26)
€33m
KAS (31)
€31m
GF (28)
€28m
AME (22)
€27m
EF (26)
€26m
KOC (26)
€24m
GS (19)
€15m
EYÜ (24)
€14m
Samsunspor's squad is €11m less valuable than Göztepe's (€50m vs €61m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (9)
€173m
FEN (14)
€162m
BEŞ (11)
€70m
TRA (11)
€67m
BAŞ (13)
€40m
GÖZ (10)
€30m
SAM (12)
€20m
AME (7)
€15m
KAS (13)
€14m
GF (14)
€14m
KON (10)
€13m
RIZ (8)
€12m
ÇF (9)
€12m
EF (9)
€10m
ALA (11)
€9m
KOC (8)
€9m
EYÜ (10)
€5m
GS (4)
€4m
Samsunspor's attack is €10m less valuable than Göztepe's (€20m vs €30m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
BEŞ (9)
€50m
TRA (9)
€38m
GÖZ (7)
€19m
ALA (9)
€18m
ÇF (7)
€14m
SAM (6)
€12m
BAŞ (6)
€10m
KOC (8)
€9m
GF (5)
€8m
EF (4)
€7m
RIZ (4)
€7m
GS (6)
€5m
KAS (7)
€4m
KON (4)
€4m
AME (4)
€3m
EYÜ (4)
€2m
Samsunspor's midfield is €6m less valuable than Göztepe's (€12m vs €19m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
BEŞ (14)
€82m
TRA (11)
€63m
BAŞ (13)
€28m
RIZ (12)
€25m
ÇF (12)
€21m
SAM (12)
€18m
KON (12)
€16m
KAS (11)
€12m
GÖZ (9)
€12m
ALA (9)
€11m
AME (11)
€9m
EF (13)
€8m
KOC (10)
€7m
EYÜ (10)
€7m
GF (9)
€6m
GS (9)
€5m
Samsunspor's defence is €6m more valuable than Göztepe's (€18m vs €12m).
Turkey: Süper Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Galatasaray
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Beşiktaş
Fenerbahçe
Amed
Kocaelispor
Rizespor
Kasımpaşa
Başakşehir
Trabzonspor
Alanyaspor
Gaziantep FK
Eyüpspor
Çorum FK
Erzurumspor FK
Konyaspor