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Samtredia vs Merani Martvili Result & Analysis

Date: 15/06/2022
Time: 14:00
Final 3-1
Samtredia
Samtredia
Vs
35%
28%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Merani Martvili
Merani Martvili
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Samtredia win✓ Hit
35.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Merani Martvili win✗ Miss
37.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

SamtrediaSamtredia

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W10W13L00D01L12L31W21W00D22DH·DIN01/04A·SPA06/04A·MER11/04H·GAR16/04A·MER21/04H·SHE28/04H·WIT05/05H·RUS12/05A·SHU17/05H·SPA22/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.081.001.571.140.500.83
vs Stronger (13)1.081.001.571.140.500.83
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %31% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Merani Martvili) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Merani MartviliMerani Martvili

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W31W31W23L10W22D22D42W10W22DH·SHE06/04H·SAM11/04A·SHU16/04H·SPA21/04A·DIN29/04A·RUS05/05A·GAR10/05H·MER16/05A·SHE22/05H·WIT28/05
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.211.292.711.431.711.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)2.151.312.671.501.711.14
vs Weaker (1)3.001.003.001.00--
Clean sheet %29% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Samtredia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.2%
Under 1.5
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.3%
Under 2.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.0%
Under 3.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.1%
No
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.4%
0-0
7.2%
1-0
7.2%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
Samtredia goals ↓
Merani Martvili goals →
01234
07.2%7.4%6.1%2.9%1.0%
17.2%13%8.5%4.0%1.4%
25.8%8.2%5.9%2.8%1.0%
32.7%3.8%2.7%1.3%0.5%
40.9%1.3%0.9%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Samtredia goals (down), columns = Merani Martvili goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kolkheti Khobi
3.00
Shukura
2.16
Spaeri
1.74
Samtredia
1.70
Merani Martvili
1.65
Gareji
1.29
Merani Tbilisi
1.29
Dinamo Zugdidi
1.23
Shevardeni 1906
1.00
WIT Georgia
0.88
Rustavi
0.81
Aragvi Dusheti
0.50
Samtredia is 0.05 points better than Merani Martvili in terms of average points per game (1.70 vs 1.65).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Spaeri
2.03
Shukura
2.00
Merani Martvili
1.97
Samtredia
1.57
Dinamo Zugdidi
1.54
Gareji
1.35
Merani Tbilisi
1.32
Rustavi
1.16
WIT Georgia
1.09
Shevardeni 1906
1.00
Kolkheti Khobi
1.00
Aragvi Dusheti
0.00
Samtredia is 0.40 goals worse than Merani Martvili in terms of goals scored per game (1.57 vs 1.97).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kolkheti Khobi
0.00
Aragvi Dusheti
0.50
Shukura
0.90
Samtredia
1.03
Gareji
1.32
Dinamo Zugdidi
1.38
Spaeri
1.42
Merani Martvili
1.71
Merani Tbilisi
1.84
Rustavi
1.84
WIT Georgia
1.94
Shevardeni 1906
2.15
Samtredia is 0.68 goals better than Merani Martvili in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.71).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SamtrediaSamtredia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W00D00D01L21W01L00D12LH·DIN01/04A·SPA06/04A·MER11/04H·GAR16/04A·MER21/04H·SHE28/04H·WIT05/05H·RUS12/05A·SHU17/05H·SPA22/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.460.380.570.710.330.00
vs Stronger (13)0.460.380.570.710.330.00
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %69% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Merani Martvili) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Merani MartviliMerani Martvili

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L01L10W00D02L10W10W00D11DH·SHE06/04H·SAM11/04A·SHU16/04H·SPA21/04A·DIN29/04A·RUS05/05A·GAR10/05H·MER16/05A·SHE22/05H·WIT28/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.500.860.430.290.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.620.461.000.330.290.57
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Samtredia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Samtredia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samtredia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samtredia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Martvili over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Martvili over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Martvili over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SamtrediaSamtredia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W10W03L00D01L11D10W20W00D10WH·DIN01/04A·SPA06/04A·MER11/04H·GAR16/04A·MER21/04H·SHE28/04H·WIT05/05H·RUS12/05A·SHU17/05H·SPA22/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.621.000.430.170.83
vs Stronger (13)0.620.621.000.430.170.83
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %54% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Merani Martvili) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Merani MartviliMerani Martvili

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W30W30W13L10W20W12L32W10W11DH·SHE06/04H·SAM11/04A·SHU16/04H·SPA21/04A·DIN29/04A·RUS05/05A·GAR10/05H·MER16/05A·SHE22/05H·WIT28/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.640.791.861.001.430.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.540.851.671.171.430.57
vs Weaker (1)3.000.003.000.00--
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Samtredia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Samtredia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samtredia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samtredia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Martvili over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Martvili over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Merani Martvili over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (22)
€2m
SPA (20)
€2m
SAM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (4)
€0m
SPA (4)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (10)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
SAM wins
0
Draws
1
MM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Samtredia vs Merani Martvili · H/A from SAM
DateH/AGameScore
11/04/22AMerani Martvili Vs SAM3-1

SamtrediaSamtredia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/05/22HSAM Vs Spaeri2-2
17/05/22AShukura Vs SAM0-0
12/05/22HSAM Vs Rustavi2-1
05/05/22HSAM Vs WIT Georgia3-1
28/04/22HSAM Vs Shevardeni 19061-2
21/04/22AMerani Tbilisi Vs SAM1-0
16/04/22HSAM Vs Gareji0-0
11/04/22AMerani Martvili Vs SAM3-1
06/04/22ASpaeri Vs SAM0-1
01/04/22HSAM Vs Dinamo Zugdidi3-1

Merani MartviliMerani Martvili

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/05/22HMM Vs WIT Georgia2-2
22/05/22AShevardeni 1906 Vs MM0-1
16/05/22HMM Vs Merani Tbilisi4-2
10/05/22AGareji Vs MM2-2
05/05/22ARustavi Vs MM2-2
29/04/22ADinamo Zugdidi Vs MM0-1
21/04/22HMM Vs Spaeri2-3
16/04/22AShukura Vs MM1-3
11/04/22HMM Vs Samtredia3-1
06/04/22HMM Vs Shevardeni 19064-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Samtredia
Samtredia
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDD1.31
HomeDLWWD1.57
AwayDWLLD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%43%17%
AVG goals2.082.711.33
Over 1.5 %54%71%33%
Over 2.5 %46%71%17%
Over 3.5 %31%43%17%
Scored1.081.570.50
Conceded1.001.140.83
BTTS54%71%33%
Clean Sheet31%14%50%
Corners---
Cards---
Merani Martvili
Merani Martvili
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWD2.14
HomeWWLWD2.29
AwayWWDDW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%71%57%
AVG goals3.504.142.86
Over 1.5 %79%86%71%
Over 2.5 %79%86%71%
Over 3.5 %64%86%43%
Scored2.212.711.71
Conceded1.291.431.14
BTTS71%71%71%
Clean Sheet29%29%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ShukuraShukura3167
68%
2.2
6228+34
2.9
81%
68%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.9
-
2SpaeriSpaeri3154
52%
1.7
6344+19
3.5
90%
65%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.01.4
-
3SamtrediaSamtredia3051
50%
1.7
4731+16
2.6
70%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.0
-
4Merani MartviliMerani Martvili3151
48%
1.6
6153+8
3.7
84%
81%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.7
-
5GarejiGareji3140
35%
1.3
4241+1
2.7
84%
48%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
6Merani TbilisiMerani Tbilisi3140
39%
1.3
4157-16
3.2
77%
68%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.8
-
7WIT GeorgiaWIT Georgia3329
21%
0.9
3664-28
3.0
82%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
8RustaviRustavi3226
22%
0.8
3759-22
3.0
88%
66%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.8
-
9Dinamo ZugdidiDinamo Zugdidi1316
31%
1.2
2018+2
2.9
69%
54%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
10Shevardeni 1906Shevardeni 19061313
31%
1.0
1328-15
3.2
77%
77%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
11Kolkheti KhobiKolkheti Khobi26
100%
3.0
20+2
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.0
-
12Aragvi DushetiAragvi Dusheti21
0%
0.5
01-1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.5
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 stats & trends →

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