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Samtredia vs Shukura Result & Analysis

Date: 18/09/2022
Time: 12:00
Final 0-1
Samtredia
Samtredia
Vs
42%
26%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Shukura
Shukura
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Samtredia win✗ Miss
42.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Shukura win✓ Hit
31.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

SamtrediaSamtredia

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W00D22D31W02L60W11D04L30W12LH·RUS12/05A·SHU17/05H·SPA22/05H·MER15/06A·GAR21/06H·MER26/06A·SPA21/08A·GAR28/08H·WIT04/09A·RUS09/09
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.152.300.900.501.40
vs Stronger (20)1.401.152.300.900.501.40
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Shukura) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ShukuraShukura

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W12L32W31W20W30W12L10W02LH·SAM17/05H·RUS22/05A·SPA28/05A·MER21/06H·GAR26/06A·MER01/07H·GAR21/08H·MER28/08A·MER03/09H·SPA10/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.141.002.000.912.301.10
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)2.321.112.201.002.441.22
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %38% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Samtredia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.8%
Under 1.5
17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.1%
Under 2.5
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.8%
Under 3.5
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.0%
No
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.7%
2-2
6.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-0
6.3%
0-0
5.5%
0-1 ✓
5.3%
Samtredia goals ↓
Shukura goals →
01234
05.5%5.3%4.6%2.2%0.8%
16.4%12%7.7%3.7%1.3%
26.3%9.0%6.4%3.1%1.1%
33.5%5.0%3.6%1.7%0.6%
41.5%2.1%1.5%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Samtredia goals (down), columns = Shukura goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kolkheti Khobi
3.00
Shukura
2.16
Spaeri
1.74
Samtredia
1.70
Merani Martvili
1.65
Gareji
1.29
Merani Tbilisi
1.29
Dinamo Zugdidi
1.23
Shevardeni 1906
1.00
WIT Georgia
0.88
Rustavi
0.81
Aragvi Dusheti
0.50
Samtredia is 0.46 points worse than Shukura in terms of average points per game (1.70 vs 2.16).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Spaeri
2.03
Shukura
2.00
Merani Martvili
1.97
Samtredia
1.57
Dinamo Zugdidi
1.54
Gareji
1.35
Merani Tbilisi
1.32
Rustavi
1.16
WIT Georgia
1.09
Shevardeni 1906
1.00
Kolkheti Khobi
1.00
Aragvi Dusheti
0.00
Samtredia is 0.43 goals worse than Shukura in terms of goals scored per game (1.57 vs 2.00).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kolkheti Khobi
0.00
Aragvi Dusheti
0.50
Shukura
0.90
Samtredia
1.03
Gareji
1.32
Dinamo Zugdidi
1.38
Spaeri
1.42
Merani Martvili
1.71
Merani Tbilisi
1.84
Rustavi
1.84
WIT Georgia
1.94
Shevardeni 1906
2.15
Samtredia is 0.13 goals worse than Shukura in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 0.90).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SamtrediaSamtredia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D12L10W00D40W00D00D20W10WH·RUS12/05A·SHU17/05H·SPA22/05H·MER15/06A·GAR21/06H·MER26/06A·SPA21/08A·GAR28/08H·WIT04/09A·RUS09/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.251.100.500.300.00
vs Stronger (20)0.700.251.100.500.300.00
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %80% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (Shukura) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ShukuraShukura

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W02L21W10W00D20W02L10W00DH·SAM17/05H·RUS22/05A·SPA28/05A·MER21/06H·GAR26/06A·MER01/07H·GAR21/08H·MER28/08A·MER03/09H·SPA10/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.190.481.000.361.400.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.320.531.100.401.560.67
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %62% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Samtredia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Samtredia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samtredia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samtredia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shukura over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shukura over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shukura over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SamtrediaSamtredia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D10W21W02L20W11D04L10W02LH·RUS12/05A·SHU17/05H·SPA22/05H·MER15/06A·GAR21/06H·MER26/06A·SPA21/08A·GAR28/08H·WIT04/09A·RUS09/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.901.200.400.201.40
vs Stronger (20)0.700.901.200.400.201.40
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %45% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Shukura) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ShukuraShukura

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W10W11D21W20W10W10W00D02LH·SAM17/05H·RUS22/05A·SPA28/05A·MER21/06H·GAR26/06A·MER01/07H·GAR21/08H·MER28/08A·MER03/09H·SPA10/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.950.521.000.550.900.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.000.581.100.600.890.56
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Samtredia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Samtredia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samtredia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samtredia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shukura over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shukura over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shukura over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.8%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (22)
€2m
SPA (20)
€2m
SAM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (4)
€0m
SPA (4)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (10)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
SAM wins
1
Draws
1
SHU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Samtredia vs Shukura · H/A from SAM
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/22AShukura Vs SAM0-0
14/03/22HSAM Vs Shukura0-1

SamtrediaSamtredia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/09/22ARustavi Vs SAM2-1
04/09/22HSAM Vs WIT Georgia3-0
28/08/22AGareji Vs SAM4-0
21/08/22ASpaeri Vs SAM1-1
26/06/22HSAM Vs Merani Tbilisi6-0
21/06/22AGareji Vs SAM2-0
15/06/22HSAM Vs Merani Martvili3-1
22/05/22HSAM Vs Spaeri2-2
17/05/22AShukura Vs SAM0-0
12/05/22HSAM Vs Rustavi2-1

ShukuraShukura

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/09/22HSHU Vs Spaeri0-2
03/09/22AMerani Tbilisi Vs SHU0-1
28/08/22HSHU Vs Merani Martvili1-2
21/08/22HSHU Vs Gareji3-0
01/07/22AMerani Tbilisi Vs SHU0-2
26/06/22HSHU Vs Gareji3-1
21/06/22AMerani Martvili Vs SHU2-3
28/05/22ASpaeri Vs SHU2-1
22/05/22HSHU Vs Rustavi3-0
17/05/22HSHU Vs Samtredia0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Samtredia
Samtredia
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWL1.35
HomeWDWWW2.00
AwayDLDLL0.70
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %35%60%10%
AVG goals2.553.201.90
Over 1.5 %70%80%60%
Over 2.5 %55%80%30%
Over 3.5 %35%50%20%
Scored1.402.300.50
Conceded1.150.901.40
BTTS50%60%40%
Clean Sheet30%30%30%
Corners---
Cards---
Shukura
Shukura
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWL2.14
HomeWWWLL2.00
AwayWLWWW2.30
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %67%64%70%
AVG goals3.142.913.40
Over 1.5 %86%91%80%
Over 2.5 %71%82%60%
Over 3.5 %38%27%50%
Scored2.142.002.30
Conceded1.000.911.10
BTTS57%45%70%
Clean Sheet38%45%30%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ShukuraShukura3167
68%
2.2
6228+34
2.9
81%
68%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.9
-
2SpaeriSpaeri3154
52%
1.7
6344+19
3.5
90%
65%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.01.4
-
3SamtrediaSamtredia3051
50%
1.7
4731+16
2.6
70%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.0
-
4Merani MartviliMerani Martvili3151
48%
1.6
6153+8
3.7
84%
81%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.7
-
5GarejiGareji3140
35%
1.3
4241+1
2.7
84%
48%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
6Merani TbilisiMerani Tbilisi3140
39%
1.3
4157-16
3.2
77%
68%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.8
-
7WIT GeorgiaWIT Georgia3329
21%
0.9
3664-28
3.0
82%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
8RustaviRustavi3226
22%
0.8
3759-22
3.0
88%
66%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.8
-
9Dinamo ZugdidiDinamo Zugdidi1316
31%
1.2
2018+2
2.9
69%
54%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
10Shevardeni 1906Shevardeni 19061313
31%
1.0
1328-15
3.2
77%
77%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
11Kolkheti KhobiKolkheti Khobi26
100%
3.0
20+2
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.0
-
12Aragvi DushetiAragvi Dusheti21
0%
0.5
01-1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.5
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 stats & trends →

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