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San Giovanni vs Cailungo Result & Analysis

Date: 11/02/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
San Giovanni
San Giovanni
Vs
38%
28%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Cailungo
Cailungo
San-Marino: Campionato
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

San Giovanni win✗ Miss
38.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Cailungo win✗ Miss
33.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

San GiovanniSan Giovanni

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L21W13L11D22D02L01L11D04L13LH·FAE04/11A·JUV12/11A·TRE04/12H·DOM10/12A·LA 18/12H·VIR07/01A·LIB14/01H·PEN22/01A·COS28/01A·MUR05/02
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.002.000.862.001.102.00
vs Stronger (6)0.502.500.002.500.752.50
vs Similar (10)1.101.901.201.801.002.00
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %6% (-23pp vs league)
This opponent (Cailungo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CailungoCailungo

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L14L41W03L00D22D20W03L03L01LH·VIR13/11A·FOL26/11H·MUR03/12A·FAE10/12H·COS18/12H·FIO07/01A·JUV14/01A·TRE28/01H·TRE03/02H·LA 08/02
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.881.820.901.600.862.14
vs Stronger (14)0.641.860.381.751.002.00
vs Similar (3)2.001.673.001.000.003.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %18% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (San Giovanni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.5%
Under 1.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.2%
Under 2.5
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.0%
Under 3.5
70.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.2%
No
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.2%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
7.8%
0-0
7.5%
0-1
7.2%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
5.7%
San Giovanni goals ↓
Cailungo goals →
01234
07.5%7.2%5.6%2.5%0.8%
17.8%13%8.0%3.6%1.2%
26.4%8.6%5.7%2.6%0.9%
33.1%4.1%2.7%1.2%0.4%
41.1%1.5%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = San Giovanni goals (down), columns = Cailungo goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cosmos
2.48
Tre Penne
2.43
La Fiorita
2.12
Virtus
1.91
Tre Fiori
1.90
Libertas
1.55
Folgore
1.10
Murata
1.03
Juvenes / Dogana
1.03
Faetano
0.90
Domagnano
0.90
Pennarossa
0.89
San Giovanni
0.82
Fiorentino
0.82
Cailungo
0.64
San Giovanni is 0.18 points better than Cailungo in terms of average points per game (0.82 vs 0.64).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cosmos
2.30
Tre Penne
2.14
Virtus
1.76
Libertas
1.61
Tre Fiori
1.57
La Fiorita
1.48
Murata
1.41
Pennarossa
1.39
Juvenes / Dogana
1.39
Fiorentino
1.32
Domagnano
1.31
Faetano
1.19
Folgore
1.13
Cailungo
1.04
San Giovanni
1.00
San Giovanni is 0.04 goals worse than Cailungo in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.04).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cosmos
0.45
La Fiorita
0.61
Tre Penne
0.68
Tre Fiori
0.80
Virtus
0.91
Libertas
1.21
Folgore
1.70
Juvenes / Dogana
1.71
Domagnano
1.76
San Giovanni
1.93
Murata
2.00
Pennarossa
2.04
Fiorentino
2.07
Faetano
2.26
Cailungo
2.46
San Giovanni is 0.54 goals better than Cailungo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.93 vs 2.46).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

San GiovanniSan Giovanni

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

CailungoCailungo

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

San GiovanniSan Giovanni

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (17)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (6)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (10)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Cailungo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CailungoCailungo

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (17)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (14)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (3)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (San Giovanni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tre Penne
11.0
Tre Fiori
9.0
La Fiorita
7.5

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Tre Fiori
7.2
Tre Penne
5.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

San GiovanniSan Giovanni

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W01L00D21W01L01L01L02L01LH·FAE04/11A·JUV12/11A·TRE04/12H·DOM10/12A·LA 18/12H·VIR07/01A·LIB14/01H·PEN22/01A·COS28/01A·MUR05/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.410.880.291.000.500.80
vs Stronger (6)0.331.330.002.000.501.00
vs Similar (10)0.300.700.400.600.200.80
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %35% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Cailungo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CailungoCailungo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L12L10W01L00D11D20W02L02L00DH·VIR13/11A·FOL26/11H·MUR03/12A·FAE10/12H·COS18/12H·FIO07/01A·JUV14/01A·TRE28/01H·TRE03/02H·LA 08/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.350.940.201.000.570.86
vs Stronger (14)0.361.000.121.120.670.83
vs Similar (3)0.330.670.500.500.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %41% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (San Giovanni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
San Giovanni over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
San Giovanni over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
San Giovanni over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cailungo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cailungo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cailungo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

San GiovanniSan Giovanni

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D12L11D01L01L00D10W02L12LH·FAE04/11A·JUV12/11A·TRE04/12H·DOM10/12A·LA 18/12H·VIR07/01A·LIB14/01H·PEN22/01A·COS28/01A·MUR05/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.591.120.571.000.601.20
vs Stronger (6)0.171.170.000.500.251.50
vs Similar (10)0.801.200.801.200.801.20
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %29% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Cailungo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CailungoCailungo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W02L31W02L00D11D00D01L01L01LH·VIR13/11A·FOL26/11H·MUR03/12A·FAE10/12H·COS18/12H·FIO07/01A·JUV14/01A·TRE28/01H·TRE03/02H·LA 08/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.880.700.600.291.29
vs Stronger (14)0.290.860.250.620.331.17
vs Similar (3)1.671.002.500.500.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %29% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (San Giovanni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
San Giovanni over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
San Giovanni over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
San Giovanni over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cailungo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cailungo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cailungo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (20)
€1m
LF (19)
€1m
FOL (19)
€1m
VIR (15)
€1m
DOM (19)
€1m
TP (14)
€1m
J/D (20)
€1m
COS (12)
€0m
CAI (18)
€0m
PEN (11)
€0m
SG (11)
€0m
FIO (9)
€0m
LIB (9)
€0m
FAE (10)
€0m
MUR (7)
€0m
San Giovanni and Cailungo have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (5)
€1m
LF (5)
€0m
FOL (5)
€0m
VIR (5)
€0m
J/D (7)
€0m
DOM (6)
€0m
PEN (4)
€0m
SG (3)
€0m
TP (5)
€0m
CAI (5)
€0m
COS (2)
€0m
FIO (2)
€0m
FAE (2)
€0m
MUR (1)
€0m
LIB (0)
€0m
San Giovanni and Cailungo have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LF (7)
€0m
TP (6)
€0m
TF (6)
€0m
VIR (4)
€0m
FOL (5)
€0m
DOM (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
SG (4)
€0m
J/D (5)
€0m
FIO (3)
€0m
LIB (4)
€0m
COS (4)
€0m
CAI (4)
€0m
MUR (6)
€0m
FAE (2)
€0m
San Giovanni and Cailungo have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (9)
€1m
FOL (9)
€0m
LF (7)
€0m
DOM (8)
€0m
J/D (8)
€0m
VIR (6)
€0m
COS (6)
€0m
CAI (9)
€0m
FAE (6)
€0m
LIB (5)
€0m
FIO (4)
€0m
TP (3)
€0m
PEN (4)
€0m
SG (4)
€0m
MUR (0)
€0m
San Giovanni and Cailungo have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
SG wins
0
Draws
0
CAI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

San Giovanni vs Cailungo · H/A from SG
DateH/AGameScore
02/10/22ACailungo Vs SG0-3

San GiovanniSan Giovanni

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/02/23AMurata Vs SG3-1
28/01/23ACosmos Vs SG4-0
22/01/23HSG Vs Pennarossa1-1
14/01/23ALibertas Vs SG1-0
07/01/23HSG Vs Virtus0-2
18/12/22ALa Fiorita Vs SG2-2
10/12/22HSG Vs Domagnano1-1
04/12/22ATre Penne Vs SG3-1
12/11/22AJuvenes / Dogana Vs SG1-2
04/11/22HSG Vs Faetano0-2

CailungoCailungo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/02/23HCAI Vs La Fiorita0-1
03/02/23HCAI Vs Tre Fiori0-3
28/01/23ATre Penne Vs CAI3-0
14/01/23AJuvenes / Dogana Vs CAI0-2
07/01/23HCAI Vs Fiorentino2-2
18/12/22HCAI Vs Cosmos0-0
10/12/22AFaetano Vs CAI3-0
03/12/22HCAI Vs Murata4-1
26/11/22AFolgore Vs CAI4-1
13/11/22HCAI Vs Virtus1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

San Giovanni
San Giovanni
San-Marino: Campionato
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL0.88
HomeWLDLD0.71
AwayLDLLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%14%30%
AVG goals3.002.863.10
Over 1.5 %88%100%80%
Over 2.5 %59%29%80%
Over 3.5 %35%14%50%
Scored1.000.861.10
Conceded2.002.002.00
BTTS47%43%50%
Clean Sheet6%0%10%
Corners---
Cards---
Cailungo
Cailungo
San-Marino: Campionato
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLL0.82
HomeWDDLL0.90
AwayDLLWL0.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%20%14%
AVG goals2.712.503.00
Over 1.5 %82%70%100%
Over 2.5 %59%60%57%
Over 3.5 %29%30%29%
Scored0.880.900.86
Conceded1.821.602.14
BTTS41%40%43%
Clean Sheet18%20%14%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CosmosCosmos3382
76%
2.5
7615+61
2.8
79%
48%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.30.5
-
2La FioritaLa Fiorita3370
64%
2.1
4920+29
2.1
67%
30%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.50.6
-
3Tre PenneTre Penne2868
75%
2.4
6019+41
2.8
82%
54%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.10.7
-
4VirtusVirtus3363
52%
1.9
5830+28
2.7
82%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.80.9
-
5Tre FioriTre Fiori3057
57%
1.9
4724+23
2.4
77%
47%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.60.8
-
6LibertasLibertas3351
39%
1.5
5340+13
2.8
76%
55%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
7FolgoreFolgore3033
30%
1.1
3451-17
2.8
87%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.7
-
8Juvenes / DoganaJuvenes / Dogana3132
29%
1.0
4353-10
3.1
81%
61%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.7
-
9MurataMurata2930
31%
1.0
4158-17
3.4
83%
62%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.0
-
10FaetanoFaetano3128
26%
0.9
3770-33
3.5
90%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.3
-
11DomagnanoDomagnano2926
21%
0.9
3851-13
3.1
86%
62%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.8
-
12PennarossaPennarossa2825
25%
0.9
3957-18
3.4
86%
64%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.0
-
13FiorentinoFiorentino2823
18%
0.8
3758-21
3.4
82%
61%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.1
-
14San GiovanniSan Giovanni2823
21%
0.8
2854-26
2.9
86%
54%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.9
-
15CailungoCailungo2818
14%
0.6
2969-40
3.5
89%
71%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.5
-
San-Marino: Campionato 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full San-Marino: Campionato stats & trends →

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