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Sandnes ULF vs Kongsvinger Result & Analysis

Date: 26/07/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 1-6
Sandnes ULF
Sandnes ULF
Vs
32%
25%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Sandnes ULF a 32% win probability against Kongsvinger in the Norway: 1. Division on 2026-07-26, with 25% for the draw and 43% for Kongsvinger. The model estimates around 3.2 total goals, with 3 the most likely total (22%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (11.3%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (84%).

Results analysis

Sandnes ULF finished 1-6 against Kongsvinger (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 32% home win, 25% draw and 43% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (84%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sandnes ULF win✗ Miss
31.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger win✓ Hit
42.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L10W16L04L11D01L04L26L13L11DA·AAL16/09H·SOG21/09A·MOS25/09H·STA28/09A·RAU02/10H·LYN21/10A·LEV26/10H·RAN02/11A·EGE09/11A·BRY04/07
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.802.571.072.290.562.81
vs Stronger (20)0.602.700.672.330.553.00
vs Similar (10)1.202.301.802.200.602.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-532W21W22D30W42W30W10W02L00D45LA·STA13/09H·EGE21/09A·SOG28/09H·SKE04/10A·MOS18/10H·HOD22/10A·LYN25/10H·LIL01/11A·ASA08/11H·AAL30/11
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.131.532.471.601.801.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.691.851.861.861.501.83
vs Weaker (17)2.471.293.001.382.001.22
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandnes ULF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.3%
Under 1.5
15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.7%
Under 2.5
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.5%
Under 3.5
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.9%
No
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
6.0%
0-1
5.9%
1-3
5.2%
0-0
5.0%
Sandnes ULF goals ↓
Kongsvinger goals →
01234
05.0%5.9%6.0%3.5%1.5%
14.8%11%8.9%5.2%2.3%
24.4%7.6%6.6%3.9%1.7%
32.2%3.8%3.3%1.9%0.8%
40.8%1.4%1.2%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sandnes ULF goals (down), columns = Kongsvinger goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kongsvinger
1.74
Egersund
1.72
Lyn
1.57
Ranheim
1.55
Haugesund
1.54
Stromsgodset
1.48
Sogndal
1.43
Bryne
1.42
Sandnes ULF
1.23
Strommen
1.11
hodd
1.10
ODD Ballklubb
1.10
Asane
1.03
Stabaek
1.03
Raufoss
1.00
Moss
0.97
Sandnes ULF is 0.51 points worse than Kongsvinger in terms of average points per game (1.23 vs 1.74).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kongsvinger
2.10
Haugesund
1.79
Egersund
1.72
Stromsgodset
1.72
Bryne
1.65
Sogndal
1.63
Ranheim
1.61
Lyn
1.60
Stabaek
1.50
Sandnes ULF
1.43
Raufoss
1.43
Moss
1.38
Strommen
1.29
Asane
1.27
ODD Ballklubb
1.23
hodd
1.13
Sandnes ULF is 0.66 goals worse than Kongsvinger in terms of goals scored per game (1.43 vs 2.10).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lyn
1.23
Egersund
1.34
Haugesund
1.40
Stromsgodset
1.46
Bryne
1.51
Kongsvinger
1.52
Sogndal
1.60
Ranheim
1.65
ODD Ballklubb
1.67
hodd
1.73
Sandnes ULF
1.74
Asane
1.77
Stabaek
1.77
Raufoss
1.87
Strommen
1.93
Moss
2.12
Sandnes ULF is 0.23 goals worse than Kongsvinger in terms of goals conceded per game (1.74 vs 1.52).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (27)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
HAU (25)
€9m
STR (23)
€7m
BRY (23)
€6m
KON (26)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (21)
€4m
MOS (24)
€4m
LYN (25)
€4m
RAN (23)
€4m
HOD (21)
€3m
ASA (24)
€3m
SU (22)
€3m
RAU (21)
€2m
STR (24)
€2m
Sandnes ULF's squad is €3m less valuable than Kongsvinger's (€3m vs €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ASA (0)
€0m
BRY (0)
€0m
EGE (0)
€0m
HAU (0)
€0m
HOD (0)
€0m
KON (0)
€0m
LYN (0)
€0m
MOS (0)
€0m
OB (0)
€0m
RAN (0)
€0m
RAU (0)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
SOG (0)
€0m
STA (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ASA (0)
€0m
BRY (0)
€0m
EGE (0)
€0m
HAU (0)
€0m
HOD (0)
€0m
KON (0)
€0m
LYN (0)
€0m
MOS (0)
€0m
OB (0)
€0m
RAN (0)
€0m
RAU (0)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
SOG (0)
€0m
STA (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ASA (0)
€0m
BRY (0)
€0m
EGE (0)
€0m
HAU (0)
€0m
HOD (0)
€0m
KON (0)
€0m
LYN (0)
€0m
MOS (0)
€0m
OB (0)
€0m
RAN (0)
€0m
RAU (0)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
SOG (0)
€0m
STA (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Sandnes ULF vs Kongsvinger · H/A from SU
DateH/AGameScore
27/08/24AKongsvinger Vs SU1-0
27/05/24HSU Vs Kongsvinger0-2
29/10/23AKongsvinger Vs SU4-0
03/05/23HSU Vs Kongsvinger1-2
03/11/22HSU Vs Kongsvinger0-1
17/10/22AKongsvinger Vs SU3-1
19/04/22HSU Vs Kongsvinger4-1

Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/07/26ABryne Vs SU1-1
09/11/24AEgersund Vs SU3-1
02/11/24HSU Vs Ranheim2-6
26/10/24ALevanger Vs SU4-0
21/10/24HSU Vs Lyn0-1
02/10/24ARaufoss Vs SU1-1
28/09/24HSU Vs Start0-4
25/09/24AMoss Vs SU6-1
21/09/24HSU Vs Sogndal1-0
16/09/24AAalesund Vs SU2-0

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/25HKON Vs Aalesund4-5
08/11/25AAsane Vs KON0-0
01/11/25HKON Vs Lillestrom0-2
25/10/25ALyn Vs KON0-1
22/10/25HKON Vs hodd3-0
18/10/25AMoss Vs KON2-4
04/10/25HKON Vs Skeid3-0
28/09/25ASogndal Vs KON2-2
21/09/25HKON Vs Egersund2-1
13/09/25AStart Vs KON2-3

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Sandnes ULF
Sandnes ULF
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD0.84
HomeLWLLL1.00
AwayLDLLD0.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%29%15%
AVG goals3.323.503.15
Over 1.5 %84%83%85%
Over 2.5 %56%62%50%
Over 3.5 %42%46%38%
Scored1.061.380.77
Conceded2.262.122.38
BTTS48%54%42%
Clean Sheet18%21%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDL1.58
HomeWWWLL1.54
AwayWDWWD1.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%42%42%
AVG goals3.363.623.12
Over 1.5 %86%88%85%
Over 2.5 %68%71%65%
Over 3.5 %42%42%42%
Scored1.841.961.73
Conceded1.521.671.38
BTTS70%62%77%
Clean Sheet20%25%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StabaekStabaek412
100%
3.0
163+13
4.8
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
0004.00.8
-
2hoddhodd512
80%
2.4
1416-2
6.0
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0002.83.2
-
3EgersundEgersund510
60%
2.0
107+3
3.4
100%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0002.01.4
-
4BryneBryne510
60%
2.0
75+2
2.4
100%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
0001.41.0
-
5HaugesundHaugesund59
60%
1.8
1711+6
5.6
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
0003.42.2
-
6KongsvingerKongsvinger49
75%
2.2
127+5
4.8
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
0003.01.8
-
7LynLyn47
50%
1.8
128+4
5.0
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0003.02.0
-
8StromsgodsetStromsgodset57
40%
1.4
98+1
3.4
100%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
0001.81.6
-
9SogndalSogndal46
50%
1.5
77+0
3.5
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.81.8
-
10ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb55
20%
1.0
912-3
4.2
80%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
0001.82.4
-
11StrommenStrommen44
25%
1.0
79-2
4.0
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.82.2
-
12AsaneAsane44
25%
1.0
710-3
4.2
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.82.5
-
13RanheimRanheim43
25%
0.8
1011-1
5.2
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0002.52.8
-
14RaufossRaufoss43
25%
0.8
512-7
4.2
100%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.23.0
-
15MossMoss51
0%
0.2
612-6
3.6
100%
100%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.22.4
-
16Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF51
0%
0.2
515-10
4.0
100%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.03.0
-
Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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