This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Benfica
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
3.17
0.70
3.69
0.69
2.57
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
2.00
1.67
0.00
2.00
3.00
1.50
vs Weaker (27)
3.30
0.59
3.93
0.60
2.50
0.58
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Santa Clara) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.3%
Under 1.5
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.6%
@ 1.84-2.1%
Under 2.5
50.4%
@ 1.97+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.7%
Under 3.5
72.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
42.2%
No
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
14.2%
0-1
13.2%
1-1
10.0%
0-3
9.5%
1-2 ✓
9.2%
0-0
7.9%
1-3
6.2%
0-4
4.8%
Santa Clara goals ↓
Benfica goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.9%
13%
14%
9.5%
4.8%
1
3.6%
10%
9.2%
6.2%
3.1%
2
1.5%
3.0%
3.0%
2.0%
1.0%
3
0.3%
0.6%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
4
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Santa Clara goals (down), columns = Benfica goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Porto
2.41
Benfica
2.26
SC Braga
1.76
Sporting CP
1.76
Rio Ave
1.62
Famalicao
1.59
Guimaraes
1.47
GIL Vicente
1.26
Santa Clara
1.26
Moreirense
1.26
Maritimo
1.15
Boavista
1.15
Pacos Ferreira
1.15
Tondela
1.06
Belenenses
1.03
Setubal
1.00
Portimonense
0.97
Aves
0.50
Santa Clara is 1.00 points worse than Benfica in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 2.26).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Porto
2.18
Benfica
2.09
SC Braga
1.79
Famalicao
1.56
Guimaraes
1.56
Sporting CP
1.44
Rio Ave
1.41
Moreirense
1.24
GIL Vicente
1.18
Santa Clara
1.06
Pacos Ferreira
1.06
Maritimo
1.00
Tondela
0.88
Portimonense
0.88
Boavista
0.82
Belenenses
0.79
Setubal
0.79
Aves
0.71
Santa Clara is 1.03 goals worse than Benfica in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 2.09).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.65
Benfica
0.76
Sporting CP
1.00
Rio Ave
1.06
Guimaraes
1.12
Boavista
1.15
SC Braga
1.18
Santa Clara
1.21
Maritimo
1.24
Setubal
1.26
Tondela
1.29
GIL Vicente
1.29
Moreirense
1.29
Portimonense
1.32
Famalicao
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.53
Belenenses
1.59
Aves
2.00
Santa Clara is 0.44 goals worse than Benfica in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 0.76).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Santa Clara
For 6.9 · Against 5.5 · Total 12.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 17.3 · Total 30.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Benfica
For 7.2 · Against 3.7 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 3.5 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 11.8 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Santa Clara
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (44)
11.3
11.4
11.2
4.9
5.3
4.5
30.8
30.6
31.0
vs Stronger (10)
10.3
10.2
10.3
4.2
5.5
3.3
27.7
28.0
27.5
vs Similar (16)
11.9
11.2
12.7
5.2
5.7
4.6
30.6
33.3
27.1
vs Weaker (18)
11.3
12.1
10.6
5.0
4.8
5.2
32.6
29.0
36.2
% over line
70%
73%
68%
66%
77%
55%
89%
86%
91%
% under line
30%
27%
32%
34%
23%
45%
11%
14%
9%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Benfica
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.6
9.4
5.3
4.9
5.8
29.1
28.8
29.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
9.1
9.2
9.0
7.7
8.2
7.0
35.6
34.0
37.7
vs Weaker (43)
10.2
10.9
9.4
5.0
4.3
5.6
28.1
27.9
28.3
% over line
48%
54%
42%
82%
77%
88%
90%
88%
92%
% under line
52%
46%
58%
18%
23%
12%
10%
12%
8%
This opponent (Santa Clara) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Aves
11.7
Famalicao
11.6
Boavista
11.4
Santa Clara
11.3
Pacos Ferreira
11.2
Tondela
11.1
Guimaraes
10.9
Sporting CP
10.8
Rio Ave
10.6
Moreirense
10.5
SC Braga
10.4
Maritimo
10.3
GIL Vicente
10.3
Setubal
10.1
Portimonense
10.1
Benfica
10.0
FC Porto
9.8
Belenenses
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sporting CP
6.3
Setubal
6.1
Boavista
6.1
Rio Ave
5.8
Famalicao
5.8
Pacos Ferreira
5.5
Tondela
5.5
Benfica
5.3
Maritimo
5.2
GIL Vicente
5.1
Santa Clara
4.9
Aves
4.9
SC Braga
4.8
FC Porto
4.7
Moreirense
4.7
Portimonense
4.7
Belenenses
4.6
Guimaraes
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Setubal
35.6
Boavista
34.7
Rio Ave
34.0
GIL Vicente
34.0
Tondela
32.5
Aves
32.4
Moreirense
32.4
Pacos Ferreira
32.2
FC Porto
31.8
Maritimo
31.4
Guimaraes
31.3
Sporting CP
31.0
Portimonense
30.8
Santa Clara
30.8
Famalicao
30.5
Belenenses
30.5
SC Braga
29.5
Benfica
29.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
61.0%
Under 9.5
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
79.3%
Under 3.5
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
93.8%
Under 21.5
6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Santa Clara
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.63
0.47
0.60
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (7)
0.00
1.14
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.17
vs Similar (11)
0.45
0.36
0.38
0.38
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (12)
0.58
0.58
0.67
0.83
0.50
0.33
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Benfica
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.37
1.31
0.31
1.00
0.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.50
1.00
vs Weaker (27)
1.19
0.30
1.40
0.27
0.92
0.33
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Santa Clara) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Santa Clara over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Santa Clara
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.43
0.53
0.33
0.40
0.53
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
0.71
0.00
1.00
0.17
0.67
vs Similar (11)
0.73
0.36
0.62
0.38
1.00
0.33
vs Weaker (12)
0.42
0.33
0.50
0.17
0.33
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Benfica
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
0.33
2.38
0.38
1.57
0.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
1.00
0.67
0.00
1.00
1.50
0.50
vs Weaker (27)
2.11
0.30
2.53
0.33
1.58
0.25
Clean sheet %
73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Santa Clara) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Santa Clara over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Santa Clara · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gonçalo Paciência75%
Guilherme Romão0%
Vinícius Lopes0%
Diogo Calila0%
Lucas França0%
Pedro Ferreira0%
Pedro Pacheco0%
Welinton Torrao0%
Daniel Borges0%
Tiago Ribeiro0%
Emanuel Fernandes0%
Luis Fernando0%
José Tavares0%
Sorriso0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vinícius Lopes50%
Daniel Borges33%
Emanuel Fernandes33%
Guilherme Romão25%
Pedro Pacheco25%
Sorriso25%
Gonçalo Paciência0%
Diogo Calila0%
Lucas França0%
Pedro Ferreira0%
Welinton Torrao0%
Tiago Ribeiro0%
Luis Fernando0%
José Tavares0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Diogo Calila25%
Welinton Torrao25%
Sorriso25%
Gonçalo Paciência0%
Guilherme Romão0%
Vinícius Lopes0%
Lucas França0%
Pedro Ferreira0%
Pedro Pacheco0%
Daniel Borges0%
Tiago Ribeiro0%
Emanuel Fernandes0%
Luis Fernando0%
José Tavares0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gonçalo Paciência75%
Guilherme Romão0%
Vinícius Lopes0%
Diogo Calila0%
Lucas França0%
Pedro Ferreira0%
Pedro Pacheco0%
Welinton Torrao0%
Daniel Borges0%
Tiago Ribeiro0%
Emanuel Fernandes0%
Luis Fernando0%
José Tavares0%
Sorriso0%
Benfica · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vangelis Pavlidis100%
Gianluca Prestianni67%
Clément Lenglet33%
Rafa Silva33%
Jhon Durán33%
Alexander Bah0%
Dodi Lukebakio0%
Leandro Barreiro0%
Samuel Dahl0%
Enzo Barrenechea0%
Tomás Araújo0%
Georgiy Sudakov0%
Samuel Soares0%
Andreas Schjelderup0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tomás Araújo33%
Georgiy Sudakov33%
Clément Lenglet0%
Rafa Silva0%
Jhon Durán0%
Alexander Bah0%
Dodi Lukebakio0%
Leandro Barreiro0%
Vangelis Pavlidis0%
Samuel Dahl0%
Enzo Barrenechea0%
Samuel Soares0%
Andreas Schjelderup0%
Gianluca Prestianni0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alexander Bah33%
Leandro Barreiro33%
Vangelis Pavlidis33%
Enzo Barrenechea33%
Tomás Araújo33%
Gianluca Prestianni33%
Clément Lenglet0%
Rafa Silva0%
Jhon Durán0%
Dodi Lukebakio0%
Samuel Dahl0%
Georgiy Sudakov0%
Samuel Soares0%
Andreas Schjelderup0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gianluca Prestianni100%
Vangelis Pavlidis67%
Clément Lenglet0%
Rafa Silva0%
Jhon Durán0%
Alexander Bah0%
Dodi Lukebakio0%
Leandro Barreiro0%
Samuel Dahl0%
Enzo Barrenechea0%
Tomás Araújo0%
Georgiy Sudakov0%
Samuel Soares0%
Andreas Schjelderup0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
MAR (27)
€16m
TON (20)
€10m
POR (20)
€6m
PF (13)
€2m
Santa Clara's squad is €330m less valuable than Benfica's (€27m vs €357m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
GV (12)
€11m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
MAR (10)
€7m
MOR (5)
€5m
TON (7)
€2m
POR (7)
€2m
PF (3)
€1m
Santa Clara's attack is €163m less valuable than Benfica's (€9m vs €172m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
SC (5)
€6m
MAR (6)
€3m
TON (4)
€1m
POR (5)
€1m
PF (2)
€0m
Santa Clara's midfield is €71m less valuable than Benfica's (€6m vs €77m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
GV (10)
€11m
MOR (8)
€9m
TON (9)
€6m
MAR (11)
€6m
POR (8)
€3m
PF (8)
€1m
Santa Clara's defence is €96m less valuable than Benfica's (€12m vs €108m).
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →
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FC Porto
SC Braga
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
Famalicao
Guimaraes
Moreirense
GIL Vicente
Maritimo
Boavista
Pacos Ferreira
Tondela
Belenenses
Portimonense