The model favours a home win, with Sarıyer expected to edge out Pendikspor. The odds show a 52% chance of victory for Sarıyer, a 27% draw probability, and a 22% chance of an away win. The expected total goals sit at 2.7, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 26%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.8% probability. Sarıyer’s home form shows an average of 1.93 goals scored and only 0.57 conceded against similar opposition, while Pendikspor’s away record averages 1.47 goals scored and 1.73 conceded to comparable teams. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.4%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.1%), Under 6.5 (98.0%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.1%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.8%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.8%), and Under 5.5 (94.6%). Sarıyer’s recent form shows a streak of LDWWW after a defeat, while Pendikspor comes off a win with a WLDLD run.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved accurate as Sarıyer secured a 2-0 victory, extending their two-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite was Home win, with a 52% probability, and the model’s call was correct. The final score of 2-0 matched the actual result, confirming the home team’s dominance. Every suggested pick also hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.4%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.4%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.0%, Under 6.5 at 98.0%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.1%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.7%, Under 5.5 at 94.5%, and Home under 2.5 2H goals at 94.3%. The model’s selections performed exceptionally well, delivering a clean sweep of hits.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Sarıyer win✓ Hit
51.5%
Avg Implied 37.8% · @ 2.41
Edge
+13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.52
Unibet
2.45
BetVictor
2.45
Bet365
2.45
William Hil
2.45
Draw✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied 29.0% · @ 3.14
Edge
-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.31
Dafabet
3.25
Betfair
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Superbet
3.15
Pendikspor win✗ Miss
21.8%
Avg Implied 33.2% · @ 2.75
Edge
-11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.85
Betano
2.85
Dafabet
2.85
Superbet
2.82
10Bet
2.80
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Sarıyer
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.17
1.80
0.67
0.73
1.67
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.28
1.14
1.86
0.57
0.73
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Pendikspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pendikspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.37
1.20
0.87
1.40
1.87
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.67
1.50
1.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
1.33
1.33
1.15
0.77
1.50
1.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Sarıyer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.8%
@ 1.34+6.5%
Under 1.5
24.2%
@ 3.02-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.37
Betano
1.37
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Under
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.09
Unibet
3.05
BetVictor
3.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.0%
@ 2.08+5.3%
Under 2.5
50.0%
@ 1.68-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.21
1xBet
2.11
Marathonbet
2.11
SBO
2.11
Bet365
2.10
Under
Betfair
1.73
Unibet
1.72
10Bet
1.70
Bet365
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.0%
@ 3.74+3.2%
Under 3.5
72.0%
@ 1.23-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.99
BetVictor
3.90
Marathonbet
3.84
1xBet
3.84
Betfair
3.80
Under
Unibet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.7%
@ 1.81+1.7%
No
47.3%
@ 1.88-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
No
Betfair
1.95
William Hil
1.95
Unibet
1.95
Betano
1.88
BetVictor
1.87
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%@ 5.65+5.0%
1-0
10.3%@ 6.79+3.9%
2-1
9.6%@ 8.60+4.5%
2-0 ✓
9.6%@ 10.68+5.4%
0-0
8.1%@ 8.20+2.7%
1-2
5.9%@ 9.36+1.2%
0-1
5.8%@ 7.49-0.0%
3-1
5.4%@ 18.85+3.0%
Sarıyer goals ↓
Pendikspor goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.1%
5.8%
3.5%
1.2%
0.3%
1
10%
13%
5.9%
2.0%
0.5%
2
9.6%
9.6%
4.9%
1.6%
0.4%
3
5.3%
5.4%
2.7%
0.9%
0.2%
4
2.2%
2.2%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sarıyer goals (down), columns = Pendikspor goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Batman Petrolspor
2.60
Bursaspor
2.40
Sarıyer
2.00
Kayserispor
2.00
Iğdır FK
1.80
Mardin 1969
1.80
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Fatih Karagümrük
1.60
Muğlaspor
1.60
Bandırmaspor
1.20
Antalyaspor
1.20
Pendikspor
1.00
Vanspor FK
0.80
Esenler Erokspor
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Sivasspor
0.60
Ümraniyespor
0.60
İstanbulspor
0.40
Boluspor
0.00
Sarıyer is 1.00 points better than Pendikspor in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Keçiörengücü
2.40
Batman Petrolspor
2.00
Bursaspor
2.00
Manisa F.K.
2.00
Antalyaspor
1.60
Sarıyer
1.60
Mardin 1969
1.60
Iğdır FK
1.40
Pendikspor
1.40
Kayserispor
1.40
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Vanspor FK
1.00
Bandırmaspor
1.00
Sivasspor
1.00
İstanbulspor
1.00
Ümraniyespor
0.80
Muğlaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.40
Bodrum FK
0.40
Boluspor
0.20
Sarıyer is 0.20 goals better than Pendikspor in terms of goals scored per game (1.60 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Muğlaspor
0.40
Bandırmaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.60
Mardin 1969
0.60
Bursaspor
0.60
Kayserispor
0.60
Sarıyer
0.80
Batman Petrolspor
0.80
Iğdır FK
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Ümraniyespor
1.20
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Sivasspor
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Antalyaspor
2.00
Vanspor FK
2.20
Boluspor
2.20
Pendikspor
2.20
İstanbulspor
2.60
Sarıyer is 1.40 goals better than Pendikspor in terms of goals conceded per game (0.80 vs 2.20).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Esenler Erokspor
61%
Bandırmaspor
60%
Bursaspor
59%
Manisa F.K.
55%
Antalyaspor
55%
Kayserispor
53%
Batman Petrolspor
52%
Ümraniyespor
52%
Pendikspor
51%
Sarıyer
50%
Iğdır FK
49%
Mardin 1969
49%
Sivasspor
48%
Bodrum FK
46%
Keçiörengücü
45%
Fatih Karagümrük
45%
İstanbulspor
44%
Muğlaspor
43%
Vanspor FK
42%
Boluspor
41%
Sarıyer is 1.9 percentage points worse than Pendikspor in terms of average possession (50% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sarıyer
For 3.9 · Against 3.5 · Total 7.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 12.3 · Total 23.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Pendikspor
For 5.2 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 10.6 · Total 24.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sarıyer
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (47)
7.9
8.0
7.8
4.5
5.0
4.0
23.6
25.8
21.6
vs Stronger (2)
8.5
7.0
10.0
6.5
6.0
7.0
24.5
25.0
24.0
vs Similar (45)
7.9
8.1
7.7
4.4
5.0
3.9
23.6
25.8
21.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
32%
25%
38%
62%
73%
52%
61%
80%
43%
% under line
68%
75%
62%
38%
27%
48%
39%
20%
57%
This opponent (Pendikspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pendikspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
8.3
8.5
4.7
5.0
4.5
27.1
27.5
26.7
vs Stronger (3)
8.0
7.0
10.0
5.3
5.5
5.0
23.3
21.0
28.0
vs Similar (47)
8.5
8.4
8.5
4.7
4.9
4.5
27.3
28.1
26.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
36%
30%
42%
66%
67%
65%
85%
87%
83%
% under line
64%
70%
58%
34%
33%
35%
15%
13%
17%
This opponent (Sarıyer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kayserispor
10.0
Sivasspor
9.5
Antalyaspor
9.2
Bodrum FK
9.1
Bandırmaspor
9.1
Bursaspor
9.1
Ümraniyespor
9.0
Iğdır FK
9.0
Esenler Erokspor
8.9
Fatih Karagümrük
8.9
Mardin 1969
8.8
Manisa F.K.
8.5
Pendikspor
8.5
İstanbulspor
8.4
Keçiörengücü
8.3
Vanspor FK
8.3
Boluspor
8.2
Batman Petrolspor
8.0
Sarıyer
7.9
Muğlaspor
7.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Muğlaspor
6.7
Batman Petrolspor
6.5
Antalyaspor
5.3
Vanspor FK
5.1
Sarıyer
5.1
Pendikspor
5.1
Boluspor
5.0
Manisa F.K.
5.0
Esenler Erokspor
5.0
Sivasspor
5.0
Iğdır FK
4.8
Bandırmaspor
4.6
İstanbulspor
4.6
Keçiörengücü
4.6
Kayserispor
4.5
Bursaspor
4.4
Fatih Karagümrük
4.3
Ümraniyespor
4.2
Bodrum FK
4.2
Mardin 1969
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Muğlaspor
33.0
Bursaspor
29.1
Fatih Karagümrük
28.8
Vanspor FK
27.8
Antalyaspor
27.2
Pendikspor
26.8
Batman Petrolspor
25.8
Boluspor
25.7
Kayserispor
24.9
Bandırmaspor
24.1
Bodrum FK
24.1
Iğdır FK
23.6
Sarıyer
23.6
Manisa F.K.
23.6
Keçiörengücü
23.5
Sivasspor
23.4
İstanbulspor
23.3
Ümraniyespor
23.1
Mardin 1969
23.0
Esenler Erokspor
22.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
34.4%
@ 2.38-4.3%
Under 9.5
65.6%
@ 1.50+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.45
Betano
2.42
Marathonbet
2.41
1xBet
2.32
Superbet
2.32
Under
Superbet
1.54
1xBet
1.52
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Marathonbet
1.45
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
72.1%
Under 3.5
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
76.3%
Under 21.5
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Sarıyer or Draw✓ Hit
78.2%
Avg Implied 67.0% · @ 1.37
Edge
+11.2%
52%
27%
22%
covers Sarıyer + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.42
William Hil
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Superbet
1.38
Betfair
1.36
Sarıyer or Pendikspor✓ Hit
73.3%
Avg Implied 71.1% · @ 1.29
Edge
+2.2%
52%
27%
22%
covers Sarıyer + Pendikspor
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
BetVictor
1.30
Draw or Pendikspor✗ Miss
48.5%
Avg Implied 61.9% · @ 1.48
Edge
-13.4%
52%
27%
22%
covers Draw + Pendikspor
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.53
10Bet
1.53
William Hil
1.50
Betfair
1.50
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Sarıyer over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
81.1%
@ 1.31+10.1%
Under
18.9%
@ 3.19-10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.26
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Superbet
3.20
Sarıyer over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
49.6%
@ 2.50+12.5%
Under
50.4%
@ 1.47-12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.69
Bet365
2.62
Marathonbet
2.55
BetVictor
2.55
Betfair
2.50
Under
Betfair
1.50
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.49
1xBet
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Sarıyer over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
23.3%
@ 6.01+7.9%
Under
76.7%
@ 1.10-7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.25
1xBet
6.20
Betfair
6.00
BetVictor
6.00
Under
Betano
1.13
Betfair
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
BetVictor
1.09
Sarıyer over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.8%
@ 13.08+1.5%
Under
91.2%
@ 1.03-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Betano
10.25
Betfair
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Pendikspor over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
63.6%
@ 1.36-4.5%
Under
36.4%
@ 2.90+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
1xBet
1.37
BetVictor
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Marathonbet
2.91
BetVictor
2.88
Pendikspor over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
26.8%
@ 2.73-7.2%
Under
73.2%
@ 1.40+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.95
Superbet
2.77
Betano
2.77
Marathonbet
2.76
Bet365
2.75
Under
Unibet
1.43
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Pendikspor over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.2%
@ 6.80-5.4%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.07+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.20
Bet365
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
1xBet
7.00
Superbet
6.60
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Pendikspor over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 16.12-4.0%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Sarıyer, so a minus line means Sarıyer give that many goals of a start and Pendikspor receive them. At -1, Sarıyer must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Sarıyer win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Sarıyer)Actual: Draw
Sarıyer -2
12.3%
@ 9.98+3.5%
Draw -2
16.2%
@ 6.40+2.4%
Pendikspor +2
71.5%
@ 1.14-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
6.95
Draw
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
4.70
Away
Bet365
1.18
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
Handicap -1 (Sarıyer)Actual: Sarıyer
Sarıyer -1
28.5%
@ 4.73+10.0%
Draw -1
23.1%
@ 3.86+0.5%
Pendikspor +1
48.5%
@ 1.48-10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.20
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Bet365
4.50
Unibet
4.20
Draw
Marathonbet
4.05
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.85
Unibet
3.40
Away
10Bet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Betfair
1.50
Marathonbet
1.45
Unibet
1.40
Handicap +1 (Sarıyer)Actual: Sarıyer
Sarıyer +1
78.2%
@ 1.38+14.9%
Draw +1
13.5%
@ 4.19-7.3%
Pendikspor -1
8.2%
@ 5.50-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Unibet
1.35
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.30
Betfair
4.20
Unibet
3.50
Away
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.10
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
4.40
Handicap +2 (Sarıyer)Actual: Sarıyer
Sarıyer +2
91.8%
@ 1.10+8.9%
Draw +2
5.9%
@ 8.25-5.1%
Pendikspor -2
2.3%
@ 15.00-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Draw
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
7.50
Away
Bet365
17.00
Betfair
13.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sarıyer
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.50
0.73
0.33
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.55
0.48
0.79
0.29
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Pendikspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pendikspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.53
0.47
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
0.63
0.52
0.54
0.46
0.71
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Sarıyer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
69.6%
@ 1.43+4.7%
Under 0.5
30.4%
@ 2.64-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.47
BetVictor
1.44
Superbet
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Under
Betfair
2.88
Bet365
2.75
William Hil
2.70
Pinnacle
2.68
10Bet
2.62
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
34.4%
@ 3.00+3.5%
Under 1.5
65.6%
@ 1.34-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.25
Betano
3.10
1xBet
3.08
Marathonbet
3.08
Superbet
3.05
Under
BetVictor
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
10Bet
1.35
William Hil
1.35
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.4%
@ 7.96-0.2%
Under 2.5
88.6%
@ 1.05+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.50
1xBet
8.50
William Hil
8.50
BetVictor
8.50
Bet365
8.00
Under
Bet365
1.08
Betano
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sarıyer over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
49.9%
@ 2.14+6.6%
Under
50.1%
@ 1.64-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.23
Betano
2.15
Marathonbet
2.12
Superbet
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Under
Superbet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
1xBet
1.65
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
Sarıyer over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.4%
@ 7.13+1.4%
Under
85.6%
@ 1.06-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.80
1xBet
7.50
Betano
6.10
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
Sarıyer over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.3%
@ 11.00-5.1%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.01+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.01
Pendikspor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
40.7%
@ 2.25-0.2%
Under
59.3%
@ 1.56+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.37
Betano
2.30
Superbet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.25
1xBet
2.10
Under
1xBet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
Superbet
1.57
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.54
Pendikspor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.5%
@ 7.77-1.4%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.05+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.60
1xBet
8.00
Betano
6.70
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
Pendikspor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.6%
@ 11.00-6.8%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.01+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sarıyer
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.67
1.07
0.33
0.40
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.72
0.66
1.07
0.29
0.40
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Pendikspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pendikspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.80
0.67
0.40
0.73
1.20
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.70
0.81
0.62
0.31
0.79
1.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Sarıyer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.0%
@ 1.27+5.4%
Under 0.5
22.0%
@ 3.38-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.25
Under
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.38
Marathonbet
3.38
Superbet
3.35
Betano
3.35
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
43.5%
@ 2.27+2.8%
Under 1.5
56.5%
@ 1.56-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.30
William Hil
2.30
Marathonbet
2.29
1xBet
2.29
Bet365
2.25
Under
Betano
1.60
10Bet
1.57
William Hil
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Superbet
1.55
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.9%
@ 5.12-0.1%
Under 2.5
82.1%
@ 1.13+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
1xBet
5.30
Superbet
5.10
William Hil
5.00
Under
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.09
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sarıyer over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
54.1%
@ 1.80+3.0%
Under
45.9%
@ 1.88-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Superbet
1.80
Betano
1.78
Under
Betano
1.93
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Sarıyer over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
20.5%
@ 5.13+2.5%
Under
79.5%
@ 1.12-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.45
Marathonbet
5.45
Betano
4.50
Under
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Sarıyer over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.7%
@ 9.50-4.1%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.03+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Pendikspor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
42.5%
@ 1.90-6.0%
Under
57.5%
@ 1.78+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.92
1xBet
1.89
Marathonbet
1.89
Betano
1.88
Under
Betano
1.82
Superbet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
Pendikspor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.0%
@ 5.67-1.3%
Under
85.0%
@ 1.10+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.00
1xBet
6.00
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Pendikspor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 10.00-6.4%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.02+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.4%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.0%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.1%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.7%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.3%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
91.8%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
91.8%
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
+8.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
91.2%
1.03
Betano
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-1.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.5%
1.05
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.6%
1.05
Bet365
1.08
Betano
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
86.7%
1.06
Pinnacle
1.10
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Superbet
1.06
-0.9%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
85.6%
1.06
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
-
-
-1.4%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
85.1%
1.11
1xBet
1.11
-
-
-
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.0%
1.10
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
-
-
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.1%
1.13
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.09
+0.1%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
81.1%
1.31
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.30
+10.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
79.5%
1.12
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
-2.5%
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
78.2%
1.37
Betano
1.42
William Hil
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Superbet
1.38
Betfair
1.36
+11.2%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
78.2%
1.38
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Unibet
1.35
-
+14.9%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.0%
1.27
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.25
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
76.7%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Betfair
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
BetVictor
1.09
-7.9%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
76.6%
1.28
Superbet
1.34
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.24
-
-
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
75.8%
1.34
Pinnacle
1.37
Betano
1.37
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
+6.5%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
73.3%
1.29
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
BetVictor
1.30
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
73.2%
1.40
Unibet
1.43
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
+7.2%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.0%
1.23
Unibet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
-3.2%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
71.5%
1.14
Bet365
1.18
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
-5.9%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sarıyer
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
B. Kör67%
Tunahan Ergul33%
Eşref Korkmazoğlu33%
C. Osmanpaşa0%
E. Karaca0%
C. Karayel0%
André Poko0%
I. Šehić0%
Doğan Can Davas0%
Marcos Silva0%
H. Yeşilyurt0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marcos Silva67%
C. Osmanpaşa33%
C. Karayel33%
I. Šehić33%
Doğan Can Davas33%
Tunahan Ergul0%
E. Karaca0%
André Poko0%
B. Kör0%
Eşref Korkmazoğlu0%
H. Yeşilyurt0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
E. Karaca33%
B. Kör33%
Marcos Silva33%
C. Osmanpaşa0%
Tunahan Ergul0%
C. Karayel0%
André Poko0%
I. Šehić0%
Doğan Can Davas0%
Eşref Korkmazoğlu0%
H. Yeşilyurt0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
B. Kör33%
C. Osmanpaşa0%
Tunahan Ergul0%
E. Karaca0%
C. Karayel0%
André Poko0%
I. Šehić0%
Doğan Can Davas0%
Marcos Silva0%
Eşref Korkmazoğlu0%
H. Yeşilyurt0%
Pendikspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Samuel Abifade33%
Görkem Bitin33%
Thuram25%
M. Özdemir25%
Jonson Clarke-Harris0%
B. Sülüngöz0%
V. Soldo0%
B. Karadeniz0%
H. Yeşil0%
K. Kalafat0%
Y. Sönmez0%
Furkan Dogan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Özdemir50%
V. Soldo33%
B. Karadeniz25%
Jonson Clarke-Harris0%
Thuram0%
B. Sülüngöz0%
H. Yeşil0%
Samuel Abifade0%
K. Kalafat0%
Görkem Bitin0%
Y. Sönmez0%
Furkan Dogan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Thuram25%
H. Yeşil25%
Y. Sönmez25%
Jonson Clarke-Harris0%
B. Sülüngöz0%
V. Soldo0%
B. Karadeniz0%
Samuel Abifade0%
K. Kalafat0%
Görkem Bitin0%
M. Özdemir0%
Furkan Dogan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Samuel Abifade33%
Görkem Bitin33%
B. Karadeniz25%
Jonson Clarke-Harris0%
Thuram0%
B. Sülüngöz0%
V. Soldo0%
H. Yeşil0%
K. Kalafat0%
Y. Sönmez0%
M. Özdemir0%
Furkan Dogan0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (27)
€19m
ANT (25)
€16m
BF (31)
€13m
FK (23)
€12m
KAY (23)
€12m
EE (23)
€11m
SIV (26)
€10m
IF (26)
€9m
MF (24)
€9m
BP (25)
€9m
İST (28)
€8m
BAN (29)
€7m
ÜMR (25)
€7m
PEN (26)
€6m
M1 (25)
€6m
VF (21)
€6m
KEÇ (25)
€6m
MUĞ (19)
€6m
SAR (20)
€5m
BOL (18)
€3m
Sarıyer's squad is €1m less valuable than Pendikspor's (€5m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (10)
€10m
BF (10)
€6m
FK (9)
€5m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
EE (8)
€4m
SIV (10)
€4m
BP (10)
€4m
IF (7)
€4m
VF (10)
€3m
İST (10)
€3m
ÜMR (8)
€3m
MUĞ (8)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
SAR (7)
€2m
MF (7)
€2m
BAN (8)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
PEN (10)
€2m
BOL (5)
€1m
Sarıyer and Pendikspor have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (5)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
EE (6)
€3m
FK (3)
€3m
BF (10)
€3m
MF (7)
€3m
SIV (5)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
BP (5)
€2m
ÜMR (7)
€2m
IF (7)
€2m
BAN (6)
€2m
KAY (4)
€2m
PEN (5)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
MUĞ (7)
€2m
SAR (4)
€1m
VF (2)
€1m
İST (5)
€1m
BOL (5)
€1m
Sarıyer and Pendikspor have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ANT (11)
€7m
KAY (10)
€5m
BUR (12)
€4m
BF (11)
€4m
FK (11)
€4m
MF (10)
€4m
İST (13)
€4m
IF (12)
€3m
BAN (15)
€3m
PEN (11)
€3m
EE (9)
€3m
BP (10)
€3m
KEÇ (11)
€3m
SIV (11)
€3m
VF (9)
€2m
M1 (9)
€2m
SAR (9)
€2m
ÜMR (10)
€2m
MUĞ (4)
€2m
BOL (8)
€1m
Sarıyer's defence is €1m less valuable than Pendikspor's (€2m vs €3m).
Turkey: 1. Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: 1. Lig stats & trends →
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Batman Petrolspor
Bursaspor
Kayserispor
Mardin 1969
Iğdır FK
Keçiörengücü
Manisa F.K.
Muğlaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Bandırmaspor
Antalyaspor
Esenler Erokspor
Bodrum FK
Vanspor FK
Ümraniyespor
Sivasspor
İstanbulspor
Boluspor