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Saxan vs Iskra Result & Analysis

Date: 16/05/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 4-0
Saxan
Saxan
Vs
74%
15%
11%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Iskra
Iskra
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saxan win✓ Hit
74.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
14.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Iskra win✗ Miss
10.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SaxanSaxan

Last 10 – goals for & against
190-19190W31W20W22D30W30W11D31W03L20WH·FLO08/03H·FC 15/03H·VIC28/03H·DAC05/04A·FĂL11/04A·FLO18/04A·FC 25/04A·VIC02/05A·DAC06/05H·FĂL10/05← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
4.6
Avg scored
3.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game3.130.974.190.621.931.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.621.502.001.001.401.80
vs Weaker (22)3.680.774.690.542.221.11
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IskraIskra

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D11D00D22D10W11D32W01L32WH·VIC29/11A·FC 07/12H·SPE07/03H·GAG14/03A·FCM28/03H·VUL04/04A·SPE11/04H·OLI18/04A·SHE26/04A·GAG07/05← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.771.641.291.622.19
vs Stronger (1)0.004.00--0.004.00
vs Similar (16)1.501.751.621.001.382.50
vs Weaker (13)1.921.621.671.672.141.57
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Saxan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%2%05%114%219%320%416%524%6+
The model estimates around 4.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
92.8%
Under 1.5
7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
79.0%
Under 2.5
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.5%
Under 3.5
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
66.2%
No
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
3-1
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-0
7.0%
2-0
6.9%
4-1
6.2%
1-1
5.9%
4-0 ✓
5.3%
3-2
4.8%
Saxan goals ↓
Iskra goals →
01234
02.0%1.2%1.0%0.4%0.1%
14.0%5.9%3.1%1.2%0.4%
26.9%8.1%4.7%1.8%0.5%
37.0%8.2%4.8%1.9%0.5%
45.3%6.2%3.6%1.4%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Saxan goals (down), columns = Iskra goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Saxan
2.46
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.33
Speranis Nisporeni
2.25
Zimbru
1.88
Milsami Orhei
1.75
FC Stăuceni
1.73
Dacia-Buiucani
1.62
Petrocub
1.54
Iskra
1.50
Victoria Bardar
1.25
CSF Bălți
1.17
Făleşti
0.75
Spartanii Selemet
0.67
Floreşti
0.04
Olimp Comrat
0.00
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
0.00
FCM Ungheni
0.00
Saxan is 0.96 points better than Iskra in terms of average points per game (2.46 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Saxan
3.69
Milsami Orhei
2.29
Zimbru
2.25
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.08
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
2.00
Victoria Bardar
2.00
Dacia-Buiucani
1.92
Petrocub
1.67
FC Stăuceni
1.55
Iskra
1.50
Speranis Nisporeni
1.50
Făleşti
1.17
CSF Bălți
1.12
Olimp Comrat
1.00
FCM Ungheni
1.00
Spartanii Selemet
0.88
Floreşti
0.12
Saxan is 2.19 goals better than Iskra in terms of goals scored per game (3.69 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.50
Saxan
0.62
Dacia-Buiucani
0.92
Zimbru
1.04
Petrocub
1.08
Milsami Orhei
1.08
Speranis Nisporeni
1.25
FC Stăuceni
1.36
CSF Bălți
1.38
Victoria Bardar
1.92
Spartanii Selemet
2.29
Făleşti
2.67
Olimp Comrat
3.00
Iskra
3.00
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
3.00
FCM Ungheni
3.00
Floreşti
4.60
Saxan is 2.38 goals better than Iskra in terms of goals conceded per game (0.62 vs 3.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SaxanSaxan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
90-900D90W20W00D10W10W01L20W01L10WA·SPE07/12H·FLO08/03H·VIC28/03H·DAC05/04A·FĂL11/04A·FLO18/04A·FC 25/04A·VIC02/05A·DAC06/05H·FĂL10/05← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.471.000.310.640.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.560.890.670.330.501.17
vs Weaker (21)0.950.291.080.310.750.25
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IskraIskra

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D11D00D21W10W11D02L01L00DH·VIC29/11A·FC 07/12H·SPE07/03H·GAG14/03A·FCM28/03H·VUL04/04A·SPE11/04H·OLI18/04A·SHE26/04A·GAG07/05← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.780.290.570.640.91
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (12)0.250.750.170.670.330.83
vs Weaker (5)1.201.001.000.001.251.25
Clean sheet %39% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Saxan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Saxan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saxan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saxan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SaxanSaxan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
100-1021W100W00D22D20W20W10W11D02L10WA·SPE07/12H·FLO08/03H·VIC28/03H·DAC05/04A·FĂL11/04A·FLO18/04A·FC 25/04A·VIC02/05A·DAC06/05H·FĂL10/05← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.470.571.690.441.210.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.780.560.330.671.000.50
vs Weaker (21)1.760.572.000.381.380.88
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IskraIskra

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D00D00D01L00D00D30W00D32WH·VIC29/11A·FC 07/12H·SPE07/03H·GAG14/03A·FCM28/03H·VUL04/04A·SPE11/04H·OLI18/04A·SHE26/04A·GAG07/05← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.941.001.000.290.911.45
vs Stronger (1)0.004.00--0.004.00
vs Similar (12)1.170.921.170.331.171.50
vs Weaker (5)0.600.600.000.000.750.75
Clean sheet %61% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Saxan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Saxan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saxan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saxan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.592.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.579.0%-------✓ Hit
Home win74.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
SS (12)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
DAC (6)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
SAX wins
0
Draws
0
ISK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Saxan vs Iskra · H/A from SAX
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/24HSAX Vs Iskra4-0

SaxanSaxan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/25HSAX Vs Făleşti2-0
06/05/25ADacia-Buiucani Vs SAX3-0
02/05/25AVictoria Bardar Vs SAX1-3
25/04/25AFC Stăuceni Vs SAX1-1
18/04/25AFloreşti Vs SAX0-3
11/04/25AFăleşti Vs SAX0-3
05/04/25HSAX Vs Dacia-Buiucani2-2
28/03/25HSAX Vs Victoria Bardar2-0
15/03/25HSAX Vs FC Stăuceni3-1
08/03/25HSAX Vs Floreşti19-0

IskraIskra

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/05/25AGagauziya-Oguzsport Vs ISK2-3
26/04/25ASheriff II Vs ISK1-0
18/04/25HISK Vs Olimp Comrat3-2
11/04/25ASperanța Drochia Vs ISK1-1
04/04/25HISK Vs Vulturii Cutezători1-0
28/03/25AFCM Ungheni Vs ISK2-2
14/03/25HISK Vs Gagauziya-Oguzsport0-0
07/03/25HISK Vs Speranis Nisporeni1-1
07/12/24AFC Stăuceni Vs ISK1-1
29/11/24HISK Vs Victoria Bardar1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Saxan
Saxan
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLW2.06
HomeWWWDW1.96
AwayWWDWL2.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%59%65%
AVG goals3.884.073.65
Over 1.5 %88%85%91%
Over 2.5 %62%56%70%
Over 3.5 %40%41%39%
Scored2.883.262.43
Conceded1.000.811.22
BTTS48%37%61%
Clean Sheet40%48%30%
Corners---
Cards---
Iskra
Iskra
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLW1.40
HomeWDDWW1.95
AwayDDDLW0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%59%24%
AVG goals3.453.003.84
Over 1.5 %81%77%84%
Over 2.5 %64%55%72%
Over 3.5 %47%41%52%
Scored1.551.771.36
Conceded1.891.232.48
BTTS64%59%68%
Clean Sheet17%27%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol2456
67%
2.3
5012+38
2.6
67%
46%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3132.10.5
-
2ZimbruZimbru2445
58%
1.9
5425+29
3.3
79%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2112.21.0
-
3Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei2442
50%
1.8
5526+29
3.4
92%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1122.31.1
-
4Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani2439
46%
1.6
4622+24
2.8
71%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.90.9
-
5PetrocubPetrocub2437
42%
1.5
4026+14
2.8
79%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.71.1
-
6SaxanSaxan1332
77%
2.5
488+40
4.3
100%
69%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.70.6
-
7CSF BălțiCSF Bălți2428
29%
1.2
2733-6
2.5
71%
42%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.4
-
8FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni1119
55%
1.7
1715+2
2.9
73%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
9Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet2416
12%
0.7
2155-34
3.2
75%
58%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.3
-
10Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar1215
42%
1.2
2423+1
3.9
92%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.9
-
11Speranis NisporeniSperanis Nisporeni49
75%
2.2
65+1
2.8
75%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
12FăleştiFăleşti129
25%
0.8
1432-18
3.8
92%
67%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.7
-
13IskraIskra23
50%
1.5
36-3
4.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.53.0
-
14FloreştiFloreşti251
0%
0.0
3115-112
4.7
92%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.14.6
-
15Gagauziya-OguzsportGagauziya-Oguzsport10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.0
-
16FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni10
0%
0.0
13-2
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
17Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat10
0%
0.0
13-2
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

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