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Səbail vs Mingəçevir Result & Analysis

Date: 12/09/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
Səbail
Səbail
vs
Mingəçevir
Mingəçevir
Azerbaijan: Birinci Dasta
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Səbail win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mingəçevir win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SəbailSəbail

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L11D00D14L23L11D11D01L03L14LH·NEF16/03A·KAP30/03H·TUR05/04H·QAR11/04A·SAB19/04H·ARA27/04A·ŞAM03/05H·ZIR10/05A·NEF18/05H·SUM23/05← Premyer LiqaBirinci Dasta →
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.430.401.531.071.33
vs Stronger (19)0.421.740.361.450.502.12
vs Similar (10)0.801.000.501.751.000.50
vs Weaker (1)6.000.00--6.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Mingəçevir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MingəçevirMingəçevir

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W02L22D00D02L40W41W00D31W21WH·MOI14/03A·QAB28/03H·ZAQ03/04A·QAR10/04A·CƏB17/04H·BAK24/04A·DIF01/05H·IMI09/05A·MOI16/05H·KAR22/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.371.201.071.071.67
vs Stronger (23)1.221.261.181.001.251.50
vs Similar (4)1.501.751.671.671.002.00
vs Weaker (3)0.001.670.000.000.002.50
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Səbail) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Safa Baku
2.11
Mingəçevir
1.89
Səbail
1.85
Baku Sportinq
1.81
Şahdağ
1.59
MOIK
1.22
Zaqatala
1.04
Cəbrayıl
0.89
Şimal
0.82
Difai Ağsu
0.67
Qaradağ Lökbatan
0.00
Səbail is 0.04 points worse than Mingəçevir in terms of average points per game (1.85 vs 1.89).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Mingəçevir
2.04
Safa Baku
1.93
Səbail
1.70
Baku Sportinq
1.48
Cəbrayıl
1.48
Şahdağ
1.33
MOIK
1.22
Difai Ağsu
1.04
Zaqatala
1.00
Qaradağ Lökbatan
1.00
Şimal
0.89
Səbail is 0.33 goals worse than Mingəçevir in terms of goals scored per game (1.70 vs 2.04).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Səbail
0.78
Safa Baku
0.78
Baku Sportinq
0.85
Şahdağ
1.00
Mingəçevir
1.00
MOIK
1.48
Zaqatala
1.63
Qaradağ Lökbatan
2.00
Cəbrayıl
2.07
Şimal
2.21
Difai Ağsu
2.22
Səbail is 0.22 goals better than Mingəçevir in terms of goals conceded per game (0.78 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SəbailSəbail

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L01L00D02L01L01L01L00D02L11DH·NEF16/03A·KAP30/03H·TUR05/04H·QAR11/04A·SAB19/04H·ARA27/04A·ŞAM03/05H·ZIR10/05A·NEF18/05H·SUM23/05← Premyer LiqaBirinci Dasta →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.600.270.600.270.60
vs Stronger (19)0.160.740.180.640.120.88
vs Similar (10)0.200.400.500.500.000.33
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Mingəçevir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MingəçevirMingəçevir

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L10W00D01L20W10W00D20W10WH·MOI14/03A·QAB28/03H·ZAQ03/04A·QAR10/04A·CƏB17/04H·BAK24/04A·DIF01/05H·IMI09/05A·MOI16/05H·KAR22/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.600.400.530.400.67
vs Stronger (23)0.430.610.360.640.500.58
vs Similar (4)0.500.500.670.330.001.00
vs Weaker (3)0.000.670.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Səbail) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Səbail over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Səbail over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Səbail over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mingəçevir over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mingəçevir over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mingəçevir over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SəbailSəbail

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W00D12L22D10W10W01L01L03LH·NEF16/03A·KAP30/03H·TUR05/04H·QAR11/04A·SAB19/04H·ARA27/04A·ŞAM03/05H·ZIR10/05A·NEF18/05H·SUM23/05← Premyer LiqaBirinci Dasta →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.830.130.930.800.73
vs Stronger (19)0.261.000.180.820.381.25
vs Similar (10)0.600.600.001.251.000.17
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Mingəçevir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MingəçevirMingəçevir

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D12L00D01L20W31W00D11D11DH·MOI14/03A·QAB28/03H·ZAQ03/04A·QAR10/04A·CƏB17/04H·BAK24/04A·DIF01/05H·IMI09/05A·MOI16/05H·KAR22/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.770.800.530.671.00
vs Stronger (23)0.780.650.820.360.750.92
vs Similar (4)1.001.251.001.331.001.00
vs Weaker (3)0.001.000.000.000.001.50
Clean sheet %50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Səbail) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Səbail over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Səbail over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Səbail over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mingəçevir over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mingəçevir over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mingəçevir over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

No selections above 70% probability for this match.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (15)
€4m
SƏB (4)
€1m
MIN (2)
€0m
ZAQ (2)
€0m
CƏB (1)
€0m
Səbail's squad is €1m more valuable than Mingəçevir's (€1m vs €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (5)
€1m
MIN (2)
€0m
ZAQ (1)
€0m
SƏB (0)
€0m
CƏB (0)
€0m
Səbail and Mingəçevir have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (2)
€0m
SƏB (1)
€0m
CƏB (1)
€0m
MIN (0)
€0m
ZAQ (0)
€0m
Səbail and Mingəçevir have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (8)
€3m
SƏB (3)
€1m
ZAQ (1)
€0m
MIN (0)
€0m
CƏB (0)
€0m
Səbail and Mingəçevir have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
SƏB wins
0
Draws
0
MIN wins

Head-to-head

Səbail vs Mingəçevir · H/A from SƏB
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

SəbailSəbail

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/25HSƏB Vs Sumqayıt1-4
18/05/25ANeftchi Baku Vs SƏB3-0
10/05/25HSƏB Vs Zira0-1
03/05/25AŞamaxı FK Vs SƏB1-1
27/04/25HSƏB Vs Araz1-1
19/04/25ASabah FA Vs SƏB3-2
11/04/25HSƏB Vs Qarabag1-4
05/04/25HSƏB Vs Turan0-0
30/03/25AKapaz Vs SƏB1-1
16/03/25HSƏB Vs Neftchi Baku1-2

MingəçevirMingəçevir

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/05/25HMIN Vs Karvan2-1
16/05/25AMOIK Vs MIN1-3
09/05/25HMIN Vs Imisli FK0-0
01/05/25ADifai Ağsu Vs MIN1-4
24/04/25HMIN Vs Baku Sportinq4-0
17/04/25ACəbrayıl Vs MIN2-0
10/04/25AQaradağ Lökbatan Vs MIN0-0
03/04/25HMIN Vs Zaqatala2-2
28/03/25AQabala Vs MIN2-0
14/03/25HMIN Vs MOIK1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Səbail
Səbail
Azerbaijan: Birinci Dasta
Recent: 0 Wins / 4 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLL0.66
HomeDLDLL0.70
AwayLDLDL0.63
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %14%13%15%
AVG goals2.662.572.74
Over 1.5 %72%70%74%
Over 2.5 %44%39%48%
Over 3.5 %28%26%30%
Scored0.960.911.00
Conceded1.701.651.74
BTTS44%43%44%
Clean Sheet22%22%22%
Corners---
Cards---
Mingəçevir
Mingəçevir
Azerbaijan: Birinci Dasta
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW1.16
HomeWDWDW1.28
AwayLDLWW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%32%28%
AVG goals2.221.922.52
Over 1.5 %56%48%64%
Over 2.5 %42%32%52%
Over 3.5 %28%24%32%
Scored0.900.960.84
Conceded1.320.961.68
BTTS36%36%36%
Clean Sheet34%40%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Safa BakuSafa Baku2757
59%
2.1
5221+31
2.7
74%
48%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1031.90.8
-
2MingəçevirMingəçevir2751
56%
1.9
5527+28
3.0
85%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
-
3SəbailSəbail2750
52%
1.9
4621+25
2.5
59%
48%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.70.8
-
4Baku SportinqBaku Sportinq2749
48%
1.8
4023+17
2.3
70%
44%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.9
-
5ŞahdağŞahdağ2743
44%
1.6
3627+9
2.3
63%
41%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.0
-
6MOIKMOIK2733
33%
1.2
3340-7
2.7
81%
56%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
7ZaqatalaZaqatala2728
30%
1.0
2744-17
2.6
59%
52%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
8CəbrayılCəbrayıl2724
26%
0.9
4056-16
3.6
81%
67%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.1
-
9ŞimalŞimal2823
21%
0.8
2562-37
3.1
71%
54%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.2
-
10Difai AğsuDifai Ağsu2718
15%
0.7
2860-32
3.3
89%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
11Qaradağ LökbatanQaradağ Lökbatan10
0%
0.0
12-1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
Azerbaijan: Birinci Dasta 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Azerbaijan: Birinci Dasta stats & trends →

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