This opponent (Lusitano Évora 1911) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lusitano Évora 1911
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.43
1.00
1.80
0.80
4.00
1.50
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (5)
1.80
0.80
1.80
0.80
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
7.00
1.00
-
-
7.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
29% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Covilha) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.0%
Under 1.5
13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
67.3%
Under 2.5
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
45.6%
Under 3.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
68.5%
No
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
2-2
7.0%
0-2 ✓
5.3%
1-3
5.3%
0-1
4.8%
2-3
4.3%
SC Covilha goals ↓
Lusitano Évora 1911 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.1%
4.8%
5.3%
3.2%
1.5%
1
4.2%
10%
8.6%
5.3%
2.4%
2
4.1%
7.6%
7.0%
4.3%
2.0%
3
2.3%
4.1%
3.8%
2.3%
1.1%
4
0.9%
1.7%
1.5%
0.9%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SC Covilha goals (down), columns = Lusitano Évora 1911 goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Benfica
2.71
Sporting CP
2.43
Rebordosa
2.40
Anadia
2.33
Santa Clara
2.33
Alverca
2.33
Amarante
2.25
Oliveira Hospital
2.25
SC Braga
2.25
GIL Vicente
2.25
São João Ver
2.17
Tirsense
2.14
Leixoes
2.00
CF Os Belenenses
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Penafiel
2.00
Torreense
2.00
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Moncarapachense
2.00
Atlético CP
2.00
União Santarém
2.00
Varzim
2.00
Alpendorada
2.00
Operário
2.00
Guimaraes
2.00
SC Covilha
2.00
Casa Pia
2.00
Moreirense
2.00
Chaves
2.00
União de Leiria
2.00
Farense
2.00
Cinfães
1.75
Brito
1.75
Lusitânia
1.75
Vila Real
1.75
O Elvas
1.60
FC Porto
1.50
Vilaverdense
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Machico
1.50
Vianense
1.50
FC Serpa
1.50
Sintrense
1.50
Ferreira Zêzere
1.50
Louletano
1.50
Lagoa
1.50
Os Limianos
1.50
Paredes
1.50
Amora
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Mafra
1.50
Famalicao
1.50
Arouca
1.50
Academica
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
AVS
1.50
Sanjoanense
1.33
Caldas
1.33
Rio Ave
1.33
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Atlético Malveira
1.02
Vila Meã
1.02
Portalegrense
1.02
Florgrade
1.02
Correlhã
1.02
Vitória de Sernache
1.02
Nazarenos
1.02
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1.02
Valenciano
1.02
Castro Daire
1.02
Rebordelo
1.02
Espinho
1.02
Uniao Nogueirense
1.02
Naval 1893
1.02
Portimonense B
1.02
AD Fornos Algodres
1.02
Resende
1.02
CD Olivais e Moscavide
1.02
Silves
1.02
Vidago
1.02
Vila Caíz
1.02
Charneca Caparica
1.02
Oriental Lisboa
1.02
Angrense
1.02
Ançã
1.02
Sourense
1.02
Celoricense
1.02
AD Portomosense
1.02
Alcochetense
1.02
Fayal
1.02
Gouveia
1.02
Samora Correir
1.02
Estrela Calheta
1.02
Ribeira Brava
1.02
Aparecida GO
1.02
Mirandela
1.02
SC Celoricense
1.02
Almodôvar
1.02
Mosteirense
1.02
Águias do Moradal
1.02
Urzelinense
1.02
Celeirós
1.02
Quarteirense
1.02
AR São Martinho
1.02
Carregal
1.02
Juventude Évora
1.02
Pontassolense
1.02
Fazendense
1.02
AD Marco 09
1.00
Fátima
1.00
Marinhense
1.00
Lajense
1.00
Leça
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Beira-Mar
1.00
Estoril
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Estrela
0.50
Trofense
0.00
Vizela
0.00
Olímpico do Montijo
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Sacavenense
0.00
Eléctrico
0.00
Felgueiras 1932
0.00
Maritimo
0.00
Oliveirense
0.00
União Lamas
0.00
Camacha
0.00
Viana Alentejo
0.00
Fafe
0.00
Monção
0.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
0.00
Castrense
0.00
Bragança
0.00
Portel
0.00
Vinhais
0.00
Comércio Indústria
0.00
Peniche
0.00
Nacional
0.00
Salgueiros
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Tondela
0.00
Valpaços
0.00
Rabo Peixe
0.00
SC Covilha is 0.75 points better than Lusitano Évora 1911 in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.25).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Benfica
3.29
Amarante
3.00
Vizela
3.00
Penafiel
3.00
Comércio Indústria
3.00
SC Covilha
3.00
Casa Pia
3.00
Arouca
3.00
Valpaços
3.00
Anadia
2.67
Alverca
2.67
Vilaverdense
2.50
FC Serpa
2.50
Os Limianos
2.50
Sanjoanense
2.33
Moncarapachense
2.33
Farense
2.33
Cinfães
2.25
Sporting CP
2.14
FC Porto
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Rebordosa
2.00
Oliveira Hospital
2.00
Louletano
2.00
Atlético CP
2.00
São João Ver
2.00
Leça
2.00
Paredes
2.00
Castrense
2.00
Alpendorada
2.00
Beira-Mar
2.00
Guimaraes
2.00
Portimonense
2.00
AVS
2.00
CF Os Belenenses
1.67
União Santarém
1.67
Varzim
1.67
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Torreense
1.50
Machico
1.50
Vianense
1.50
Ferreira Zêzere
1.50
Lusitânia
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
SC Braga
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Rio Ave
1.50
Moreirense
1.33
Chaves
1.33
União de Leiria
1.33
Atlético Malveira
1.27
Vila Meã
1.27
Portalegrense
1.27
Florgrade
1.27
Correlhã
1.27
Vitória de Sernache
1.27
Nazarenos
1.27
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1.27
Valenciano
1.27
Castro Daire
1.27
Rebordelo
1.27
Espinho
1.27
Uniao Nogueirense
1.27
Naval 1893
1.27
Portimonense B
1.27
AD Fornos Algodres
1.27
Resende
1.27
CD Olivais e Moscavide
1.27
Silves
1.27
Vidago
1.27
Vila Caíz
1.27
Charneca Caparica
1.27
Oriental Lisboa
1.27
Angrense
1.27
Ançã
1.27
Sourense
1.27
Celoricense
1.27
AD Portomosense
1.27
Alcochetense
1.27
Fayal
1.27
Gouveia
1.27
Samora Correir
1.27
Estrela Calheta
1.27
Ribeira Brava
1.27
Aparecida GO
1.27
Mirandela
1.27
SC Celoricense
1.27
Almodôvar
1.27
Mosteirense
1.27
Águias do Moradal
1.27
Urzelinense
1.27
Celeirós
1.27
Quarteirense
1.27
AR São Martinho
1.27
Carregal
1.27
Juventude Évora
1.27
Pontassolense
1.27
Fazendense
1.27
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
GIL Vicente
1.25
O Elvas
1.20
Tirsense
1.14
Leixoes
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Maria da Fonte
1.00
Olímpico do Montijo
1.00
Sintrense
1.00
Maritimo
1.00
Oliveirense
1.00
União Lamas
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
Lajense
1.00
Viana Alentejo
1.00
Fafe
1.00
Monção
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Bragança
1.00
Operário
1.00
Vinhais
1.00
Santa Clara
1.00
Nacional
1.00
Salgueiros
1.00
Mafra
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Famalicao
1.00
Tondela
1.00
Academica
1.00
Brito
0.75
Vila Real
0.75
Caldas
0.67
Amora
0.50
Estrela
0.50
Trofense
0.00
Fátima
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Marinhense
0.00
Sacavenense
0.00
Eléctrico
0.00
Felgueiras 1932
0.00
Camacha
0.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
0.00
Portel
0.00
Peniche
0.00
Estoril
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Rabo Peixe
0.00
SC Covilha is 1.75 goals better than Lusitano Évora 1911 in terms of goals scored per game (3.00 vs 1.25).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Fátima
0.00
Marinhense
0.00
Operário
0.00
Estoril
0.00
GIL Vicente
0.25
Benfica
0.29
Santa Clara
0.33
FC Serpa
0.50
Atlético CP
0.50
Brito
0.50
Alpendorada
0.50
Vila Real
0.50
Famalicao
0.50
Academica
0.50
Sporting CP
0.57
Varzim
0.67
Caldas
0.67
SC Braga
0.75
São João Ver
0.83
FC Porto
1.00
Leixoes
1.00
CF Os Belenenses
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Torreense
1.00
Machico
1.00
Anadia
1.00
Rebordosa
1.00
Ferreira Zêzere
1.00
Louletano
1.00
Felgueiras 1932
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
União Santarém
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Portel
1.00
Guimaraes
1.00
Casa Pia
1.00
UD da Serra
1.00
Mafra
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Feirense
1.00
Arouca
1.00
Moreirense
1.00
Chaves
1.00
União de Leiria
1.00
O Elvas
1.20
Oliveira Hospital
1.25
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Sanjoanense
1.33
Moncarapachense
1.33
Alverca
1.33
Tirsense
1.43
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Penafiel
1.50
Lusitânia
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Rio Ave
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
AVS
1.50
SC Covilha
1.67
Cinfães
1.75
Atlético Malveira
1.79
Vila Meã
1.79
Portalegrense
1.79
Florgrade
1.79
Correlhã
1.79
Vitória de Sernache
1.79
Nazarenos
1.79
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1.79
Valenciano
1.79
Castro Daire
1.79
Rebordelo
1.79
Espinho
1.79
Uniao Nogueirense
1.79
Naval 1893
1.79
Portimonense B
1.79
AD Fornos Algodres
1.79
Resende
1.79
CD Olivais e Moscavide
1.79
Silves
1.79
Vidago
1.79
Vila Caíz
1.79
Charneca Caparica
1.79
Oriental Lisboa
1.79
Angrense
1.79
Ançã
1.79
Sourense
1.79
Celoricense
1.79
AD Portomosense
1.79
Alcochetense
1.79
Fayal
1.79
Gouveia
1.79
Samora Correir
1.79
Estrela Calheta
1.79
Ribeira Brava
1.79
Aparecida GO
1.79
Mirandela
1.79
SC Celoricense
1.79
Almodôvar
1.79
Mosteirense
1.79
Águias do Moradal
1.79
Urzelinense
1.79
Celeirós
1.79
Quarteirense
1.79
AR São Martinho
1.79
Carregal
1.79
Juventude Évora
1.79
Pontassolense
1.79
Fazendense
1.79
Amarante
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Vianense
2.00
Olímpico do Montijo
2.00
Académico do Fundão
2.00
Sintrense
2.00
Sacavenense
2.00
Eléctrico
2.00
Maritimo
2.00
Oliveirense
2.00
União Lamas
2.00
Leça
2.00
Camacha
2.00
Viana Alentejo
2.00
Monção
2.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
2.00
Beira-Mar
2.00
Bragança
2.00
Vinhais
2.00
Peniche
2.00
Nacional
2.00
Salgueiros
2.00
Tondela
2.00
Farense
2.00
Vilaverdense
2.50
Os Limianos
2.50
Amora
2.50
Lajense
2.67
Trofense
3.00
Paredes
3.00
Rabo Peixe
3.00
Vizela
4.00
Fafe
4.00
Castrense
4.00
Comércio Indústria
4.00
Estrela
4.00
Valpaços
5.00
SC Covilha is 0.42 goals worse than Lusitano Évora 1911 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.25).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Sporting CP
59%
Rio Ave
42%
Benfica
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
SC Covilha
For 5.7 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 13.2 · Total 25.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lusitano Évora 1911
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
SC Covilha
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (39)
10.6
11.2
9.9
3.5
3.2
3.7
28.2
29.8
26.8
vs Stronger (20)
11.1
11.2
11.0
2.7
3.5
1.8
26.3
29.7
21.2
vs Similar (19)
10.2
11.3
9.4
4.3
3.0
5.7
29.5
29.8
29.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
64%
83%
46%
49%
48%
50%
84%
92%
77%
% under line
36%
17%
54%
51%
52%
50%
16%
8%
23%
This opponent (Lusitano Évora 1911) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lusitano Évora 1911
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (7)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (SC Covilha) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Portimonense
12.2
Penafiel
11.6
Oliveirense
11.5
União de Leiria
10.8
Vilaverdense
10.8
Torreense
10.8
Farense
10.7
Vizela
10.6
SC Covilha
10.6
Trofense
10.6
Chaves
10.5
Famalicao
10.4
Nacional
10.4
Rio Ave
10.2
Arouca
10.1
Academico Viseu
10.1
Lusitânia Lourosa
10.0
Guimaraes
9.9
Feirense
9.7
Benfica
9.6
Estrela
9.6
Leixoes
9.5
Felgueiras 1932
9.5
Sporting CP
9.5
CF Os Belenenses
9.3
Casa Pia
9.3
Tondela
9.2
Maritimo
9.1
FC Porto
9.1
SC Braga
9.0
Estoril
8.9
AVS
8.7
Pacos Ferreira
8.7
GIL Vicente
8.6
Mafra
8.5
Moreirense
8.3
Santa Clara
8.2
Alverca
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Trofense
7.1
Santa Clara
6.4
Felgueiras 1932
6.4
Pacos Ferreira
6.2
FC Porto
6.0
Sporting CP
5.8
Oliveirense
5.7
Leixoes
5.7
Famalicao
5.7
Casa Pia
5.7
União de Leiria
5.7
Vizela
5.6
Lusitânia Lourosa
5.6
Chaves
5.6
Farense
5.6
Portimonense
5.5
Torreense
5.5
Guimaraes
5.5
Maritimo
5.5
Arouca
5.5
SC Covilha
5.4
AVS
5.4
Estrela
5.3
Feirense
5.2
Moreirense
5.2
Benfica
5.2
Penafiel
5.1
Nacional
5.1
Rio Ave
5.0
Tondela
5.0
Academico Viseu
4.9
GIL Vicente
4.9
Vilaverdense
4.8
Alverca
4.8
SC Braga
4.6
CF Os Belenenses
4.5
Estoril
4.5
Mafra
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Trofense
32.3
Famalicao
31.2
Estrela
30.7
Santa Clara
29.9
Moreirense
29.7
Vilaverdense
28.5
Estoril
28.4
Farense
28.2
SC Covilha
28.2
Guimaraes
28.2
Rio Ave
28.2
GIL Vicente
27.7
Casa Pia
27.7
AVS
27.6
Arouca
27.6
Lusitânia Lourosa
27.5
Nacional
27.4
Sporting CP
26.5
FC Porto
26.4
SC Braga
25.5
CF Os Belenenses
25.0
Benfica
24.5
Tondela
20.2
Leixoes
18.2
Pacos Ferreira
18.0
Portimonense
17.3
Oliveirense
16.6
Academico Viseu
16.4
União de Leiria
16.4
Vizela
15.9
Alverca
15.5
Feirense
15.4
Maritimo
15.0
Mafra
14.9
Chaves
14.3
Penafiel
13.4
Felgueiras 1932
13.0
Torreense
10.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
46.2%
Under 9.5
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
58.0%
Under 3.5
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
70.5%
Under 21.5
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
SC Covilha or Draw✗ Miss
57.8%
Avg Implied -
34%
24%
42%
covers SC Covilha + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
SC Covilha or Lusitano Évora 1911✓ Hit
75.8%
Avg Implied -
34%
24%
42%
covers SC Covilha + Lusitano Évora 1911
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Lusitano Évora 1911✓ Hit
66.4%
Avg Implied -
34%
24%
42%
covers Draw + Lusitano Évora 1911
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
SC Covilha over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
80.4%
Under
19.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Covilha over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
48.4%
Under
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Covilha over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
22.4%
Under
77.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Covilha over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.3%
Under
91.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lusitano Évora 1911 over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.1%
Under
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lusitano Évora 1911 over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
54.8%
Under
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lusitano Évora 1911 over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
27.9%
Under
72.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lusitano Évora 1911 over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
11.5%
Under
88.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to SC Covilha, so a minus line means SC Covilha give that many goals of a start and Lusitano Évora 1911 receive them. At -1, SC Covilha must win by two or more to land; a one-goal SC Covilha win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Lusitano Évora 1911) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lusitano Évora 1911
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.71
0.71
0.80
0.40
0.50
1.50
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (5)
0.80
0.40
0.80
0.40
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Covilha) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SC Covilha over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Covilha over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Covilha over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lusitano Évora 1911 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lusitano Évora 1911 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lusitano Évora 1911 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
SC Covilha
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.67
0.71
0.47
0.62
0.92
vs Stronger (14)
0.79
0.71
0.80
0.40
0.75
1.50
vs Similar (16)
0.56
0.62
0.57
0.57
0.56
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Lusitano Évora 1911) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lusitano Évora 1911
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.71
0.29
1.00
0.40
3.50
0.00
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (5)
1.00
0.40
1.00
0.40
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
6.00
0.00
-
-
6.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
71% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Covilha) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SC Covilha over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Covilha over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Covilha over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lusitano Évora 1911 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lusitano Évora 1911 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lusitano Évora 1911 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
TOR (32)
€19m
AV (27)
€16m
MAR (27)
€16m
VIZ (29)
€12m
TON (20)
€10m
UDL (25)
€10m
CHA (22)
€9m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
POR (20)
€6m
LEI (21)
€6m
PEN (23)
€5m
F1 (20)
€5m
LL (19)
€5m
FEI (17)
€4m
ACA (11)
€2m
PF (13)
€2m
OLI (7)
€1m
AMA (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
AV (11)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
MAR (10)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
MOR (5)
€5m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
CHA (5)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
POR (7)
€2m
LEI (7)
€2m
PEN (8)
€1m
F1 (4)
€1m
ACA (6)
€1m
FEI (6)
€1m
LL (6)
€1m
PF (3)
€1m
AMA (1)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
MAR (6)
€3m
EST (5)
€3m
AV (6)
€3m
CHA (5)
€2m
TOR (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
UDL (7)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
F1 (6)
€1m
LEI (3)
€1m
POR (5)
€1m
LL (2)
€1m
AMA (3)
€1m
FEI (3)
€1m
PF (2)
€0m
PEN (2)
€0m
ACA (1)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
TOR (15)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
TON (9)
€6m
MAR (11)
€6m
AV (10)
€6m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
PEN (13)
€3m
LL (11)
€3m
AVS (10)
€3m
FEI (8)
€3m
LEI (11)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
F1 (10)
€2m
OLI (5)
€1m
ACA (4)
€1m
PF (8)
€1m
AMA (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🤝 15. Games History
H2H record
No previous meetings
0
SC wins
0
Draws
0
LÉ1 wins
Head-to-head
SC Covilha vs Lusitano Évora 1911 · H/A from SC
Date
H/A
Game
Score
No games.
SC Covilha
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
18/10/25
H
SC Vs Uniao Nogueirense
1-0
20/09/25
A
Ovarense Vs SC
2-2
24/11/24
H
SC Vs Rebordosa
2-3
20/10/24
H
SC Vs Moncarapachense
3-2
22/09/24
H
SC Vs Pombal
4-0
25/05/23
A
Moreirense Vs SC
6-4
20/05/23
H
SC Vs Trofense
0-2
14/05/23
A
Vilafranquense Vs SC
0-0
06/05/23
H
SC Vs Oliveirense
2-1
30/04/23
A
Belenenses Vs SC
0-1
Lusitano Évora 1911
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
19/10/25
H
LÉ1 Vs CD Olivais e Moscavide
4-1
21/09/25
H
LÉ1 Vs FC Serpa
1-0
06/09/25
A
Lajense Vs LÉ1
1-7
15/01/25
A
SC Braga Vs LÉ1
2-1
23/11/24
H
LÉ1 Vs AVS
3-2
20/10/24
H
LÉ1 Vs Estoril
0-0
22/09/24
H
LÉ1 Vs Academico Viseu
1-1
📊 16. Overall Statistics
SC Covilha
Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WWLDW
0.97
Home
LWWLW
1.14
Away
LWDLD
0.78
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
26%
33%
17%
AVG goals
2.74
2.52
3.00
Over 1.5 %
77%
76%
78%
Over 2.5 %
49%
52%
44%
Over 3.5 %
28%
19%
39%
Scored
1.10
1.10
1.11
Conceded
1.64
1.43
1.89
BTTS
49%
48%
50%
Clean Sheet
26%
29%
22%
Corners
10.56
11.25
9.92
Cards
5.40
5.67
5.15
Lusitano Évora 1911
Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WLWWW
2.00
Home
DDWWW
2.20
Away
LW
1.50
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
57%
60%
50%
AVG goals
3.43
2.60
5.50
Over 1.5 %
71%
60%
100%
Over 2.5 %
57%
40%
100%
Over 3.5 %
43%
40%
50%
Scored
2.43
1.80
4.00
Conceded
1.00
0.80
1.50
BTTS
71%
60%
100%
Clean Sheet
29%
40%
0%
Corners
-
-
-
Cards
-
-
-
🏆 17. League Table
Neither club has a league record for this season yet, so there is no table to show.