This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.90
0.80
1.80
0.93
2.00
vs Stronger (21)
0.86
1.95
0.78
1.78
0.92
2.08
vs Similar (9)
0.89
1.78
0.83
1.83
1.00
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Paderborn 07) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.4%
Under 1.5
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.3%
@ 1.48-8.1%
Under 2.5
44.7%
@ 2.56+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.9%
Under 3.5
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.0%
No
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.5%
1-0
10.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-0 ✓
8.9%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
6.4%
4-0
4.7%
SC Paderborn 07 goals ↓
Regensburg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.4%
3.3%
1.6%
0.4%
0.1%
1
11%
9.9%
3.5%
0.9%
0.2%
2
13%
9.6%
3.7%
0.9%
0.2%
3
8.9%
6.8%
2.6%
0.7%
0.1%
4
4.7%
3.6%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SC Paderborn 07 goals (down), columns = Regensburg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
1. FC Köln
1.87
Hamburger SV
1.76
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.71
Hannover 96
1.66
SC Paderborn 07
1.66
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.66
SV Elversberg
1.63
1. FC Magdeburg
1.58
Karlsruher SC
1.58
FC Saarbrücken
1.50
1. FC Nürnberg
1.50
Hertha BSC
1.34
SV Darmstadt 98
1.21
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.21
FC Schalke 04
1.18
Preußen Münster
1.16
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.02
Ulm
0.88
SSV Ulm 1846
0.88
Jahn Regensburg
0.74
Regensburg
0.74
SC Paderborn 07 is 0.92 points better than Regensburg in terms of average points per game (1.66 vs 0.74).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hamburger SV
2.39
1. FC Nürnberg
1.92
SV Elversberg
1.87
1. FC Magdeburg
1.79
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.74
Karlsruher SC
1.68
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.66
SV Darmstadt 98
1.63
SC Paderborn 07
1.61
1. FC Köln
1.53
Hertha BSC
1.47
FC Schalke 04
1.47
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.37
Hannover 96
1.29
Preußen Münster
1.24
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.07
Ulm
1.06
SSV Ulm 1846
1.06
FC Saarbrücken
1.00
Jahn Regensburg
0.68
Regensburg
0.68
SC Paderborn 07 is 0.93 goals better than Regensburg in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 0.68).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Saarbrücken
1.00
Hannover 96
1.03
1. FC Köln
1.03
SV Elversberg
1.08
Preußen Münster
1.18
SC Paderborn 07
1.21
Hamburger SV
1.24
1. FC Magdeburg
1.39
Ulm
1.41
SSV Ulm 1846
1.41
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.45
Hertha BSC
1.50
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.50
Karlsruher SC
1.55
SV Darmstadt 98
1.61
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.63
1. FC Nürnberg
1.66
FC Schalke 04
1.71
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.77
Jahn Regensburg
2.09
Regensburg
2.09
SC Paderborn 07 is 0.88 goals better than Regensburg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 2.09).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
1. FC Magdeburg
58%
Hamburger SV
55%
FC Schalke 04
54%
Hertha BSC
53%
FC Saarbrücken
53%
1. FC Köln
53%
SV Elversberg
52%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
52%
SC Paderborn 07
52%
SV Darmstadt 98
52%
1. FC Nürnberg
51%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
50%
Hannover 96
49%
Karlsruher SC
49%
SSV Ulm 1846
46%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
46%
Eintracht Braunschweig
45%
Preußen Münster
43%
Jahn Regensburg
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
SC Paderborn 07
For 5.2 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 11.9 · Total 23.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
R
Regensburg
For 4.8 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 2.1 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 12.9 · Total 27.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SC Paderborn 07
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.7
10.2
3.9
3.6
4.1
22.1
22.0
22.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (38)
10.6
11.2
10.0
3.7
3.1
4.2
22.2
21.3
22.9
vs Weaker (12)
10.1
9.3
11.0
4.5
5.2
3.8
22.1
24.0
19.8
% over line
59%
68%
50%
58%
52%
64%
55%
45%
64%
% under line
41%
32%
50%
42%
48%
36%
45%
55%
36%
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.4
8.9
4.7
4.8
4.6
25.9
27.0
24.8
vs Stronger (37)
9.3
9.7
9.0
4.9
4.9
5.0
25.1
26.1
24.1
vs Similar (13)
8.8
8.9
8.7
4.2
4.7
3.5
28.2
29.3
26.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
44%
48%
40%
76%
76%
76%
78%
84%
72%
% under line
56%
52%
60%
24%
24%
24%
22%
16%
28%
This opponent (SC Paderborn 07) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Preußen Münster
11.6
1. FC Nürnberg
11.4
1. FC Köln
11.4
Hamburger SV
11.2
Hertha BSC
10.8
Fortuna Düsseldorf
10.7
Ulm
10.6
SSV Ulm 1846
10.6
SC Paderborn 07
10.5
1. FC Kaiserslautern
10.5
1. FC Magdeburg
10.4
SV Elversberg
10.4
Karlsruher SC
10.3
Hannover 96
10.0
FC Schalke 04
10.0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
9.9
Eintracht Braunschweig
9.7
SV Darmstadt 98
9.3
Regensburg
9.2
Jahn Regensburg
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ulm
6.9
SSV Ulm 1846
6.9
Jahn Regensburg
5.4
1. FC Nürnberg
5.4
1. FC Magdeburg
5.0
Hamburger SV
5.0
FC Schalke 04
5.0
Preußen Münster
4.9
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4.8
SV Darmstadt 98
4.8
Regensburg
4.7
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4.7
1. FC Köln
4.7
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4.5
SV Elversberg
4.4
Eintracht Braunschweig
4.4
Hannover 96
4.3
SC Paderborn 07
4.3
Hertha BSC
4.3
Karlsruher SC
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SSV Ulm 1846
26.9
Ulm
26.6
Regensburg
25.9
Jahn Regensburg
25.8
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
25.5
Preußen Münster
25.4
Hannover 96
24.7
1. FC Kaiserslautern
24.5
1. FC Nürnberg
24.3
1. FC Magdeburg
24.3
SV Darmstadt 98
23.7
Hamburger SV
23.2
FC Schalke 04
23.2
Hertha BSC
23.0
1. FC Köln
22.7
Eintracht Braunschweig
22.6
SC Paderborn 07
22.0
SV Elversberg
21.9
Fortuna Düsseldorf
21.8
Karlsruher SC
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
59.6%
Under 9.5
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
73.2%
Under 3.5
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
59.6%
Under 21.5
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
SC Paderborn 07
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.60
0.53
0.47
0.60
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.59
0.68
0.58
0.58
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (8)
0.50
0.38
0.33
0.00
0.60
0.60
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.93
0.33
0.80
0.40
1.07
vs Stronger (21)
0.29
0.90
0.11
0.67
0.42
1.08
vs Similar (9)
0.56
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Paderborn 07) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SC Paderborn 07 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Paderborn 07 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Paderborn 07 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
SC Paderborn 07
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.77
0.87
0.67
1.20
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.05
0.91
0.92
0.83
1.20
1.00
vs Weaker (8)
1.00
0.38
0.67
0.00
1.20
0.60
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.97
0.47
1.00
0.53
0.93
vs Stronger (21)
0.57
1.05
0.67
1.11
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (9)
0.33
0.78
0.17
0.83
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Paderborn 07) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SC Paderborn 07 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Paderborn 07 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Paderborn 07 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
SC Paderborn 07
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adriano Grimaldi29%
Marvin Mehlem25%
Filip Bilbija23%
Koen Kostons20%
Raphael Obermair17%
Ilyas Ansah17%
Sven Michel14%
Calvin Brackelmann13%
Felix Platte10%
Sebastian Klaas10%
Felix Götze9%
David Kinsombi8%
Aaron Zehnter6%
Laurin Curda5%
Tjark Lasse Scheller3%
Santiago Castaneda3%
Manuel Riemann0%
Markus Schubert0%
Pelle Boevink0%
Visar Musliu0%
Marcel Hoffmeier0%
Casper Terho0%
Luca Herrmann0%
Adrian Bravo-Sanchez0%
Mika Baur0%
Mattes Hansen0%
Anton Bäuerle0%
Luis Engelns0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Casper Terho27%
Laurin Curda27%
Sven Michel25%
Marvin Mehlem25%
Adrian Bravo-Sanchez20%
Tjark Lasse Scheller19%
Ilyas Ansah17%
Luis Engelns15%
Felix Götze15%
Sebastian Klaas15%
Santiago Castaneda15%
Visar Musliu14%
Marcel Hoffmeier13%
Mika Baur12%
Filip Bilbija11%
Felix Platte10%
Luca Herrmann10%
Calvin Brackelmann9%
Raphael Obermair9%
Manuel Riemann8%
Mattes Hansen7%
Adriano Grimaldi3%
Aaron Zehnter3%
David Kinsombi0%
Markus Schubert0%
Pelle Boevink0%
Koen Kostons0%
Anton Bäuerle0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aaron Zehnter33%
Filip Bilbija20%
Raphael Obermair17%
Marvin Mehlem12%
Ilyas Ansah11%
Adriano Grimaldi10%
Casper Terho9%
Sven Michel7%
Mattes Hansen7%
Felix Götze6%
Santiago Castaneda3%
David Kinsombi0%
Felix Platte0%
Manuel Riemann0%
Markus Schubert0%
Sebastian Klaas0%
Pelle Boevink0%
Koen Kostons0%
Visar Musliu0%
Marcel Hoffmeier0%
Laurin Curda0%
Luca Herrmann0%
Calvin Brackelmann0%
Tjark Lasse Scheller0%
Adrian Bravo-Sanchez0%
Mika Baur0%
Anton Bäuerle0%
Luis Engelns0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adriano Grimaldi26%
Filip Bilbija26%
Calvin Brackelmann17%
Sven Michel11%
Felix Platte10%
Aaron Zehnter9%
Marvin Mehlem6%
Felix Götze3%
Santiago Castaneda3%
Raphael Obermair3%
Ilyas Ansah3%
David Kinsombi0%
Manuel Riemann0%
Markus Schubert0%
Sebastian Klaas0%
Pelle Boevink0%
Koen Kostons0%
Visar Musliu0%
Marcel Hoffmeier0%
Casper Terho0%
Laurin Curda0%
Luca Herrmann0%
Tjark Lasse Scheller0%
Adrian Bravo-Sanchez0%
Mika Baur0%
Mattes Hansen0%
Anton Bäuerle0%
Luis Engelns0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Köln
Hamburger SV
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Hannover 96
1. FC Kaiserslautern
SV Elversberg
1. FC Magdeburg
Karlsruher SC
1. FC Nürnberg
Hertha BSC
SV Darmstadt 98
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
FC Schalke 04
Preußen Münster
Eintracht Braunschweig
SSV Ulm 1846
Jahn Regensburg
FC Saarbrücken