Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz’s home form shows a modest 1.5 goals per game while conceding 1.75, suggesting a vulnerable defense that could be exploited. SKU Amstetten, playing away, averages 1.36 scored and 1.57 conceded against similar opposition, indicating a slightly sharper attack but still vulnerable at the back. The model predicts a high-scoring affair with an average of 3.2 goals, and the most likely total is three goals, a 22% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying an 11.3% probability, and the model favours a home win.
Home win probability stands at 40%, a draw at 25%, and an away win at 34%. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 goals at 98.2%, Under 6.5 at 95.2%, Away under 3.5 goals at 92.8%, Home under 3.5 goals at 90.7%, Under 5.5 at 88.9%, Over 2.5 cards at 88.1%, Over 1.5 goals at 84.5%, and Home +2 handicap at 83.0%. Each pick is presented with its exact probability, reflecting the model’s confidence in these outcomes.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz win
40.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
25.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten win
34.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.93
1.43
1.57
1.12
2.25
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
2.50
1.00
0.50
1.50
4.50
vs Similar (25)
1.12
1.92
1.50
1.75
0.77
2.08
vs Weaker (1)
5.00
0.00
-
-
5.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (SKU Amstetten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SKU Amstetten
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.27
1.60
1.07
1.33
1.47
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
1.33
2.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
1.44
1.26
1.54
0.92
1.36
1.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.5%
Under 1.5
15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63.0%
Under 2.5
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
40.8%
Under 3.5
59.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
65.4%
No
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
5.6%
1-0
5.6%
0-1
5.0%
0-0
4.9%
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz goals ↓
SKU Amstetten goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.9%
5.0%
4.7%
2.4%
0.9%
1
5.6%
11%
7.9%
4.1%
1.6%
2
5.6%
8.7%
6.7%
3.5%
1.3%
3
3.2%
4.9%
3.8%
2.0%
0.8%
4
1.3%
2.1%
1.6%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz goals (down), columns = SKU Amstetten goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC BW Linz
2.40
Floridsdorfer AC
2.00
First Vienna
2.00
FC Liefering
2.00
Austria Salzburg
1.80
Wacker Innsbruck
1.80
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.80
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.40
Rapid Wien II
1.20
Sturm Graz II
1.20
Admira Wacker
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
Voitsberg
1.00
WSPG Wels
0.80
SKN ST. Polten
0.60
SV Kapfenberg
0.60
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz is 0.20 points better than SKU Amstetten in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 1.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Liefering
2.60
FC BW Linz
2.60
Sturm Graz II
2.00
Austria Salzburg
2.00
Floridsdorfer AC
1.80
First Vienna
1.80
Voitsberg
1.40
Wacker Innsbruck
1.40
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.40
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.20
SV Kapfenberg
1.20
Rapid Wien II
1.20
WSPG Wels
1.20
Admira Wacker
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
SKN ST. Polten
0.20
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and SKU Amstetten are level in goals scored per game (both 1.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC BW Linz
0.60
SKN ST. Polten
0.80
Wacker Innsbruck
1.00
Admira Wacker
1.00
Floridsdorfer AC
1.20
First Vienna
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.20
Austria Salzburg
1.40
FC Liefering
1.60
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
2.00
Voitsberg
2.00
WSPG Wels
2.00
Rapid Wien II
2.20
SV Kapfenberg
2.40
Sturm Graz II
2.60
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz is 0.80 goals worse than SKU Amstetten in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
SKU Amstetten
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (9)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (39)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (SKU Amstetten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SKU Amstetten
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
10.8
7.8
1.0
0.9
1.0
25.5
23.8
27.2
vs Stronger (5)
12.0
12.0
-
0.8
1.0
0.0
13.0
13.0
-
vs Similar (45)
8.9
10.3
7.8
1.0
0.9
1.1
27.3
27.3
27.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
75%
25%
14%
16%
12%
50%
50%
50%
% under line
50%
25%
75%
86%
84%
88%
50%
50%
50%
This opponent (Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
SKN ST. Polten
10.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
10.5
FC Liefering
10.3
SV Kapfenberg
10.3
SKU Amstetten
10.2
First Vienna
10.1
Floridsdorfer AC
10.0
Rapid Wien II
9.7
Voitsberg
9.0
FC BW Linz
8.8
Admira Wacker
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Kapfenberg
6.5
Voitsberg
5.7
SKN ST. Polten
5.5
Floridsdorfer AC
5.4
SKU Amstetten
5.3
First Vienna
5.0
FC Liefering
4.9
Admira Wacker
4.7
FC BW Linz
4.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
4.3
Rapid Wien II
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
First Vienna
26.4
Floridsdorfer AC
26.0
Voitsberg
25.3
Austria Vienna (Am)
25.2
FC Liefering
25.1
SV Kapfenberg
24.1
SKU Amstetten
23.8
Rapid Wien II
23.8
Admira Wacker
23.3
SKN ST. Polten
22.5
FC BW Linz
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
45.3%
Under 9.5
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
74.5%
Under 3.5
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
68.2%
Under 21.5
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz or Draw
65.7%
Avg Implied -
40%
25%
34%
covers Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz or SKU Amstetten
74.8%
Avg Implied -
40%
25%
34%
covers Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz + SKU Amstetten
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or SKU Amstetten
59.5%
Avg Implied -
40%
25%
34%
covers Draw + SKU Amstetten
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz over/under 0.5
Over
81.7%
Under
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz over/under 1.5
Over
50.5%
Under
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz over/under 2.5
Over
24.2%
Under
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz over/under 3.5
Over
9.3%
Under
90.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 0.5
Over
78.8%
Under
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 1.5
Over
45.9%
Under
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 2.5
Over
20.4%
Under
79.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 3.5
Over
7.2%
Under
92.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz, so a minus line means Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz give that many goals of a start and SKU Amstetten receive them. At -1, Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz)
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz -2
9.0%
Draw -2
12.4%
SKU Amstetten +2
78.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz)
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz -1
21.4%
Draw -1
19.0%
SKU Amstetten +1
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz)
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz +1
65.7%
Draw +1
17.3%
SKU Amstetten -1
17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz)
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz +2
83.0%
Draw +2
10.4%
SKU Amstetten -2
6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.07
0.71
0.86
0.50
1.25
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.75
0.50
0.00
1.00
3.50
vs Similar (25)
0.48
1.00
0.75
1.00
0.23
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (SKU Amstetten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SKU Amstetten
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.50
0.80
0.27
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.33
1.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.59
0.52
0.69
0.23
0.50
0.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.87
0.71
0.71
0.62
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.92
0.75
0.75
0.54
1.08
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (SKU Amstetten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SKU Amstetten
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.77
0.80
0.80
0.87
0.73
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.50
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.85
0.74
0.85
0.69
0.86
0.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (17)
€5m
FBL (21)
€5m
FV (24)
€5m
AV( (23)
€5m
SSP (20)
€4m
AW (23)
€4m
RWI (24)
€4m
SGI (22)
€4m
AS (22)
€4m
SB (22)
€3m
WW (19)
€3m
SA (20)
€3m
FA (19)
€3m
SK (23)
€3m
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and SKU Amstetten have a similar squad value (both €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (4)
€3m
RWI (12)
€2m
FBL (9)
€2m
AW (7)
€2m
AV( (7)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
SGI (7)
€1m
FV (7)
€1m
SB (9)
€1m
WW (7)
€1m
SA (7)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
AS (7)
€1m
SK (7)
€1m
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and SKU Amstetten have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FV (8)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
FBL (4)
€1m
FL (6)
€1m
FA (5)
€1m
AV( (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
SB (5)
€1m
SGI (6)
€1m
SA (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
WW (4)
€1m
RWI (4)
€1m
AS (4)
€1m
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and SKU Amstetten have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AV( (11)
€2m
AS (11)
€2m
FBL (8)
€2m
AW (11)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
SGI (9)
€2m
FL (7)
€2m
WW (8)
€1m
SSP (8)
€1m
RWI (8)
€1m
SA (8)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (10)
€1m
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and SKU Amstetten have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Austria: 2. Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC BW Linz
FC Liefering
First Vienna
Floridsdorfer AC
Austria Salzburg
Wacker Innsbruck
Austria Vienna (Am)
Admira Wacker
Sturm Graz II
Rapid Wien II
Voitsberg
WSPG Wels
SKN ST. Polten
SV Kapfenberg