This match between Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and SV Kapfenberg is finely balanced, with both sides having recent form storylines that could influence the outcome. Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz suffered two consecutive defeats, while SV Kapfenberg is coming off a loss, but the home side has a slight edge in the model's prediction, with a 41% chance of a home win, compared to 33% for SV Kapfenberg and 26% for a draw.
The expected total number of goals is 3.1, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The model's selection is a home win, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1, occurring 12% of the time.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz has been scoring an average of 1.12 goals at home, while conceding 1.88 goals per match, when facing opponents of similar strength. SV Kapfenberg, on the other hand, has been scoring 0.92 goals away from home, while conceding 1.69 goals per match, when facing opponents of similar strength.
The model's selection for this match is a home win, with a 41% probability. The model also suggests selecting Over 1.5, which has an 82% chance of occurring, with a 1% edge.
The win extends Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz's run, with their home form looking strong. In a closely contested match, the Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz home win ultimately prevailed, as the final score of 3-2 confirmed. The Pythia prediction model correctly identified the favourite, backing the Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz home win with a 41% probability. The model's selection was correct, as the Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz home win was the actual result. The model also suggested the Over 1.5 goals selection, which hit with an 81.9% probability, and the most likely total goals was 2, with a 23% probability.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.30 | 1.97 | 1.23 | 1.62 | 1.35 | 2.24 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 1.40 | 2.40 | 1.33 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 4.50 |
| vs Similar (24) | 1.12 | 1.96 | 1.20 | 1.80 | 1.07 | 2.07 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 5.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 17% (-10pp vs league) | |||||
SV Kapfenberg| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.20 | 1.80 | 1.14 | 1.79 | 1.25 | 1.81 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 1.00 | 4.33 | 0.50 | 4.00 | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| vs Similar (26) | 1.12 | 1.54 | 1.25 | 1.42 | 1.00 | 1.64 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 4.00 | 1.00 | - | - | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 13% (-13pp vs league) | |||||
| SV Kapfenberg goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 12% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| 2 | 6.2% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| 3 | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
SV Kapfenberg
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Stronger (10) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (38) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Weaker (2) | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | - | - | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - |
| % under line | - | - | - | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | - | - |
SV Kapfenberg| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.0 | 8.4 | 11.1 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 22.2 | 24.6 | 20.6 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 8.5 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 14.5 | 17.0 | 12.0 |
| vs Similar (43) | 10.3 | 7.8 | 12.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 23.8 | 26.5 | 22.0 |
| vs Weaker (2) | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | 42% | 40% | 43% | 20% | 16% | 24% | 58% | 80% | 43% |
| % under line | 58% | 60% | 57% | 80% | 84% | 76% | 42% | 20% | 57% |
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.63 | 1.07 | 0.62 | 0.85 | 0.65 | 1.24 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 0.80 | 1.40 | 0.67 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.50 |
| vs Similar (24) | 0.50 | 1.04 | 0.60 | 1.10 | 0.43 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 3.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 40% (+14pp vs league) | |||||
SV Kapfenberg| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.43 | 1.17 | 0.43 | 1.21 | 0.44 | 1.12 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 0.33 | 3.67 | 0.50 | 3.00 | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| vs Similar (26) | 0.38 | 0.92 | 0.42 | 0.92 | 0.36 | 0.93 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 2.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 43% (+17pp vs league) | |||||
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.67 | 0.90 | 0.62 | 0.77 | 0.71 | 1.00 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (24) | 0.62 | 0.92 | 0.60 | 0.70 | 0.64 | 1.07 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 2.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+7pp vs league) | |||||
SV Kapfenberg| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.77 | 0.63 | 0.71 | 0.57 | 0.81 | 0.69 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (26) | 0.73 | 0.62 | 0.83 | 0.50 | 0.64 | 0.71 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 2.00 | 1.00 | - | - | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+24pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 89.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 1.5 | 81.9% | 1.14 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.15 | 1.15 | +0.8% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 19.5 fouls | 79.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 3.5 cards | 75.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 11.5 corners | 73.4% | 1.33 | 1.37 | 1.32 | 1.29 | - | - | +4.5% | - |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 24/10/25 | H | 1-1 | |
| 24/05/25 | A | 5-3 | |
| 01/12/24 | H | 4-0 | |
| 02/03/24 | A | 1-3 | |
| 12/08/23 | H | 0-2 |
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/26 | A | 5-0 | |
| 25/07/26 | A | 0-5 | |
| 14/05/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 08/05/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 03/05/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 24/04/26 | H | 2-3 | |
| 17/04/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 10/04/26 | A | 2-3 | |
| 06/04/26 | H | 1-3 | |
| 03/04/26 | A | 2-2 |
SV Kapfenberg| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/26 | H | 0-4 | |
| 25/07/26 | A | 1-4 | |
| 14/05/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 08/05/26 | H | 0-3 | |
| 02/05/26 | H | 1-4 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 17/04/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 10/04/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 06/04/26 | H | 0-2 | |
| 03/04/26 | A | 1-2 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | FC BW Linz | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 13 | 3 | +10 | 3.2 | 80% | 80% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2.6 | 0.6 | - |
| 2 | FC Liefering | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 4.2 | 100% | 100% | 80% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2.6 | 1.6 | - |
| 3 | First Vienna | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 3.0 | 60% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 4 | Floridsdorfer AC | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 3.0 | 80% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 5 | Austria Salzburg | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 1.4 | - |
| 6 | Wacker Innsbruck | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 2.4 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | - |
| 7 | Austria Vienna (Am) | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 2.6 | 80% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.2 | - |
| 8 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 3.2 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 2.0 | - |
| 9 | Admira Wacker | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 10 | SKU Amstetten | 5 | 6 | 20% | 1.2 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 2.4 | 80% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | - |
| 11 | Sturm Graz II | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 4.6 | 100% | 80% | 80% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 2.6 | - |
| 12 | Rapid Wien II | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 2.2 | - |
| 13 | Voitsberg | 5 | 5 | 20% | 1.0 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 2.0 | - |
| 14 | WSPG Wels | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 3.2 | 100% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 2.0 | - |
| 15 | SKN ST. Polten | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | - |
| 16 | SV Kapfenberg | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 3.6 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 2.4 | - |