SCR Altach is expected to win this match, with a predicted scoreline of 1-1 being the single most likely outcome, holding a 13.7% probability. The expected total number of goals is 2.4, with 2 being the most likely total goals. SCR Altach has a strong home form, scoring an average of 1 goal and conceding 1 goal when facing similar opponents. Meanwhile, WSG Wattens has a weaker away form, scoring an average of 1 goal but conceding 2 goals against similar opponents. The model's selections include Under 3.5 goals with a 77.1% probability, Over 21.5 fouls with a 72.3% probability, and Over 1.5 goals, which has already proven successful. The home win percentage is 47%, the draw percentage is 29%, and the away win percentage is 24%.
Results analysis
The win extends SCR Altach's run, with this victory coming off the back of a win in their previous match. In a low-scoring game, the final score was 3-1, with SCR Altach securing the home win. The Pythia prediction model correctly selected the home win, which had a pre-match probability of 47%.
The model's selection was correct, as it had predicted the home team to win. However, several of the model's other selections did not come to fruition. The model had suggested "Under 3.5" with a probability of 77.1%, but this was missed. It also suggested "Over 21.5 fouls" with a 72.3% probability, but this was also missed. On the other hand, "Over 1.5" was the model's selection, with a probability of 71.2%, and it was the correct outcome.
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šÆ 1. Model Analysis
SCR Altach winā Hit
47.4%
Avg Implied 47.6% · @ 1.96
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
SBO
2.08
Pinnacle
1.99
Dafabet
1.99
Superbet
1.97
1xBet
1.96
Drawā Miss
28.9%
Avg Implied 27.6% · @ 3.38
Edge
+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.54
Bet365
3.50
Dafabet
3.50
BetVictor
3.50
10Bet
3.45
WSG Wattens winā Miss
23.7%
Avg Implied 24.8% · @ 3.75
Edge
-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.03
Dafabet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.84
1xBet
3.83
BetVictor
3.80
ā½ 2. Goal Analysis
SCR Altach
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.33
1.38
1.08
1.06
1.53
vs Stronger (14)
1.07
1.43
1.29
1.57
0.86
1.29
vs Similar (15)
1.33
1.33
1.50
0.50
1.22
1.89
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
WSG Wattens
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.50
1.36
1.43
1.19
1.56
vs Stronger (13)
1.23
1.15
1.50
1.33
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (16)
1.00
1.88
1.25
1.50
0.75
2.25
vs Weaker (1)
6.00
0.00
-
-
6.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (SCR Altach) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.2%
@ 1.30-0.2%
Under 1.5
28.8%
@ 3.25+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.33
Betano
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Under
Pinnacle
3.51
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.35
BetVictor
3.30
Betfair
3.25
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.9%
@ 2.00-3.2%
Under 2.5
56.1%
@ 1.78+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.20
Unibet
2.04
Pinnacle
2.03
Betano
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.86
Bet365
1.85
10Bet
1.83
Betano
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.9%
@ 3.45-4.1%
Under 3.5
77.1%
@ 1.27+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.60
Pinnacle
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
Betfair
3.50
888Sport
3.50
Under
Pinnacle
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.0%
@ 1.80-2.7%
No
51.0%
@ 1.92+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.85
Betano
1.82
William Hil
1.80
888Sport
1.80
Bet365
1.80
No
Betfair
2.00
888Sport
1.95
Bet365
1.95
William Hil
1.95
1xBet
1.93
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%@ 6.08+6.4%
1-0
11.6%@ 6.54+4.8%
0-0
10.0%@ 8.85+5.0%
2-0
9.4%@ 8.93+4.4%
2-1
9.1%@ 7.99+3.5%
0-1
7.2%@ 9.60+2.6%
1-2
6.0%@ 11.68+2.2%
3-0
4.6%@ 16.18+1.8%
SCR Altach goals ↓
WSG Wattens goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
7.2%
4.1%
1.3%
0.3%
1
12%
14%
6.0%
1.9%
0.5%
2
9.4%
9.1%
4.4%
1.4%
0.3%
3
4.6%
4.5%
2.2%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.7%
1.6%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SCR Altach goals (down), columns = WSG Wattens goals (across).
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šŖ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
š Total PPG
Points / game
Lask Linz
3.00
Red Bull Salzburg
2.60
Rapid Vienna
2.40
Sturm Graz
1.60
WSG Wattens
1.40
TSV Hartberg
1.20
Wolfsberger AC
1.00
Austria Lustenau
1.00
Grazer AK
0.80
Ried
0.80
Austria Vienna
0.60
SCR Altach
0.60
SCR Altach is 0.80 points worse than WSG Wattens in terms of average points per game (0.60 vs 1.40).
āļø Attack
Goals scored / game
Rapid Vienna
3.00
Lask Linz
3.00
Red Bull Salzburg
2.80
WSG Wattens
1.40
Sturm Graz
1.20
Wolfsberger AC
1.20
Ried
1.20
TSV Hartberg
1.00
Austria Lustenau
1.00
SCR Altach
0.80
Austria Vienna
0.60
Grazer AK
0.40
SCR Altach is 0.60 goals worse than WSG Wattens in terms of goals scored per game (0.80 vs 1.40).
š”ļø Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lask Linz
0.40
Red Bull Salzburg
0.60
Sturm Graz
1.00
Wolfsberger AC
1.20
Rapid Vienna
1.40
WSG Wattens
1.40
TSV Hartberg
1.60
SCR Altach
1.60
Austria Lustenau
1.80
Austria Vienna
2.00
Ried
2.00
Grazer AK
2.60
SCR Altach is 0.20 goals worse than WSG Wattens in terms of goals conceded per game (1.60 vs 1.40).
ā±ļø Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
66%
Lask Linz
58%
Rapid Vienna
56%
Sturm Graz
55%
Ried
52%
Grazer AK
50%
SCR Altach
49%
Austria Vienna
45%
WSG Wattens
45%
TSV Hartberg
42%
Wolfsberger AC
42%
Austria Lustenau
41%
SCR Altach is 4.6 percentage points better than WSG Wattens in terms of average possession (49% vs 45%).
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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š„ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
āļø 7. Handicap
ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U
SCR Altach
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.40
0.62
0.31
0.71
0.47
vs Stronger (14)
0.71
0.64
0.71
0.57
0.71
0.71
vs Similar (15)
0.67
0.20
0.50
0.00
0.78
0.33
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
WSG Wattens
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.80
0.64
0.86
0.38
0.75
vs Stronger (13)
0.23
0.77
0.50
0.83
0.00
0.71
vs Similar (16)
0.62
0.88
0.75
0.88
0.50
0.88
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (SCR Altach) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SCR Altach over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SCR Altach over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SCR Altach over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U
SCR Altach
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.93
0.77
0.77
0.35
1.06
vs Stronger (14)
0.36
0.79
0.57
1.00
0.14
0.57
vs Similar (15)
0.67
1.13
1.00
0.50
0.44
1.56
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
WSG Wattens
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.70
0.71
0.57
0.81
0.81
vs Stronger (13)
1.00
0.38
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.29
vs Similar (16)
0.38
1.00
0.50
0.62
0.25
1.38
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
-
-
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (SCR Altach) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SCR Altach over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SCR Altach over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SCR Altach over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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š„ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Miss
Under 11.5 corners
81.2%
1.18
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Unibet
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.12
+3.6%
ā Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 3.5
77.1%
1.27
Pinnacle
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
+4.1%
ā Miss
Under 5.5 cards
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 10.5 corners
71.7%
1.31
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Unibet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.25
+1.7%
ā Hit
Over 1.5
71.2%
1.30
Unibet
1.33
Betano
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.31
-0.2%
ā Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
š½ 13. Player market rates
SCR Altach
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yann Massombo33%
Patrick Greil20%
Ousmane Diawara20%
Marko Raguž0%
Vesel Demaku0%
Benedikt Zech0%
Mike-Steven BƤhre0%
Lukas JƤger0%
Dejan StojanoviÄ0%
Benjamin Bƶckle0%
SrÄan HrstiÄ0%
Niklas Niehoff0%
Yanis Eisschill0%
Filip Milojevic0%
Erkin Yalcin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Patrick Greil40%
Filip Milojevic40%
Benedikt Zech25%
Vesel Demaku20%
Lukas JƤger20%
Ousmane Diawara20%
Niklas Niehoff20%
Marko Raguž0%
Mike-Steven BƤhre0%
Dejan StojanoviÄ0%
Benjamin Bƶckle0%
Yann Massombo0%
SrÄan HrstiÄ0%
Yanis Eisschill0%
Erkin Yalcin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Niklas Niehoff40%
Benjamin Bƶckle20%
Marko Raguž0%
Patrick Greil0%
Vesel Demaku0%
Benedikt Zech0%
Mike-Steven BƤhre0%
Lukas JƤger0%
Dejan StojanoviÄ0%
Ousmane Diawara0%
Yann Massombo0%
SrÄan HrstiÄ0%
Yanis Eisschill0%
Filip Milojevic0%
Erkin Yalcin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Patrick Greil40%
Ousmane Diawara20%
Filip Milojevic20%
Marko Raguž0%
Vesel Demaku0%
Benedikt Zech0%
Mike-Steven BƤhre0%
Lukas JƤger0%
Dejan StojanoviÄ0%
Benjamin Bƶckle0%
Yann Massombo0%
SrÄan HrstiÄ0%
Niklas Niehoff0%
Yanis Eisschill0%
Erkin Yalcin0%
WSG Wattens
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
M. Olakigbe40%
Marc Striednig25%
Husein BaliÄ20%
Nikolai Frederiksen20%
Drew Murray20%
D. Gugganig0%
Murat Satin0%
Nemanja ÄeliÄ0%
Thomas Goiginger0%
Lukas Hinterseer0%
M. Boras0%
D. Kubatta0%
S. HamziÄ0%
Raphael Gschƶsser0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Raphael Gschƶsser50%
Drew Murray40%
Marc Striednig25%
Nemanja ÄeliÄ20%
M. Olakigbe20%
D. Gugganig0%
Murat Satin0%
Thomas Goiginger0%
Husein BaliÄ0%
Lukas Hinterseer0%
Nikolai Frederiksen0%
M. Boras0%
D. Kubatta0%
S. HamziÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Raphael Gschƶsser25%
Thomas Goiginger20%
M. Boras20%
M. Olakigbe20%
D. Gugganig0%
Murat Satin0%
Nemanja ÄeliÄ0%
Husein BaliÄ0%
Lukas Hinterseer0%
Nikolai Frederiksen0%
D. Kubatta0%
S. HamziÄ0%
Drew Murray0%
Marc Striednig0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikolai Frederiksen40%
Husein BaliÄ20%
Lukas Hinterseer20%
D. Gugganig0%
Murat Satin0%
Nemanja ÄeliÄ0%
Thomas Goiginger0%
M. Boras0%
M. Olakigbe0%
D. Kubatta0%
S. HamziÄ0%
Drew Murray0%
Marc Striednig0%
Raphael Gschƶsser0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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š° 14. Squad value
š° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
GA (23)
€9m
SA (23)
€9m
RIE (24)
€7m
WW (22)
€7m
AL (22)
€5m
SCR Altach's squad is €2m more valuable than WSG Wattens's (€9m vs €7m).
āļø Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
AL (10)
€2m
RIE (7)
€2m
GA (7)
€2m
SCR Altach and WSG Wattens have a similar attack value (both €4m).
š§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
RIE (8)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
SA (3)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
AL (3)
€1m
SCR Altach and WSG Wattens have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
š”ļø Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
GA (13)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
RIE (9)
€3m
AL (9)
€2m
SCR Altach's defence is €2m more valuable than WSG Wattens's (€4m vs €3m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →
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Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
Rapid Vienna
Sturm Graz
TSV Hartberg
Wolfsberger AC
Austria Lustenau
Ried
Grazer AK
Austria Vienna