PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Sektzia Nes Tziona vs Hapoel Afula Result & Analysis

Date: 24/11/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 2-2
Sektzia Nes Tziona
Sektzia Nes Tziona
Vs
48%
28%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hapoel Afula
Hapoel Afula
Israel: Liga Leumit
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sektzia Nes Tziona win✗ Miss
47.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Afula win✗ Miss
24.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Sektzia Nes TzionaSektzia Nes Tziona

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L10W11D01L02L11D15L10W25L11DH·BEI29/04A·HAP06/05H·BNE13/05A·IRO24/08H·HAP04/09A·MAC07/09A·HAP14/09H·HAP21/09A·HAP28/09A·HAP17/11← Ligat Ha'alLiga Leumit →
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.770.771.621.121.88
vs Stronger (9)0.672.000.252.001.002.00
vs Similar (21)1.101.671.001.441.171.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Afula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L03L15L13L20W11D04L11D11D01LH·KAF05/05A·HAP12/05A·MAC24/08H·IHU31/08A·HAP07/09H·KAF18/09A·IRO21/09H·IRO02/10A·HAP05/10H·MAC20/11
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.601.531.331.071.87
vs Stronger (10)1.401.902.001.800.802.00
vs Similar (20)1.251.451.301.101.201.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Sektzia Nes Tziona) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.6%
Under 1.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.3%
Under 2.5
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.5%
Under 3.5
73.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.5%
No
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-2 ✓
4.9%
Sektzia Nes Tziona goals ↓
Hapoel Afula goals →
01234
08.6%6.5%4.1%1.4%0.4%
110%13%6.3%2.2%0.6%
29.0%9.4%4.9%1.7%0.5%
34.7%4.9%2.6%0.9%0.2%
41.8%1.9%1.0%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sektzia Nes Tziona goals (down), columns = Hapoel Afula goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
2.05
Ironi Tiberias
1.95
Bnei Yehuda
1.95
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.70
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.38
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.35
Hapoel Acre
1.35
Maccabi Herzliya
1.35
Kafr Qasim
1.27
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1.24
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.19
Hapoel Afula
1.16
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.16
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.13
Sektzia Nes Tziona
1.08
Tira
1.00
Ihud Bnei Shfaram
0.54
Sektzia Nes Tziona is 0.08 points worse than Hapoel Afula in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.16).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bnei Yehuda
1.92
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.84
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.78
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.73
Ironi Tiberias
1.68
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.68
Hapoel Acre
1.46
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.27
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1.27
Kafr Qasim
1.19
Hapoel Afula
1.19
Sektzia Nes Tziona
1.19
Maccabi Herzliya
1.16
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.00
Ihud Bnei Shfaram
1.00
Hapoel Kfar Saba
0.95
Tira
0.00
Sektzia Nes Tziona and Hapoel Afula are level in goals scored per game (both 1.19).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tira
0.00
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
0.62
Ironi Tiberias
0.92
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.05
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.16
Bnei Yehuda
1.22
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.24
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.30
Hapoel Acre
1.32
Kafr Qasim
1.35
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1.38
Hapoel Afula
1.46
Maccabi Herzliya
1.65
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.68
Sektzia Nes Tziona
1.70
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.73
Ihud Bnei Shfaram
2.51
Sektzia Nes Tziona is 0.24 goals worse than Hapoel Afula in terms of goals conceded per game (1.70 vs 1.46).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Sektzia Nes TzionaSektzia Nes Tziona

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D11D00D01L01L02L00D11D11DH·BEI29/04A·HAP06/05H·BNE13/05A·IRO24/08H·HAP04/09A·MAC07/09A·HAP14/09H·HAP21/09A·HAP28/09A·HAP17/11← Ligat Ha'alLiga Leumit →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.800.310.690.470.88
vs Stronger (9)0.221.110.001.000.401.20
vs Similar (21)0.480.670.440.560.500.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Afula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L01L01L03L10W00D04L00D10W01LH·KAF05/05A·HAP12/05A·MAC24/08H·IHU31/08A·HAP07/09H·KAF18/09A·IRO21/09H·IRO02/10A·HAP05/10H·MAC20/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.830.730.800.730.87
vs Stronger (10)0.701.201.000.800.401.60
vs Similar (20)0.750.650.600.800.900.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Sektzia Nes Tziona) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sektzia Nes Tziona over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sektzia Nes Tziona over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sektzia Nes Tziona over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Afula over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Afula over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Afula over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Sektzia Nes TzionaSektzia Nes Tziona

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L10W00D01L01L10W13L10W14L00DH·BEI29/04A·HAP06/05H·BNE13/05A·IRO24/08H·HAP04/09A·MAC07/09A·HAP14/09H·HAP21/09A·HAP28/09A·HAP17/11← Ligat Ha'alLiga Leumit →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.970.460.920.651.00
vs Stronger (9)0.440.890.251.000.600.80
vs Similar (21)0.621.000.560.890.671.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Afula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L02L14L10W10W11D00D11D01L00DH·KAF05/05A·HAP12/05A·MAC24/08H·IHU31/08A·HAP07/09H·KAF18/09A·IRO21/09H·IRO02/10A·HAP05/10H·MAC20/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.770.800.530.331.00
vs Stronger (10)0.700.701.001.000.400.40
vs Similar (20)0.500.800.700.300.301.30
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Sektzia Nes Tziona) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sektzia Nes Tziona over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sektzia Nes Tziona over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sektzia Nes Tziona over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Afula over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Afula over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Afula over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.5%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IKS (22)
€7m
HRG (26)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
BY (26)
€3m
HRL (19)
€3m
MH (22)
€2m
HA (23)
€2m
KQ (26)
€2m
HKS (22)
€2m
MKJ (18)
€1m
HA (11)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HRL (8)
€1m
BY (9)
€1m
MH (8)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
MKJ (11)
€0m
KQ (9)
€0m
HKS (4)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IKS (3)
€1m
HRG (6)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
BY (5)
€1m
KQ (8)
€1m
MH (4)
€0m
HRL (5)
€0m
HKS (7)
€0m
HA (4)
€0m
MKJ (3)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IKS (11)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
BY (12)
€1m
HKS (11)
€1m
HRL (6)
€1m
HA (10)
€1m
MH (10)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
KQ (9)
€1m
MKJ (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
SNT wins
0
Draws
0
HA wins

Head-to-head

Sektzia Nes Tziona vs Hapoel Afula · H/A from SNT
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Sektzia Nes TzionaSektzia Nes Tziona

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/11/23AHapoel Rishon LeZion Vs SNT1-1
28/09/23AHapoel Ramat HaSharon Vs SNT5-2
21/09/23HSNT Vs Hapoel Acre1-0
14/09/23AHapoel Ramat Gan Vs SNT5-1
07/09/23AMaccabi Herzliya Vs SNT1-1
04/09/23HSNT Vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm0-2
24/08/23AIroni Tiberias Vs SNT1-0
13/05/23HSNT Vs Bnei Sakhnin1-1
06/05/23AHapoel Haifa Vs SNT0-1
29/04/23HSNT Vs Beitar Jerusalem1-3

Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/11/23HHA Vs Maccabi Herzliya0-1
05/10/23AHapoel Umm al-Fahm Vs HA1-1
02/10/23HHA Vs Ironi Tiberias1-1
21/09/23AIroni Kiryat Shmona Vs HA4-0
18/09/23HHA Vs Kafr Qasim1-1
07/09/23AHapoel Kfar Saba Vs HA0-2
31/08/23HHA Vs Ihud Bnei Shfaram1-3
24/08/23AMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa Vs HA5-1
12/05/23AHapoel Nazareth Illit Vs HA3-0
05/05/23HHA Vs Kafr Qasim0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sektzia Nes Tziona
Sektzia Nes Tziona
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLD0.75
HomeLLDLW0.72
AwayLDLLD0.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %15%17%14%
AVG goals2.702.612.77
Over 1.5 %78%83%73%
Over 2.5 %38%33%41%
Over 3.5 %25%22%27%
Scored0.930.831.00
Conceded1.771.781.77
BTTS52%39%64%
Clean Sheet15%17%14%
Corners9.3110.148.67
Cards4.073.674.38
Hapoel Afula
Hapoel Afula
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDDL1.16
HomeLLDDL1.57
AwayLLWLD0.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%39%18%
AVG goals2.732.522.95
Over 1.5 %78%78%77%
Over 2.5 %47%43%50%
Over 3.5 %22%22%23%
Scored1.241.481.00
Conceded1.491.041.95
BTTS53%52%55%
Clean Sheet27%39%14%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Ironi Kiryat ShmonaIroni Kiryat Shmona3776
65%
2.1
6623+43
2.4
68%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3121.80.6
-
2Ironi TiberiasIroni Tiberias3772
54%
1.9
6234+28
2.6
78%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.70.9
-
3Bnei YehudaBnei Yehuda3772
59%
1.9
7145+26
3.1
78%
65%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.2
-
4Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit3763
49%
1.7
6239+23
2.7
76%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.1
-
5Maccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa3751
38%
1.4
6862+6
3.5
89%
68%
49%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.7
-
6Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre3750
32%
1.4
5449+5
2.8
70%
49%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.3
-
7Hapoel Ramat HaSharonHapoel Ramat HaSharon3750
35%
1.4
6464+0
3.5
86%
68%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
8Maccabi HerzliyaMaccabi Herzliya3750
35%
1.4
4361-18
2.8
81%
54%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.6
-
9Kafr QasimKafr Qasim3747
32%
1.3
4450-6
2.5
65%
41%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.4
-
10Hapoel Umm al-FahmHapoel Umm al-Fahm3746
30%
1.2
4751-4
2.6
84%
46%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
11Hapoel Ramat GanHapoel Ramat Gan3744
30%
1.2
4743+4
2.4
59%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.2
-
12Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula3743
30%
1.2
4454-10
2.6
76%
41%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.5
-
13Hapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Rishon LeZion3743
30%
1.2
3748-11
2.3
76%
38%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.01.3
-
14Hapoel Kfar SabaHapoel Kfar Saba3843
26%
1.1
3647-11
2.2
55%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0010.91.2
-
15Sektzia Nes TzionaSektzia Nes Tziona3740
27%
1.1
4463-19
2.9
81%
49%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
16Ihud Bnei ShfaramIhud Bnei Shfaram3720
14%
0.5
3793-56
3.5
81%
70%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.5
-
17TiraTira11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Israel: Liga Leumit 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Liga Leumit stats & trends →

← all matches