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Selfoss vs Fjolnir Result & Analysis

Date: 21/05/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 1-2
Selfoss
Selfoss
Vs
37%
24%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Fjolnir
Fjolnir
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Selfoss win✗ Miss
37.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir win✓ Hit
38.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SelfossSelfoss

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D21W34L01L14L53W22D20W13L32WA·THR04/08H·THO10/08A·FYL18/08H·KÓR23/08A·FJO27/08H·GRI03/09A·VES10/09H·KV17/09H·AFT05/05A·LEI12/05
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.881.831.831.501.922.17
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.841.951.601.702.112.22
vs Weaker (5)2.001.403.000.501.332.00
Clean sheet %17% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Fjolnir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FjolnirFjolnir

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D41W43W14L41W13L01L51W10W33DA·KÓR05/08A·KV12/08H·GRI18/08A·VES23/08H·SEL27/08A·HK 02/09H·GRO10/09A·AFT17/09A·ÆGI05/05H·THR11/05
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.291.672.581.422.001.92
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)2.751.253.001.332.501.17
vs Weaker (12)1.832.082.171.501.502.67
Clean sheet %17% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Selfoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%119%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.4%
Under 1.5
12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
68.0%
Under 2.5
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.4%
Under 3.5
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
69.3%
No
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%
1-2 ✓
8.2%
2-1
8.0%
2-2
7.1%
1-3
4.8%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
2-0
4.5%
Selfoss goals ↓
Fjolnir goals →
01234
03.9%4.4%4.7%2.8%1.2%
14.3%10%8.2%4.8%2.1%
24.5%8.0%7.1%4.2%1.9%
32.6%4.6%4.1%2.4%1.1%
41.1%2.0%1.8%1.0%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Selfoss goals (down), columns = Fjolnir goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
IA Akranes
2.23
Afturelding
2.00
Fjolnir
1.79
Vestri
1.76
Leiknir R.
1.46
Grindavik
1.27
Thor Akureyri
1.23
Grotta
1.18
Throttur Reykjavik
1.18
Njardvik
1.05
Selfoss
1.05
Ægir
0.41
Selfoss is 0.75 points worse than Fjolnir in terms of average points per game (1.05 vs 1.79).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Afturelding
2.60
IA Akranes
2.45
Fjolnir
2.33
Throttur Reykjavik
2.05
Leiknir R.
2.00
Selfoss
1.68
Njardvik
1.64
Vestri
1.56
Grotta
1.55
Thor Akureyri
1.23
Grindavik
1.23
Ægir
1.05
Selfoss is 0.65 goals worse than Fjolnir in terms of goals scored per game (1.68 vs 2.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vestri
1.08
Afturelding
1.36
IA Akranes
1.41
Fjolnir
1.42
Grotta
1.68
Grindavik
1.73
Leiknir R.
1.75
Thor Akureyri
1.77
Throttur Reykjavik
2.09
Njardvik
2.14
Selfoss
2.23
Ægir
3.05
Selfoss is 0.81 goals worse than Fjolnir in terms of goals conceded per game (2.23 vs 1.42).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SelfossSelfoss

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D03L01L11D22D11D00D01L11DA·THR04/08H·THO10/08A·FYL18/08H·KÓR23/08A·FJO27/08H·GRI03/09A·VES10/09H·KV17/09H·AFT05/05A·LEI12/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.750.920.670.830.831.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.740.890.500.901.000.89
vs Weaker (5)0.801.001.500.500.331.33
Clean sheet %33% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Fjolnir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FjolnirFjolnir

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W22D02L11D11D00D01L00D11DA·KÓR05/08A·KV12/08H·GRI18/08A·VES23/08H·SEL27/08A·HK 02/09H·GRO10/09A·AFT17/09A·ÆGI05/05H·THR11/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.751.330.500.671.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.080.671.330.670.830.67
vs Weaker (12)0.920.831.330.330.501.33
Clean sheet %46% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Selfoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Selfoss over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SelfossSelfoss

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W31W00D03L31W11D20W12L21WA·THR04/08H·THO10/08A·FYL18/08H·KÓR23/08A·FJO27/08H·GRI03/09A·VES10/09H·KV17/09H·AFT05/05A·LEI12/05
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.120.921.170.671.081.17
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.111.051.100.801.111.33
vs Weaker (5)1.200.401.500.001.000.67
Clean sheet %46% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Fjolnir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FjolnirFjolnir

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D21W21W12L30W02L01L50W10W22DA·KÓR05/08A·KV12/08H·GRI18/08A·VES23/08H·SEL27/08A·HK 02/09H·GRO10/09A·AFT17/09A·ÆGI05/05H·THR11/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.290.921.250.921.330.92
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.670.581.670.671.670.50
vs Weaker (12)0.921.250.831.171.001.33
Clean sheet %33% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Selfoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Selfoss over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IA (19)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
ÆGI (14)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (7)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
VES (7)
€0m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
ÆGI (3)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (6)
€0m
TR (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
ÆGI (5)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IA (10)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
AFT (7)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
ÆGI (6)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
SEL wins
0
Draws
1
FJO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Selfoss vs Fjolnir · H/A from SEL
DateH/AGameScore
27/08/22AFjolnir Vs SEL4-1
24/06/22HSEL Vs Fjolnir2-0

SelfossSelfoss

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/05/23ALeiknir R. Vs SEL2-3
05/05/23HSEL Vs Afturelding1-3
17/09/22HSEL Vs KV2-0
10/09/22AVestri Vs SEL2-2
03/09/22HSEL Vs Grindavik5-3
27/08/22AFjolnir Vs SEL4-1
23/08/22HSEL Vs Kórdrengir0-1
18/08/22AFylkir Vs SEL4-3
10/08/22HSEL Vs Thor Akureyri2-1
04/08/22AThróttur Vogar Vs SEL1-1

FjolnirFjolnir

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/05/23HFJO Vs Throttur Reykjavik3-3
05/05/23AÆgir Vs FJO0-1
17/09/22AAfturelding Vs FJO1-5
10/09/22HFJO Vs Grotta0-1
02/09/22AHK Kopavogur Vs FJO3-1
27/08/22HFJO Vs Selfoss4-1
23/08/22AVestri Vs FJO4-1
18/08/22HFJO Vs Grindavik4-3
12/08/22AKV Vs FJO1-4
05/08/22AKórdrengir Vs FJO0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Selfoss
Selfoss
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLW1.46
HomeWLWWL1.58
AwayDLLDW1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%50%33%
AVG goals3.713.334.08
Over 1.5 %92%83%100%
Over 2.5 %71%67%75%
Over 3.5 %50%42%58%
Scored1.881.831.92
Conceded1.831.502.17
BTTS71%58%83%
Clean Sheet17%25%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Fjolnir
Fjolnir
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWD1.67
HomeLWWLD1.92
AwayWLLWW1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%58%42%
AVG goals3.964.003.92
Over 1.5 %88%92%83%
Over 2.5 %75%75%75%
Over 3.5 %62%58%67%
Scored2.292.582.00
Conceded1.671.421.92
BTTS71%75%67%
Clean Sheet17%8%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AftureldingAfturelding2550
60%
2.0
6534+31
4.0
88%
76%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.61.4
-
2IA AkranesIA Akranes2249
68%
2.2
5431+23
3.9
86%
64%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.51.4
-
3VestriVestri2544
48%
1.8
3927+12
2.6
84%
56%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.1
-
4FjolnirFjolnir2443
50%
1.8
5634+22
3.8
79%
67%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.4
-
5Leiknir R.Leiknir R.2435
46%
1.5
4842+6
3.8
83%
79%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.8
-
6GrindavikGrindavik2228
36%
1.3
2738-11
3.0
82%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
7Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2227
36%
1.2
2739-12
3.0
73%
68%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.8
-
8Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik2226
32%
1.2
4546-1
4.1
95%
91%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.02.1
-
9GrottaGrotta2226
27%
1.2
3437-3
3.2
82%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.7
-
10NjardvikNjardvik2223
27%
1.0
3647-11
3.8
91%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.1
-
11SelfossSelfoss2223
32%
1.0
3749-12
3.9
86%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.2
-
12ÆgirÆgir229
9%
0.4
2367-44
4.1
86%
86%
77%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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