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Selfoss vs KV Result & Analysis

Date: 17/09/2022
Time: 14:00
Final 2-0
Selfoss
Selfoss
Vs
58%
21%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
KV
KV
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Selfoss win✓ Hit
58.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
KV win✗ Miss
20.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SelfossSelfoss

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L12L14L11D21W34L01L14L53W22DA·GRO14/07H·HK 21/07H·AFT26/07A·THR04/08H·THO10/08A·FYL18/08H·KÓR23/08A·FJO27/08H·GRI03/09A·VES10/09
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.861.861.901.501.822.18
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.882.001.621.752.112.22
vs Weaker (4)1.751.253.000.500.502.00
Clean sheet %14% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (KV) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KVKV

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L23L22D21W14L14L13L21W11D10WA·HK 14/07H·FYL21/07H·KÓR26/07H·GRO05/08H·FJO12/08A·AFT18/08H·GRI23/08A·THR27/08H·VES03/09H·THO10/09
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.292.381.361.911.202.90
vs Stronger (2)1.002.002.002.000.002.00
vs Similar (15)1.272.531.252.121.293.00
vs Weaker (4)1.502.001.501.001.503.00
Clean sheet %5% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Selfoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%21%3%07%117%221%319%415%518%6+
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.9%
Under 1.5
10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
72.9%
Under 2.5
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
52.3%
Under 3.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
69.2%
No
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.0%
1-1
8.4%
3-1
7.2%
2-0 ✓
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
5.1%
3-2
5.0%
Selfoss goals ↓
KV goals →
01234
03.0%2.4%2.2%1.0%0.4%
14.7%8.4%5.3%2.5%0.9%
26.5%9.0%6.3%3.0%1.0%
35.1%7.2%5.0%2.4%0.8%
43.1%4.3%3.0%1.4%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Selfoss goals (down), columns = KV goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Fylkir
2.32
HK Kopavogur
2.09
Grotta
1.68
Fjolnir
1.64
Kórdrengir
1.50
Selfoss
1.45
Thor Akureyri
1.36
Afturelding
1.32
Vestri
1.27
Grindavik
1.23
KV
0.82
Thróttur Vogar
0.27
Selfoss is 0.64 points better than KV in terms of average points per game (1.45 vs 0.82).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Fylkir
2.86
Fjolnir
2.32
HK Kopavogur
2.09
Grindavik
1.95
Grotta
1.91
Selfoss
1.86
Afturelding
1.77
Vestri
1.64
Kórdrengir
1.64
Thor Akureyri
1.41
KV
1.23
Thróttur Vogar
0.36
Selfoss is 0.64 goals better than KV in terms of goals scored per game (1.86 vs 1.23).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Fylkir
1.05
HK Kopavogur
1.36
Kórdrengir
1.36
Grotta
1.50
Thor Akureyri
1.59
Fjolnir
1.68
Afturelding
1.77
Selfoss
1.77
Vestri
2.00
Grindavik
2.05
KV
2.36
Thróttur Vogar
2.55
Selfoss is 0.59 goals better than KV in terms of goals conceded per game (1.77 vs 2.36).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SelfossSelfoss

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W02L01L11D03L01L11D22D11DA·GRO14/07H·HK 21/07H·AFT26/07A·THR04/08H·THO10/08A·FYL18/08H·KÓR23/08A·FJO27/08H·GRI03/09A·VES10/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.810.950.800.900.821.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.820.940.621.001.000.89
vs Weaker (4)0.751.001.500.500.001.50
Clean sheet %33% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (KV) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KVKV

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L21W10W00D02L01L11D11D00D00DA·HK 14/07H·FYL21/07H·KÓR26/07H·GRO05/08H·FJO12/08A·AFT18/08H·GRI23/08A·THR27/08H·VES03/09H·THO10/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.520.900.450.730.601.10
vs Stronger (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (15)0.530.870.500.880.570.86
vs Weaker (4)0.501.250.000.501.002.00
Clean sheet %33% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Selfoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Selfoss over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SelfossSelfoss

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L12L10W10W31W00D03L31W11DA·GRO14/07H·HK 21/07H·AFT26/07A·THR04/08H·THO10/08A·FYL18/08H·KÓR23/08A·FJO27/08H·GRI03/09A·VES10/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.050.901.100.601.001.18
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.061.061.000.751.111.33
vs Weaker (4)1.000.251.500.000.500.50
Clean sheet %48% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (KV) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KVKV

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L02L12L21W12L13L02L10W11D10WA·HK 14/07H·FYL21/07H·KÓR26/07H·GRO05/08H·FJO12/08A·AFT18/08H·GRI23/08A·THR27/08H·VES03/09H·THO10/09
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.761.480.911.180.601.80
vs Stronger (2)0.501.501.002.000.001.00
vs Similar (15)0.731.670.751.250.712.14
vs Weaker (4)1.000.751.500.500.501.00
Clean sheet %14% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Selfoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Selfoss over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KV over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.589.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.572.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (21)
€2m
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (7)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
VES (7)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (10)
€1m
AFT (7)
€0m
FYL (6)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
SEL wins
0
Draws
0
KV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Selfoss vs KV · H/A from SEL
DateH/AGameScore
09/07/22AKV Vs SEL1-2

SelfossSelfoss

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/09/22AVestri Vs SEL2-2
03/09/22HSEL Vs Grindavik5-3
27/08/22AFjolnir Vs SEL4-1
23/08/22HSEL Vs Kórdrengir0-1
18/08/22AFylkir Vs SEL4-3
10/08/22HSEL Vs Thor Akureyri2-1
04/08/22AThróttur Vogar Vs SEL1-1
26/07/22HSEL Vs Afturelding1-4
21/07/22HSEL Vs HK Kopavogur1-2
14/07/22AGrotta Vs SEL3-0

KVKV

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/09/22HKV Vs Thor Akureyri1-0
03/09/22HKV Vs Vestri1-1
27/08/22AThróttur Vogar Vs KV1-2
23/08/22HKV Vs Grindavik1-3
18/08/22AAfturelding Vs KV4-1
12/08/22HKV Vs Fjolnir1-4
05/08/22HKV Vs Grotta2-1
26/07/22HKV Vs Kórdrengir2-2
21/07/22HKV Vs Fylkir2-3
14/07/22AHK Kopavogur Vs KV4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Selfoss
Selfoss
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWD1.38
HomeLLWLW1.60
AwayLDLLD1.18
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%50%27%
AVG goals3.713.404.00
Over 1.5 %90%80%100%
Over 2.5 %71%70%73%
Over 3.5 %48%40%55%
Scored1.861.901.82
Conceded1.861.502.18
BTTS71%60%82%
Clean Sheet14%20%9%
Corners---
Cards---
KV
KV
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDW0.86
HomeWLLDW1.09
AwayWLLLW0.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%27%20%
AVG goals3.673.274.10
Over 1.5 %95%91%100%
Over 2.5 %81%73%90%
Over 3.5 %57%45%70%
Scored1.291.361.20
Conceded2.381.912.90
BTTS86%91%80%
Clean Sheet5%9%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FylkirFylkir2251
73%
2.3
6323+40
3.9
86%
68%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.91.0
-
2HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur2246
68%
2.1
4630+16
3.5
91%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.11.4
-
3GrottaGrotta2237
55%
1.7
4233+9
3.4
73%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.91.5
-
4FjolnirFjolnir2236
50%
1.6
5137+14
4.0
91%
77%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.7
-
5KórdrengirKórdrengir2233
41%
1.5
3630+6
3.0
77%
55%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.4
-
6SelfossSelfoss2232
41%
1.5
4139+2
3.6
91%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.8
-
7Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2230
41%
1.4
3135-4
3.0
73%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.6
-
8AftureldingAfturelding2229
36%
1.3
3939+0
3.5
86%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.81.8
-
9VestriVestri2228
32%
1.3
3644-8
3.6
86%
73%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.0
-
10GrindavikGrindavik2227
32%
1.2
4345-2
4.0
95%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.0
-
11KVKV2218
23%
0.8
2752-25
3.6
95%
77%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
12Thróttur VogarThróttur Vogar226
5%
0.3
856-48
2.9
82%
59%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.42.5
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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