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Selfoss vs Throttur Reykjavik Result & Analysis

Date: 14/06/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 0-2
Selfoss
Selfoss
Vs
31%
25%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Throttur Reykjavik
Throttur Reykjavik
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Selfoss winâś— Miss
31.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Throttur Reykjavik winâś“ Hit
43.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

SelfossSelfoss

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-552W40W21W02L14L12L02L04L14L20WA·ĂŤH10/04H·HAU18/04H·GRI02/05A·FYL09/05H·THO13/05H·VĂ–L17/05A·IR 23/05H·NJA30/05A·HK 04/06A·FJO09/06
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.672.571.882.251.432.93
vs Stronger (2)3.500.503.500.50--
vs Similar (23)1.352.781.222.561.432.93
vs Weaker (5)2.402.402.402.40--
Clean sheet %13% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Throttur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-770W22D11D10W12L24L21W41W12L22DH·HAF05/04A·VĂ–L18/04H·LEI02/05A·KEF09/05A·VAL14/05H·GRI18/05A·FYL23/05H·VĂ–L29/05A·IR 04/06H·NJA09/06
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.502.411.591.381.38
vs Stronger (5)2.401.202.751.001.002.00
vs Similar (20)1.851.452.301.801.401.10
vs Weaker (5)2.002.002.331.671.502.50
Clean sheet %17% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Selfoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.6%
Under 1.5
16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
61.5%
Under 2.5
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.2%
Under 3.5
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.0%
No
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.6%
2-2
6.5%
0-2 âś“
6.2%
0-1
6.2%
0-0
5.2%
1-3
5.2%
Selfoss goals ↓
Throttur Reykjavik goals →
01234
05.2%6.2%6.2%3.6%1.5%
15.0%11%9.0%5.2%2.2%
24.4%7.6%6.5%3.8%1.6%
32.1%3.7%3.2%1.8%0.8%
40.8%1.3%1.1%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Selfoss goals (down), columns = Throttur Reykjavik goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Thor Akureyri
2.05
Njardvik
1.92
HK Kopavogur
1.84
Keflavik
1.72
Throttur Reykjavik
1.71
IR Reykjavik
1.68
Völsungur
1.14
Leiknir R.
1.05
Fylkir
1.05
Grindavik
0.95
Selfoss
0.86
Fjolnir
0.68
Selfoss is 0.84 points worse than Throttur Reykjavik in terms of average points per game (0.86 vs 1.71).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Keflavik
2.44
Thor Akureyri
2.32
Njardvik
2.17
HK Kopavogur
2.12
Throttur Reykjavik
2.00
Grindavik
1.73
IR Reykjavik
1.73
Völsungur
1.64
Fylkir
1.55
Fjolnir
1.45
Selfoss
1.14
Leiknir R.
1.09
Selfoss is 0.86 goals worse than Throttur Reykjavik in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Njardvik
1.21
IR Reykjavik
1.23
Thor Akureyri
1.41
Fylkir
1.45
HK Kopavogur
1.52
Keflavik
1.64
Leiknir R.
1.82
Throttur Reykjavik
1.83
Selfoss
2.00
Völsungur
2.36
Fjolnir
2.41
Grindavik
2.77
Selfoss is 0.17 goals worse than Throttur Reykjavik in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.83).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SelfossSelfoss

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W20W10W01L13L00D00D02L02L10WA·ĂŤH10/04H·HAU18/04H·GRI02/05A·FYL09/05H·THO13/05H·VĂ–L17/05A·IR 23/05H·NJA30/05A·HK 04/06A·FJO09/06
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.330.501.310.711.36
vs Stronger (2)1.000.501.000.50--
vs Similar (23)0.521.520.221.780.711.36
vs Weaker (5)0.800.800.800.80--
Clean sheet %27% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Throttur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W12L10W00D01L12L10W21W01L10WH·HAF05/04A·VĂ–L18/04H·LEI02/05A·KEF09/05A·VAL14/05H·GRI18/05A·FYL23/05H·VĂ–L29/05A·IR 04/06H·NJA09/06
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.771.060.760.460.77
vs Stronger (5)1.200.601.500.500.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.700.600.900.700.500.50
vs Weaker (5)0.801.601.001.330.502.00
Clean sheet %43% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Selfoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Selfoss over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Throttur Reykjavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Throttur Reykjavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Throttur Reykjavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SelfossSelfoss

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W11D01L01L12L02L02L12L10WA·ĂŤH10/04H·HAU18/04H·GRI02/05A·FYL09/05H·THO13/05H·VĂ–L17/05A·IR 23/05H·NJA30/05A·HK 04/06A·FJO09/06
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.231.380.940.711.57
vs Stronger (2)2.500.002.500.00--
vs Similar (23)0.831.261.000.780.711.57
vs Weaker (5)1.601.601.601.60--
Clean sheet %33% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Throttur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W01L10W11D12L11D20W11D12LH·HAF05/04A·VĂ–L18/04H·LEI02/05A·KEF09/05A·VAL14/05H·GRI18/05A·FYL23/05H·VĂ–L29/05A·IR 04/06H·NJA09/06
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.731.350.820.920.62
vs Stronger (5)1.200.601.250.501.001.00
vs Similar (20)1.150.851.401.100.900.60
vs Weaker (5)1.200.401.330.331.000.50
Clean sheet %47% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Selfoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Selfoss over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Throttur Reykjavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Throttur Reykjavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Throttur Reykjavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.6%-------âś“ Hit

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (21)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
IR (17)
€1m
VĂ–L (19)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (7)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
IR (6)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
VĂ–L (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

đź§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TR (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
VĂ–L (6)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
IR (4)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KEF (7)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
FYL (6)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
IR (7)
€0m
VĂ–L (9)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
SEL wins
0
Draws
1
TR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Selfoss vs Throttur Reykjavik · H/A from SEL
DateH/AGameScore
12/08/23AThrottur Reykjavik Vs SEL4-3
01/06/23HSEL Vs Throttur Reykjavik2-1

SelfossSelfoss

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/06/25AFjolnir Vs SEL0-2
04/06/25AHK Kopavogur Vs SEL4-1
30/05/25HSEL Vs Njardvik0-4
23/05/25AIR Reykjavik Vs SEL2-0
17/05/25HSEL Vs Völsungur1-2
13/05/25HSEL Vs Thor Akureyri1-4
09/05/25AFylkir Vs SEL2-0
02/05/25HSEL Vs Grindavik2-1
18/04/25HSEL Vs Haukar4-0
10/04/25AĂŤH Vs SEL2-5

Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/06/25HTR Vs Njardvik2-2
04/06/25AIR Reykjavik Vs TR2-1
29/05/25HTR Vs Völsungur4-1
23/05/25AFylkir Vs TR1-2
18/05/25HTR Vs Grindavik2-4
14/05/25AValur Reykjavik Vs TR2-1
09/05/25AKeflavik Vs TR0-1
02/05/25HTR Vs Leiknir R.1-1
18/04/25AVölsungur Vs TR2-2
05/04/25HTR Vs Hafnir7-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Selfoss
Selfoss
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW1.02
HomeWWLLL1.27
AwayWLLLW0.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%38%21%
AVG goals4.044.044.04
Over 1.5 %92%92%92%
Over 2.5 %76%81%71%
Over 3.5 %52%54%50%
Scored1.661.851.46
Conceded2.382.192.58
BTTS70%73%67%
Clean Sheet10%15%4%
Corners---
Cards---
Throttur Reykjavik
Throttur Reykjavik
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLD1.38
HomeWDLWD1.71
AwayDWLWL0.95
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%50%23%
AVG goals3.483.543.41
Over 1.5 %84%86%82%
Over 2.5 %68%68%68%
Over 3.5 %46%50%41%
Scored1.942.211.59
Conceded1.541.321.82
BTTS74%71%77%
Clean Sheet16%21%9%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1NjardvikNjardvik2446
54%
1.9
5229+23
3.4
96%
75%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.21.2
-
2HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur2546
56%
1.8
5338+15
3.6
92%
80%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.11.5
-
3Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2245
64%
2.0
5131+20
3.7
95%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.31.4
-
4KeflavikKeflavik2543
52%
1.7
6141+20
4.1
92%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1012.41.6
-
5Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik2441
50%
1.7
4844+4
3.8
96%
83%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.8
-
6IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik2237
45%
1.7
3827+11
3.0
77%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.2
-
7VölsungurVölsungur2225
32%
1.1
3652-16
4.0
95%
77%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.4
-
8FylkirFylkir2223
27%
1.0
3432+2
3.0
91%
64%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.5
-
9Leiknir R.Leiknir R.2223
27%
1.0
2440-16
2.9
77%
45%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.8
-
10GrindavikGrindavik2221
27%
1.0
3861-23
4.5
100%
82%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.8
-
11SelfossSelfoss2219
27%
0.9
2544-19
3.1
95%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
12FjolnirFjolnir2215
14%
0.7
3253-21
3.9
95%
77%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.4
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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