The encounter between Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and Slatina is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win but leaving room for a draw or an away triumph. The probabilities are 40% for Sepsi to win, 31% for a draw, and 30% for Slatina to come away victorious. The expected total of goals is 2.3, with the most likely total being two goals, a 28% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 14.4% probability. Sepsi’s home form shows an average of one goal scored and 1.6 conceded against similarly ranked opponents, while Slatina, on the road, averages two goals scored and 1.15 conceded versus comparable teams. The model’s selection list includes Under 3.5 with a 79.2% probability. The final score of the last meeting was 3-2, a home win. Sepsi’s recent run of LWDDD and a 1-3 loss to CFR 1907 Cluj contrast with Slatina’s unbeaten DWDWW streak and a 0-0 draw against FC Bacau.
Results analysis
The match saw Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe extend their recent run, while Slatina remained unbeaten in their last five outings. The final score was 3-2, a home win that matched the model’s prediction. The model had named a home win as the favourite with a 40% probability, and this call proved correct. The expected total of 2.3 goals fell short of the actual five goals scored. The only suggested pick was Under 3.5 with a 79.2% probability, which missed as the game exceeded that line. All figures are taken directly from the data.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe win✓ Hit
39.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Slatina win✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.07
1.07
1.29
1.00
0.88
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (23)
0.96
1.13
1.00
1.60
0.92
0.77
vs Weaker (5)
1.60
0.40
1.33
0.33
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Slatina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slatina
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.07
1.00
1.06
2.07
1.07
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
0.50
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.50
1.08
1.00
1.00
2.00
1.15
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.0%
Under 1.5
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.3%
Under 2.5
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
20.8%
Under 3.5
79.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.4%
No
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-0
11.0%
1-0
11.0%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.5%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe goals ↓
Slatina goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
9.0%
5.5%
2.0%
0.5%
1
11%
14%
7.0%
2.5%
0.7%
2
7.8%
8.3%
4.4%
1.6%
0.4%
3
3.3%
3.5%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.0%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe goals (down), columns = Slatina goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Corvinul Hunedoara
2.23
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
2.13
FC Voluntari
2.06
ASA Targu Mures
1.82
Metalul Buzău
1.79
Bihor Oradea
1.61
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.58
Slatina
1.54
FC Bacau
1.50
Concordia
1.46
Politehnica Iasi
1.46
CSM Reşiţa
1.43
Chindia Targoviste
1.33
CS Afumati
1.32
Gloria Bistriţa
1.21
Dumbrăviţa
1.14
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.13
CSM Satu Mare
1.00
Tunari
0.96
CS Dinamo București
0.87
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
0.71
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
0.39
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe is 0.60 points better than Slatina in terms of average points per game (2.13 vs 1.54).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
ASA Targu Mures
1.89
Bihor Oradea
1.81
Metalul Buzău
1.75
FC Voluntari
1.65
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.63
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.61
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.58
CSM Reşiţa
1.46
Slatina
1.43
Chindia Targoviste
1.40
Concordia
1.39
Gloria Bistriţa
1.39
CS Afumati
1.36
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.27
FC Bacau
1.25
CSM Satu Mare
1.25
Politehnica Iasi
1.14
Dumbrăviţa
1.11
Tunari
1.00
CS Dinamo București
0.97
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
0.86
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
0.50
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe is 0.20 goals better than Slatina in terms of goals scored per game (1.63 vs 1.43).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Corvinul Hunedoara
0.68
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.77
FC Voluntari
0.77
Politehnica Iasi
1.00
Concordia
1.04
ASA Targu Mures
1.04
Metalul Buzău
1.14
Slatina
1.14
CS Afumati
1.25
FC Bacau
1.32
Gloria Bistriţa
1.32
Chindia Targoviste
1.37
CSM Reşiţa
1.39
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.40
Dumbrăviţa
1.43
Bihor Oradea
1.45
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.48
CS Dinamo București
1.60
Tunari
1.64
CSM Satu Mare
1.93
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
2.21
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
2.57
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe is 0.38 goals better than Slatina in terms of goals conceded per game (0.77 vs 1.14).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.47
0.36
0.43
0.62
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (23)
0.48
0.43
0.30
0.60
0.62
0.31
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.20
0.33
0.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Slatina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slatina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.50
0.50
0.44
1.00
0.57
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.77
0.50
0.54
0.38
1.00
0.62
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slatina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slatina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slatina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.60
0.71
0.86
0.38
0.38
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.48
0.70
0.70
1.00
0.31
0.46
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.20
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Slatina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slatina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.57
0.50
0.62
1.07
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.73
0.58
0.46
0.62
1.00
0.54
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slatina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slatina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slatina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cosmin Matei33%
B. Oteliță25%
Doru Andrei20%
Hunor Batzula17%
B. Vătăjelu0%
Funsho Bamgboye0%
C. Davordzie0%
D. Oberlin0%
Gustavo Cascardo0%
D. Lazar0%
Moses Mawa0%
S. Karamoko0%
Victor Daguin0%
Nacho Heras0%
Fábio Vianna0%
N. Păun0%
R. Silaghi0%
Daniel Vîrtej0%
Raul Cîmpean0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cosmin Matei33%
S. Karamoko33%
Funsho Bamgboye25%
Nacho Heras17%
Fábio Vianna17%
R. Silaghi17%
Hunor Batzula17%
B. Vătăjelu0%
C. Davordzie0%
D. Oberlin0%
Gustavo Cascardo0%
D. Lazar0%
Moses Mawa0%
Victor Daguin0%
B. Oteliță0%
Doru Andrei0%
N. Păun0%
Daniel Vîrtej0%
Raul Cîmpean0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
C. Davordzie33%
Funsho Bamgboye25%
Gustavo Cascardo17%
Nacho Heras17%
B. Vătăjelu0%
D. Oberlin0%
D. Lazar0%
Moses Mawa0%
Cosmin Matei0%
S. Karamoko0%
Victor Daguin0%
Fábio Vianna0%
B. Oteliță0%
Doru Andrei0%
N. Păun0%
R. Silaghi0%
Daniel Vîrtej0%
Hunor Batzula0%
Raul Cîmpean0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cosmin Matei33%
Hunor Batzula33%
B. Vătăjelu0%
Funsho Bamgboye0%
C. Davordzie0%
D. Oberlin0%
Gustavo Cascardo0%
D. Lazar0%
Moses Mawa0%
S. Karamoko0%
Victor Daguin0%
Nacho Heras0%
Fábio Vianna0%
B. Oteliță0%
Doru Andrei0%
N. Păun0%
R. Silaghi0%
Daniel Vîrtej0%
Raul Cîmpean0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CH (24)
€7m
SOS (31)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
CON (26)
€5m
BO (23)
€4m
CT (21)
€3m
CSB (24)
€3m
SLA (23)
€3m
ATM (22)
€3m
CR (20)
€3m
MB (19)
€3m
FB (23)
€2m
VŞ (19)
€2m
GB (20)
€2m
CSM (19)
€2m
DUM (15)
€1m
CA (14)
€1m
CDB (14)
€1m
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe's squad is €3m more valuable than Slatina's (€6m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CH (12)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
CON (11)
€2m
CT (8)
€2m
SLA (10)
€1m
ATM (7)
€1m
MB (6)
€1m
CSB (8)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
CR (9)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
GB (8)
€1m
FB (8)
€1m
CA (6)
€1m
CSM (7)
€0m
CDB (3)
€0m
DUM (3)
€0m
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and Slatina have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CON (6)
€1m
SOS (7)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
CSB (6)
€1m
FB (6)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
ATM (4)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
GB (5)
€0m
DUM (4)
€0m
CR (4)
€0m
MB (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
CT (2)
€0m
VŞ (3)
€0m
CSM (4)
€0m
SLA (4)
€0m
CDB (4)
€0m
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe's midfield is €1m more valuable than Slatina's (€1m vs €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CH (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
BO (11)
€2m
SLA (9)
€1m
CR (7)
€1m
CSB (10)
€1m
CT (11)
€1m
ATM (11)
€1m
MB (9)
€1m
CON (9)
€1m
CSM (8)
€1m
FB (9)
€1m
CDB (7)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
DUM (8)
€1m
GB (7)
€1m
CA (4)
€0m
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe's defence is €1m more valuable than Slatina's (€2m vs €1m).
🤝 15. Games History
H2H record
No previous meetings
0
SOS wins
0
Draws
0
SLA wins
Head-to-head
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Slatina · H/A from SOS
Romania: Liga II 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga II stats & trends →