This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Luzern
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.70
1.80
1.40
1.53
2.00
vs Stronger (3)
2.33
1.00
3.00
0.50
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
1.44
1.72
1.50
1.50
1.38
1.92
vs Weaker (2)
3.50
2.50
3.00
2.00
4.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Servette FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.0%
Under 1.5
14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.6%
Under 2.5
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.7%
Under 3.5
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
67.3%
No
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.7%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-2 ✓
6.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
1-0
5.1%
0-1
4.5%
Servette FC goals ↓
FC Luzern goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.4%
4.5%
4.3%
2.3%
0.9%
1
5.1%
11%
7.7%
4.1%
1.6%
2
5.4%
8.6%
6.9%
3.7%
1.5%
3
3.2%
5.1%
4.1%
2.2%
0.9%
4
1.4%
2.3%
1.8%
1.0%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Servette FC goals (down), columns = FC Luzern goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Thun
1.97
FC ST. Gallen
1.84
FC Lugano
1.76
FC Sion
1.66
FC Basel 1893
1.47
BSC Young Boys
1.45
FC Luzern
1.39
Servette FC
1.39
Lausanne
1.11
FC Zurich
1.00
FC Aarau
1.00
Grasshoppers
0.88
FC Winterthur
0.61
Servette FC and FC Luzern are level in average points per game (both 1.39).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Thun
2.11
BSC Young Boys
2.11
FC Luzern
2.00
FC ST. Gallen
1.89
Servette FC
1.87
FC Sion
1.66
FC Lugano
1.55
FC Basel 1893
1.45
Lausanne
1.39
FC Zurich
1.29
Grasshoppers
1.23
FC Winterthur
1.16
FC Aarau
0.50
Servette FC is 0.13 goals worse than FC Luzern in terms of goals scored per game (1.87 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Aarau
0.50
FC Sion
1.05
FC Lugano
1.11
FC ST. Gallen
1.24
FC Thun
1.37
FC Basel 1893
1.53
Servette FC
1.66
FC Luzern
1.74
Lausanne
1.76
BSC Young Boys
1.82
Grasshoppers
1.88
FC Zurich
1.89
FC Winterthur
2.63
Servette FC is 0.08 goals better than FC Luzern in terms of goals conceded per game (1.66 vs 1.74).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Lugano
56%
BSC Young Boys
55%
FC Basel 1893
55%
Servette FC
52%
FC Sion
51%
FC Zurich
51%
FC Luzern
50%
Lausanne
50%
FC Thun
46%
FC Aarau
46%
Grasshoppers
45%
FC ST. Gallen
45%
FC Winterthur
44%
Servette FC is 1.5 percentage points better than FC Luzern in terms of average possession (52% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Servette FC
For 5.1 · Against 6.2 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 11.1 · Total 22.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Luzern
For 4.9 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 14.8 · Total 27.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Servette FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.7
11.3
12.0
4.1
4.2
3.9
22.2
22.0
22.4
vs Stronger (13)
12.0
11.2
13.0
3.8
5.0
2.5
19.4
20.8
17.6
vs Similar (34)
11.6
11.4
11.7
4.3
4.1
4.5
23.2
22.2
24.1
vs Weaker (3)
11.3
11.0
12.0
2.3
2.5
2.0
22.0
23.0
20.0
% over line
74%
67%
82%
60%
69%
50%
59%
67%
50%
% under line
26%
33%
18%
40%
31%
50%
41%
33%
50%
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Luzern
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.8
10.2
5.1
5.1
5.0
25.0
25.0
25.0
vs Stronger (5)
12.6
14.5
11.3
6.0
5.0
6.7
30.0
33.0
28.0
vs Similar (42)
10.3
10.8
9.9
4.9
5.0
4.7
24.7
24.4
25.0
vs Weaker (3)
9.7
7.0
15.0
6.3
6.5
6.0
20.3
22.5
16.0
% over line
54%
52%
56%
84%
80%
88%
80%
84%
76%
% under line
46%
48%
44%
16%
20%
12%
20%
16%
24%
This opponent (Servette FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Servette FC
11.7
BSC Young Boys
10.8
FC Zurich
10.6
FC Luzern
10.5
Lausanne
10.3
FC Basel 1893
10.3
FC ST. Gallen
10.3
FC Winterthur
9.9
FC Sion
9.8
Grasshoppers
9.8
FC Lugano
8.9
FC Thun
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC ST. Gallen
5.4
FC Lugano
5.1
FC Luzern
5.1
FC Basel 1893
5.0
FC Aarau
5.0
FC Sion
4.9
Grasshoppers
4.7
FC Zurich
4.7
Lausanne
4.6
BSC Young Boys
4.5
FC Thun
4.2
Servette FC
4.2
FC Winterthur
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Thun
28.0
FC Basel 1893
25.8
FC Lugano
25.1
FC Luzern
25.0
FC Zurich
24.7
BSC Young Boys
24.6
Lausanne
24.3
FC ST. Gallen
24.1
Grasshoppers
23.6
FC Sion
23.4
Servette FC
22.2
FC Winterthur
20.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.6%
Under 9.5
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
68.4%
Under 3.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
70.6%
Under 21.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Servette FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.60
0.53
0.67
0.73
0.53
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
0.75
0.25
0.75
1.00
0.75
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.57
0.70
0.70
0.64
0.45
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Luzern
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.83
0.67
0.67
0.67
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.60
0.76
0.58
0.67
0.62
0.85
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
2.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Servette FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Servette FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Servette FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Servette FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Servette FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.73
1.00
vs Stronger (8)
0.12
0.62
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.75
vs Similar (21)
1.05
1.14
1.10
1.20
1.00
1.09
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Luzern
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.87
1.13
0.73
0.87
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
0.33
2.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.84
0.96
0.92
0.83
0.77
1.08
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Servette FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Servette FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Servette FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Servette FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Servette FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Florian Ayé35%
Junior Kadile31%
Thomas Lopes29%
Miroslav Stevanović27%
Samuel Mráz26%
Jérémy Guillemenot18%
David Douline14%
Alexis Antunes12%
Jamie Atangana11%
Keyan Varela9%
Steve Rouiller8%
Ablie Jallow7%
Lamine Fomba6%
Timothé Cognat6%
Yoan Severin6%
Marco Burch6%
Lilian Njoh5%
Dylan Bronn0%
Joel Mall0%
Houboulang Mendes0%
Anthony Baron0%
Bradley Mazikou0%
Jeremy Frick0%
Giotto Morandi0%
Gaël Ondoua0%
Teo Allix0%
Théo Magnin0%
Loun Srdanovic0%
Tiemoko Ouattara0%
Mardochee Miguel0%
Malek Ishuayed0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gaël Ondoua42%
Mardochee Miguel40%
Lamine Fomba34%
Tiemoko Ouattara33%
Houboulang Mendes31%
Loun Srdanovic29%
Timothé Cognat26%
Bradley Mazikou25%
Dylan Bronn22%
David Douline21%
Théo Magnin21%
Alexis Antunes19%
Teo Allix18%
Steve Rouiller17%
Yoan Severin17%
Florian Ayé15%
Junior Kadile15%
Malek Ishuayed15%
Giotto Morandi15%
Jérémy Guillemenot14%
Jeremy Frick8%
Ablie Jallow7%
Thomas Lopes7%
Marco Burch6%
Lilian Njoh5%
Miroslav Stevanović5%
Joel Mall3%
Anthony Baron0%
Samuel Mráz0%
Keyan Varela0%
Jamie Atangana0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Junior Kadile62%
Lilian Njoh21%
Miroslav Stevanović20%
Thomas Lopes14%
Anthony Baron13%
Houboulang Mendes12%
Timothé Cognat11%
Jérémy Guillemenot11%
Bradley Mazikou8%
Florian Ayé8%
Malek Ishuayed8%
David Douline7%
Loun Srdanovic7%
Lamine Fomba6%
Dylan Bronn6%
Steve Rouiller6%
Samuel Mráz5%
Giotto Morandi5%
Joel Mall0%
Ablie Jallow0%
Jeremy Frick0%
Yoan Severin0%
Alexis Antunes0%
Gaël Ondoua0%
Marco Burch0%
Teo Allix0%
Théo Magnin0%
Tiemoko Ouattara0%
Keyan Varela0%
Jamie Atangana0%
Mardochee Miguel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Junior Kadile38%
Alexis Antunes38%
Florian Ayé31%
Miroslav Stevanović22%
Samuel Mráz18%
Jérémy Guillemenot11%
David Douline7%
Thomas Lopes7%
Lamine Fomba3%
Dylan Bronn0%
Joel Mall0%
Ablie Jallow0%
Houboulang Mendes0%
Anthony Baron0%
Bradley Mazikou0%
Jeremy Frick0%
Steve Rouiller0%
Yoan Severin0%
Timothé Cognat0%
Giotto Morandi0%
Gaël Ondoua0%
Marco Burch0%
Teo Allix0%
Lilian Njoh0%
Théo Magnin0%
Loun Srdanovic0%
Tiemoko Ouattara0%
Keyan Varela0%
Jamie Atangana0%
Mardochee Miguel0%
Malek Ishuayed0%
FC Luzern
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Oscar Kabwit53%
Matteo Di Giusto29%
Adrian Grbić23%
Andrej Vasovic23%
Lucas Silva21%
Kevin Spadanuda20%
Julian Von Moos17%
Lars Villiger14%
Pius Dorn10%
Bung Meng Freimann9%
Adrian Bajrami6%
Tyron Owusu5%
Sinan Karweina5%
Severin Ottiger5%
Levin Winkler4%
Andrejs Cigaņiks4%
Stefan Knežević0%
Taisei Abe0%
Pascal Loretz0%
Rúben Dantas0%
Sascha Meyer0%
Oscar Kabwit Tshikomb0%
Sascha Britschgi0%
Sandro Wyss0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pius Dorn30%
Stefan Knežević25%
Lars Villiger21%
Taisei Abe21%
Rúben Dantas20%
Adrian Grbić19%
Bung Meng Freimann18%
Sinan Karweina16%
Adrian Bajrami15%
Lucas Silva15%
Severin Ottiger14%
Tyron Owusu14%
Oscar Kabwit12%
Julian Von Moos9%
Levin Winkler8%
Pascal Loretz8%
Andrejs Cigaņiks8%
Andrej Vasovic5%
Kevin Spadanuda4%
Matteo Di Giusto3%
Sascha Meyer0%
Oscar Kabwit Tshikomb0%
Sascha Britschgi0%
Sandro Wyss0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matteo Di Giusto32%
Oscar Kabwit29%
Tyron Owusu16%
Andrejs Cigaņiks15%
Pius Dorn13%
Julian Von Moos13%
Lars Villiger11%
Rúben Dantas10%
Oscar Kabwit Tshikomb10%
Kevin Spadanuda8%
Lucas Silva6%
Sinan Karweina5%
Severin Ottiger5%
Andrej Vasovic5%
Adrian Grbić4%
Adrian Bajrami3%
Stefan Knežević0%
Taisei Abe0%
Pascal Loretz0%
Sascha Meyer0%
Levin Winkler0%
Bung Meng Freimann0%
Sascha Britschgi0%
Sandro Wyss0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Matteo Di Giusto37%
Oscar Kabwit35%
Andrej Vasovic27%
Oscar Kabwit Tshikomb20%
Kevin Spadanuda12%
Julian Von Moos9%
Adrian Grbić8%
Lucas Silva6%
Sinan Karweina5%
Andrejs Cigaņiks4%
Lars Villiger4%
Pius Dorn3%
Stefan Knežević0%
Adrian Bajrami0%
Tyron Owusu0%
Taisei Abe0%
Pascal Loretz0%
Severin Ottiger0%
Rúben Dantas0%
Sascha Meyer0%
Levin Winkler0%
Bung Meng Freimann0%
Sascha Britschgi0%
Sandro Wyss0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
FS (28)
€30m
LAU (23)
€27m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
FT (25)
€17m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FW (25)
€6m
FA (23)
€6m
Servette FC's squad is €4m less valuable than FC Luzern's (€21m vs €26m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FS (10)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
LAU (8)
€9m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
FT (7)
€4m
FW (9)
€2m
FA (6)
€2m
Servette FC's attack is €8m less valuable than FC Luzern's (€7m vs €15m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (6)
€6m
LAU (5)
€5m
FT (8)
€5m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FW (7)
€2m
FA (4)
€1m
Servette FC's midfield is €4m more valuable than FC Luzern's (€7m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
LAU (10)
€13m
FS (12)
€9m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
FT (10)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
FA (13)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
Servette FC and FC Luzern have a similar defence value (both €8m).
Switzerland: Super League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →