Servette FC’s recent draw and FC St. Gallen’s three-game losing streak set the stage for a high-scoring encounter, with the model projecting an average of 3.2 goals. The most probable total is three, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 11.6% chance. The model favours an away win, with a 40% probability, while a home win stands at 35% and a draw at 26%. Servette’s home form shows 1.67 goals scored and 1.20 conceded against similar opposition, whereas St. Gallen’s away record is 1.73 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 goals at 98.4% with a 2% edge, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.9% with a 5% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.0% with a 6% edge, Under 6.5 at 95.8% with a 3% edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 95.3% with a 7% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 94.7% with a 5% edge, Home under 3.5 goals at 93.2% with a 6% edge, and Over 19.5 fouls at 93.0%.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Servette FC win
36.2%
Avg Implied 42.0% · @ 2.22
Edge
-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.25
William Hil
2.25
Bet365
2.25
1xBet
2.24
Unibet
2.23
Draw
26.0%
Avg Implied 25.5% · @ 3.66
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.90
Dafabet
3.75
10Bet
3.75
BetVictor
3.70
Unibet
3.65
FC ST. Gallen win
37.9%
Avg Implied 32.5% · @ 2.87
Edge
+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.95
1xBet
2.90
Betano
2.90
Bet365
2.90
Marathonbet
2.89
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Servette FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.47
2.00
1.33
1.67
1.60
vs Stronger (2)
2.50
2.50
4.00
4.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
1.69
1.35
1.62
1.00
1.77
1.69
vs Weaker (2)
3.00
2.00
5.00
3.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (FC ST. Gallen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC ST. Gallen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.60
1.93
1.60
1.80
1.60
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
5.00
vs Similar (23)
1.91
1.57
2.08
1.83
1.73
1.27
vs Weaker (5)
2.00
1.20
1.00
0.50
2.67
1.67
Clean sheet %
7% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Servette FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
82.7%
@ 1.14+1.6%
Under 1.5
17.3%
@ 4.90-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.17
BetVictor
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Under
Unibet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.85
1xBet
4.85
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60.0%
@ 1.50-2.0%
Under 2.5
40.0%
@ 2.44+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.52
10Bet
1.50
Unibet
1.49
Under
Betfair
2.63
10Bet
2.55
Betano
2.47
Unibet
2.40
Bet365
2.40
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
37.6%
@ 2.26-3.7%
Under 3.5
62.4%
@ 1.59+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.28
Marathonbet
2.27
1xBet
2.27
Bet365
2.25
Betano
2.25
Under
Betano
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.61
Bet365
1.57
Both teams to score
Yes
63.2%
@ 1.44-1.0%
No
36.8%
@ 2.57+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.45
William Hil
1.44
Betano
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
Bet365
1.44
No
1xBet
2.63
Bet365
2.62
10Bet
2.60
Betano
2.60
Marathonbet
2.58
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%@ 7.34+5.8%
1-2
8.5%@ 9.81+3.9%
2-1
8.3%@ 8.62+3.1%
2-2
6.5%@ 10.19+2.1%
0-1
6.0%@ 12.50+2.4%
1-0
5.8%@ 10.97+1.7%
0-0
5.6%@ 15.83+2.7%
0-2
5.5%@ 16.69+2.9%
Servette FC goals ↓
FC ST. Gallen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.6%
6.0%
5.5%
2.9%
1.1%
1
5.8%
12%
8.5%
4.5%
1.7%
2
5.3%
8.3%
6.5%
3.4%
1.3%
3
2.7%
4.2%
3.3%
1.7%
0.7%
4
1.0%
1.6%
1.3%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Servette FC goals (down), columns = FC ST. Gallen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Lugano
3.00
BSC Young Boys
2.33
FC Sion
1.80
FC Basel 1893
1.67
FC Thun
1.40
FC ST. Gallen
1.40
FC Luzern
1.33
FC Zurich
1.00
Lausanne
1.00
Grasshoppers
0.80
Servette FC
0.80
FC Vaduz
0.50
Servette FC is 0.60 points worse than FC ST. Gallen in terms of average points per game (0.80 vs 1.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
BSC Young Boys
3.83
FC Lugano
2.80
FC Sion
2.20
FC Vaduz
2.17
FC ST. Gallen
2.00
FC Basel 1893
1.83
FC Thun
1.80
FC Zurich
1.50
Grasshoppers
1.40
FC Luzern
1.17
Lausanne
1.00
Servette FC
0.80
Servette FC is 1.20 goals worse than FC ST. Gallen in terms of goals scored per game (0.80 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Lugano
0.60
Lausanne
1.17
Servette FC
1.20
FC Basel 1893
1.50
FC Luzern
1.67
FC Sion
1.80
BSC Young Boys
1.83
FC ST. Gallen
2.20
Grasshoppers
2.40
FC Zurich
2.67
FC Vaduz
2.67
FC Thun
2.80
Servette FC is 1.00 goals better than FC ST. Gallen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 2.20).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Sion
57%
FC ST. Gallen
56%
FC Lugano
55%
FC Vaduz
53%
Servette FC
53%
Lausanne
51%
FC Basel 1893
49%
BSC Young Boys
49%
FC Thun
46%
Grasshoppers
45%
FC Zurich
44%
FC Luzern
44%
Servette FC is 3.0 percentage points worse than FC ST. Gallen in terms of average possession (53% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Servette FC
For 6.7 · Against 4.6 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 12.3 · Total 24.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC ST. Gallen
For 6.3 · Against 5.2 · Total 11.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 15.4 · Total 27.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Servette FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.0
11.0
4.4
4.5
4.4
23.5
23.9
23.2
vs Stronger (7)
11.6
9.3
13.2
4.3
5.3
3.5
20.6
21.7
19.8
vs Similar (39)
10.4
10.2
10.7
4.5
4.6
4.5
24.1
24.6
23.4
vs Weaker (4)
8.8
9.0
8.5
3.5
2.0
5.0
23.8
19.5
28.0
% over line
62%
60%
65%
70%
69%
71%
67%
68%
65%
% under line
38%
40%
35%
30%
31%
29%
33%
32%
35%
This opponent (FC ST. Gallen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC ST. Gallen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
10.2
11.3
5.7
5.8
5.6
30.1
29.7
30.5
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
4.0
4.0
4.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (39)
10.6
10.4
10.8
6.0
5.8
6.2
31.0
30.1
31.9
vs Weaker (9)
11.6
9.5
13.2
4.8
6.0
3.8
26.0
27.5
24.8
% over line
54%
54%
54%
82%
84%
80%
92%
96%
88%
% under line
46%
46%
46%
18%
16%
20%
8%
4%
12%
This opponent (Servette FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC ST. Gallen
10.8
FC Zurich
10.7
Lausanne
10.6
FC Luzern
10.5
Servette FC
10.4
FC Basel 1893
10.2
FC Thun
10.2
Grasshoppers
10.0
FC Vaduz
9.9
FC Sion
9.6
BSC Young Boys
9.4
FC Lugano
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC ST. Gallen
5.8
Grasshoppers
5.2
Lausanne
5.1
FC Vaduz
5.0
FC Thun
4.9
FC Zurich
4.9
FC Basel 1893
4.8
FC Luzern
4.7
FC Lugano
4.7
Servette FC
4.6
FC Sion
4.5
BSC Young Boys
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC ST. Gallen
30.1
FC Thun
28.0
FC Zurich
27.5
FC Sion
26.6
FC Basel 1893
26.5
FC Lugano
25.3
Grasshoppers
25.0
Lausanne
24.7
FC Vaduz
24.4
FC Luzern
24.0
BSC Young Boys
23.7
Servette FC
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
69.2%
@ 1.46+5.8%
Under 9.5
30.8%
@ 2.54-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.52
Unibet
1.40
Under
Unibet
2.65
Betano
2.42
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
73.0%
Under 3.5
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
83.6%
Under 21.5
16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Servette FC or Draw
62.1%
Avg Implied 67.3% · @ 1.39
Edge
-5.2%
36%
26%
38%
covers Servette FC + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.42
William Hil
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Servette FC or FC ST. Gallen
74.0%
Avg Implied 75.1% · @ 1.25
Edge
-1.1%
36%
26%
38%
covers Servette FC + FC ST. Gallen
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Draw or FC ST. Gallen
63.8%
Avg Implied 57.6% · @ 1.63
Edge
+6.3%
36%
26%
38%
covers Draw + FC ST. Gallen
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Bet365
1.67
William Hil
1.62
10Bet
1.62
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Servette FC over/under 0.5
Over
78.4%
@ 1.15-2.2%
Under
21.6%
@ 4.80+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Unibet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Under
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.90
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.65
Servette FC over/under 1.5
Over
45.3%
@ 1.79-6.7%
Under
54.7%
@ 1.94+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.80
Unibet
1.78
Under
Betfair
2.00
1xBet
1.95
Betano
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
10Bet
1.93
Servette FC over/under 2.5
Over
19.9%
@ 3.48-6.7%
Under
80.1%
@ 1.26+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.50
Unibet
3.50
1xBet
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Under
Betano
1.29
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Servette FC over/under 3.5
Over
7.0%
@ 7.58-5.3%
Under
93.0%
@ 1.06+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
7.60
1xBet
7.60
Betfair
7.00
Betano
6.70
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.07
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
FC ST. Gallen over/under 0.5
Over
79.2%
@ 1.21+2.9%
Under
20.8%
@ 3.91-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Unibet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.95
1xBet
3.94
Betano
3.85
FC ST. Gallen over/under 1.5
Over
46.6%
@ 2.08+1.8%
Under
53.4%
@ 1.69-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.11
Marathonbet
2.11
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Unibet
2.06
Under
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.70
10Bet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Bet365
1.67
FC ST. Gallen over/under 2.5
Over
20.9%
@ 4.42-0.1%
Under
79.1%
@ 1.17+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.55
1xBet
4.55
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Under
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Unibet
1.17
FC ST. Gallen over/under 3.5
Over
7.5%
@ 10.35-1.7%
Under
92.5%
@ 1.04+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
1xBet
10.50
Marathonbet
10.50
Betfair
9.50
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.04
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Servette FC, so a minus line means Servette FC give that many goals of a start and FC ST. Gallen receive them. At -1, Servette FC must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Servette FC win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Servette FC)
Servette FC -2
7.0%
@ 8.04-4.1%
Draw -2
11.0%
@ 6.25-3.3%
FC ST. Gallen +2
82.0%
@ 1.20+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
8.50
Unibet
8.00
10Bet
8.00
Betfair
8.00
Marathonbet
7.70
Draw
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.45
10Bet
6.00
Unibet
5.80
Away
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Handicap -1 (Servette FC)
Servette FC -1
18.0%
@ 3.86-5.1%
Draw -1
18.1%
@ 4.13-3.5%
FC ST. Gallen +1
63.8%
@ 1.62+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.84
Unibet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
3.90
Away
Bet365
1.62
Betfair
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
Unibet
1.61
Handicap +1 (Servette FC)
Servette FC +1
62.1%
@ 1.40-2.3%
Draw +1
18.6%
@ 4.77-0.2%
FC ST. Gallen -1
19.2%
@ 5.37+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.42
Betfair
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.85
10Bet
4.50
Unibet
4.50
Away
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.40
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.20
Handicap +2 (Servette FC)
Servette FC +2
80.8%
@ 1.11-0.5%
Draw +2
11.6%
@ 8.17+0.5%
FC ST. Gallen -2
7.6%
@ 11.83+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Unibet
1.11
Draw
Betfair
8.50
Bet365
8.50
Unibet
7.50
Away
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
12.00
Unibet
10.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Servette FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.73
1.13
0.67
0.53
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.77
0.69
0.92
0.46
0.62
0.92
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.00
3.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (FC ST. Gallen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC ST. Gallen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.53
1.00
0.53
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.83
0.48
1.17
0.50
0.45
0.45
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.60
0.00
0.50
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Servette FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
75.5%
@ 1.25+1.2%
Under 0.5
24.5%
@ 3.61-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.25
10Bet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Under
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.60
William Hil
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.9%
@ 2.18-3.9%
Under 1.5
61.1%
@ 1.62+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.27
1xBet
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Marathonbet
2.20
Unibet
2.16
Under
Betfair
1.65
William Hil
1.65
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.63
Betano
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.3%
@ 4.87-4.7%
Under 2.5
85.7%
@ 1.15+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
William Hil
5.00
Betfair
4.80
1xBet
4.80
Under
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.13
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Servette FC over/under 0.5 HT
Over
50.9%
@ 1.72-3.0%
Under
49.1%
@ 2.01+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
10Bet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
Unibet
1.70
1xBet
1.67
Under
1xBet
2.10
10Bet
2.00
Betano
1.98
Unibet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.98
Servette FC over/under 1.5 HT
Over
16.4%
@ 4.59-3.8%
Under
83.6%
@ 1.16+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.75
Betano
4.60
10Bet
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Under
1xBet
1.17
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
Servette FC over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.0%
@ 11.62-5.1%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.02+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
FC ST. Gallen over/under 0.5 HT
Over
47.5%
@ 1.88-1.5%
Under
52.5%
@ 1.81+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.95
Marathonbet
1.89
Unibet
1.88
10Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Under
10Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
Unibet
1.79
FC ST. Gallen over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.6%
@ 5.55-5.1%
Under
88.4%
@ 1.11+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.80
10Bet
5.50
1xBet
5.50
Betano
5.40
Under
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.13
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
FC ST. Gallen over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.6%
@ 14.25-4.1%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.01+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Servette FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.73
0.87
0.67
1.13
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.50
2.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.92
0.65
0.69
0.54
1.15
0.77
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FC ST. Gallen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC ST. Gallen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.07
0.93
1.07
1.27
1.07
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
4.00
vs Similar (23)
1.09
1.09
0.92
1.33
1.27
0.82
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
0.60
1.00
0.00
1.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Servette FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
80.5%
@ 1.14-1.3%
Under 0.5
19.5%
@ 5.10+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Under
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.10
Marathonbet
5.05
1xBet
5.05
William Hil
4.80
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
46.0%
@ 1.73-7.8%
Under 1.5
54.0%
@ 2.01+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Unibet
1.72
Under
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Unibet
1.96
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.6%
@ 3.22-8.2%
Under 2.5
79.4%
@ 1.30+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
William Hil
3.30
Marathonbet
3.18
1xBet
3.18
Betano
3.05
Under
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Servette FC over/under 0.5 2H
Over
56.2%
@ 1.48-6.5%
Under
43.8%
@ 2.48+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.48
1xBet
1.47
Under
Betano
2.50
1xBet
2.50
10Bet
2.45
Servette FC over/under 1.5 2H
Over
19.5%
@ 3.29-8.6%
Under
80.5%
@ 1.28+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.40
10Bet
3.30
Betano
3.25
1xBet
3.20
Under
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
Servette FC over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.8%
@ 8.20-6.6%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.05+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.60
10Bet
8.50
Betano
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
FC ST. Gallen over/under 0.5 2H
Over
52.0%
@ 1.60-6.2%
Under
48.0%
@ 2.22+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.62
10Bet
1.60
1xBet
1.57
Under
1xBet
2.25
Betano
2.22
10Bet
2.20
FC ST. Gallen over/under 1.5 2H
Over
16.7%
@ 3.90-7.0%
Under
83.3%
@ 1.22+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.20
10Bet
3.90
Betano
3.80
1xBet
3.70
Under
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.18
FC ST. Gallen over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.4%
@ 9.38-6.5%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.04+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+1.9%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.1%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.1%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.6%
1.04
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
-
-
-
+6.5%
Under 6.5
96.1%
1.03
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+2.7%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.2%
1.05
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
-
-
+6.6%
Home under 3.5 goals
93.0%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.07
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
+5.3%
Away under 3.5 goals
92.5%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.04
-
-
+1.7%
Over 19.5 fouls
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
90.5%
1.06
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
BetVictor
1.05
Unibet
1.05
+3.5%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.4%
1.11
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.13
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
-
+5.1%
Over 2.5 cards
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.7%
1.15
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.13
+4.7%
Over 21.5 fouls
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
83.6%
1.16
1xBet
1.17
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
-
+3.8%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
83.3%
1.22
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.18
-
+7.0%
Over 1.5
82.7%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.17
BetVictor
1.14
Unibet
1.13
+1.6%
Away +2 handicap
82.0%
1.20
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
+7.4%
Home +2 handicap
80.8%
1.11
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Unibet
1.11
-
-
-0.5%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.5%
1.28
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
-
+8.6%
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.5%
1.14
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
-1.3%
Home under 2.5 goals
80.1%
1.26
Betano
1.29
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
+6.7%
Under 4.5
79.7%
1.22
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
1xBet
1.20
+3.7%
Over 8.5 corners
79.5%
1.26
Betano
1.31
Unibet
1.22
-
-
-
+6.4%
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.4%
1.30
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
+8.2%
Away over 0.5 goals
79.2%
1.21
Betano
1.23
Unibet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
+2.9%
Away under 2.5 goals
79.1%
1.17
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Unibet
1.17
+0.1%
Home over 0.5 goals
78.4%
1.15
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Unibet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
-2.2%
Over 0.5 HT goals
75.5%
1.25
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.25
10Bet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+1.2%
Home or Away
74.0%
1.25
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
-1.1%
Over 3.5 cards
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Servette FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mathis Lambourde33%
S. Mráz20%
M. Stevanović20%
T. Ouattara20%
E. Gertmonas0%
Pedro Naressi0%
Houboulang Mendes0%
Florian Ayé0%
D. Douline0%
Bradley Mazikou0%
Quentin Maceiras0%
Steve Rouiller0%
Timothé Cognat0%
M. Burch0%
L. Njoh0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pedro Naressi60%
Timothé Cognat40%
D. Douline25%
S. Mráz20%
Quentin Maceiras20%
M. Burch20%
L. Njoh20%
E. Gertmonas0%
Houboulang Mendes0%
Florian Ayé0%
Bradley Mazikou0%
Steve Rouiller0%
M. Stevanović0%
Mathis Lambourde0%
T. Ouattara0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Timothé Cognat40%
Houboulang Mendes20%
E. Gertmonas0%
Pedro Naressi0%
Florian Ayé0%
D. Douline0%
Bradley Mazikou0%
S. Mráz0%
Quentin Maceiras0%
Steve Rouiller0%
M. Stevanović0%
M. Burch0%
L. Njoh0%
Mathis Lambourde0%
T. Ouattara0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mathis Lambourde67%
S. Mráz40%
T. Ouattara40%
Florian Ayé33%
Houboulang Mendes20%
M. Stevanović20%
E. Gertmonas0%
Pedro Naressi0%
D. Douline0%
Bradley Mazikou0%
Quentin Maceiras0%
Steve Rouiller0%
Timothé Cognat0%
M. Burch0%
L. Njoh0%
FC ST. Gallen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andrin Hunziker43%
Lukas Görtler33%
N. Scherrer33%
Lukas Daschner22%
Aliou Balde22%
L. Frokaj22%
Diego Besio12%
M. Stevanovic11%
C. Witzig11%
E. Owusu11%
L. Zigi0%
J. Stanić0%
C. Okoroji0%
H. Vandermersch0%
Betim Fazliji0%
Colin Noah Kleine-Bekel0%
Corsin Konietzke0%
J. Ruiz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lukas Görtler44%
Lukas Daschner33%
J. Stanić25%
H. Vandermersch22%
L. Frokaj22%
Colin Noah Kleine-Bekel17%
L. Zigi14%
C. Okoroji11%
M. Stevanovic11%
Betim Fazliji0%
Aliou Balde0%
Andrin Hunziker0%
C. Witzig0%
E. Owusu0%
Corsin Konietzke0%
J. Ruiz0%
Diego Besio0%
N. Scherrer0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
C. Okoroji33%
Betim Fazliji25%
Diego Besio25%
Lukas Görtler22%
Corsin Konietzke20%
Andrin Hunziker14%
Lukas Daschner11%
Aliou Balde11%
E. Owusu11%
J. Ruiz11%
L. Zigi0%
J. Stanić0%
H. Vandermersch0%
Colin Noah Kleine-Bekel0%
M. Stevanovic0%
C. Witzig0%
L. Frokaj0%
N. Scherrer0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lukas Görtler44%
Aliou Balde44%
Andrin Hunziker29%
C. Witzig22%
Lukas Daschner11%
E. Owusu11%
L. Frokaj11%
L. Zigi0%
J. Stanić0%
C. Okoroji0%
H. Vandermersch0%
Betim Fazliji0%
Colin Noah Kleine-Bekel0%
M. Stevanovic0%
Corsin Konietzke0%
J. Ruiz0%
Diego Besio0%
N. Scherrer0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
FS (28)
€30m
LAU (23)
€27m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
FT (25)
€17m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FV (26)
€6m
Servette FC's squad is €10m less valuable than FC ST. Gallen's (€21m vs €32m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FS (10)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
LAU (8)
€9m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
FT (7)
€4m
FV (9)
€2m
Servette FC's attack is €5m less valuable than FC ST. Gallen's (€7m vs €12m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (6)
€6m
LAU (5)
€5m
FT (8)
€5m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FV (8)
€2m
Servette FC and FC ST. Gallen have a similar midfield value (both €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
LAU (10)
€13m
FS (12)
€9m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
FT (10)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
FV (9)
€2m
Servette FC's defence is €5m less valuable than FC ST. Gallen's (€8m vs €14m).
Switzerland: Super League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Lugano
BSC Young Boys
FC Basel 1893
FC Sion
FC Luzern
FC Thun
Lausanne
FC Zurich
Grasshoppers
FC Vaduz