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Sesvete vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo Result & Analysis

Date: 22/05/2026
Time: 11:45
Final 2-1
Sesvete
Sesvete
Vs
49%
30%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Sesvete a 49% win probability against Bsk Bijelo Brdo in the Croatia: First NL on 2026-05-22, with 30% for the draw and 21% for Bsk Bijelo Brdo. The model estimates around 2.2 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (28%) and 1-0 the most likely scoreline (14.3%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 3.5 (82%).

Results analysis

Sesvete finished 2-1 against Bsk Bijelo Brdo (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 49% home win, 30% draw and 21% away win. Picks that landed: Under 3.5 (82%).

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Sesvete win✓ Hit
49.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bsk Bijelo Brdo win✗ Miss
20.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

SesveteSesvete

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W21W20W10W24L11D31W30W02L12LA·HRV14/03H·ORI20/03A·JAR28/03H·OPA02/04A·HRV11/04H·CRO18/04A·DUB25/04H·KAR01/05A·HNK09/05H·DUG16/05
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.801.380.561.211.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.250.621.380.381.090.91
vs Weaker (6)1.501.501.331.331.671.67
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Bsk Bijelo Brdo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D02L11D21W01L10W02L00D21W10WA·CRO15/03A·RUD21/03H·ORI04/04A·DUB07/04A·KAR10/04H·JAR18/04A·HNK25/04H·OPA02/05A·DUG09/05H·HRV16/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.900.930.360.751.38
vs Stronger (2)1.500.000.000.003.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.790.961.000.380.601.47
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Sesvete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%220%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.2%
Under 1.5
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
37.1%
Under 2.5
62.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.6%
Under 3.5
82.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
42.5%
No
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.3%
1-1
13.8%
0-0
12.6%
2-0
10.7%
2-1 ✓
8.6%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
4.9%
Sesvete goals ↓
Bsk Bijelo Brdo goals →
01234
013%7.9%3.7%1.0%0.2%
114%14%5.0%1.4%0.3%
211%8.6%3.5%0.9%0.2%
34.9%3.9%1.6%0.4%0.1%
41.7%1.3%0.5%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sesvete goals (down), columns = Bsk Bijelo Brdo goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rudes
1.97
HNK Cibalia
1.76
Sesvete
1.73
Dugopolje
1.64
Dubrava Zagreb
1.42
Karlovac 1919
1.27
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.27
Opatija
1.21
Orijent 1919
1.15
Hrvace
1.09
Croatia Zmijavci
1.06
Jarun
1.00
Sesvete is 0.45 points better than Bsk Bijelo Brdo in terms of average points per game (1.73 vs 1.27).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
HNK Cibalia
1.55
Rudes
1.48
Sesvete
1.27
Karlovac 1919
1.21
Dugopolje
1.21
Orijent 1919
1.21
Dubrava Zagreb
1.18
Hrvace
1.09
Jarun
1.03
Croatia Zmijavci
0.97
Opatija
0.94
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
Sesvete is 0.36 goals better than Bsk Bijelo Brdo in terms of goals scored per game (1.27 vs 0.91).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sesvete
0.85
Rudes
0.88
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
HNK Cibalia
1.00
Opatija
1.15
Dugopolje
1.15
Orijent 1919
1.24
Jarun
1.27
Karlovac 1919
1.36
Croatia Zmijavci
1.39
Dubrava Zagreb
1.39
Hrvace
1.45
Sesvete is 0.06 goals better than Bsk Bijelo Brdo in terms of goals conceded per game (0.85 vs 0.91).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SesveteSesvete

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W10W00D01L00D20W30W01L01LA·HRV14/03H·ORI20/03A·JAR28/03H·OPA02/04A·HRV11/04H·CRO18/04A·DUB25/04H·KAR01/05A·HNK09/05H·DUG16/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.330.560.250.640.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.580.330.540.230.640.45
vs Weaker (6)0.670.330.670.330.670.33
Clean sheet %67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Bsk Bijelo Brdo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D01L01L01L10W01L00D11D00DA·CRO15/03A·RUD21/03H·ORI04/04A·DUB07/04A·KAR10/04H·JAR18/04A·HNK25/04H·OPA02/05A·DUG09/05H·HRV16/05
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.230.500.360.210.120.75
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.250.540.380.230.130.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Sesvete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sesvete over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sesvete over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sesvete over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bsk Bijelo Brdo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bsk Bijelo Brdo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bsk Bijelo Brdo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.582.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (38)
€5m
SES (57)
€5m
O1 (36)
€5m
BBB (30)
€4m
RUD (35)
€4m
DUG (43)
€4m
CZ (43)
€4m
HC (29)
€4m
K1 (44)
€4m
HRV (52)
€3m
OPA (39)
€3m
Sesvete and Bsk Bijelo Brdo have a similar squad value (both €5m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (0)
€0m
BBB (0)
€0m
CZ (0)
€0m
DZ (0)
€0m
DUG (0)
€0m
HC (0)
€0m
HRV (0)
€0m
K1 (0)
€0m
OPA (0)
€0m
O1 (0)
€0m
SES (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (0)
€0m
BBB (0)
€0m
CZ (0)
€0m
DZ (0)
€0m
DUG (0)
€0m
HC (0)
€0m
HRV (0)
€0m
K1 (0)
€0m
OPA (0)
€0m
O1 (0)
€0m
SES (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (0)
€0m
BBB (0)
€0m
CZ (0)
€0m
DZ (0)
€0m
DUG (0)
€0m
HC (0)
€0m
HRV (0)
€0m
K1 (0)
€0m
OPA (0)
€0m
O1 (0)
€0m
SES (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 12. Games History

Head-to-head

Sesvete vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo · H/A from SES
DateH/AGameScore
01/11/25ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs SES2-0
22/08/25HSES Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo1-1
21/03/25HSES Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo0-1
08/03/25ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs SES1-2
11/10/24HSES Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo1-3
28/03/24ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs SES2-1
16/03/24ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs SES2-0
20/10/23HSES Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo2-0

SesveteSesvete

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26HSES Vs Dugopolje1-2
09/05/26AHNK Cibalia Vs SES2-0
01/05/26HSES Vs Karlovac 19193-0
25/04/26ADubrava Zagreb Vs SES1-3
18/04/26HSES Vs Croatia Zmijavci1-1
11/04/26AHrvace Vs SES4-2
02/04/26HSES Vs Opatija1-0
28/03/26AJarun Vs SES0-2
20/03/26HSES Vs Orijent 19192-1
14/03/26AHrvace Vs SES1-2

Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26HBBB Vs Hrvace1-0
09/05/26ADugopolje Vs BBB1-2
02/05/26HBBB Vs Opatija0-0
25/04/26AHNK Cibalia Vs BBB2-0
18/04/26HBBB Vs Jarun1-0
10/04/26AKarlovac 1919 Vs BBB1-0
07/04/26ADubrava Zagreb Vs BBB1-2
04/04/26HBBB Vs Orijent 19191-1
21/03/26ARudes Vs BBB2-0
15/03/26ACroatia Zmijavci Vs BBB1-1

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Sesvete
Sesvete
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLL1.62
HomeWWDWL1.62
AwayWWLWL1.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%46%46%
AVG goals1.962.041.88
Over 1.5 %58%58%58%
Over 2.5 %34%42%25%
Over 3.5 %12%12%12%
Scored1.141.231.04
Conceded0.820.810.83
BTTS34%35%33%
Clean Sheet46%46%46%
Corners---
Cards---
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWW1.52
HomeDDWDW1.83
AwayLWLLW1.26
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%52%37%
AVG goals2.161.872.41
Over 1.5 %62%57%67%
Over 2.5 %36%30%41%
Over 3.5 %18%13%22%
Scored1.181.261.11
Conceded0.980.611.30
BTTS32%30%33%
Clean Sheet42%61%26%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RudesRudes3365
58%
2.0
4929+20
2.4
64%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.50.9
-
2HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3358
52%
1.8
5133+18
2.5
73%
52%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.51.0
-
3SesveteSesvete3357
48%
1.7
4228+14
2.1
67%
36%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.30.8
-
4DugopoljeDugopolje3354
48%
1.6
4038+2
2.4
70%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.21.2
-
5Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3347
39%
1.4
3946-7
2.6
70%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.21.4
-
6Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3342
33%
1.3
3030+0
1.8
58%
27%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0000.90.9
-
7Karlovac 1919Karlovac 19193342
39%
1.3
4045-5
2.6
73%
55%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.21.4
-
8OpatijaOpatija3340
30%
1.2
3138-7
2.1
70%
36%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.91.2
-
9Orijent 1919Orijent 19193338
27%
1.2
4041-1
2.5
73%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.21.2
-
10HrvaceHrvace3336
30%
1.1
3648-12
2.5
70%
61%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.11.5
-
11Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3335
27%
1.1
3246-14
2.4
70%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.01.4
-
12JarunJarun3333
24%
1.0
3442-8
2.3
76%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
Croatia: First NL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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