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Sesvete vs Croatia Zmijavci Result & Analysis

Date: 14/11/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 1-1
Sesvete
Sesvete
Vs
37%
32%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Croatia Zmijavci
Croatia Zmijavci
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Sesvete win✗ Miss
37.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
32.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci win✗ Miss
30.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

SesveteSesvete

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D10W20W10W11D22D01L02L00DH·HNK13/09A·ORI17/09H·JAR20/09A·DUB26/09A·KAR03/10A·DUG12/10H·HRV17/10H·RUD24/10A·BSK01/11H·OPA09/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.870.731.001.000.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.830.830.640.931.000.73
vs Weaker (1)2.002.002.002.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Croatia Zmijavci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L11D10W30W22D01L01L12L22DA·DUG13/09H·HNK17/09A·HRV21/09H·ORI28/09A·RUD04/10H·JAR12/10A·BSK18/10H·DUB26/10A·OPA31/10H·KAR09/11
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.331.271.200.801.47
vs Stronger (2)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (28)1.111.211.271.200.921.23
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Sesvete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
64.0%
Under 1.5
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
35.7%
Under 2.5
64.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.6%
Under 3.5
83.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
44.0%
No
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.8%
0-0
13.3%
1-0
12.2%
0-1
10.5%
2-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.9%
Sesvete goals ↓
Croatia Zmijavci goals →
01234
013%11%5.9%1.9%0.5%
112%15%6.7%2.2%0.5%
27.7%7.6%3.8%1.2%0.3%
32.9%2.9%1.4%0.5%0.1%
40.8%0.8%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sesvete goals (down), columns = Croatia Zmijavci goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rudes
1.97
HNK Cibalia
1.76
Sesvete
1.73
Dugopolje
1.64
Dubrava Zagreb
1.42
Karlovac 1919
1.27
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.27
Opatija
1.21
Orijent 1919
1.15
Hrvace
1.09
Croatia Zmijavci
1.06
Jarun
1.00
Sesvete is 0.67 points better than Croatia Zmijavci in terms of average points per game (1.73 vs 1.06).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
HNK Cibalia
1.55
Rudes
1.48
Sesvete
1.27
Orijent 1919
1.21
Karlovac 1919
1.21
Dugopolje
1.21
Dubrava Zagreb
1.18
Hrvace
1.09
Jarun
1.03
Croatia Zmijavci
0.97
Opatija
0.94
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
Sesvete is 0.30 goals better than Croatia Zmijavci in terms of goals scored per game (1.27 vs 0.97).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sesvete
0.85
Rudes
0.88
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
HNK Cibalia
1.00
Opatija
1.15
Dugopolje
1.15
Orijent 1919
1.24
Jarun
1.27
Karlovac 1919
1.36
Croatia Zmijavci
1.39
Dubrava Zagreb
1.39
Hrvace
1.45
Sesvete is 0.55 goals better than Croatia Zmijavci in terms of goals conceded per game (0.85 vs 1.39).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SesveteSesvete

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W00D10W00D11D11D01L01L00DH·HNK13/09A·ORI17/09H·JAR20/09A·DUB26/09A·KAR03/10A·DUG12/10H·HRV17/10H·RUD24/10A·BSK01/11H·OPA09/11
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.300.330.330.530.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.410.280.290.290.530.27
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Croatia Zmijavci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L10W00D00D12L00D01L02L01LA·DUG13/09H·HNK17/09A·HRV21/09H·ORI28/09A·RUD04/10H·JAR12/10A·BSK18/10H·DUB26/10A·OPA31/10H·KAR09/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.700.270.800.330.60
vs Stronger (2)0.001.50--0.001.50
vs Similar (28)0.320.640.270.800.380.46
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Sesvete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sesvete over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sesvete over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sesvete over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SesveteSesvete

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L10W10W10W00D11D00D01L00DH·HNK13/09A·ORI17/09H·JAR20/09A·DUB26/09A·KAR03/10A·DUG12/10H·HRV17/10H·RUD24/10A·BSK01/11H·OPA09/11
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.570.400.670.470.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.410.550.360.640.470.47
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Croatia Zmijavci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D01L10W30W10W01L00D10W21WA·DUG13/09H·HNK17/09A·HRV21/09H·ORI28/09A·RUD04/10H·JAR12/10A·BSK18/10H·DUB26/10A·OPA31/10H·KAR09/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.670.800.470.470.87
vs Stronger (2)0.001.50--0.001.50
vs Similar (28)0.680.610.800.470.540.77
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Sesvete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sesvete over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sesvete over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sesvete over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.583.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (27)
€5m
K1 (26)
€4m
SES (22)
€3m
DUG (22)
€2m
OPA (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
HRV (20)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
Sesvete's squad is €2m more valuable than Croatia Zmijavci's (€3m vs €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (13)
€3m
K1 (10)
€2m
HRV (8)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
SES (7)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
OPA (7)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
Sesvete and Croatia Zmijavci have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (4)
€1m
DZ (3)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
K1 (5)
€0m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
HRV (3)
€0m
Sesvete and Croatia Zmijavci have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (11)
€2m
RUD (10)
€1m
OPA (10)
€1m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
HRV (9)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
K1 (11)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
Sesvete and Croatia Zmijavci have a similar defence value (both €2m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
4
SES wins
1
Draws
2
CZ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sesvete vs Croatia Zmijavci · H/A from SES
DateH/AGameScore
07/09/25ACroatia Zmijavci Vs SES0-1
09/05/25HSES Vs Croatia Zmijavci0-1
10/11/24ACroatia Zmijavci Vs SES0-4
30/08/24HSES Vs Croatia Zmijavci3-2
01/06/24ACroatia Zmijavci Vs SES3-1
03/11/23HSES Vs Croatia Zmijavci1-0
20/08/23ACroatia Zmijavci Vs SES0-0

SesveteSesvete

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/25HSES Vs Opatija0-0
01/11/25ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs SES2-0
24/10/25HSES Vs Rudes0-1
17/10/25HSES Vs Hrvace2-2
12/10/25ADugopolje Vs SES1-1
03/10/25AKarlovac 1919 Vs SES0-1
26/09/25ADubrava Zagreb Vs SES0-2
20/09/25HSES Vs Jarun1-0
17/09/25AOrijent 1919 Vs SES1-1
13/09/25HSES Vs HNK Cibalia0-0

Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/25HCZ Vs Karlovac 19192-2
31/10/25AOpatija Vs CZ2-1
26/10/25HCZ Vs Dubrava Zagreb0-1
18/10/25ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs CZ1-0
12/10/25HCZ Vs Jarun2-2
04/10/25ARudes Vs CZ0-3
28/09/25HCZ Vs Orijent 19191-0
21/09/25AHrvace Vs CZ1-1
17/09/25HCZ Vs HNK Cibalia0-1
13/09/25ADugopolje Vs CZ2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sesvete
Sesvete
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLD1.42
HomeDWDLD1.38
AwayDWWDL1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%38%38%
AVG goals1.942.291.62
Over 1.5 %52%54%50%
Over 2.5 %34%46%23%
Over 3.5 %18%25%12%
Scored1.001.120.88
Conceded0.941.170.73
BTTS36%46%27%
Clean Sheet40%29%50%
Corners---
Cards---
Croatia Zmijavci
Croatia Zmijavci
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLD1.14
HomeLWDLD1.36
AwayLDWLL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%36%20%
AVG goals2.302.242.36
Over 1.5 %60%52%68%
Over 2.5 %44%44%44%
Over 3.5 %28%36%20%
Scored1.021.080.96
Conceded1.281.161.40
BTTS40%36%44%
Clean Sheet32%32%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RudesRudes3365
58%
2.0
4929+20
2.4
64%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3111.50.9
-
2HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3358
52%
1.8
5133+18
2.5
73%
52%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.51.0
-
3SesveteSesvete3357
48%
1.7
4228+14
2.1
67%
36%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.30.8
-
4DugopoljeDugopolje3354
48%
1.6
4038+2
2.4
70%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.2
-
5Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3347
39%
1.4
3946-7
2.6
70%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.4
-
6Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3342
33%
1.3
3030+0
1.8
58%
27%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.90.9
-
7Karlovac 1919Karlovac 19193342
39%
1.3
4045-5
2.6
73%
55%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.21.4
-
8OpatijaOpatija3340
30%
1.2
3138-7
2.1
70%
36%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.91.2
-
9Orijent 1919Orijent 19193338
27%
1.2
4041-1
2.5
73%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.2
-
10HrvaceHrvace3336
30%
1.1
3648-12
2.5
70%
61%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.5
-
11Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3335
27%
1.1
3246-14
2.4
70%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.4
-
12JarunJarun3333
24%
1.0
3442-8
2.3
76%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
Croatia: First NL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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