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Sesvete vs Dubrava Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: 03/03/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 2-0
Sesvete
Sesvete
Vs
40%
35%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dubrava Zagreb
Dubrava Zagreb
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Sesvete win✓ Hit
39.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
34.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb win✗ Miss
25.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

SesveteSesvete

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D22D01L02L00D11D10W01L10W30WA·DUG12/10H·HRV17/10H·RUD24/10A·BSK01/11H·OPA09/11H·CRO14/11H·ORI28/11A·HNK04/12A·JAR14/02H·KAR27/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.870.801.000.930.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.830.830.710.930.930.73
vs Weaker (1)2.002.002.002.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D11D10W01L10W00D43W00D01L21WH·ORI11/10A·JAR19/10A·CRO26/10A·KAR31/10H·DUG08/11A·HRV15/11H·RUD22/11A·BSK29/11H·OPA14/02H·HNK27/02
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.031.311.060.931.00
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (29)1.141.001.311.060.920.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Sesvete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%17%027%128%216%38%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
56.1%
Under 1.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
28.0%
Under 2.5
72.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
11.5%
Under 3.5
88.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
36.8%
No
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
17.2%
1-0
15.3%
1-1
14.5%
0-1
11.3%
2-0 ✓
8.7%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
0-2
5.0%
Sesvete goals ↓
Dubrava Zagreb goals →
01234
017%11%5.0%1.3%0.3%
115%14%5.2%1.4%0.3%
28.7%6.9%2.7%0.7%0.1%
33.0%2.4%1.0%0.3%0.0%
40.8%0.6%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sesvete goals (down), columns = Dubrava Zagreb goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rudes
1.97
HNK Cibalia
1.76
Sesvete
1.73
Dugopolje
1.64
Dubrava Zagreb
1.42
Karlovac 1919
1.27
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.27
Opatija
1.21
Orijent 1919
1.15
Hrvace
1.09
Croatia Zmijavci
1.06
Jarun
1.00
Sesvete is 0.30 points better than Dubrava Zagreb in terms of average points per game (1.73 vs 1.42).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
HNK Cibalia
1.55
Rudes
1.48
Sesvete
1.27
Orijent 1919
1.21
Karlovac 1919
1.21
Dugopolje
1.21
Dubrava Zagreb
1.18
Hrvace
1.09
Jarun
1.03
Croatia Zmijavci
0.97
Opatija
0.94
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
Sesvete is 0.09 goals better than Dubrava Zagreb in terms of goals scored per game (1.27 vs 1.18).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sesvete
0.85
Rudes
0.88
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
HNK Cibalia
1.00
Opatija
1.15
Dugopolje
1.15
Orijent 1919
1.24
Jarun
1.27
Karlovac 1919
1.36
Croatia Zmijavci
1.39
Dubrava Zagreb
1.39
Hrvace
1.45
Sesvete is 0.55 goals better than Dubrava Zagreb in terms of goals conceded per game (0.85 vs 1.39).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SesveteSesvete

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D11D01L01L00D10W00D01L00D10WA·DUG12/10H·HRV17/10H·RUD24/10A·BSK01/11H·OPA09/11H·CRO14/11H·ORI28/11A·HNK04/12A·JAR14/02H·KAR27/02
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.330.330.330.530.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.410.310.290.290.530.33
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L01L10W01L00D00D03L00D00D00DH·ORI11/10A·JAR19/10A·CRO26/10A·KAR31/10H·DUG08/11A·HRV15/11H·RUD22/11A·BSK29/11H·OPA14/02H·HNK27/02
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.570.500.620.500.50
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (29)0.480.590.500.620.460.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Sesvete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sesvete over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sesvete over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sesvete over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SesveteSesvete

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D00D01L00D01L10W00D10W20WA·DUG12/10H·HRV17/10H·RUD24/10A·BSK01/11H·OPA09/11H·CRO14/11H·ORI28/11A·HNK04/12A·JAR14/02H·KAR27/02
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.530.470.670.400.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.410.520.430.640.400.40
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W10W00D00D10W00D40W00D01L21WH·ORI11/10A·JAR19/10A·CRO26/10A·KAR31/10H·DUG08/11A·HRV15/11H·RUD22/11A·BSK29/11H·OPA14/02H·HNK27/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.470.810.440.430.50
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (29)0.660.410.810.440.460.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Sesvete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sesvete over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sesvete over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sesvete over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.588.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.572.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (27)
€5m
K1 (26)
€4m
SES (22)
€3m
DUG (22)
€2m
OPA (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
HRV (20)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
Sesvete's squad is €1m more valuable than Dubrava Zagreb's (€3m vs €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (13)
€3m
K1 (10)
€2m
HRV (8)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
SES (7)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
OPA (7)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
Sesvete and Dubrava Zagreb have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (4)
€1m
DZ (3)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
K1 (5)
€0m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
HRV (3)
€0m
Sesvete and Dubrava Zagreb have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (11)
€2m
RUD (10)
€1m
OPA (10)
€1m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
HRV (9)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
K1 (11)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
Sesvete and Dubrava Zagreb have a similar defence value (both €2m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
3
SES wins
2
Draws
2
DZ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sesvete vs Dubrava Zagreb · H/A from SES
DateH/AGameScore
26/09/25ADubrava Zagreb Vs SES0-2
01/05/25HSES Vs Dubrava Zagreb1-3
14/02/25HSES Vs Dubrava Zagreb3-0
21/09/24ADubrava Zagreb Vs SES0-0
26/04/24HSES Vs Dubrava Zagreb1-1
11/11/23ADubrava Zagreb Vs SES0-2
28/08/23HSES Vs Dubrava Zagreb0-1

SesveteSesvete

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/02/26HSES Vs Karlovac 19193-0
14/02/26AJarun Vs SES0-1
04/12/25AHNK Cibalia Vs SES1-0
28/11/25HSES Vs Orijent 19191-0
14/11/25HSES Vs Croatia Zmijavci1-1
09/11/25HSES Vs Opatija0-0
01/11/25ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs SES2-0
24/10/25HSES Vs Rudes0-1
17/10/25HSES Vs Hrvace2-2
12/10/25ADugopolje Vs SES1-1

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/02/26HDZ Vs HNK Cibalia2-1
14/02/26HDZ Vs Opatija0-1
29/11/25ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs DZ0-0
22/11/25HDZ Vs Rudes4-3
15/11/25AHrvace Vs DZ0-0
08/11/25HDZ Vs Dugopolje1-0
31/10/25AKarlovac 1919 Vs DZ1-0
26/10/25ACroatia Zmijavci Vs DZ0-1
19/10/25AJarun Vs DZ1-1
11/10/25HDZ Vs Orijent 19192-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sesvete
Sesvete
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWW1.50
HomeLDDWW1.48
AwayWDLLW1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%40%40%
AVG goals1.902.281.52
Over 1.5 %52%56%48%
Over 2.5 %32%44%20%
Over 3.5 %16%24%8%
Scored1.041.200.88
Conceded0.861.080.64
BTTS34%44%24%
Clean Sheet44%36%52%
Corners---
Cards---
Dubrava Zagreb
Dubrava Zagreb
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLW1.38
HomeDWWLW1.73
AwayDWLDD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%54%25%
AVG goals2.062.082.04
Over 1.5 %56%50%62%
Over 2.5 %42%38%46%
Over 3.5 %12%12%12%
Scored1.001.190.79
Conceded1.060.881.25
BTTS36%23%50%
Clean Sheet38%50%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RudesRudes3365
58%
2.0
4929+20
2.4
64%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3111.50.9
-
2HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3358
52%
1.8
5133+18
2.5
73%
52%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.51.0
-
3SesveteSesvete3357
48%
1.7
4228+14
2.1
67%
36%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.30.8
-
4DugopoljeDugopolje3354
48%
1.6
4038+2
2.4
70%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.2
-
5Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3347
39%
1.4
3946-7
2.6
70%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.4
-
6Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3342
33%
1.3
3030+0
1.8
58%
27%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.90.9
-
7Karlovac 1919Karlovac 19193342
39%
1.3
4045-5
2.6
73%
55%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.21.4
-
8OpatijaOpatija3340
30%
1.2
3138-7
2.1
70%
36%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.91.2
-
9Orijent 1919Orijent 19193338
27%
1.2
4041-1
2.5
73%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.2
-
10HrvaceHrvace3336
30%
1.1
3648-12
2.5
70%
61%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.5
-
11Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3335
27%
1.1
3246-14
2.4
70%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.4
-
12JarunJarun3333
24%
1.0
3442-8
2.3
76%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
Croatia: First NL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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