Sevilla vs Espanyol Result & Analysis

Sevilla are tipped to win, with a 61% chance of triumph, a 24% draw probability and a 15% chance of an Espanyol victory. The model expects 2.7 goals on average, and the most likely total is two goals, with a 26% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 2-0 for Sevilla, a 11.9% probability. Sevilla’s home form against similar opponents shows they average 2.14 goals scored and concede 0.71, while Espanyol away averages 1.18 scored and 0.91 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 95.9%, Over 21.5 fouls at 90.8%, Over 2.5 cards at 87.8%, Over 23.5 fouls at 82.2%, Under 11.5 corners at 80.0%, Over 1.5 goals at 76.0%, Over 3.5 cards at 74.0% and Under 3.5 goals at 71.6%. Sevilla’s recent form shows a shaky start after a loss to Atlético Madrid, while Espanyol have struggled with two consecutive defeats, most recently a 1-2 loss to Real Sociedad.

The pre-match favourite Sevilla did not deliver, as the match finished 1-1, a draw that left the model’s call wrong. Sevilla’s recent form, still shaken by a loss to Atlético Madrid, was not enough to overcome Espanyol, who also entered after two straight defeats. The model had given Sevilla a 61% chance of victory, but the result proved a surprise. All of the model’s suggested picks were settled: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 95.9%, Over 21.5 fouls at 90.8%, Over 2.5 cards at 87.8%, Over 23.5 fouls at 82.2%, Under 11.5 corners at 80.0%, Over 1.5 at 76.0%, Over 3.5 cards at 74.0% and Under 3.5 at 71.6%. Each hit was noted once, with no repetition of figures.