This opponent (Levante) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levante
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.95
1.81
1.09
1.55
0.80
2.10
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
2.40
0.50
2.00
0.33
2.67
vs Similar (16)
1.12
1.62
1.22
1.44
1.00
1.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
14% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Sevilla) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.6%
Under 1.5
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.3%
Under 2.5
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
37.9%
Under 3.5
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.5%
No
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.3%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
8.8%
3-1 ✓
7.3%
0-0
5.3%
4-0
5.1%
Sevilla goals ↓
Levante goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.3%
2.8%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
1
9.3%
9.2%
3.5%
1.0%
0.2%
2
12%
9.6%
4.0%
1.1%
0.2%
3
8.8%
7.3%
3.0%
0.8%
0.2%
4
5.1%
4.2%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sevilla goals (down), columns = Levante goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barcelona
2.39
Real Madrid
2.37
Atletico Madrid
2.32
Villarreal
1.68
Athletic Club
1.63
Celta Vigo
1.58
Sevilla
1.37
Real Sociedad
1.26
Malaga
1.26
Real Betis
1.18
Las Palmas
1.16
Valencia
1.16
Espanyol
1.13
Eibar
1.13
Deportivo La Coruna
1.11
Sporting Gijon
1.03
Granada CF
1.03
Rayo Vallecano
1.00
Getafe
0.95
Levante
0.84
Sevilla is 0.53 points better than Levante in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 0.84).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Barcelona
2.95
Real Madrid
2.89
Atletico Madrid
1.66
Athletic Club
1.53
Rayo Vallecano
1.37
Celta Vigo
1.34
Sevilla
1.34
Eibar
1.29
Granada CF
1.21
Valencia
1.21
Real Sociedad
1.18
Deportivo La Coruna
1.18
Las Palmas
1.18
Villarreal
1.16
Sporting Gijon
1.05
Espanyol
1.05
Malaga
1.00
Getafe
0.97
Levante
0.97
Real Betis
0.89
Sevilla is 0.37 goals better than Levante in terms of goals scored per game (1.34 vs 0.97).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Atletico Madrid
0.47
Barcelona
0.76
Real Madrid
0.89
Malaga
0.92
Villarreal
0.92
Athletic Club
1.18
Real Sociedad
1.26
Valencia
1.26
Sevilla
1.32
Real Betis
1.37
Las Palmas
1.39
Celta Vigo
1.55
Deportivo La Coruna
1.61
Eibar
1.61
Sporting Gijon
1.63
Getafe
1.76
Granada CF
1.82
Levante
1.84
Rayo Vallecano
1.92
Espanyol
1.95
Sevilla is 0.53 goals better than Levante in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 1.84).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sevilla
For 6.7 · Against 5.0 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 3.3 · Total 6.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.7 · Against 14.9 · Total 30.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Levante
For 3.7 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.7 · Against 2.6 · Total 7.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.1 · Against 14.9 · Total 32.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sevilla
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (21)
11.1
11.5
10.7
6.2
5.7
6.7
29.1
31.5
26.5
vs Stronger (4)
12.8
12.7
13.0
6.2
5.7
8.0
28.0
28.7
26.0
vs Similar (12)
11.8
12.3
11.2
6.2
5.7
6.8
29.2
32.7
25.7
vs Weaker (5)
8.2
7.0
9.0
6.0
6.0
6.0
30.0
32.5
28.3
% over line
76%
91%
60%
86%
82%
90%
86%
100%
70%
% under line
24%
9%
40%
14%
18%
10%
14%
0%
30%
This opponent (Levante) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levante
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (21)
9.3
9.8
8.8
6.4
7.4
5.4
30.3
32.2
28.3
vs Stronger (5)
10.6
11.5
10.0
5.2
8.0
3.3
27.8
35.5
22.7
vs Similar (16)
8.9
9.4
8.3
6.8
7.2
6.3
31.1
31.4
30.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
73%
30%
95%
100%
90%
86%
91%
80%
% under line
48%
27%
70%
5%
0%
10%
14%
9%
20%
This opponent (Sevilla) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Valencia
11.6
Villarreal
11.3
Real Madrid
11.3
Sevilla
11.1
Athletic Club
10.8
Espanyol
10.7
Deportivo La Coruna
10.7
Celta Vigo
10.4
Rayo Vallecano
10.4
Barcelona
10.3
Malaga
10.0
Getafe
9.9
Real Betis
9.9
Real Sociedad
9.9
Eibar
9.6
Levante
9.3
Sporting Gijon
9.3
Granada CF
9.1
Atletico Madrid
8.9
Las Palmas
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Espanyol
6.5
Levante
6.4
Granada CF
6.4
Real Betis
6.3
Sevilla
6.2
Malaga
6.2
Celta Vigo
6.1
Real Sociedad
6.1
Valencia
6.0
Eibar
5.9
Athletic Club
5.7
Villarreal
5.5
Getafe
5.4
Las Palmas
5.4
Sporting Gijon
5.3
Rayo Vallecano
5.3
Atletico Madrid
5.1
Barcelona
5.0
Deportivo La Coruna
4.9
Real Madrid
4.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Valencia
33.8
Espanyol
32.9
Granada CF
30.4
Levante
30.3
Las Palmas
29.6
Sevilla
29.1
Celta Vigo
29.1
Malaga
29.0
Rayo Vallecano
28.4
Villarreal
27.9
Real Betis
27.6
Eibar
27.5
Athletic Club
27.5
Real Sociedad
27.2
Getafe
27.0
Barcelona
25.8
Atletico Madrid
25.7
Sporting Gijon
25.4
Real Madrid
24.8
Deportivo La Coruna
23.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
56.6%
Under 9.5
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
80.9%
Under 3.5
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
93.8%
Under 21.5
6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sevilla
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.48
0.91
0.36
0.20
0.60
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.50
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.42
1.17
0.33
0.17
0.50
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.60
1.00
0.00
0.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
62% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Levante) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levante
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.24
0.52
0.09
0.64
0.40
0.40
vs Stronger (5)
0.00
0.80
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.67
vs Similar (16)
0.31
0.44
0.11
0.56
0.57
0.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
62% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Sevilla) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sevilla over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sevilla over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sevilla over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levante over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levante over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levante over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sevilla
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.76
0.57
1.18
0.64
0.30
0.50
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.00
1.33
1.33
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.58
1.17
0.33
0.33
0.83
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.20
1.00
0.50
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Levante) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levante
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.71
1.29
1.00
0.91
0.40
1.70
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.60
0.50
1.00
0.33
2.00
vs Similar (16)
0.81
1.19
1.11
0.89
0.43
1.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
29% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Sevilla) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sevilla over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sevilla over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sevilla over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levante over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levante over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levante over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 25.5 fouls
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sevilla · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chidera Ejuke33%
Jon Guridi33%
Peque Fernández33%
Isaac Romero33%
Miguel Sierra33%
Odysseas Vlachodimos0%
Gabriel Suazo0%
Lucien Agoumé0%
Juan Iglesias0%
Robbie Ure0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Isaac Romero100%
Gabriel Suazo67%
Jon Guridi67%
Lucien Agoumé33%
Peque Fernández33%
Miguel Sierra33%
Odysseas Vlachodimos0%
Chidera Ejuke0%
Juan Iglesias0%
Robbie Ure0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Isaac Romero33%
Robbie Ure33%
Odysseas Vlachodimos0%
Gabriel Suazo0%
Lucien Agoumé0%
Chidera Ejuke0%
Jon Guridi0%
Juan Iglesias0%
Peque Fernández0%
Miguel Sierra0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Robbie Ure33%
Miguel Sierra33%
Odysseas Vlachodimos0%
Gabriel Suazo0%
Lucien Agoumé0%
Chidera Ejuke0%
Jon Guridi0%
Juan Iglesias0%
Peque Fernández0%
Isaac Romero0%
Levante · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adrián de la Fuente33%
Enzo Bardeli33%
Jon Ander Olasagasti33%
Jeremy Toljan0%
Aïssa Mandi0%
Mathew Ryan0%
Víctor García0%
Manuel Sánchez0%
Oriol Rey0%
Iván Romero0%
Etta Eyong0%
Nacho Pérez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jeremy Toljan33%
Iván Romero33%
Adrián de la Fuente0%
Aïssa Mandi0%
Mathew Ryan0%
Víctor García0%
Manuel Sánchez0%
Oriol Rey0%
Enzo Bardeli0%
Jon Ander Olasagasti0%
Etta Eyong0%
Nacho Pérez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Enzo Bardeli33%
Jon Ander Olasagasti33%
Etta Eyong33%
Adrián de la Fuente0%
Jeremy Toljan0%
Aïssa Mandi0%
Mathew Ryan0%
Víctor García0%
Manuel Sánchez0%
Oriol Rey0%
Iván Romero0%
Nacho Pérez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adrián de la Fuente33%
Iván Romero33%
Jeremy Toljan0%
Aïssa Mandi0%
Mathew Ryan0%
Víctor García0%
Manuel Sánchez0%
Oriol Rey0%
Enzo Bardeli0%
Jon Ander Olasagasti0%
Etta Eyong0%
Nacho Pérez0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
ESP (24)
€119m
GET (24)
€90m
LEV (26)
€89m
DLC (29)
€84m
RV (23)
€76m
MAL (27)
€41m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
GC (18)
€17m
EIB (24)
€15m
Sevilla's squad is €45m more valuable than Levante's (€134m vs €89m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
CV (9)
€57m
LEV (10)
€51m
DLC (9)
€49m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ESP (9)
€39m
GET (5)
€36m
RV (10)
€30m
MAL (11)
€26m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
EIB (8)
€7m
GC (5)
€6m
Sevilla's attack is €6m less valuable than Levante's (€45m vs €51m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
ESP (5)
€31m
GET (6)
€28m
SEV (5)
€23m
LEV (5)
€16m
DLC (7)
€13m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
EIB (6)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
Sevilla's midfield is €7m more valuable than Levante's (€23m vs €16m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
ESP (10)
€48m
VAL (12)
€39m
RV (9)
€36m
GET (13)
€26m
DLC (13)
€22m
LEV (11)
€22m
LP (10)
€13m
MAL (11)
€9m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
EIB (10)
€5m
Sevilla's defence is €44m more valuable than Levante's (€65m vs €22m).
Spain: La Liga 2015/16 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →
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Barcelona
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo
Malaga
Real Sociedad
Real Betis
Valencia
Las Palmas
Eibar
Espanyol
Deportivo La Coruna
Sporting Gijon
Granada CF
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe