Shamrock Rovers are tipped to win, the model’s favourite outcome, with a 48 % chance of a home victory, 28 % for a draw and 24 % for Shelbourne to come away with the win. The match is expected to see 2.6 goals on average, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13.4 % probability. Rovers, playing at home against a weaker side, average 2.14 goals scored and 1.29 conceded, while Shelbourne, on the road against a stronger opponent, average 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.5 %), Under 6.5 (98.4 % with a 3 % edge), Away under 3.5 goals (97.9 %), Under 5.5 (95.4 % with a 3 % edge), Home under 3.5 goals (93.0 %), Away under 2.5 goals (91.5 %), Home +2 handicap (90.7 %) and Under 4.5 (88.3 % with a 4 % edge). Both sides have come off draws in their last matches, adding intrigue to the encounter.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Shamrock Rovers win
47.9%
Avg Implied 53.1% · @ 1.75
Edge
-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.88
10Bet
1.82
1xBet
1.82
SBO
1.82
William Hil
1.80
Draw
28.1%
Avg Implied 25.6% · @ 3.62
Edge
+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.07
Marathonbet
3.84
Betfair
3.80
Dafabet
3.80
Betano
3.75
Shelbourne win
23.9%
Avg Implied 21.3% · @ 4.36
Edge
+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.90
Dafabet
4.80
Bet365
4.75
Betfair
4.75
Marathonbet
4.70
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Shamrock Rovers
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.07
2.00
0.93
1.25
1.19
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
1.68
1.26
1.90
0.80
1.44
1.78
vs Weaker (11)
1.45
0.73
2.25
1.25
1.00
0.43
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Shelbourne
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.47
1.40
1.73
1.27
1.20
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.67
2.00
2.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (27)
1.37
1.44
1.36
1.71
1.38
1.15
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Shamrock Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
73.3%
@ 1.26-0.5%
Under 1.5
26.7%
@ 3.55+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.86
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.60
Marathonbet
3.54
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
46.7%
@ 1.85-4.0%
Under 2.5
53.3%
@ 1.90+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.89
Superbet
1.88
Betfair
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Betano
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
2.02
Bet365
1.95
Marathonbet
1.94
SBO
1.93
Betfair
1.90
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
25.1%
@ 3.12-4.7%
Under 3.5
74.9%
@ 1.32+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.25
Betfair
3.25
Superbet
3.20
BetVictor
3.20
Unibet
3.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.34
Betfair
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Both teams to score
Yes
51.1%
@ 1.77-1.2%
No
48.9%
@ 1.94+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.82
Superbet
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Marathonbet
1.77
No
Betfair
2.00
888Sport
2.00
1xBet
1.97
William Hil
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%@ 6.58+6.7%
1-0
10.8%@ 6.81+4.3%
2-1
9.3%@ 7.64+3.5%
2-0
9.2%@ 7.96+3.6%
0-0
9.1%@ 10.11+4.7%
0-1
6.8%@ 11.28+2.8%
1-2
6.2%@ 12.95+2.7%
3-1
4.7%@ 12.84+1.3%
Shamrock Rovers goals ↓
Shelbourne goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.1%
6.8%
4.0%
1.4%
0.3%
1
11%
13%
6.2%
2.1%
0.5%
2
9.2%
9.3%
4.7%
1.6%
0.4%
3
4.7%
4.7%
2.4%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.8%
1.8%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Shamrock Rovers goals (down), columns = Shelbourne goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.96
St Patrick's Athl.
1.72
Bohemians
1.72
Dundalk
1.38
Shelbourne
1.30
Galway United
1.21
Derry City
1.17
Waterford
1.10
Drogheda United
0.97
Sligo Rovers
0.79
Shamrock Rovers is 0.67 points better than Shelbourne in terms of average points per game (1.96 vs 1.30).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bohemians
1.72
Shamrock Rovers
1.64
Dundalk
1.59
St Patrick's Athl.
1.55
Derry City
1.41
Shelbourne
1.37
Waterford
1.34
Galway United
1.29
Drogheda United
1.14
Sligo Rovers
0.79
Shamrock Rovers is 0.27 goals better than Shelbourne in terms of goals scored per game (1.64 vs 1.37).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
St Patrick's Athl.
0.86
Shamrock Rovers
0.96
Bohemians
1.17
Derry City
1.38
Shelbourne
1.44
Galway United
1.50
Dundalk
1.55
Sligo Rovers
1.66
Drogheda United
1.66
Waterford
1.66
Shamrock Rovers is 0.48 goals better than Shelbourne in terms of goals conceded per game (0.96 vs 1.44).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
62%
Bohemians
59%
St Patrick's Athl.
55%
Derry City
54%
Shelbourne
53%
Dundalk
52%
Sligo Rovers
46%
Drogheda United
40%
Galway United
40%
Waterford
39%
Shamrock Rovers is 9.4 percentage points better than Shelbourne in terms of average possession (62% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Shamrock Rovers
For 3.6 · Against 3.4 · Total 7.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 13.7 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Shelbourne
For 4.1 · Against 6.3 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 10.4 · Total 20.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Shamrock Rovers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.2
8.5
7.8
4.2
3.6
4.7
22.5
22.4
22.7
vs Stronger (3)
10.3
12.0
9.5
4.7
1.0
6.5
18.0
14.0
20.0
vs Similar (31)
8.1
8.4
7.8
3.9
3.5
4.3
23.7
23.3
24.2
vs Weaker (16)
7.8
8.1
7.5
4.6
4.1
5.0
21.4
21.7
21.1
% over line
23%
27%
18%
62%
44%
80%
59%
50%
68%
% under line
77%
73%
82%
38%
56%
20%
41%
50%
32%
This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Shelbourne
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.6
9.8
4.5
4.5
4.5
21.4
21.3
21.4
vs Stronger (9)
11.4
10.8
12.0
3.2
2.6
4.0
19.8
20.8
18.8
vs Similar (41)
9.3
9.3
9.3
4.8
5.0
4.6
21.7
21.5
21.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
57%
48%
62%
64%
60%
54%
57%
52%
% under line
48%
43%
52%
38%
36%
40%
46%
43%
48%
This opponent (Shamrock Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sligo Rovers
11.1
Waterford
11.0
Galway United
10.5
Dundalk
10.4
St Patrick's Athl.
10.3
Drogheda United
10.2
Bohemians
10.0
Shelbourne
9.7
Derry City
9.6
Shamrock Rovers
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Derry City
5.2
Dundalk
5.0
St Patrick's Athl.
4.9
Shamrock Rovers
4.9
Shelbourne
4.8
Waterford
4.7
Bohemians
4.7
Galway United
4.6
Drogheda United
4.5
Sligo Rovers
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Galway United
23.4
Dundalk
23.4
Bohemians
23.2
Derry City
23.1
Shamrock Rovers
22.9
St Patrick's Athl.
22.7
Waterford
22.3
Drogheda United
21.8
Shelbourne
21.3
Sligo Rovers
19.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
48.6%
@ 1.86-1.5%
Under 9.5
51.4%
@ 1.86+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.93
1xBet
1.86
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
Under
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.88
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
67.3%
Under 3.5
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
50.9%
Under 21.5
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Shamrock Rovers or Draw
76.1%
Avg Implied 78.4% · @ 1.19
Edge
-2.3%
48%
28%
24%
covers Shamrock Rovers + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
Betano
1.20
Shamrock Rovers or Shelbourne
71.9%
Avg Implied 74.7% · @ 1.25
Edge
-2.8%
48%
28%
24%
covers Shamrock Rovers + Shelbourne
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Draw or Shelbourne
52.1%
Avg Implied 47.0% · @ 1.99
Edge
+5.1%
48%
28%
24%
covers Draw + Shelbourne
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.18
Marathonbet
2.12
Betfair
2.10
SBO
1.97
BetVictor
1.95
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Shamrock Rovers over/under 0.5
Over
78.3%
@ 1.16-1.5%
Under
21.7%
@ 4.58+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.15
BetVictor
1.15
Under
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
4.75
1xBet
4.65
Betano
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Shamrock Rovers over/under 1.5
Over
45.1%
@ 1.82-6.2%
Under
54.9%
@ 1.92+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.95
1xBet
1.89
BetVictor
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Unibet
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
2.08
Marathonbet
2.01
Betfair
2.00
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.89
Shamrock Rovers over/under 2.5
Over
19.8%
@ 3.55-6.3%
Under
80.2%
@ 1.26+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.65
BetVictor
3.60
Unibet
3.55
Under
Betano
1.31
Pinnacle
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Shamrock Rovers over/under 3.5
Over
6.9%
@ 8.25-4.5%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.06+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
1xBet
9.10
Betfair
7.50
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.09
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.02
Shelbourne over/under 0.5
Over
63.7%
@ 1.50+1.6%
Under
36.3%
@ 2.46-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.55
Pinnacle
1.54
Marathonbet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Under
Pinnacle
2.54
Bet365
2.50
BetVictor
2.50
Betfair
2.50
Superbet
2.50
Shelbourne over/under 1.5
Over
26.9%
@ 3.43-0.2%
Under
73.1%
@ 1.28+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.71
Marathonbet
3.56
Betano
3.55
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.40
Under
Superbet
1.31
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.27
Shelbourne over/under 2.5
Over
8.3%
@ 9.11-2.0%
Under
91.7%
@ 1.04+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
9.90
Betfair
9.50
1xBet
9.10
Betano
8.25
Under
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Shelbourne over/under 3.5
Over
2.0%
@ 20.75-2.7%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Shamrock Rovers, so a minus line means Shamrock Rovers give that many goals of a start and Shelbourne receive them. At -1, Shamrock Rovers must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Shamrock Rovers win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Shamrock Rovers)
Shamrock Rovers -2
10.1%
@ 5.88-5.1%
Draw -2
14.9%
@ 4.91-3.2%
Shelbourne +2
74.9%
@ 1.34+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Unibet
6.00
Marathonbet
5.50
Draw
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Unibet
4.70
Away
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Betfair
1.33
Unibet
1.32
Handicap -1 (Shamrock Rovers)
Shamrock Rovers -1
25.1%
@ 2.97-5.0%
Draw -1
22.9%
@ 3.52-2.5%
Shelbourne +1
52.1%
@ 2.00+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.25
Unibet
2.95
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.79
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
Unibet
3.35
Away
Marathonbet
2.12
Betfair
2.00
Unibet
1.98
Bet365
1.91
Handicap +1 (Shamrock Rovers)
Shamrock Rovers +1
76.1%
@ 1.18+0.9%
Draw +1
14.8%
@ 5.72-0.7%
Shelbourne -1
9.1%
@ 9.57-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Draw
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
5.60
Marathonbet
4.30
Away
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
11.00
Unibet
9.00
Marathonbet
6.30
Handicap +2 (Shamrock Rovers)
Shamrock Rovers +2
90.9%
@ 1.04+0.3%
Draw +2
6.6%
@ 14.50+0.1%
Shelbourne -2
2.6%
@ 32.50-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.03
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
14.00
Away
Betfair
36.00
Bet365
29.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Shamrock Rovers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.60
1.29
0.36
0.56
0.81
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.89
0.79
1.10
0.30
0.67
1.33
vs Weaker (11)
0.91
0.27
1.75
0.50
0.43
0.14
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Shelbourne
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.77
0.60
0.87
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.33
1.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.56
0.70
0.57
0.79
0.54
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Shamrock Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
73.3%
@ 1.35+4.6%
Under 0.5
26.7%
@ 2.97-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.38
1xBet
1.37
BetVictor
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.22
Betfair
3.20
William Hil
3.10
Bet365
3.00
Marathonbet
2.99
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
36.1%
@ 2.67+1.5%
Under 1.5
63.9%
@ 1.42-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.75
Betano
2.75
Bet365
2.75
1xBet
2.73
Superbet
2.72
Under
Pinnacle
1.46
William Hil
1.44
BetVictor
1.43
Betano
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
12.2%
@ 6.53-2.0%
Under 2.5
87.8%
@ 1.08+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
6.55
Superbet
6.50
William Hil
6.50
Under
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Shamrock Rovers over/under 0.5 HT
Over
55.6%
@ 1.74+2.3%
Under
44.4%
@ 1.99-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.82
1xBet
1.77
Betano
1.75
Unibet
1.71
Pinnacle
1.71
Under
Pinnacle
2.14
Marathonbet
2.02
Unibet
1.98
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.92
Shamrock Rovers over/under 1.5 HT
Over
19.9%
@ 4.67+0.2%
Under
80.1%
@ 1.15-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.05
Marathonbet
4.65
Betano
4.30
Under
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.12
Shamrock Rovers over/under 2.5 HT
Over
5.3%
@ 9.25-4.7%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.03+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Shelbourne over/under 0.5 HT
Over
36.7%
@ 2.58+0.7%
Under
63.3%
@ 1.45-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.75
Betano
2.67
Marathonbet
2.58
1xBet
2.51
Unibet
2.50
Under
Superbet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.45
Unibet
1.45
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.43
Shelbourne over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.6%
@ 9.58-2.0%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.02+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.75
1xBet
10.00
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.05
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Shelbourne over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Shamrock Rovers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.47
0.71
0.57
0.69
0.38
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.79
0.47
0.80
0.50
0.78
0.44
vs Weaker (11)
0.55
0.45
0.50
0.75
0.57
0.29
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Shelbourne
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.70
0.80
0.87
0.80
0.53
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (27)
0.81
0.74
0.79
0.93
0.85
0.54
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Shamrock Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
79.3%
@ 1.22+3.4%
Under 0.5
20.7%
@ 3.83-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
4.00
1xBet
3.90
Betano
3.80
Superbet
3.70
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
43.8%
@ 2.08-0.9%
Under 1.5
56.2%
@ 1.68+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.15
Superbet
2.12
Bet365
2.10
Unibet
2.08
1xBet
2.07
Under
Marathonbet
1.73
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.65
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
17.8%
@ 4.31-3.7%
Under 2.5
82.2%
@ 1.18+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.50
William Hil
4.50
Superbet
4.45
1xBet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.20
Under
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Shamrock Rovers over/under 0.5 2H
Over
62.5%
@ 1.54+2.3%
Under
37.5%
@ 2.32-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.59
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.50
Under
Betano
2.42
1xBet
2.33
Superbet
2.22
Shamrock Rovers over/under 1.5 2H
Over
24.2%
@ 3.30-3.7%
Under
75.8%
@ 1.28+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.26
Betano
3.15
Under
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.24
Shamrock Rovers over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.1%
@ 8.40-4.9%
Under
93.9%
@ 1.04+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.90
Betano
6.90
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.01
Shelbourne over/under 0.5 2H
Over
44.8%
@ 2.11+1.0%
Under
55.2%
@ 1.64-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.16
Betano
2.15
Superbet
2.10
1xBet
2.04
Under
1xBet
1.69
Superbet
1.66
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.60
Shelbourne over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.2%
@ 6.73-2.5%
Under
88.8%
@ 1.07+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.60
1xBet
6.40
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
Shelbourne over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.0%
@ 11.25-6.3%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+3.1%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.0%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.3%
Away under 3.5 goals
98.0%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+2.7%
Under 5.5
95.5%
1.03
1xBet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
888Sport
1.03
Betfair
1.02
+3.6%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.7%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+4.7%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.9%
1.04
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.9%
Home under 3.5 goals
93.1%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.02
-
+4.5%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.4%
1.02
Betano
1.05
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+2.0%
Away under 2.5 goals
91.7%
1.04
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
+2.0%
Home +2 handicap
90.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.03
-
-
-
+0.3%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.8%
1.07
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
-
-
+2.5%
Under 4.5
88.6%
1.10
Pinnacle
1.14
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.11
888Sport
1.11
+4.1%
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.8%
1.08
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
+2.0%
Over 2.5 cards
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.2%
1.18
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
+3.7%
Home under 2.5 goals
80.2%
1.26
Betano
1.31
Pinnacle
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+6.3%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
80.1%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-0.2%
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.3%
1.22
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.20
+3.4%
Under 25.5 fouls
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
78.3%
1.16
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.15
BetVictor
1.15
-1.5%
Home or Draw
76.1%
1.19
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
Betano
1.20
-2.3%
Home +1 handicap
76.1%
1.18
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-
+0.9%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
75.8%
1.28
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.24
-
-
+3.7%
Away +2 handicap
74.9%
1.34
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Betfair
1.33
Unibet
1.32
-
+8.3%
Under 3.5
74.9%
1.32
Pinnacle
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.34
Betfair
1.33
10Bet
1.33
+4.7%
Under 11.5 corners
74.5%
1.29
Unibet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
-
-
+3.8%
Over 1.5
73.3%
1.26
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Bet365
1.25
-0.5%
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.3%
1.35
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.38
1xBet
1.37
BetVictor
1.37
Bet365
1.36
+4.6%
Away under 1.5 goals
73.1%
1.28
Superbet
1.31
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.27
+0.2%
Home or Away
71.9%
1.25
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.25
-2.8%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Shamrock Rovers
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Graham Burke27%
M. Noonan24%
Dylan Watts22%
Roberto Lopes21%
John McGovern18%
A. Greene16%
Daniel Grant15%
Adam Brennan15%
M. Asamoah10%
M. Healy8%
Enda Stevens8%
J. Byrne7%
Tunmise Sobowale4%
Connor Malley0%
A. Matthews0%
J. Mulraney0%
Dan Cleary0%
L. Grace0%
E. McGinty0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Cory O'Sullivan0%
N. Razi0%
Max Kovaleskis0%
Victor Ozhianvuna0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Asamoah40%
Enda Stevens38%
M. Healy28%
Max Kovaleskis25%
Adam Brennan25%
Roberto Lopes21%
A. Matthews20%
John O'Sullivan20%
Cory O'Sullivan18%
Tunmise Sobowale16%
Daniel Grant15%
J. Byrne15%
E. McGinty15%
Dan Cleary12%
N. Razi12%
A. Greene12%
Victor Ozhianvuna11%
Graham Burke9%
John McGovern9%
M. Noonan8%
L. Grace5%
J. Mulraney5%
Connor Malley0%
Dylan Watts0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
John McGovern23%
Dylan Watts17%
Tunmise Sobowale12%
Cory O'Sullivan12%
J. Byrne11%
Victor Ozhianvuna11%
M. Asamoah10%
Adam Brennan10%
Enda Stevens8%
Daniel Grant8%
John O'Sullivan7%
Graham Burke5%
J. Mulraney5%
Connor Malley0%
A. Matthews0%
Dan Cleary0%
L. Grace0%
Roberto Lopes0%
A. Greene0%
E. McGinty0%
M. Healy0%
N. Razi0%
M. Noonan0%
Max Kovaleskis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
M. Asamoah20%
Graham Burke18%
Daniel Grant15%
John McGovern9%
M. Noonan8%
Roberto Lopes7%
John O'Sullivan7%
Victor Ozhianvuna6%
Adam Brennan5%
A. Greene4%
M. Healy4%
J. Byrne4%
Enda Stevens0%
Connor Malley0%
A. Matthews0%
J. Mulraney0%
Dan Cleary0%
L. Grace0%
Dylan Watts0%
E. McGinty0%
Tunmise Sobowale0%
Cory O'Sullivan0%
N. Razi0%
Max Kovaleskis0%
Shelbourne
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
John Martin38%
Harry Wood32%
D. Kelly24%
Ademipo Odubeko17%
James Norris14%
S. Moore12%
P. Barrett12%
Zeno Ibsen Rossi11%
Sean Boyd11%
Jack Henry-Francis11%
Alistair Coote9%
Sam Bone5%
W. Jarvis5%
Kerr McInroy5%
Rodrigo Freitas5%
Evan Caffrey4%
Ellis Chapman0%
S. Gannon0%
Jonathan Lunney0%
Odhran Casey0%
K. Ledwidge0%
Wessel Speel0%
Eddie Beach0%
Maill Lundgren0%
Milan Mbeng0%
James Roche0%
Daniel Ring0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
James Roche40%
Jonathan Lunney32%
John Martin31%
P. Barrett29%
S. Gannon29%
Kerr McInroy29%
D. Kelly28%
Rodrigo Freitas27%
Jack Henry-Francis26%
Maill Lundgren23%
Zeno Ibsen Rossi22%
Sean Boyd22%
Sam Bone20%
Evan Caffrey20%
Alistair Coote17%
Ademipo Odubeko17%
James Norris14%
Odhran Casey12%
S. Moore12%
Harry Wood9%
K. Ledwidge7%
Milan Mbeng7%
W. Jarvis5%
Wessel Speel4%
Ellis Chapman0%
Eddie Beach0%
Daniel Ring0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Maill Lundgren23%
Ademipo Odubeko17%
Harry Wood14%
John Martin12%
Kerr McInroy10%
Alistair Coote9%
Milan Mbeng7%
Jack Henry-Francis5%
Sam Bone5%
W. Jarvis5%
Rodrigo Freitas5%
Evan Caffrey4%
K. Ledwidge4%
Ellis Chapman0%
S. Gannon0%
D. Kelly0%
Jonathan Lunney0%
P. Barrett0%
Odhran Casey0%
James Norris0%
Wessel Speel0%
Zeno Ibsen Rossi0%
Eddie Beach0%
S. Moore0%
James Roche0%
Daniel Ring0%
Sean Boyd0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
John Martin38%
Harry Wood18%
Ademipo Odubeko17%
Milan Mbeng14%
Kerr McInroy10%
D. Kelly8%
P. Barrett6%
Sean Boyd6%
Alistair Coote4%
Evan Caffrey4%
Ellis Chapman0%
S. Gannon0%
Sam Bone0%
Jonathan Lunney0%
Odhran Casey0%
James Norris0%
K. Ledwidge0%
Wessel Speel0%
Zeno Ibsen Rossi0%
Jack Henry-Francis0%
Eddie Beach0%
Maill Lundgren0%
W. Jarvis0%
S. Moore0%
James Roche0%
Daniel Ring0%
Rodrigo Freitas0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (22)
€5m
BOH (23)
€4m
DC (22)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
DUN (20)
€3m
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
Shamrock Rovers's squad is €3m more valuable than Shelbourne's (€7m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
DUN (3)
€0m
Shamrock Rovers's attack is €2m more valuable than Shelbourne's (€3m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (6)
€1m
BOH (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
DUN (6)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
Shamrock Rovers and Shelbourne have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
SPA (9)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
DUN (11)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
Shamrock Rovers and Shelbourne have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Ireland: Premier Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: Premier Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
Dundalk
Derry City
Galway United
Waterford
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers