Sheffield United are tipped to win, with a 55% chance of triumph, a 28% chance of a draw and only 18% for Bolton. The model expects 2.4 goals on average, most likely a single-goal total, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-0 for the home side at 13.7%. Sheffield’s home form shows they average 1.85 goals scored and 1.54 conceded against teams of similar strength, while Bolton’s away numbers are 0.78 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The suggested picks include Under 7.5 goals at 99.7%, Away under 3.5 goals at 99.1%, Under 6.5 at 98.9% with a 4% edge, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.8%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.6%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.5%, Under 5.5 at 96.7% with a 6% edge, and Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.1%. The match is set to be a low-scoring affair, favouring Sheffield United’s recent unbeaten run and Bolton’s defensive solidity.
Results analysis
Sheffield United’s unbeaten run in their last five extended with a 3-2 win over Bolton, confirming the model’s prediction that the home side would triumph. The pre-match favourite, Home win, carried a 54% probability and was indeed correct. The model’s selections performed strongly: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.7%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 99.1%, Under 6.5 hit at 99.0%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.4%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.0%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.3%, Under 5.5 hit at 96.8%, and Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.6%. All eight picks settled, reinforcing the model’s accuracy.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Sheffield United win✓ Hit
54.2%
Avg Implied 57.3% · @ 1.64
Edge
-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.67
Betano
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
Dafabet
1.66
Draw✗ Miss
27.9%
Avg Implied 24.1% · @ 3.91
Edge
+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.10
Betano
4.05
Pinnacle
4.00
BetVictor
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Bolton win✗ Miss
17.9%
Avg Implied 18.6% · @ 5.08
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
5.50
Pinnacle
5.41
Bet365
5.25
BetVictor
5.25
Dafabet
5.20
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Sheffield United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.40
1.86
1.79
1.38
1.06
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.48
1.37
1.75
1.67
1.27
1.13
vs Weaker (3)
2.67
1.67
2.50
2.50
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Bolton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bolton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.13
2.07
1.33
1.07
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.55
1.35
2.18
1.64
0.78
1.00
vs Weaker (10)
1.60
0.70
1.75
0.50
1.50
0.83
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheffield United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.1%
@ 1.23-7.0%
Under 1.5
30.9%
@ 3.93+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
BetVictor
1.24
Superbet
1.24
Under
Bet365
4.33
Pinnacle
4.16
Betfair
4.10
Superbet
4.10
Betano
3.95
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.6%
@ 1.76-12.2%
Under 2.5
58.4%
@ 2.05+12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
Betano
1.78
Unibet
1.77
SBO
1.76
Under
Pinnacle
2.11
Betano
2.10
Bet365
2.10
SBO
2.08
Superbet
2.07
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
21.0%
@ 2.83-12.1%
Under 3.5
79.0%
@ 1.40+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.95
Unibet
2.95
Pinnacle
2.93
Betano
2.92
Betfair
2.88
Under
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
Superbet
1.42
BetVictor
1.40
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
44.3%
@ 1.74-9.1%
No
55.7%
@ 2.00+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.77
Betano
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Betfair
1.75
No
Betfair
2.05
Bet365
2.00
Betano
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.7%@ 7.00+7.3%
1-1
13.0%@ 7.05+6.6%
2-0
11.6%@ 7.77+5.7%
0-0
10.8%@ 11.35+6.8%
2-1
9.2%@ 7.51+3.1%
0-1
6.4%@ 13.25+3.0%
3-0
6.0%@ 11.93+2.2%
3-1
4.7%@ 11.83+0.9%
Sheffield United goals ↓
Bolton goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
6.4%
3.0%
0.8%
0.2%
1
14%
13%
4.7%
1.2%
0.2%
2
12%
9.2%
3.6%
1.0%
0.2%
3
6.0%
4.7%
1.9%
0.5%
0.1%
4
2.3%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sheffield United goals (down), columns = Bolton goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
West Ham
1.92
Wolves
1.90
Millwall
1.75
Burnley
1.72
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Birmingham
1.39
Swansea
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Sheffield United
1.30
Preston
1.30
Cardiff
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Stoke
1.20
Portsmouth
1.20
West Brom
1.15
Charlton
1.15
Blackburn
1.13
Bolton
1.00
Lincoln
0.94
Sheffield United is 0.31 points better than Bolton in terms of average points per game (1.30 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
West Ham
1.82
Wolves
1.81
Southampton
1.73
Burnley
1.63
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Birmingham
1.24
Swansea
1.24
Cardiff
1.23
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Charlton
0.96
Bolton
0.95
Blackburn
0.91
Lincoln
0.89
Sheffield United is 0.49 goals better than Bolton in terms of goals scored per game (1.43 vs 0.95).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
West Ham
0.92
Wolves
0.93
Middlesbrough
1.00
Burnley
1.03
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Norwich
1.22
Stoke
1.22
West Brom
1.26
Charlton
1.26
Bristol City
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Derby
1.28
Preston
1.35
Cardiff
1.36
Portsmouth
1.39
Wrexham
1.41
Watford
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
QPR
1.59
Bolton
1.77
Lincoln
1.87
Sheffield United is 0.33 goals better than Bolton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 1.77).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sheffield United
For 5.0 · Against 6.4 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 12.5 · Total 22.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bolton
For 5.5 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 13.0 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sheffield United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.5
11.7
11.3
3.9
4.2
3.7
21.5
22.0
21.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (46)
11.5
11.6
11.5
3.9
4.0
3.8
21.4
22.0
20.8
vs Weaker (4)
10.8
12.0
9.5
4.2
5.5
3.0
23.5
22.5
24.5
% over line
68%
67%
69%
54%
54%
54%
46%
50%
42%
% under line
32%
33%
31%
46%
46%
46%
54%
50%
58%
This opponent (Bolton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bolton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
11.2
9.8
3.4
4.0
2.9
21.9
21.2
22.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (32)
10.7
11.4
10.0
3.7
4.2
3.0
21.9
21.5
22.3
vs Weaker (18)
10.0
10.8
9.3
3.1
3.4
2.8
21.8
20.5
23.0
% over line
58%
62%
54%
42%
56%
28%
52%
33%
71%
% under line
42%
38%
46%
58%
44%
72%
48%
67%
29%
This opponent (Sheffield United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sheffield United
11.5
West Ham
11.1
Southampton
11.1
Millwall
11.0
Middlesbrough
10.9
Cardiff
10.9
Portsmouth
10.8
Preston
10.6
Blackburn
10.6
Bolton
10.4
Watford
10.4
Stoke
10.4
Norwich
10.3
Birmingham
10.2
Wrexham
10.1
Bristol City
10.1
Swansea
10.0
QPR
10.0
Derby
10.0
Charlton
9.7
Burnley
9.6
West Brom
9.4
Wolves
9.4
Lincoln
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Watford
4.5
Sheffield United
4.1
Lincoln
4.1
Derby
4.1
Stoke
4.0
Norwich
4.0
Swansea
4.0
Bristol City
3.9
Portsmouth
3.9
West Ham
3.9
Blackburn
3.9
Wolves
3.9
Southampton
3.9
QPR
3.8
Birmingham
3.7
Bolton
3.6
Charlton
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.5
Cardiff
3.5
Wrexham
3.5
Millwall
3.5
Preston
3.4
West Brom
3.4
Burnley
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Wolves
23.3
Lincoln
23.0
Derby
22.7
Swansea
22.4
West Ham
22.2
Portsmouth
22.1
Bolton
22.1
Southampton
21.9
Birmingham
21.9
Middlesbrough
21.6
Charlton
21.5
Sheffield United
21.5
Norwich
21.4
Bristol City
21.2
Watford
21.1
West Brom
20.8
Blackburn
20.8
Stoke
20.8
Cardiff
20.8
QPR
20.6
Millwall
20.4
Preston
20.2
Burnley
20.0
Wrexham
19.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
64.2%
@ 1.59+6.0%
Under 9.5
35.8%
@ 2.21-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.63
Betfair
1.60
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.58
Under
Pinnacle
2.25
Unibet
2.25
Betano
2.25
Marathonbet
2.22
1xBet
2.21
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
52.9%
@ 1.58-5.4%
Under 3.5
47.1%
@ 2.22+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.61
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Under
Pinnacle
2.34
Betano
2.25
Superbet
2.17
Unibet
2.12
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
51.0%
Under 21.5
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Sheffield United or Draw✓ Hit
82.1%
Avg Implied 80.9% · @ 1.16
Edge
+1.2%
54%
28%
18%
covers Sheffield United + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
Sheffield United or Bolton✓ Hit
72.1%
Avg Implied 76.6% · @ 1.22
Edge
-4.5%
54%
28%
18%
covers Sheffield United + Bolton
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Betano
1.24
Draw or Bolton✗ Miss
45.8%
Avg Implied 42.5% · @ 2.21
Edge
+3.3%
54%
28%
18%
covers Draw + Bolton
Best 5 market prices
SBO
2.31
Betano
2.27
Bet365
2.25
Superbet
2.22
10Bet
2.20
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Sheffield United over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.8%
@ 1.12-4.0%
Under
21.2%
@ 5.42+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
Under
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Superbet
5.45
1xBet
5.35
Sheffield United over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
46.0%
@ 1.68-9.7%
Under
54.0%
@ 2.10+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.72
10Bet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.69
Unibet
1.68
Under
Pinnacle
2.18
1xBet
2.13
Marathonbet
2.13
Superbet
2.12
Betano
2.12
Sheffield United over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
20.5%
@ 3.13-9.3%
Under
79.5%
@ 1.33+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.30
Pinnacle
3.30
Unibet
3.20
10Bet
3.20
BetVictor
3.10
Under
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.35
BetVictor
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Sheffield United over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.2%
@ 6.50-7.0%
Under
92.8%
@ 1.08+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
6.50
Superbet
6.30
Marathonbet
6.10
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Bolton over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
54.7%
@ 1.52-6.6%
Under
45.3%
@ 2.41+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.55
Betano
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Superbet
1.53
Under
Pinnacle
2.54
Unibet
2.43
Betfair
2.40
Betano
2.40
Superbet
2.40
Bolton over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
18.8%
@ 3.52-7.6%
Under
81.2%
@ 1.27+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.72
BetVictor
3.60
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
10Bet
3.55
Under
Betano
1.29
Pinnacle
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Bolton over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.6%
@ 9.10-5.6%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.04+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
9.30
1xBet
9.20
Betfair
9.00
Superbet
9.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
Bolton over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.9%
@ 23.17-3.3%
Under
99.1%
@ 1.01+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
Superbet
28.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Sheffield United, so a minus line means Sheffield United give that many goals of a start and Bolton receive them. At -1, Sheffield United must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Sheffield United win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Sheffield United)Actual: Bolton
Sheffield United -2
12.2%
@ 5.24-4.8%
Draw -2
17.1%
@ 4.59-2.3%
Bolton +2
70.7%
@ 1.40+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Unibet
5.40
10Bet
5.25
Superbet
5.00
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.70
Superbet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Away
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.40
Unibet
1.38
Handicap -1 (Sheffield United)Actual: Draw
Sheffield United -1
29.3%
@ 2.67-4.3%
Draw -1
24.9%
@ 3.52-0.5%
Bolton +1
45.8%
@ 2.18+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.75
10Bet
2.70
Unibet
2.70
Superbet
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.55
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
Unibet
3.45
Away
10Bet
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Marathonbet
2.19
Superbet
2.17
Handicap +1 (Sheffield United)Actual: Sheffield United
Sheffield United +1
82.1%
@ 1.16+5.1%
Draw +1
12.1%
@ 6.14-2.4%
Bolton -1
5.8%
@ 10.50-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Betfair
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Unibet
6.00
Marathonbet
4.45
Away
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
13.00
Unibet
10.00
10Bet
10.00
Marathonbet
6.50
Handicap +2 (Sheffield United)Actual: Sheffield United
Sheffield United +2
94.2%
@ 1.03+2.7%
Draw +2
4.4%
@ 16.00-1.5%
Bolton -2
1.3%
@ 37.50-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Draw
Bet365
17.00
Betfair
15.00
Away
Betfair
41.00
Bet365
34.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sheffield United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.70
0.57
0.86
0.75
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.59
0.70
0.42
0.83
0.73
0.60
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.67
1.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Bolton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bolton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.37
0.80
0.33
0.13
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.35
0.91
0.45
0.00
0.22
vs Weaker (10)
0.40
0.40
0.50
0.00
0.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheffield United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
67.0%
@ 1.33-3.2%
Under 0.5
33.0%
@ 3.13+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
BetVictor
1.35
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Under
Pinnacle
3.33
Betfair
3.30
William Hil
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.25
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
31.8%
@ 2.54-4.9%
Under 1.5
68.2%
@ 1.47+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.67
Pinnacle
2.65
Betfair
2.60
Unibet
2.60
Marathonbet
2.53
Under
Superbet
1.51
Bet365
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.3%
@ 6.16-3.8%
Under 2.5
88.7%
@ 1.09+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
6.25
William Hil
6.00
Under
Superbet
1.12
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sheffield United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
47.8%
@ 1.66-8.1%
Under
52.2%
@ 2.11+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
Unibet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.66
1xBet
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.24
Superbet
2.15
10Bet
2.15
1xBet
2.08
Betano
2.07
Sheffield United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.0%
@ 4.17-7.1%
Under
85.0%
@ 1.19+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
4.35
1xBet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.25
Betano
4.20
Superbet
4.00
Under
Superbet
1.21
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Sheffield United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 10.25-7.2%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.03+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
11.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Bolton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
35.0%
@ 2.62-0.5%
Under
65.0%
@ 1.44+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.82
Betano
2.62
Superbet
2.60
Unibet
2.60
1xBet
2.58
Under
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
Unibet
1.44
Bolton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.1%
@ 9.39-1.7%
Under
91.9%
@ 1.03+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.90
1xBet
9.80
Unibet
9.50
Superbet
9.50
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
Unibet
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bolton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.6%
@ 40.00-98.4%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
40.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sheffield United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.70
1.29
0.93
0.62
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.89
0.67
1.33
0.83
0.53
0.53
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
1.00
1.00
1.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Bolton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bolton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.77
1.27
1.00
0.93
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.05
1.00
1.27
1.18
0.78
0.78
vs Weaker (10)
1.20
0.30
1.25
0.50
1.17
0.17
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheffield United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.2%
@ 1.20-1.6%
Under 0.5
23.8%
@ 4.18+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.30
Betano
4.25
Unibet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.15
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
40.7%
@ 1.95-7.2%
Under 1.5
59.3%
@ 1.79+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.00
William Hil
2.00
1xBet
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
Under
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
18.1%
@ 3.96-5.4%
Under 2.5
81.9%
@ 1.22+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.20
Superbet
4.10
10Bet
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Unibet
4.00
Under
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Unibet
1.21
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sheffield United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
55.9%
@ 1.44-8.5%
Under
44.1%
@ 2.61+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Betano
1.44
Under
Betano
2.67
1xBet
2.60
Superbet
2.57
Sheffield United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
18.0%
@ 3.07-12.1%
Under
82.0%
@ 1.32+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.20
Superbet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.04
1xBet
3.00
Betano
3.00
Under
Betano
1.36
Marathonbet
1.32
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Sheffield United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.4%
@ 7.50-8.0%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.06+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.00
Superbet
7.70
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Bolton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
45.5%
@ 2.16+2.6%
Under
54.5%
@ 1.62-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.17
1xBet
2.16
Marathonbet
2.15
Betano
2.15
Under
Betano
1.65
Superbet
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
Bolton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.5%
@ 6.88-3.0%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.07+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.20
1xBet
7.20
Superbet
6.80
Betano
6.30
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Bolton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.7%
@ 18.50-2.5%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.01+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
25.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.01
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.0%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
-
-
-
+7.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.3%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.8%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Unibet
1.02
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.6%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
-
-
+8.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
95.4%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
94.2%
1.03
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
92.8%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
+7.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.9%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Unibet
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
91.1%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.14
+8.6%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.5%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.7%
1.09
Superbet
1.12
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
85.0%
1.19
Superbet
1.21
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
82.1%
1.16
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
82.1%
1.16
Unibet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Betfair
1.13
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
82.0%
1.32
Betano
1.36
Marathonbet
1.32
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
+12.1%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.9%
1.22
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Unibet
1.21
+5.4%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
81.3%
1.29
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.26
-
-
-
+10.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
81.2%
1.27
Betano
1.29
Pinnacle
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.28
+7.6%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
79.5%
1.33
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.35
BetVictor
1.33
1xBet
1.33
+9.3%
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
79.0%
1.40
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
Superbet
1.42
BetVictor
1.40
+12.1%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
78.8%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
-4.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.2%
1.20
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
-1.6%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
75.4%
1.34
Superbet
1.41
Betano
1.36
Betfair
1.33
Unibet
1.33
1xBet
1.31
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
72.1%
1.22
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Betano
1.24
-4.5%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
70.7%
1.40
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.40
Unibet
1.38
+7.2%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sheffield United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Callum O'Hare40%
P. Bamford40%
Thomas Cannon40%
Romelle Donovan40%
J. Tanganga20%
M. McGuinness17%
Femi Seriki0%
R. Norrington-Davies0%
J. Riedewald0%
K. Phillips0%
J. Shackleton0%
J. Rothwell0%
Harrison Burrows0%
S. McCallum0%
Tyrese Campbell0%
Michael Cooper0%
Sydie Peck0%
Oliver Arblaster0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Harrison Burrows33%
Femi Seriki25%
J. Tanganga20%
Sydie Peck20%
M. McGuinness17%
Callum O'Hare0%
R. Norrington-Davies0%
J. Riedewald0%
K. Phillips0%
J. Shackleton0%
P. Bamford0%
J. Rothwell0%
S. McCallum0%
Tyrese Campbell0%
Michael Cooper0%
Thomas Cannon0%
Oliver Arblaster0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sydie Peck40%
K. Phillips33%
P. Bamford20%
J. Rothwell20%
S. McCallum20%
Femi Seriki0%
Callum O'Hare0%
R. Norrington-Davies0%
J. Riedewald0%
J. Shackleton0%
Harrison Burrows0%
Tyrese Campbell0%
Michael Cooper0%
J. Tanganga0%
M. McGuinness0%
Thomas Cannon0%
Oliver Arblaster0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
P. Bamford40%
Romelle Donovan40%
J. Rothwell20%
Thomas Cannon20%
Femi Seriki0%
Callum O'Hare0%
R. Norrington-Davies0%
J. Riedewald0%
K. Phillips0%
J. Shackleton0%
Harrison Burrows0%
S. McCallum0%
Tyrese Campbell0%
Michael Cooper0%
J. Tanganga0%
M. McGuinness0%
Sydie Peck0%
Oliver Arblaster0%
Bolton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
S. Dalby40%
Thierry Gale20%
Akin Famewo0%
Ben Davies0%
J. Bonham0%
Ryan Hardie0%
Ethan Erhahon0%
J. Sheehan0%
John McAtee0%
Gaizka Larrazabal0%
Lewis Brunt0%
S. Iling-Junior0%
M. Conway0%
Chris Forino0%
Kyliane Dong0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ryan Hardie33%
Akin Famewo20%
J. Sheehan20%
John McAtee20%
Thierry Gale20%
Gaizka Larrazabal20%
Chris Forino20%
S. Dalby0%
Ben Davies0%
J. Bonham0%
Ethan Erhahon0%
Lewis Brunt0%
S. Iling-Junior0%
M. Conway0%
Kyliane Dong0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
John McAtee20%
Thierry Gale20%
S. Dalby0%
Akin Famewo0%
Ben Davies0%
J. Bonham0%
Ryan Hardie0%
Ethan Erhahon0%
J. Sheehan0%
Gaizka Larrazabal0%
Lewis Brunt0%
S. Iling-Junior0%
M. Conway0%
Chris Forino0%
Kyliane Dong0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
J. Sheehan40%
John McAtee40%
S. Iling-Junior25%
S. Dalby20%
Thierry Gale20%
Akin Famewo0%
Ben Davies0%
J. Bonham0%
Ryan Hardie0%
Ethan Erhahon0%
Gaizka Larrazabal0%
Lewis Brunt0%
M. Conway0%
Chris Forino0%
Kyliane Dong0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
BOL (22)
€17m
LIN (24)
€12m
Sheffield United's squad is €93m more valuable than Bolton's (€110m vs €17m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
BOL (6)
€4m
LIN (7)
€3m
Sheffield United's attack is €25m more valuable than Bolton's (€29m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
POR (5)
€5m
BOL (4)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
LIN (4)
€2m
Sheffield United's midfield is €28m more valuable than Bolton's (€32m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (12)
€141m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
LIN (13)
€6m
Sheffield United's defence is €40m more valuable than Bolton's (€49m vs €9m).
England: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Swansea
QPR
Charlton
Southampton
Wolves
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
West Brom
Birmingham
Millwall
Wrexham
West Ham
Blackburn
Watford
Derby
Lincoln
Cardiff
Norwich
Portsmouth
Stoke
Burnley
Preston