The contest is finely balanced, with the model favouring a Sheffield United win. Home victory sits at 40%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 33%. The expected goal tally is 2.9, yet the most probable total is two goals, a 24% chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.6% probability. Sheffield United, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.75 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Norwich, on the road to a similar tier, averages 1.71 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.2% with a 6% edge), Under 6.5 (97.1% with a 1% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.1% with a 6% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.6% with a 5% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.4% with a 5% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (94.9% with a 1% edge), and Home under 3.5 goals (93% with a 2% edge). Sheffield United’s recent unbeaten run and Norwich’s two-game winning streak add intrigue, but the margin remains razor-thin.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Sheffield United win
41.9%
Avg Implied 37.0% · @ 2.52
Edge
+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.60
Bet365
2.60
Dafabet
2.60
BetVictor
2.55
10Bet
2.54
Draw
26.7%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.42
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.61
BetVictor
3.50
Dafabet
3.50
1xBet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.45
Norwich win
31.4%
Avg Implied 35.6% · @ 2.63
Edge
-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.70
Betfair
2.70
Dafabet
2.70
Betano
2.67
Pinnacle
2.65
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Sheffield United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.30
1.93
1.80
1.27
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.48
1.26
1.85
1.69
1.14
0.86
vs Weaker (3)
2.67
1.67
2.50
2.50
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Norwich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Norwich
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.10
2.00
1.06
1.57
1.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.59
1.15
1.62
1.15
1.57
1.14
vs Weaker (3)
3.67
0.67
3.67
0.67
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheffield United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
80.2%
@ 1.23+4.6%
Under 1.5
19.8%
@ 3.82-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Under
Betfair
4.10
Pinnacle
4.02
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.78
Marathonbet
3.78
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
56.1%
@ 1.79+3.3%
Under 2.5
43.9%
@ 2.00-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.83
Unibet
1.81
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
2.05
SBO
2.05
Betano
2.02
Marathonbet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
33.8%
@ 2.94+2.0%
Under 3.5
66.2%
@ 1.37-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.10
Betano
3.05
Unibet
3.05
10Bet
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Under
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
10Bet
1.38
BetVictor
1.38
Both teams to score
Yes
60.0%
@ 1.61+2.4%
No
40.0%
@ 2.19-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.63
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Betfair
1.62
No
Betfair
2.25
Bet365
2.20
10Bet
2.20
BetVictor
2.20
Betano
2.20
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%@ 6.22+5.2%
2-1
9.0%@ 8.94+4.0%
1-2
7.7%@ 9.27+2.8%
1-0
7.3%@ 8.89+2.2%
2-0
6.7%@ 12.62+3.1%
0-0
6.5%@ 11.10+2.4%
2-2
6.1%@ 11.45+2.1%
0-1
6.0%@ 9.20+1.1%
Sheffield United goals ↓
Norwich goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.5%
6.0%
4.8%
2.2%
0.7%
1
7.3%
13%
7.7%
3.4%
1.2%
2
6.7%
9.0%
6.1%
2.7%
0.9%
3
3.5%
4.8%
3.2%
1.4%
0.5%
4
1.4%
1.9%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sheffield United goals (down), columns = Norwich goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
West Ham
1.92
Wolves
1.90
Millwall
1.75
Burnley
1.72
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Birmingham
1.39
Swansea
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Sheffield United
1.30
Preston
1.30
Cardiff
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Stoke
1.20
Portsmouth
1.20
West Brom
1.15
Charlton
1.15
Blackburn
1.13
Bolton
1.00
Lincoln
0.94
Sheffield United is 0.11 points worse than Norwich in terms of average points per game (1.30 vs 1.41).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
West Ham
1.82
Wolves
1.81
Southampton
1.73
Burnley
1.63
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Birmingham
1.24
Swansea
1.24
Cardiff
1.23
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Charlton
0.96
Bolton
0.95
Blackburn
0.91
Lincoln
0.89
Sheffield United is 0.07 goals better than Norwich in terms of goals scored per game (1.43 vs 1.37).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
West Ham
0.92
Wolves
0.93
Middlesbrough
1.00
Burnley
1.03
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Norwich
1.22
Stoke
1.22
West Brom
1.26
Charlton
1.26
Bristol City
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Derby
1.28
Preston
1.35
Cardiff
1.36
Portsmouth
1.39
Wrexham
1.41
Watford
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
QPR
1.59
Bolton
1.77
Lincoln
1.87
Sheffield United is 0.22 goals worse than Norwich in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 1.22).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Sheffield United is 1.4 percentage points worse than Norwich in terms of average possession (52% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sheffield United
For 4.0 · Against 6.5 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 12.3 · Total 22.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Norwich
For 5.4 · Against 3.5 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 11.7 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sheffield United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.4
11.5
11.3
3.9
4.0
3.7
21.4
21.8
21.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (46)
11.4
11.4
11.5
3.8
3.9
3.8
21.2
21.7
20.8
vs Weaker (4)
10.8
12.0
9.5
4.2
5.5
3.0
23.5
22.5
24.5
% over line
68%
67%
69%
52%
50%
54%
44%
46%
42%
% under line
32%
33%
31%
48%
50%
46%
56%
54%
58%
This opponent (Norwich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Norwich
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.2
10.3
3.9
3.9
3.8
21.5
21.2
21.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (46)
10.2
10.2
10.2
4.0
4.2
3.8
21.8
21.5
22.1
vs Weaker (4)
10.8
10.0
13.0
2.2
1.7
4.0
18.2
18.7
17.0
% over line
58%
62%
54%
60%
58%
62%
48%
46%
50%
% under line
42%
38%
46%
40%
42%
38%
52%
54%
50%
This opponent (Sheffield United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sheffield United
11.4
Southampton
11.1
West Ham
11.1
Middlesbrough
10.9
Portsmouth
10.8
Millwall
10.8
Cardiff
10.8
Blackburn
10.8
Bolton
10.5
Preston
10.5
Watford
10.4
Stoke
10.4
Norwich
10.2
Birmingham
10.2
Wrexham
10.1
Derby
10.0
QPR
10.0
Bristol City
10.0
Swansea
10.0
Charlton
9.8
Burnley
9.6
West Brom
9.4
Wolves
9.4
Lincoln
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Watford
4.4
Derby
4.1
Stoke
4.1
Sheffield United
4.0
Lincoln
4.0
Swansea
4.0
Norwich
3.9
Bristol City
3.9
Wolves
3.9
Blackburn
3.9
Portsmouth
3.8
Southampton
3.8
West Ham
3.8
QPR
3.7
Birmingham
3.7
Middlesbrough
3.6
Bolton
3.6
Charlton
3.5
Wrexham
3.5
Cardiff
3.5
Millwall
3.4
Preston
3.4
West Brom
3.3
Burnley
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Wolves
23.4
Lincoln
23.0
Derby
22.9
Swansea
22.3
Portsmouth
22.2
West Ham
22.1
Southampton
21.9
Bolton
21.9
Middlesbrough
21.7
Birmingham
21.7
Norwich
21.5
Charlton
21.5
Bristol City
21.4
Sheffield United
21.4
Stoke
21.0
Watford
20.9
West Brom
20.9
QPR
20.7
Cardiff
20.6
Blackburn
20.5
Millwall
20.5
Preston
20.4
Burnley
19.9
Wrexham
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
63.2%
@ 1.63+6.3%
Under 9.5
36.8%
@ 2.15-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
1xBet
1.64
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.57
Under
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.20
Marathonbet
2.16
1xBet
2.12
Unibet
2.02
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
55.9%
Under 3.5
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
50.7%
Under 21.5
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Sheffield United or Draw
68.6%
Avg Implied 64.5% · @ 1.45
Edge
+4.1%
42%
27%
31%
covers Sheffield United + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.46
1xBet
1.46
Bet365
1.44
Sheffield United or Norwich
73.3%
Avg Implied 72.7% · @ 1.28
Edge
+0.6%
42%
27%
31%
covers Sheffield United + Norwich
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.33
Unibet
1.30
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Draw or Norwich
58.1%
Avg Implied 62.8% · @ 1.49
Edge
-4.7%
42%
27%
31%
covers Draw + Norwich
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Unibet
1.50
William Hil
1.50
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Sheffield United over/under 0.5
Over
79.5%
@ 1.24+4.6%
Under
20.5%
@ 3.69-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Unibet
1.23
Under
Pinnacle
3.86
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.74
Marathonbet
3.74
Sheffield United over/under 1.5
Over
47.0%
@ 2.24+5.2%
Under
53.0%
@ 1.60-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.27
Betano
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Marathonbet
2.25
1xBet
2.25
Under
Pinnacle
1.63
Marathonbet
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
BetVictor
1.60
Sheffield United over/under 2.5
Over
21.3%
@ 5.04+2.9%
Under
78.7%
@ 1.14-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.15
1xBet
5.15
10Bet
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
BetVictor
1.13
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Sheffield United over/under 3.5
Over
7.7%
@ 12.00-0.3%
Under
92.3%
@ 1.03+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Norwich over/under 0.5
Over
74.0%
@ 1.25-0.1%
Under
26.0%
@ 3.58+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.87
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
Norwich over/under 1.5
Over
39.0%
@ 2.28-1.8%
Under
61.0%
@ 1.57+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.35
1xBet
2.31
Marathonbet
2.31
Betano
2.30
Pinnacle
2.29
Under
Pinnacle
1.62
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
Betano
1.57
BetVictor
1.57
Norwich over/under 2.5
Over
15.4%
@ 5.27-2.2%
Under
84.6%
@ 1.13+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.40
1xBet
5.40
BetVictor
5.25
Under
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
Norwich over/under 3.5
Over
4.8%
@ 12.25-3.0%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.03+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Sheffield United, so a minus line means Sheffield United give that many goals of a start and Norwich receive them. At -1, Sheffield United must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Sheffield United win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Sheffield United)
Sheffield United -2
8.8%
@ 10.48+0.3%
Draw -2
12.9%
@ 6.75-0.3%
Norwich +2
78.2%
@ 1.14-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
12.00
Unibet
10.50
10Bet
10.00
Marathonbet
6.90
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Betfair
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Unibet
6.75
Marathonbet
5.00
Away
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.14
Unibet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
Handicap -1 (Sheffield United)
Sheffield United -1
21.8%
@ 4.93+3.5%
Draw -1
20.2%
@ 4.20-1.2%
Norwich +1
58.1%
@ 1.49-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Unibet
4.70
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.30
Betfair
4.20
Unibet
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Away
10Bet
1.50
Unibet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49
Betfair
1.44
Handicap +1 (Sheffield United)
Sheffield United +1
68.6%
@ 1.44+6.5%
Draw +1
17.0%
@ 4.29-3.9%
Norwich -1
14.4%
@ 5.28-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.46
Bet365
1.44
Unibet
1.43
Betfair
1.40
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
Betfair
4.33
Unibet
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Away
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.20
Unibet
5.20
10Bet
5.00
Handicap +2 (Sheffield United)
Sheffield United +2
85.6%
@ 1.12+6.3%
Draw +2
9.3%
@ 7.01-3.3%
Norwich -2
5.1%
@ 10.97-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Unibet
1.12
Betfair
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw
Betfair
8.00
Unibet
7.50
Bet365
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Marathonbet
5.05
Away
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
13.00
Unibet
11.00
10Bet
11.00
Marathonbet
6.85
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sheffield United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.67
0.60
0.87
0.60
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.52
0.67
0.46
0.85
0.57
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.67
1.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Norwich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Norwich
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.53
0.94
0.44
0.50
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.56
0.59
0.62
0.54
0.50
0.64
vs Weaker (3)
2.33
0.00
2.33
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheffield United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
69.5%
@ 1.33-0.3%
Under 0.5
30.5%
@ 3.07+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.35
1xBet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.25
Betfair
3.20
William Hil
3.10
10Bet
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
35.4%
@ 2.59-0.5%
Under 1.5
64.6%
@ 1.45+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.75
Unibet
2.70
Pinnacle
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Betfair
2.60
Under
10Bet
1.48
BetVictor
1.46
Pinnacle
1.46
Betano
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.1%
@ 6.43-1.3%
Under 2.5
86.9%
@ 1.08+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.50
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
6.40
Marathonbet
6.40
Under
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sheffield United over/under 0.5 HT
Over
51.1%
@ 1.99+4.3%
Under
48.9%
@ 1.75-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.00
Unibet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
10Bet
1.95
Under
10Bet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Sheffield United over/under 1.5 HT
Over
14.3%
@ 6.23-0.6%
Under
85.7%
@ 1.09+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.60
Unibet
6.00
Betano
5.80
10Bet
5.75
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Sheffield United over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.2%
@ 11.75-4.8%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.02+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Norwich over/under 0.5 HT
Over
38.8%
@ 2.04-6.8%
Under
61.2%
@ 1.71+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.10
Unibet
2.07
Betano
2.07
Pinnacle
2.04
Marathonbet
2.01
Under
10Bet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.75
Marathonbet
1.70
Betano
1.70
Unibet
1.68
Norwich over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.0%
@ 6.29-4.7%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.09+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.80
1xBet
6.50
Unibet
6.40
Betano
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
Norwich over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.6%
@ 12.00-6.2%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.02+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sheffield United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.63
1.33
0.93
0.67
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.96
0.59
1.38
0.85
0.57
0.36
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
1.00
1.00
1.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Norwich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Norwich
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.57
1.06
0.62
1.07
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.04
0.56
1.00
0.62
1.07
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.67
1.33
0.67
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheffield United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.1%
@ 1.20-0.5%
Under 0.5
22.9%
@ 4.15+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Under
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
1xBet
4.25
Betano
4.15
Unibet
4.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
44.3%
@ 1.97-3.0%
Under 1.5
55.7%
@ 1.77+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.00
Betano
1.98
Marathonbet
1.98
1xBet
1.98
Unibet
1.97
Under
Betano
1.80
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
William Hil
1.75
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.9%
@ 4.07-2.9%
Under 2.5
80.1%
@ 1.20+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.20
1xBet
4.15
Marathonbet
4.15
Unibet
4.10
William Hil
4.00
Under
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sheffield United over/under 0.5 2H
Over
56.1%
@ 1.68+0.9%
Under
43.9%
@ 2.06-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Under
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.05
Sheffield United over/under 1.5 2H
Over
20.5%
@ 4.39-0.6%
Under
79.5%
@ 1.17+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
1xBet
4.30
Betano
4.15
Under
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Sheffield United over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.9%
@ 9.50-4.9%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.04+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Norwich over/under 0.5 2H
Over
50.0%
@ 1.70-4.4%
Under
50.0%
@ 2.03+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.70
Betano
1.70
Under
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
Norwich over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.7%
@ 4.47-6.9%
Under
86.3%
@ 1.17+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.75
10Bet
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Betano
4.25
Under
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
Norwich over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.0%
@ 9.75-6.6%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.03+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.4%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.2%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.0%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+6.6%
Under 6.5
97.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+2.0%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.8%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.8%
Away under 3.5 goals
95.2%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
+3.0%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.1%
1.04
Betano
1.04
-
-
-
-
+4.9%
Home under 3.5 goals
92.3%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
+0.3%
Under 5.5
92.3%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Unibet
1.01
+1.1%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.0%
1.09
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
+4.7%
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.9%
1.08
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.07
+1.3%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.3%
1.17
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
-
+6.9%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
85.7%
1.09
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
+0.6%
Home +2 handicap
85.6%
1.12
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Unibet
1.12
Betfair
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
+6.3%
Away under 2.5 goals
84.6%
1.13
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
+2.2%
Under 4.5
82.7%
1.12
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.15
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
-0.6%
Over 1.5
80.2%
1.23
Betano
1.28
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
+4.6%
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.1%
1.20
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
+2.9%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
79.5%
1.17
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
-
+0.6%
Home over 0.5 goals
79.5%
1.24
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Unibet
1.23
+4.6%
Under 25.5 fouls
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
78.7%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
BetVictor
1.13
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
-2.9%
Away +2 handicap
78.2%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.14
Unibet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
-0.1%
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.1%
1.20
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
-0.5%
Over 2.5 cards
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
74.6%
1.36
Unibet
1.41
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.31
-
+6.9%
Away over 0.5 goals
74.0%
1.25
Betano
1.28
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-0.1%
Home or Away
73.3%
1.28
Bet365
1.33
Unibet
1.30
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
+0.6%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sheffield United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Callum O'Hare40%
P. Bamford40%
Thomas Cannon40%
Romelle Donovan40%
J. Tanganga20%
M. McGuinness17%
Femi Seriki0%
R. Norrington-Davies0%
J. Riedewald0%
K. Phillips0%
J. Shackleton0%
J. Rothwell0%
Harrison Burrows0%
S. McCallum0%
Tyrese Campbell0%
Michael Cooper0%
Sydie Peck0%
Oliver Arblaster0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Harrison Burrows33%
Femi Seriki25%
J. Tanganga20%
Sydie Peck20%
M. McGuinness17%
Callum O'Hare0%
R. Norrington-Davies0%
J. Riedewald0%
K. Phillips0%
J. Shackleton0%
P. Bamford0%
J. Rothwell0%
S. McCallum0%
Tyrese Campbell0%
Michael Cooper0%
Thomas Cannon0%
Oliver Arblaster0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sydie Peck40%
K. Phillips33%
P. Bamford20%
J. Rothwell20%
S. McCallum20%
Femi Seriki0%
Callum O'Hare0%
R. Norrington-Davies0%
J. Riedewald0%
J. Shackleton0%
Harrison Burrows0%
Tyrese Campbell0%
Michael Cooper0%
J. Tanganga0%
M. McGuinness0%
Thomas Cannon0%
Oliver Arblaster0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
P. Bamford40%
Romelle Donovan40%
J. Rothwell20%
Thomas Cannon20%
Femi Seriki0%
Callum O'Hare0%
R. Norrington-Davies0%
J. Riedewald0%
K. Phillips0%
J. Shackleton0%
Harrison Burrows0%
S. McCallum0%
Tyrese Campbell0%
Michael Cooper0%
J. Tanganga0%
M. McGuinness0%
Sydie Peck0%
Oliver Arblaster0%
Norwich
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
M. Touré40%
M. Kvistgaarden40%
Andre Brooks33%
Ben Chrisene20%
Anis Ben Slimane17%
P. Mattsson0%
H. Darling0%
K. McLean0%
S. Field0%
J. Stacey0%
Anthony Musaba0%
José Córdoba0%
Vladan Kovačević0%
Ruairi McConville0%
K. Fisher0%
O. Schwartau0%
Jacob Wright0%
P. Diallo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
José Córdoba80%
K. McLean40%
Andre Brooks33%
H. Darling25%
Ruairi McConville25%
J. Stacey20%
P. Mattsson17%
Anis Ben Slimane17%
S. Field0%
Anthony Musaba0%
Vladan Kovačević0%
Ben Chrisene0%
M. Touré0%
M. Kvistgaarden0%
K. Fisher0%
O. Schwartau0%
Jacob Wright0%
P. Diallo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
J. Stacey40%
Anthony Musaba25%
K. McLean20%
José Córdoba20%
M. Touré20%
Jacob Wright20%
Andre Brooks17%
P. Mattsson0%
H. Darling0%
S. Field0%
Vladan Kovačević0%
Ben Chrisene0%
Anis Ben Slimane0%
M. Kvistgaarden0%
Ruairi McConville0%
K. Fisher0%
O. Schwartau0%
P. Diallo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
M. Touré40%
K. Fisher33%
H. Darling25%
Anthony Musaba25%
K. McLean20%
O. Schwartau17%
Andre Brooks17%
P. Mattsson0%
S. Field0%
J. Stacey0%
José Córdoba0%
Vladan Kovačević0%
Ben Chrisene0%
Anis Ben Slimane0%
M. Kvistgaarden0%
Ruairi McConville0%
Jacob Wright0%
P. Diallo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
BOL (22)
€17m
LIN (24)
€12m
Sheffield United's squad is €3m more valuable than Norwich's (€110m vs €107m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
BOL (6)
€4m
LIN (7)
€3m
Sheffield United's attack is €18m less valuable than Norwich's (€29m vs €46m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
POR (5)
€5m
BOL (4)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
LIN (4)
€2m
Sheffield United and Norwich have a similar midfield value (both €32m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (12)
€141m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
LIN (13)
€6m
Sheffield United's defence is €20m more valuable than Norwich's (€49m vs €29m).
England: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Swansea
QPR
Charlton
Southampton
Wolves
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
West Brom
Birmingham
Millwall
Wrexham
West Ham
Blackburn
Watford
Bolton
Derby
Lincoln
Cardiff
Portsmouth
Stoke
Burnley
Preston