This opponent (Drogheda United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Drogheda United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.63
1.67
1.07
0.73
2.20
vs Stronger (11)
0.64
1.91
0.67
1.00
0.60
3.00
vs Similar (19)
1.53
1.47
2.33
1.11
0.80
1.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.0%
Under 1.5
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.0%
Under 2.5
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.9%
Under 3.5
77.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.5%
No
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.8%
2-0
12.7%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
9.8%
2-1 â
9.3%
3-0
7.2%
0-1
5.3%
3-1
5.3%
Shelbourne goals ↓
Drogheda United goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.8%
5.3%
2.3%
0.6%
0.1%
1
14%
12%
4.0%
1.0%
0.2%
2
13%
9.3%
3.4%
0.8%
0.2%
3
7.2%
5.3%
1.9%
0.5%
0.1%
4
3.1%
2.3%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Shelbourne goals (down), columns = Drogheda United goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Shelbourne
1.75
Shamrock Rovers
1.69
St Patrick's Athl.
1.64
Derry City
1.53
Galway United
1.44
Sligo Rovers
1.36
Waterford
1.25
Bohemians
1.17
Drogheda United
1.00
Dundalk
0.72
Bray Wanderers
0.00
Shelbourne is 0.75 points better than Drogheda United in terms of average points per game (1.75 vs 1.00).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
St Patrick's Athl.
1.42
Shamrock Rovers
1.39
Derry City
1.33
Waterford
1.19
Drogheda United
1.19
Shelbourne
1.11
Sligo Rovers
1.11
Bohemians
1.08
Bray Wanderers
1.00
Galway United
0.92
Dundalk
0.64
Shelbourne is 0.08 goals worse than Drogheda United in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 1.19).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shelbourne
0.75
Galway United
0.81
Derry City
0.86
Shamrock Rovers
0.97
St Patrick's Athl.
1.03
Bohemians
1.19
Waterford
1.31
Dundalk
1.39
Sligo Rovers
1.42
Drogheda United
1.59
Bray Wanderers
3.00
Shelbourne is 0.84 goals better than Drogheda United in terms of goals conceded per game (0.75 vs 1.59).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
62%
Derry City
56%
Shelbourne
53%
St Patrick's Athl.
53%
Bohemians
52%
Waterford
50%
Dundalk
48%
Sligo Rovers
48%
Drogheda United
39%
Galway United
39%
Shelbourne is 14.5 percentage points better than Drogheda United in terms of average possession (53% vs 39%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Shelbourne
For 4.8 · Against 3.2 · Total 8.0
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.9 · Against 2.9 · Total 6.8
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 12.5 · Total 25.5
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Drogheda United
For 4.4 · Against 7.7 · Total 12.1
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.4
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 12.5 · Total 23.1
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Shelbourne
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.3
8.8
6.0
6.1
5.9
25.9
26.8
25.0
vs Stronger (2)
8.0
6.0
10.0
2.5
4.0
1.0
20.5
22.0
19.0
vs Similar (48)
8.6
8.5
8.8
6.1
6.2
6.1
26.1
27.0
25.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
40%
35%
44%
82%
88%
77%
79%
87%
72%
% under line
60%
65%
56%
18%
12%
23%
21%
13%
28%
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Drogheda United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.4
9.7
4.4
4.8
4.0
23.0
22.7
23.2
vs Stronger (17)
9.9
9.5
10.2
3.8
4.1
3.6
21.5
22.5
20.7
vs Similar (33)
9.4
9.4
9.4
4.7
5.1
4.2
23.7
22.8
24.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
44%
44%
44%
60%
64%
56%
66%
64%
68%
% under line
56%
56%
56%
40%
36%
44%
34%
36%
32%
This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bohemians
10.9
Shamrock Rovers
10.1
Waterford
10.1
St Patrick's Athl.
9.8
Derry City
9.7
Drogheda United
9.6
Galway United
9.4
Sligo Rovers
9.3
Shelbourne
8.7
Dundalk
8.6
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Shelbourne
6.1
Bohemians
5.8
Waterford
5.4
St Patrick's Athl.
5.4
Sligo Rovers
5.3
Shamrock Rovers
5.2
Derry City
5.2
Dundalk
5.1
Galway United
4.7
Drogheda United
4.6
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sligo Rovers
26.0
Shelbourne
25.5
Dundalk
25.2
Bohemians
24.9
St Patrick's Athl.
24.9
Waterford
24.9
Derry City
24.3
Galway United
24.2
Shamrock Rovers
23.8
Drogheda United
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
48.7%
Under 9.5
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
80.5%
Under 3.5
19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
73.9%
Under 21.5
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Shelbourne
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.53
0.40
0.53
0.40
0.53
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (28)
0.43
0.50
0.43
0.57
0.43
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Drogheda United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.80
0.60
0.53
0.40
1.07
vs Stronger (11)
0.27
0.91
0.17
0.33
0.40
1.60
vs Similar (19)
0.63
0.74
0.89
0.67
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Shelbourne over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shelbourne over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shelbourne over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Shelbourne
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.37
0.67
0.20
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.61
0.36
0.71
0.21
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Drogheda United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.83
1.07
0.53
0.33
1.13
vs Stronger (11)
0.36
1.00
0.50
0.67
0.20
1.40
vs Similar (19)
0.89
0.74
1.44
0.44
0.40
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Shelbourne over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shelbourne over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shelbourne over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Shelbourne
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sean Boyd30%
Will Jarvis22%
Aiden O'Brien14%
John Martin13%
Rayhaan Tulloch9%
Evan Caffrey9%
Alistair Coote7%
Harry Wood7%
Liam Burt6%
Matthew Smith6%
Mark Coyle6%
Gavin Molloy5%
John O'Sullivan4%
Tyreke Wilson3%
Sean Gannon0%
Sam Bone0%
Jonathan Lunney0%
Shane Griffin0%
Conor Kearns0%
Shane Farrell0%
Dean Williams0%
Paddy Barrett0%
Kameron Ledwidge0%
Jad Hakiki0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mark Coyle50%
Sean Gannon41%
Paddy Barrett34%
John Martin33%
Shane Griffin31%
John O'Sullivan28%
Shane Farrell24%
Sean Boyd22%
Jonathan Lunney22%
Alistair Coote21%
Harry Wood21%
Liam Burt16%
Matthew Smith16%
Tyreke Wilson14%
Evan Caffrey14%
Dean Williams13%
Kameron Ledwidge9%
Conor Kearns5%
Rayhaan Tulloch0%
Aiden O'Brien0%
Sam Bone0%
Gavin Molloy0%
Will Jarvis0%
Jad Hakiki0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Will Jarvis15%
John Martin10%
Tyreke Wilson9%
Sean Boyd7%
Harry Wood7%
Matthew Smith6%
Shane Farrell6%
Evan Caffrey6%
Liam Burt3%
Sean Gannon3%
Jonathan Lunney3%
Mark Coyle3%
Paddy Barrett3%
Conor Kearns3%
Rayhaan Tulloch0%
Aiden O'Brien0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Sam Bone0%
Shane Griffin0%
Dean Williams0%
Alistair Coote0%
Kameron Ledwidge0%
Gavin Molloy0%
Jad Hakiki0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sean Boyd19%
Will Jarvis19%
Aiden O'Brien14%
Alistair Coote7%
Harry Wood7%
Liam Burt6%
Evan Caffrey6%
Mark Coyle3%
Paddy Barrett3%
Rayhaan Tulloch0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Matthew Smith0%
Sean Gannon0%
Sam Bone0%
Jonathan Lunney0%
John Martin0%
Shane Griffin0%
Conor Kearns0%
Shane Farrell0%
Dean Williams0%
Tyreke Wilson0%
Kameron Ledwidge0%
Gavin Molloy0%
Jad Hakiki0%
Drogheda United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Douglas James-Taylor38%
Frantz Pierrot26%
Evan Weir21%
Steve Zishim Bawa18%
Adam Foley12%
Shane Farrell9%
Aaron McNally9%
Andrew Quinn8%
Elicha Ahui8%
Hayden Cann6%
Oisin Gallagher6%
Jack Keaney4%
Conor Kane4%
Warren Davis4%
Darragh Markey3%
Gary Deegan0%
Jethren Barr0%
David Webster0%
Ryan Brennan0%
Luke Heeney0%
Luke Dennison0%
Matthew O'Brien0%
Killian Cailloce0%
Andrew Wogan0%
James Bolger0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Shane Farrell45%
Douglas James-Taylor31%
Elicha Ahui31%
Oisin Gallagher28%
Luke Dennison27%
Evan Weir26%
Matthew O'Brien25%
Darragh Markey24%
Ryan Brennan24%
Luke Heeney24%
Jack Keaney24%
Gary Deegan24%
David Webster21%
James Bolger18%
Frantz Pierrot16%
Adam Foley16%
Hayden Cann12%
Aaron McNally9%
Andrew Quinn8%
Warren Davis7%
Steve Zishim Bawa6%
Andrew Wogan5%
Jethren Barr0%
Conor Kane0%
Killian Cailloce0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Darragh Markey12%
Evan Weir11%
Shane Farrell9%
Douglas James-Taylor8%
Conor Kane8%
Adam Foley6%
Oisin Gallagher6%
Andrew Wogan5%
Gary Deegan5%
Andrew Quinn4%
Luke Heeney3%
Frantz Pierrot3%
Jethren Barr0%
David Webster0%
Jack Keaney0%
Ryan Brennan0%
Luke Dennison0%
Aaron McNally0%
Matthew O'Brien0%
Hayden Cann0%
Killian Cailloce0%
Elicha Ahui0%
Warren Davis0%
Steve Zishim Bawa0%
James Bolger0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Frantz Pierrot39%
Douglas James-Taylor23%
Steve Zishim Bawa18%
Darragh Markey9%
Shane Farrell9%
James Bolger9%
Warren Davis7%
Adam Foley6%
Evan Weir5%
Conor Kane4%
Gary Deegan0%
Jethren Barr0%
David Webster0%
Jack Keaney0%
Ryan Brennan0%
Luke Heeney0%
Luke Dennison0%
Aaron McNally0%
Matthew O'Brien0%
Hayden Cann0%
Andrew Quinn0%
Oisin Gallagher0%
Killian Cailloce0%
Elicha Ahui0%
Andrew Wogan0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (22)
€5m
BOH (23)
€4m
DC (22)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
DUN (20)
€3m
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
BW (1)
€0m
Shelbourne and Drogheda United have a similar squad value (both €4m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
DUN (3)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
Shelbourne and Drogheda United have a similar attack value (both €1m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (6)
€1m
BOH (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
DUN (6)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
Shelbourne and Drogheda United have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
SPA (9)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
DUN (11)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
BW (0)
€0m
Shelbourne and Drogheda United have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Ireland: Premier Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: Premier Division stats & trends →
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Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Bohemians
Dundalk
Bray Wanderers