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Sheriff Tiraspol vs CSF Bălți Result & Analysis

Date: 05/04/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Sheriff Tiraspol
Sheriff Tiraspol
Vs
70%
20%
10%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
CSF Bălți
CSF Bălți
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sheriff Tiraspol win✓ Hit
69.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți win✗ Miss
10.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-831W10W11D42W40W80W00D30W00D11DA·DAC29/09A·SPA05/10A·PET19/10H·ZIM27/10A·MIL02/11H·FLO09/11A·CSF23/11H·SPA09/03H·ZIM15/03A·PET29/03
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.770.772.000.531.461.08
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.071.271.290.860.881.62
vs Weaker (15)2.470.272.500.302.400.20
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (CSF Bălți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CSF BălțiCSF Bălți

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W11D00D11D50W01L00D03L32W02LH·ZIM28/09A·DAC05/10H·MIL19/10A·SPA26/10H·FLO03/11A·PET10/11H·SHE23/11A·PET09/03A·SPA16/03H·MIL29/03
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.431.380.771.061.94
vs Stronger (20)0.651.751.110.890.272.45
vs Similar (8)1.751.001.000.672.201.20
vs Weaker (2)4.500.005.000.004.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheriff Tiraspol) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.9%
Under 1.5
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.2%
Under 2.5
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.9%
Under 3.5
69.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
44.7%
No
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
13.5%
1-0
11.9%
1-1
9.7%
3-0
9.6%
2-1 ✓
9.3%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-0
5.1%
Sheriff Tiraspol goals ↓
CSF Bălți goals →
01234
06.9%3.3%1.4%0.3%0.1%
112%9.7%3.0%0.7%0.1%
214%9.3%3.2%0.7%0.1%
39.6%6.6%2.3%0.5%0.1%
45.1%3.5%1.2%0.3%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sheriff Tiraspol goals (down), columns = CSF Bălți goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Saxan
2.46
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.33
Speranis Nisporeni
2.25
Zimbru
1.88
Milsami Orhei
1.75
FC Stăuceni
1.73
Dacia-Buiucani
1.62
Petrocub
1.54
Iskra
1.50
Victoria Bardar
1.25
CSF Bălți
1.17
Făleşti
0.75
Spartanii Selemet
0.67
Floreşti
0.04
Olimp Comrat
0.00
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
0.00
FCM Ungheni
0.00
Sheriff Tiraspol is 1.17 points better than CSF Bălți in terms of average points per game (2.33 vs 1.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Saxan
3.69
Milsami Orhei
2.29
Zimbru
2.25
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.08
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
2.00
Victoria Bardar
2.00
Dacia-Buiucani
1.92
Petrocub
1.67
FC Stăuceni
1.55
Iskra
1.50
Speranis Nisporeni
1.50
Făleşti
1.17
CSF Bălți
1.12
Olimp Comrat
1.00
FCM Ungheni
1.00
Spartanii Selemet
0.88
Floreşti
0.12
Sheriff Tiraspol is 0.96 goals better than CSF Bălți in terms of goals scored per game (2.08 vs 1.12).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.50
Saxan
0.62
Dacia-Buiucani
0.92
Zimbru
1.04
Petrocub
1.08
Milsami Orhei
1.08
Speranis Nisporeni
1.25
FC Stăuceni
1.36
CSF Bălți
1.38
Victoria Bardar
1.92
Spartanii Selemet
2.29
Făleşti
2.67
Olimp Comrat
3.00
Iskra
3.00
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
3.00
FCM Ungheni
3.00
Floreşti
4.60
Sheriff Tiraspol is 0.88 goals better than CSF Bălți in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 1.38).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W00D10W31W10W30W00D10W00D00DA·DAC29/09A·SPA05/10A·PET19/10H·ZIM27/10A·MIL02/11H·FLO09/11A·CSF23/11H·SPA09/03H·ZIM15/03A·PET29/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.330.880.180.690.54
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.600.530.860.290.380.75
vs Weaker (15)1.000.130.900.101.200.20
Clean sheet %67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (CSF Bălți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CSF BălțiCSF Bălți

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L00D00D30W00D00D01L20W00DH·ZIM28/09A·DAC05/10H·MIL19/10A·SPA26/10H·FLO03/11A·PET10/11H·SHE23/11A·PET09/03A·SPA16/03H·MIL29/03
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.530.850.150.240.82
vs Stronger (20)0.250.750.560.220.001.18
vs Similar (8)0.750.121.000.000.600.20
vs Weaker (2)2.000.003.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheriff Tiraspol) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sheriff Tiraspol over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff Tiraspol over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff Tiraspol over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W10W01L11D30W50W00D20W00D11DA·DAC29/09A·SPA05/10A·PET19/10H·ZIM27/10A·MIL02/11H·FLO09/11A·CSF23/11H·SPA09/03H·ZIM15/03A·PET29/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.431.120.350.770.54
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.470.730.430.570.500.88
vs Weaker (15)1.470.131.600.201.200.00
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (CSF Bălți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CSF BălțiCSF Bălți

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W00D11D20W01L00D02L12L02LH·ZIM28/09A·DAC05/10H·MIL19/10A·SPA26/10H·FLO03/11A·PET10/11H·SHE23/11A·PET09/03A·SPA16/03H·MIL29/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.900.540.620.821.12
vs Stronger (20)0.401.000.560.670.271.27
vs Similar (8)1.000.880.000.671.601.00
vs Weaker (2)2.500.002.000.003.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheriff Tiraspol) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sheriff Tiraspol over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff Tiraspol over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff Tiraspol over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.9%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Sheriff Tiraspol · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cristian Tovar29%
Amine Talal14%
Jerome Mbekeli14%
David Ankeye14%
Gabi Kiki0%
Konstantinos Apostolakis0%
Ricardinho0%
Maksym Koval0%
Luvannor Henrique0%
Alejandro Artunduaga0%
Cedric Badolo0%
João Paulo0%
Armel Zohouri0%
Berkay Vardar0%
Peter Oluwaseun Ademo0%
Munashe Garananga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gabi Kiki75%
Amine Talal57%
Armel Zohouri50%
Cedric Badolo33%
Konstantinos Apostolakis29%
Maksym Koval29%
Cristian Tovar29%
Jerome Mbekeli29%
Luvannor Henrique17%
Alejandro Artunduaga17%
João Paulo17%
Ricardinho14%
David Ankeye0%
Berkay Vardar0%
Peter Oluwaseun Ademo0%
Munashe Garananga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ricardinho29%
David Ankeye14%
Gabi Kiki0%
Amine Talal0%
Konstantinos Apostolakis0%
Maksym Koval0%
Luvannor Henrique0%
Alejandro Artunduaga0%
Cristian Tovar0%
Jerome Mbekeli0%
Cedric Badolo0%
João Paulo0%
Armel Zohouri0%
Berkay Vardar0%
Peter Oluwaseun Ademo0%
Munashe Garananga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Amine Talal29%
David Ankeye29%
Luvannor Henrique17%
Jerome Mbekeli14%
Gabi Kiki0%
Konstantinos Apostolakis0%
Ricardinho0%
Maksym Koval0%
Alejandro Artunduaga0%
Cristian Tovar0%
Cedric Badolo0%
João Paulo0%
Armel Zohouri0%
Berkay Vardar0%
Peter Oluwaseun Ademo0%
Munashe Garananga0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
SS (12)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
Sheriff Tiraspol's squad is €5m more valuable than CSF Bălți's (€6m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Sheriff Tiraspol's attack is €2m more valuable than CSF Bălți's (€3m vs €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
DAC (6)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Sheriff Tiraspol's midfield is €1m more valuable than CSF Bălți's (€1m vs €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
Sheriff Tiraspol's defence is €2m more valuable than CSF Bălți's (€3m vs €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
ST wins
2
Draws
1
CB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sheriff Tiraspol vs CSF Bălți · H/A from ST
DateH/AGameScore
23/11/24ACSF Bălți Vs ST0-0
21/09/24HST Vs CSF Bălți1-0
18/05/24HST Vs CSF Bălți2-1
13/04/24HST Vs CSF Bălți2-0
03/12/23ACSF Bălți Vs ST3-1
30/09/23HST Vs CSF Bălți4-0
22/04/23HST Vs CSF Bălți1-1
13/03/23HST Vs CSF Bălți1-0

Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/03/25APetrocub Vs ST1-1
15/03/25HST Vs Zimbru0-0
09/03/25HST Vs Spartanii Selemet3-0
23/11/24ACSF Bălți Vs ST0-0
09/11/24HST Vs Floreşti8-0
02/11/24AMilsami Orhei Vs ST0-4
27/10/24HST Vs Zimbru4-2
19/10/24APetrocub Vs ST1-1
05/10/24ASpartanii Selemet Vs ST0-1
29/09/24ADacia-Buiucani Vs ST1-3

CSF BălțiCSF Bălți

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/03/25HCB Vs Milsami Orhei0-2
16/03/25ASpartanii Selemet Vs CB2-3
09/03/25APetrocub Vs CB3-0
23/11/24HCB Vs Sheriff Tiraspol0-0
10/11/24APetrocub Vs CB1-0
03/11/24HCB Vs Floreşti5-0
26/10/24ASpartanii Selemet Vs CB1-1
19/10/24HCB Vs Milsami Orhei0-0
05/10/24ADacia-Buiucani Vs CB1-1
28/09/24HCB Vs Zimbru2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sheriff Tiraspol
Sheriff Tiraspol
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDD1.82
HomeWWWWD2.07
AwayWDWDD1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%62%43%
AVG goals2.742.722.76
Over 1.5 %76%72%81%
Over 2.5 %54%48%62%
Over 3.5 %28%24%33%
Scored1.782.031.43
Conceded0.960.691.33
BTTS42%45%38%
Clean Sheet42%45%38%
Corners10.149.2511.33
Cards5.004.835.20
CSF Bălți
CSF Bălți
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWL1.22
HomeWDWDL1.68
AwayDDLLW0.86
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%45%21%
AVG goals2.622.362.82
Over 1.5 %76%73%79%
Over 2.5 %52%50%54%
Over 3.5 %26%23%29%
Scored1.181.361.04
Conceded1.441.001.79
BTTS38%36%39%
Clean Sheet24%41%11%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol2456
67%
2.3
5012+38
2.6
67%
46%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3132.10.5
-
2ZimbruZimbru2445
58%
1.9
5425+29
3.3
79%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2112.21.0
-
3Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei2442
50%
1.8
5526+29
3.4
92%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1122.31.1
-
4Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani2439
46%
1.6
4622+24
2.8
71%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.90.9
-
5PetrocubPetrocub2437
42%
1.5
4026+14
2.8
79%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.71.1
-
6SaxanSaxan1332
77%
2.5
488+40
4.3
100%
69%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.70.6
-
7CSF BălțiCSF Bălți2428
29%
1.2
2733-6
2.5
71%
42%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.4
-
8FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni1119
55%
1.7
1715+2
2.9
73%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
9Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet2416
12%
0.7
2155-34
3.2
75%
58%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.3
-
10Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar1215
42%
1.2
2423+1
3.9
92%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.9
-
11Speranis NisporeniSperanis Nisporeni49
75%
2.2
65+1
2.8
75%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
12FăleştiFăleşti129
25%
0.8
1432-18
3.8
92%
67%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.7
-
13IskraIskra23
50%
1.5
36-3
4.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.53.0
-
14FloreştiFloreşti251
0%
0.0
3115-112
4.7
92%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.14.6
-
15Gagauziya-OguzsportGagauziya-Oguzsport10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.0
-
16FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni10
0%
0.0
13-2
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
17Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat10
0%
0.0
13-2
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

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