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Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru Result & Analysis

Date: 23/11/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 0-1
Sheriff Tiraspol
Sheriff Tiraspol
Vs
47%
26%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Zimbru
Zimbru
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sheriff Tiraspol win✗ Miss
46.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zimbru win✓ Hit
27.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D30W20W02L10W21W50W01L12L24LH·MIL24/08A·CSF31/08H·PET14/09A·ZIM21/09H·DAC27/09A·POL04/10H·SPA19/10A·MIL26/10H·CSF02/11A·PET08/11
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.032.270.801.471.27
vs Stronger (2)0.502.001.001.000.003.00
vs Similar (9)1.332.002.001.750.802.20
vs Weaker (19)2.260.472.500.402.000.56
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZimbruZimbru

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D50W20W20W32W30W00D22D23L31WH·DAC24/08H·SPA30/08H·CSF13/09H·SHE21/09A·POL27/09A·MIL05/10H·PET19/10A·DAC25/10H·SPA01/11A·CSF09/11
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.300.972.530.872.071.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.331.131.291.001.381.25
vs Weaker (15)3.270.803.620.752.860.86
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheriff Tiraspol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.1%
Under 1.5
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.1%
Under 2.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.7%
Under 3.5
66.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.1%
No
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
0-1 ✓
5.5%
Sheriff Tiraspol goals ↓
Zimbru goals →
01234
06.5%5.5%4.1%1.7%0.5%
17.9%12%6.9%2.9%0.9%
27.6%9.5%5.9%2.4%0.8%
34.3%5.3%3.3%1.4%0.4%
41.8%2.2%1.4%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sheriff Tiraspol goals (down), columns = Zimbru goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Petrocub
2.35
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.06
Zimbru
2.00
Sireți
1.85
Oguzsport
1.50
Milsami Orhei
1.48
Floreşti
1.31
CSF Bălți
1.19
Politehnica UTM
1.13
Iskra
1.08
Victoria Bardar
1.00
Spartanii Selemet
0.88
Dacia-Buiucani
0.52
FCM Ungheni
0.50
FC Stăuceni
0.45
Făleşti
0.00
Univer Comrat
0.00
Sheriff Tiraspol is 0.06 points better than Zimbru in terms of average points per game (2.06 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FCM Ungheni
2.50
Oguzsport
2.50
Zimbru
2.26
Petrocub
2.06
Univer Comrat
2.00
Sheriff Tiraspol
1.84
Sireți
1.69
Milsami Orhei
1.52
Politehnica UTM
1.42
Floreşti
1.38
Iskra
1.00
Victoria Bardar
1.00
CSF Bălți
1.00
Spartanii Selemet
0.97
Dacia-Buiucani
0.97
FC Stăuceni
0.91
Făleşti
0.00
Sheriff Tiraspol is 0.42 goals worse than Zimbru in terms of goals scored per game (1.84 vs 2.26).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Petrocub
0.55
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.71
Victoria Bardar
1.00
Zimbru
1.03
Sireți
1.08
Milsami Orhei
1.23
Iskra
1.25
Floreşti
1.31
CSF Bălți
1.42
Dacia-Buiucani
1.90
FC Stăuceni
2.09
Politehnica UTM
2.19
Spartanii Selemet
2.45
FCM Ungheni
3.00
Făleşti
3.00
Univer Comrat
3.00
Oguzsport
3.50
Sheriff Tiraspol is 0.32 goals better than Zimbru in terms of goals conceded per game (0.71 vs 1.03).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W20W01L10W11D20W01L12L21WH·MIL24/08A·CSF31/08H·PET14/09A·ZIM21/09H·DAC27/09A·POL04/10H·SPA19/10A·MIL26/10H·CSF02/11A·PET08/11
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.501.400.470.600.53
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (9)1.000.891.501.000.600.80
vs Weaker (19)1.110.321.500.300.670.33
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZimbruZimbru

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W10W10W00D30W00D10W10W00DH·DAC24/08H·SPA30/08H·CSF13/09H·SHE21/09A·POL27/09A·MIL05/10H·PET19/10A·DAC25/10H·SPA01/11A·CSF09/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.400.870.470.870.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.800.670.710.710.880.62
vs Weaker (15)0.930.131.000.250.860.00
Clean sheet %67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheriff Tiraspol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sheriff Tiraspol over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff Tiraspol over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff Tiraspol over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W00D01L00D10W30W00D00D03LH·MIL24/08A·CSF31/08H·PET14/09A·ZIM21/09H·DAC27/09A·POL04/10H·SPA19/10A·MIL26/10H·CSF02/11A·PET08/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.530.870.330.870.73
vs Stronger (2)0.501.501.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (9)0.331.110.500.750.201.40
vs Weaker (19)1.160.161.000.101.330.22
Clean sheet %70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZimbruZimbru

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W30W10W10W32W00D00D12L13L31WH·DAC24/08H·SPA30/08H·CSF13/09H·SHE21/09A·POL27/09A·MIL05/10H·PET19/10A·DAC25/10H·SPA01/11A·CSF09/11
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.571.670.401.200.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.530.470.570.290.500.62
vs Weaker (15)2.330.672.620.502.000.86
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheriff Tiraspol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sheriff Tiraspol over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff Tiraspol over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff Tiraspol over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.1%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Sheriff Tiraspol · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cristian Tovar29%
Amine Talal14%
Jerome Mbekeli14%
David Ankeye14%
Gabi Kiki0%
Konstantinos Apostolakis0%
Ricardinho0%
Maksym Koval0%
Luvannor Henrique0%
Alejandro Artunduaga0%
Cedric Badolo0%
João Paulo0%
Armel Zohouri0%
Berkay Vardar0%
Peter Oluwaseun Ademo0%
Munashe Garananga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gabi Kiki75%
Amine Talal57%
Armel Zohouri50%
Cedric Badolo33%
Konstantinos Apostolakis29%
Maksym Koval29%
Cristian Tovar29%
Jerome Mbekeli29%
Luvannor Henrique17%
Alejandro Artunduaga17%
João Paulo17%
Ricardinho14%
David Ankeye0%
Berkay Vardar0%
Peter Oluwaseun Ademo0%
Munashe Garananga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ricardinho29%
David Ankeye14%
Gabi Kiki0%
Amine Talal0%
Konstantinos Apostolakis0%
Maksym Koval0%
Luvannor Henrique0%
Alejandro Artunduaga0%
Cristian Tovar0%
Jerome Mbekeli0%
Cedric Badolo0%
João Paulo0%
Armel Zohouri0%
Berkay Vardar0%
Peter Oluwaseun Ademo0%
Munashe Garananga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Amine Talal29%
David Ankeye29%
Luvannor Henrique17%
Jerome Mbekeli14%
Gabi Kiki0%
Konstantinos Apostolakis0%
Ricardinho0%
Maksym Koval0%
Alejandro Artunduaga0%
Cristian Tovar0%
Cedric Badolo0%
João Paulo0%
Armel Zohouri0%
Berkay Vardar0%
Peter Oluwaseun Ademo0%
Munashe Garananga0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
SS (12)
€1m
PU (13)
€1m
SIR (7)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
Sheriff Tiraspol's squad is €2m more valuable than Zimbru's (€6m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
PU (2)
€0m
SIR (2)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Sheriff Tiraspol and Zimbru have a similar attack value (both €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SIR (5)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
DAC (6)
€0m
PU (4)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Sheriff Tiraspol and Zimbru have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
PU (7)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
SIR (0)
€0m
Sheriff Tiraspol's defence is €2m more valuable than Zimbru's (€3m vs €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
ST wins
2
Draws
3
ZIM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru · H/A from ST
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/25AZimbru Vs ST2-0
27/07/25HST Vs Zimbru2-3
26/04/25AZimbru Vs ST1-1
15/03/25HST Vs Zimbru0-0
27/10/24HST Vs Zimbru4-2
25/08/24AZimbru Vs ST1-2
11/05/24AZimbru Vs ST2-0
07/04/24HST Vs Zimbru4-1

Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/11/25APetrocub Vs ST4-2
02/11/25HST Vs CSF Bălți1-2
26/10/25AMilsami Orhei Vs ST1-0
19/10/25HST Vs Spartanii Selemet5-0
04/10/25APolitehnica UTM Vs ST1-2
27/09/25HST Vs Dacia-Buiucani1-0
21/09/25AZimbru Vs ST2-0
14/09/25HST Vs Petrocub2-0
31/08/25ACSF Bălți Vs ST0-3
24/08/25HST Vs Milsami Orhei1-1

ZimbruZimbru

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/25ACSF Bălți Vs ZIM1-3
01/11/25HZIM Vs Spartanii Selemet2-3
25/10/25ADacia-Buiucani Vs ZIM2-2
19/10/25HZIM Vs Petrocub0-0
05/10/25AMilsami Orhei Vs ZIM0-3
27/09/25APolitehnica UTM Vs ZIM2-3
21/09/25HZIM Vs Sheriff Tiraspol2-0
13/09/25HZIM Vs CSF Bălți2-0
30/08/25HZIM Vs Spartanii Selemet5-0
24/08/25HZIM Vs Dacia-Buiucani1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sheriff Tiraspol
Sheriff Tiraspol
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.90
HomeDWWWL2.08
AwayWLWLL1.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%62%50%
AVG goals2.802.922.67
Over 1.5 %74%69%79%
Over 2.5 %56%54%58%
Over 3.5 %32%38%25%
Scored1.902.191.58
Conceded0.900.731.08
BTTS42%42%42%
Clean Sheet48%54%42%
Corners11.00-11.00
Cards2.403.002.00
Zimbru
Zimbru
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLW1.74
HomeWWWDL1.96
AwayWWWDW1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%60%44%
AVG goals3.323.283.36
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %64%60%68%
Over 3.5 %44%44%44%
Scored2.142.321.96
Conceded1.180.961.40
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet40%44%36%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PetrocubPetrocub3173
71%
2.4
6417+47
2.6
81%
48%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.10.5
-
2Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol3164
65%
2.1
5722+35
2.5
68%
48%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3131.80.7
-
3ZimbruZimbru3162
58%
2.0
7032+38
3.3
87%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2112.31.0
-
4Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei3146
42%
1.5
4738+9
2.7
77%
65%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.51.2
-
5CSF BălțiCSF Bălți3137
32%
1.2
3144-13
2.4
71%
42%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.4
-
6Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM3135
32%
1.1
4468-24
3.6
94%
71%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.2
-
7Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet3329
24%
0.9
3281-49
3.4
85%
58%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.5
-
8SirețiSireți1324
54%
1.8
2214+8
2.8
69%
38%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.71.1
-
9FloreştiFloreşti1317
31%
1.3
1817+1
2.7
69%
38%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
10Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani3116
13%
0.5
3059-29
2.9
81%
61%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.01.9
-
11IskraIskra1213
25%
1.1
1215-3
2.2
75%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
12FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni115
0%
0.5
1023-13
3.0
64%
45%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.1
-
13OguzsportOguzsport23
50%
1.5
57-2
6.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.53.5
-
14Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
15FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni21
0%
0.5
56-1
5.5
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.53.0
-
16Univer ComratUniver Comrat10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.0
-
17FăleştiFăleşti10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.03.0
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

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