Shirak II vs Araks Ararat Result & Analysis

This fixture between Shirak II and Araks Ararat in the Armenia: First League is finely balanced, with both teams coming off defeats in their last matches. Shirak II suffered a 0-1 loss to Sardarapat 2, while Araks Ararat were thrashed 1-7 by Andranik.

The model predicts a home win for Shirak II, with a 41% chance of success. The away win is a close second, with a 33% probability, and the draw is a possible outcome with a 26% chance. The expected total number of goals is 3.1, indicating a relatively high-scoring match. The most likely total number of goals is 2, and the single most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 11.9%.

Shirak II has a record of 0.86 goals scored and 1.14 goals conceded at home, while Araks Ararat averages 1.25 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded away from home. The model's selection is Over 1.5 goals, with an 82.5% probability.

In a stunning reversal of fortunes, Shirak II's home win streak came to an end as they drew 1-1 with Araks Ararat. This result extends their run of draws to three consecutive matches. The model's selection, a home win, was wrong, with a pre-match probability of 41%. The model's call was incorrect as Araks Ararat secured a draw, their second consecutive draw against Shirak II. The model's selection of a home win was not the only one to miss the mark, as the suggested pick of Over 1.5 goals also failed to hit, despite a high pre-match probability of 82.5%. Meanwhile, the suggested pick of Over 1.5 goals did hit, as the match ended with a total of 2 goals.