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Shirak II vs Noah II Prediction & Stats

Date: 21/09/2026
Time: 11:30
Shirak II
Shirak II
Vs
35%
27%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Noah II
Noah II
Armenia: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The contest between Shirak II and Noah II is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win. Home and away win probabilities sit at 35 % and 39 %, while a draw is 27 %. The expected total is 3.0 goals, yet the most probable aggregate is 2 goals, a 24 % chance. The single score most likely to occur is 1-1, with a 12.4 % probability.

Shirak II, playing at home against an opponent of similar strength, averages 1.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Noah II, on the road, averages 1.71 goals scored but concedes 2.57 against similar teams.

The model’s selections are: Under 7.5 (98.9 %), Under 6.5 (96.8 %), Home under 3.5 goals (94.1 %), Away under 3.5 goals (93.0 %), Under 5.5 (91.8 %), Away +2 handicap (83.4 %), Home under 2.5 goals (82.3 %), and Under 4.5 (81.9 %). Each figure appears only once, keeping the preview concise and focused.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shirak II win
34.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
26.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Noah II win
38.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Shirak IIShirak II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L12L53W23L03L33D01L04L11D21WA·VAN25/04H·ARA30/04H·BAN06/05A·MIK12/05A·NOA21/05H·BKM27/05H·SAR03/08A·AND10/08H·ARA15/08A·ARA19/08
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.202.971.212.071.193.75
vs Stronger (15)0.804.070.832.670.785.00
vs Similar (12)1.671.751.671.501.672.00
vs Weaker (3)1.332.331.002.002.003.00
Clean sheet %7% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Noah II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Noah IINoah II

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-710W00D13L30W10W23L22D07L21W00DH·VAN05/05A·BAN11/05A·AND15/05H·SHI21/05A·MIK25/05H·MIK04/08A·BAN10/08H·BEN14/08A·SAR18/08H·AND01/09
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.971.471.871.132.07
vs Stronger (9)0.332.110.502.500.201.80
vs Similar (12)1.831.502.170.501.502.50
vs Weaker (9)1.562.441.403.001.751.75
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Shirak II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
80.9%
Under 1.5
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
57.2%
Under 2.5
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
34.8%
Under 3.5
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
61.1%
No
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
6.2%
1-0
6.2%
0-2
6.0%
Shirak II goals ↓
Noah II goals →
01234
06.2%6.7%6.0%3.1%1.2%
16.2%12%8.7%4.4%1.7%
25.3%8.1%6.2%3.2%1.2%
32.5%3.9%3.0%1.5%0.6%
40.9%1.4%1.1%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Shirak II goals (down), columns = Noah II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
BKMA II
2.37
Hayq
2.27
Andranik
2.20
Pyunik II
1.47
Olympia Yerevan
1.30
Ararat II
1.27
Araks Ararat
1.23
Banants II
1.20
Noah II
1.03
Bentonit Ijevan
0.97
Mika
0.93
Ararat-Armenia II
0.80
Lernayin Artsakh
0.79
Sardarapat 2
0.74
Shirak II
0.60
Shirak II is 0.43 points worse than Noah II in terms of average points per game (0.60 vs 1.03).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
BKMA II
2.57
Andranik
2.53
Hayq
1.97
Ararat-Armenia II
1.53
Banants II
1.53
Olympia Yerevan
1.50
Ararat II
1.43
Pyunik II
1.43
Noah II
1.30
Araks Ararat
1.27
Shirak II
1.13
Bentonit Ijevan
1.10
Mika
1.07
Sardarapat 2
0.85
Lernayin Artsakh
0.76
Shirak II is 0.17 goals worse than Noah II in terms of goals scored per game (1.13 vs 1.30).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hayq
0.80
Andranik
1.00
BKMA II
1.03
Pyunik II
1.43
Bentonit Ijevan
1.63
Araks Ararat
1.70
Olympia Yerevan
1.79
Banants II
1.80
Ararat II
1.93
Noah II
1.93
Mika
2.00
Ararat-Armenia II
2.07
Lernayin Artsakh
2.45
Shirak II
2.97
Sardarapat 2
3.15
Shirak II is 1.03 goals worse than Noah II in terms of goals conceded per game (2.97 vs 1.93).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Shirak II or Draw
61.2%
Avg Implied -
35%
27%
39%
covers Shirak II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Shirak II or Noah II
73.4%
Avg Implied -
35%
27%
39%
covers Shirak II + Noah II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Noah II
65.5%
Avg Implied -
35%
27%
39%
covers Draw + Noah II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Shirak II over/under 0.5
Over
76.3%
Under
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shirak II over/under 1.5
Over
42.2%
Under
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shirak II over/under 2.5
Over
17.6%
Under
82.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shirak II over/under 3.5
Over
5.8%
Under
94.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Noah II over/under 0.5
Over
78.5%
Under
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Noah II over/under 1.5
Over
45.5%
Under
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Noah II over/under 2.5
Over
20.1%
Under
79.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Noah II over/under 3.5
Over
7.1%
Under
92.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Shirak II, so a minus line means Shirak II give that many goals of a start and Noah II receive them. At -1, Shirak II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Shirak II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Shirak II)
Shirak II -2
6.2%
Draw -2
10.4%
Noah II +2
83.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Shirak II)
Shirak II -1
16.6%
Draw -1
17.9%
Noah II +1
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Shirak II)
Shirak II +1
61.2%
Draw +1
19.2%
Noah II -1
19.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Shirak II)
Shirak II +2
80.4%
Draw +2
11.9%
Noah II -2
7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Shirak IIShirak II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L32W11D02L20W00D01L10W21WA·VAN25/04H·ARA30/04H·BAN06/05A·MIK12/05A·NOA21/05H·BKM27/05H·SAR03/08A·AND10/08H·ARA15/08A·ARA19/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.530.570.860.622.12
vs Stronger (15)0.402.270.501.170.333.00
vs Similar (12)0.830.830.670.671.001.00
vs Weaker (3)0.670.670.500.501.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Noah II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Noah IINoah II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D01L20W00D02L11D03L00D00DH·VAN05/05A·BAN11/05A·AND15/05H·SHI21/05A·MIK25/05H·MIK04/08A·BAN10/08H·BEN14/08A·SAR18/08H·AND01/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.000.470.870.471.13
vs Stronger (9)0.111.220.001.500.201.00
vs Similar (12)0.670.830.830.170.501.50
vs Weaker (9)0.561.000.401.200.750.75
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Shirak II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Shirak II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shirak II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shirak II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Noah II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Noah II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Noah II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Shirak IIShirak II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W21W12L01L13L01L03L01L00DA·VAN25/04H·ARA30/04H·BAN06/05A·MIK12/05A·NOA21/05H·BKM27/05H·SAR03/08A·AND10/08H·ARA15/08A·ARA19/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.430.641.210.561.62
vs Stronger (15)0.401.800.331.500.442.00
vs Similar (12)0.830.921.000.830.671.00
vs Weaker (3)0.671.670.501.501.002.00
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Noah II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Noah IINoah II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D12L10W10W21W11D04L21W00DH·VAN05/05A·BAN11/05A·AND15/05H·SHI21/05A·MIK25/05H·MIK04/08A·BAN10/08H·BEN14/08A·SAR18/08H·AND01/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.971.001.000.670.93
vs Stronger (9)0.220.890.501.000.000.80
vs Similar (12)1.170.671.330.331.001.00
vs Weaker (9)1.001.441.001.801.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Shirak II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Shirak II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shirak II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shirak II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Noah II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Noah II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Noah II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.9%-------
Under 6.596.8%-------
Home under 3.5 goals94.2%-------
Away under 3.5 goals92.9%-------
Under 5.591.8%-------
Away +2 handicap83.4%-------
Home under 2.5 goals82.4%-------
Under 4.581.9%-------
Over 1.580.9%-------
Home +2 handicap80.4%-------
Away under 2.5 goals79.9%-------
Away over 0.5 goals78.5%-------
Home over 0.5 goals76.3%-------
Home or Away73.4%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (29)
€1m
HAY (13)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
OY (15)
€0m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
Shirak II and Noah II have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (10)
€1m
HAY (8)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
OY (2)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
Shirak II and Noah II have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (8)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
OY (4)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
BI (5)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
HAY (1)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
Shirak II and Noah II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (11)
€0m
OY (9)
€0m
HAY (4)
€0m
BI (8)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
Shirak II and Noah II have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
1
SI wins
0
Draws
5
NI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Shirak II vs Noah II · H/A from SI
DateH/AGameScore
21/05/26ANoah II Vs SI3-0
04/11/25HSI Vs Noah II2-4
19/05/25ANoah II Vs SI0-2
10/11/24HSI Vs Noah II1-5
04/03/24HSI Vs Noah II0-2
14/08/23ANoah II Vs SI2-1

Shirak IIShirak II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/08/26AArarat II Vs SI1-2
15/08/26HSI Vs Araks Ararat1-1
10/08/26AAndranik Vs SI4-0
03/08/26HSI Vs Sardarapat 20-1
27/05/26HSI Vs BKMA II3-3
21/05/26ANoah II Vs SI3-0
12/05/26AMika Vs SI3-2
06/05/26HSI Vs Banants II5-3
30/04/26HSI Vs Ararat II1-2
25/04/26AVan II Vs SI3-0

Noah IINoah II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26HNI Vs Andranik0-0
18/08/26ASardarapat 2 Vs NI1-2
14/08/26HNI Vs Bentonit Ijevan0-7
10/08/26ABanants II Vs NI2-2
04/08/26HNI Vs Mika2-3
25/05/26AMika Vs NI0-1
21/05/26HNI Vs Shirak II3-0
15/05/26AAndranik Vs NI3-1
11/05/26ABanants II Vs NI0-0
05/05/26HNI Vs Van II1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Shirak II
Shirak II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDW0.88
HomeLWDLD0.80
AwayLLLLW0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%16%24%
AVG goals3.683.244.12
Over 1.5 %86%76%96%
Over 2.5 %64%56%72%
Over 3.5 %46%40%52%
Scored1.241.201.28
Conceded2.442.042.84
BTTS60%64%56%
Clean Sheet12%8%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Noah II
Noah II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWD1.34
HomeWWLLD1.38
AwayDLWDW1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%35%38%
AVG goals3.183.123.25
Over 1.5 %74%69%79%
Over 2.5 %54%46%62%
Over 3.5 %40%38%42%
Scored1.441.541.33
Conceded1.741.581.92
BTTS50%46%54%
Clean Sheet28%35%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Olympia YerevanOlympia Yerevan513
80%
2.6
145+9
3.8
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.81.0
-
2BKMA IIBKMA II512
80%
2.4
134+9
3.4
100%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.60.8
-
3Pyunik IIPyunik II511
60%
2.2
117+4
3.6
60%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.4
-
4AndranikAndranik47
50%
1.8
94+5
3.2
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.21.0
-
5MikaMika57
40%
1.4
1011-1
4.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.2
-
6Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh46
50%
1.5
77+0
3.5
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
7Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan45
25%
1.2
138+5
5.2
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.22.0
-
8Banants IIBanants II55
20%
1.0
713-6
4.0
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.6
-
9Noah IINoah II55
20%
1.0
613-7
3.8
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.6
-
10Araks AraratAraks Ararat34
33%
1.3
54+1
3.0
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.3
-
11Shirak IIShirak II44
25%
1.0
37-4
2.5
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.8
-
12Sardarapat 2Sardarapat 243
25%
0.8
26-4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
13Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II41
0%
0.2
15-4
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.21.2
-
14HayqHayq00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.00.0
-
15Ararat IIArarat II30
0%
0.0
29-7
3.7
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.73.0
-
Armenia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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