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Shturmi vs Kolkheti Poti Prediction & Stats

Date: 10/10/2026
Time: 16:00
Shturmi
Shturmi
Vs
30%
27%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kolkheti Poti
Kolkheti Poti
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The model favours an away win, with a 45% chance for Kolkheti Poti, 29% for Shturmi and 27% for a draw. Expect about 2.9 goals overall, but the most likely total is two, with a 25% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.7% chance. Shturmi, playing at home against a similarly-strengthened side, averages 1.15 goals scored and 0.85 conceded. Kolkheti Poti, on the road, averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded against similar opponents. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.1%), Under 6.5 (97.3%), Home under 3.5 goals (96.2%), Under 5.5 (93.0%), Away under 3.5 goals (92.0%), Away +2 handicap (87.5%), Home under 2.5 goals (86.9%) and Under 4.5 (83.9%). Shturmi’s recent form shows two straight defeats before a win, while Kolkheti Poti comes off a draw. This context supports the model’s prediction of a Kolkheti Poti victory.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shturmi win
30.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Poti win
42.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ShturmiShturmi

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W12L02L00D00D21W10W01L13LH·MER12/12A·MER16/12A·ODI30/05H·TEL13/06A·GAR17/06A·KOL22/06H·MER08/08A·SIO15/08H·SAM22/08A·GOR29/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.071.070.860.881.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.001.001.150.850.871.13
vs Weaker (2)0.502.000.001.001.003.00
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolkheti Poti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L23L00D22D11D00D12L11D23L11DH·DIL30/11A·DIN05/12H·SIO30/05A·SAM13/06H·GOR17/06H·SHT22/06A·ODI08/08H·TEL15/08A·GAR22/08H·ARA30/08← Erovnuli LigaErovnuli Liga 2 →
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.931.001.881.212.00
vs Stronger (15)1.072.331.292.570.882.12
vs Similar (13)1.081.540.751.381.601.80
vs Weaker (2)1.501.501.001.002.002.00
Clean sheet %10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Shturmi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
78.7%
Under 1.5
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53.9%
Under 2.5
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
31.6%
Under 3.5
68.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
58.1%
No
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.1%
0-0
7.0%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
5.8%
Shturmi goals ↓
Kolkheti Poti goals →
01234
07.0%7.9%7.1%3.7%1.4%
16.4%13%9.1%4.7%1.8%
24.8%7.5%5.8%3.0%1.2%
32.1%3.2%2.5%1.3%0.5%
40.7%1.0%0.8%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Shturmi goals (down), columns = Kolkheti Poti goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Telavi
2.12
Gareji
1.75
Sioni
1.62
Samtredia
1.62
Aragvi Dusheti
1.50
Odishi 1919
1.38
Gori
1.25
Shturmi
1.00
Kolkheti Poti
0.75
Merani Martvili
0.62
Shturmi is 0.25 points better than Kolkheti Poti in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.75).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Samtredia
2.00
Gareji
1.50
Sioni
1.38
Gori
1.38
Aragvi Dusheti
1.38
Telavi
1.00
Kolkheti Poti
1.00
Odishi 1919
0.88
Merani Martvili
0.62
Shturmi
0.62
Shturmi is 0.38 goals worse than Kolkheti Poti in terms of goals scored per game (0.62 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Telavi
0.38
Shturmi
1.12
Gori
1.12
Odishi 1919
1.12
Gareji
1.25
Kolkheti Poti
1.25
Aragvi Dusheti
1.25
Merani Martvili
1.38
Sioni
1.38
Samtredia
1.50
Shturmi is 0.12 goals better than Kolkheti Poti in terms of goals conceded per game (1.12 vs 1.25).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Shturmi or Draw
57.5%
Avg Implied -
30%
27%
42%
covers Shturmi + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Shturmi or Kolkheti Poti
72.8%
Avg Implied -
30%
27%
42%
covers Shturmi + Kolkheti Poti
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Kolkheti Poti
69.7%
Avg Implied -
30%
27%
42%
covers Draw + Kolkheti Poti
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Shturmi over/under 0.5
Over
72.3%
Under
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shturmi over/under 1.5
Over
36.7%
Under
63.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shturmi over/under 2.5
Over
13.9%
Under
86.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shturmi over/under 3.5
Over
4.1%
Under
95.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Poti over/under 0.5
Over
78.8%
Under
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Poti over/under 1.5
Over
46.0%
Under
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Poti over/under 2.5
Over
20.5%
Under
79.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Poti over/under 3.5
Over
7.2%
Under
92.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Shturmi, so a minus line means Shturmi give that many goals of a start and Kolkheti Poti receive them. At -1, Shturmi must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Shturmi win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Shturmi)
Shturmi -2
4.6%
Draw -2
8.9%
Kolkheti Poti +2
86.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Shturmi)
Shturmi -1
13.5%
Draw -1
16.8%
Kolkheti Poti +1
69.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Shturmi)
Shturmi +1
57.5%
Draw +1
20.6%
Kolkheti Poti -1
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Shturmi)
Shturmi +2
78.1%
Draw +2
13.1%
Kolkheti Poti -2
8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ShturmiShturmi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W12L01L00D00D10W00D01L00DH·MER12/12A·MER16/12A·ODI30/05H·TEL13/06A·GAR17/06A·KOL22/06H·MER08/08A·SIO15/08H·SAM22/08A·GOR29/08
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.430.710.290.500.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.640.430.770.230.530.60
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolkheti Poti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L03L00D10W10W00D11D01L11D00DH·DIL30/11A·DIN05/12H·SIO30/05A·SAM13/06H·GOR17/06H·SHT22/06A·ODI08/08H·TEL15/08A·GAR22/08H·ARA30/08← Erovnuli LigaErovnuli Liga 2 →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.800.620.620.431.00
vs Stronger (15)0.471.200.711.000.251.38
vs Similar (13)0.540.460.500.380.600.60
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Shturmi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Shturmi over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shturmi over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shturmi over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Poti over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Poti over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Poti over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ShturmiShturmi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D01L00D00D11D10W00D13LH·MER12/12A·MER16/12A·ODI30/05H·TEL13/06A·GAR17/06A·KOL22/06H·MER08/08A·SIO15/08H·SAM22/08A·GOR29/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.630.360.570.380.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.360.570.380.620.330.53
vs Weaker (2)0.501.500.000.001.003.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolkheti Poti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W00D12L01L00D01L10W12L11DH·DIL30/11A·DIN05/12H·SIO30/05A·SAM13/06H·GOR17/06H·SHT22/06A·ODI08/08H·TEL15/08A·GAR22/08H·ARA30/08← Erovnuli LigaErovnuli Liga 2 →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.130.381.250.791.00
vs Stronger (15)0.601.130.571.570.620.75
vs Similar (13)0.541.080.251.001.001.20
vs Weaker (2)0.501.500.001.001.002.00
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Shturmi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Shturmi over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shturmi over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shturmi over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Poti over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Poti over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Poti over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.1%-------
Under 6.597.4%-------
Home under 3.5 goals95.9%-------
Under 5.593.2%-------
Away under 3.5 goals92.8%-------
Away +2 handicap86.5%-------
Home under 2.5 goals86.1%-------
Under 4.584.2%-------
Away under 2.5 goals79.5%-------
Away over 0.5 goals78.8%-------
Over 1.578.7%-------
Home +2 handicap78.1%-------
Home or Away72.8%-------
Home over 0.5 goals72.3%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KP (3)
€0m
SAM (4)
€0m
GOR (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KP (2)
€0m
GOR (2)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAM (1)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
GOR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAM (2)
€0m
KP (1)
€0m
GOR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
SHT wins
1
Draws
0
KP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Shturmi vs Kolkheti Poti · H/A from SHT
DateH/AGameScore
22/06/26AKolkheti Poti Vs SHT0-0

ShturmiShturmi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26AGori Vs SHT3-1
22/08/26HSHT Vs Samtredia0-1
15/08/26ASioni Vs SHT0-1
08/08/26HSHT Vs Merani Martvili2-1
22/06/26AKolkheti Poti Vs SHT0-0
17/06/26AGareji Vs SHT0-0
13/06/26HSHT Vs Telavi0-2
30/05/26AOdishi 1919 Vs SHT2-1
16/12/24AMerani Martvili Vs SHT0-1
12/12/24HSHT Vs Merani Martvili0-1

Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HKP Vs Aragvi Dusheti1-1
22/08/26AGareji Vs KP3-2
15/08/26HKP Vs Telavi1-1
08/08/26AOdishi 1919 Vs KP2-1
22/06/26HKP Vs Shturmi0-0
17/06/26HKP Vs Gori1-1
13/06/26ASamtredia Vs KP2-2
30/05/26HKP Vs Sioni0-0
05/12/25ADinamo Batumi Vs KP3-2
30/11/25HKP Vs Dila1-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Shturmi
Shturmi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLL1.22
HomeWLLWL1.68
AwayLDDWL0.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%50%17%
AVG goals2.332.142.50
Over 1.5 %63%59%67%
Over 2.5 %41%36%46%
Over 3.5 %20%9%29%
Scored1.041.230.88
Conceded1.280.911.62
BTTS52%41%62%
Clean Sheet30%32%29%
Corners---
Cards---
Kolkheti Poti
Kolkheti Poti
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 0 Wins / 6 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLD0.78
HomeDDDDD0.85
AwayLLDLL0.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %16%15%17%
AVG goals2.782.622.96
Over 1.5 %80%73%88%
Over 2.5 %54%50%58%
Over 3.5 %36%35%38%
Scored1.021.080.96
Conceded1.761.542.00
BTTS58%62%54%
Clean Sheet14%19%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1TelaviTelavi817
62%
2.1
83+5
1.4
38%
12%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.4
-
2GarejiGareji814
50%
1.8
1210+2
2.8
75%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
3SamtrediaSamtredia813
50%
1.6
1612+4
3.5
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.5
-
4SioniSioni813
50%
1.6
1111+0
2.8
62%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
5Aragvi DushetiAragvi Dusheti812
38%
1.5
1110+1
2.6
75%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
6Odishi 1919Odishi 1919811
38%
1.4
79-2
2.0
62%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.1
-
7GoriGori810
38%
1.2
119+2
2.5
62%
38%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
8ShturmiShturmi88
25%
1.0
59-4
1.8
50%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.1
-
9Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti86
0%
0.8
810-2
2.2
75%
38%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
10Merani MartviliMerani Martvili85
12%
0.6
511-6
2.0
75%
38%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.4
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Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 stats & trends →

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