PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Shturmi vs Odishi 1919 Prediction & Stats

Date: 12/09/2026
Time: 16:00
Shturmi
Shturmi
Vs
42%
31%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Odishi 1919
Odishi 1919
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Shturmi’s defensive record at home - conceding only 0.85 goals per game - sets the tone for a tight, low-scoring affair. The model predicts a 42% chance of a home win, 31% for a draw, and 27% for an away victory, making a home win the favoured outcome. With an expected 2.2 goals, the most likely total is two, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 14.4%. Shturmi averages 1.15 goals scored and 0.85 conceded against similar opposition, while Odishi 1919, playing away, averages 1.33 scored and 1.0 conceded. The suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.8%), Under 6.5 (99.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.2%), Under 5.5 (97.3%), Home under 3.5 goals (96.0%), Away under 2.5 goals (92.4%), Under 4.5 (92.3%) and Home +2 handicap (89.7%). All selections are presented with their exact percentages.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shturmi win
41.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
31.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 win
27.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ShturmiShturmi

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W12L02L00D00D21W10W01L13LH·MER12/12A·MER16/12A·ODI30/05H·TEL13/06A·GAR17/06A·KOL22/06H·MER08/08A·SIO15/08H·SAM22/08A·GOR29/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.071.070.860.881.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.001.001.150.850.871.13
vs Weaker (2)0.502.000.001.001.003.00
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Odishi 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Odishi 1919Odishi 1919

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D21W21W11D01L21W21W00D01L03LA·SAB11/12H·SAB15/12H·SHT30/05H·ARA13/06A·TEL17/06A·GAR22/06H·KOL08/08A·MER15/08H·SIO22/08A·SAM28/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.201.401.000.801.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.291.001.251.001.331.00
vs Weaker (3)0.671.672.001.000.002.00
Clean sheet %10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Shturmi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
66.9%
Under 1.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
38.9%
Under 2.5
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
19.0%
Under 3.5
81.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
46.1%
No
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
1-0
12.1%
0-0
11.9%
0-1
9.0%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.1%
Shturmi goals ↓
Odishi 1919 goals →
01234
012%9.0%5.1%1.6%0.4%
112%14%6.4%2.1%0.5%
28.5%8.3%4.1%1.3%0.3%
33.6%3.5%1.7%0.6%0.1%
41.1%1.1%0.5%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Shturmi goals (down), columns = Odishi 1919 goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Telavi
2.12
Gareji
1.75
Sioni
1.62
Samtredia
1.62
Aragvi Dusheti
1.50
Odishi 1919
1.38
Gori
1.25
Shturmi
1.00
Kolkheti Poti
0.75
Merani Martvili
0.62
Shturmi is 0.38 points worse than Odishi 1919 in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.38).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Samtredia
2.00
Gareji
1.50
Sioni
1.38
Gori
1.38
Aragvi Dusheti
1.38
Telavi
1.00
Kolkheti Poti
1.00
Odishi 1919
0.88
Merani Martvili
0.62
Shturmi
0.62
Shturmi is 0.25 goals worse than Odishi 1919 in terms of goals scored per game (0.62 vs 0.88).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Telavi
0.38
Shturmi
1.12
Gori
1.12
Odishi 1919
1.12
Gareji
1.25
Kolkheti Poti
1.25
Aragvi Dusheti
1.25
Merani Martvili
1.38
Sioni
1.38
Samtredia
1.50
Shturmi and Odishi 1919 are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.12).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Shturmi or Draw
72.8%
Avg Implied -
42%
31%
27%
covers Shturmi + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Shturmi or Odishi 1919
69.0%
Avg Implied -
42%
31%
27%
covers Shturmi + Odishi 1919
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Odishi 1919
58.2%
Avg Implied -
42%
31%
27%
covers Draw + Odishi 1919
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Shturmi over/under 0.5
Over
71.9%
Under
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shturmi over/under 1.5
Over
36.2%
Under
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shturmi over/under 2.5
Over
13.6%
Under
86.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shturmi over/under 3.5
Over
4.0%
Under
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 0.5
Over
62.3%
Under
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 1.5
Over
25.6%
Under
74.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 2.5
Over
7.6%
Under
92.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 3.5
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Shturmi, so a minus line means Shturmi give that many goals of a start and Odishi 1919 receive them. At -1, Shturmi must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Shturmi win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Shturmi)
Shturmi -2
6.8%
Draw -2
12.6%
Odishi 1919 +2
80.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Shturmi)
Shturmi -1
19.4%
Draw -1
22.4%
Odishi 1919 +1
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Shturmi)
Shturmi +1
72.8%
Draw +1
16.9%
Odishi 1919 -1
10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Shturmi)
Shturmi +2
89.7%
Draw +2
7.5%
Odishi 1919 -2
2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ShturmiShturmi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W12L01L00D00D10W00D01L00DH·MER12/12A·MER16/12A·ODI30/05H·TEL13/06A·GAR17/06A·KOL22/06H·MER08/08A·SIO15/08H·SAM22/08A·GOR29/08
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.430.710.290.500.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.640.430.770.230.530.60
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Odishi 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Odishi 1919Odishi 1919

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D21W11D01L21W11D00D01L02LA·SAB11/12H·SAB15/12H·SHT30/05H·ARA13/06A·TEL17/06A·GAR22/06H·KOL08/08A·MER15/08H·SIO22/08A·SAM28/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.900.800.800.401.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.710.710.750.750.670.67
vs Weaker (3)0.331.331.001.000.001.50
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Shturmi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
67.6%
Under 0.5
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
28.5%
Under 1.5
71.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
9.5%
Under 2.5
90.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Shturmi over/under 0.5 HT
Over
41.6%
Under
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shturmi over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.9%
Under
87.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shturmi over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
40.1%
Under
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.5%
Under
90.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ShturmiShturmi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D01L00D00D11D10W00D13LH·MER12/12A·MER16/12A·ODI30/05H·TEL13/06A·GAR17/06A·KOL22/06H·MER08/08A·SIO15/08H·SAM22/08A·GOR29/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.630.360.570.380.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.360.570.380.620.330.53
vs Weaker (2)0.501.500.000.001.003.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Odishi 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Odishi 1919Odishi 1919

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W21W00D00D00D00D10W00D00D01LA·SAB11/12H·SAB15/12H·SHT30/05H·ARA13/06A·TEL17/06A·GAR22/06H·KOL08/08A·MER15/08H·SIO22/08A·SAM28/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.300.600.200.400.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.570.290.500.250.670.33
vs Weaker (3)0.330.331.000.000.000.50
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Shturmi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.2%
Under 0.5
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
37.7%
Under 1.5
62.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
16.7%
Under 2.5
83.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Shturmi over/under 0.5 2H
Over
51.7%
Under
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shturmi over/under 1.5 2H
Over
16.6%
Under
83.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shturmi over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.0%
Under
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
46.6%
Under
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
18.6%
Under
81.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odishi 1919 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.4%
Under
93.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.8%-------
Under 6.599.2%-------
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.7%-------
Away under 3.5 goals98.2%-------
Home under 2.5 HT goals97.8%-------
Under 5.597.3%-------
Home under 2.5 2H goals96.0%-------
Home under 3.5 goals96.0%-------
Away under 2.5 2H goals93.6%-------
Away under 2.5 goals92.4%-------
Under 4.592.3%-------
Away under 1.5 HT goals90.5%-------
Under 2.5 HT goals90.5%-------
Home +2 handicap89.7%-------
Home under 1.5 HT goals87.1%-------
Home under 2.5 goals86.4%-------
Home under 1.5 2H goals83.4%-------
Under 2.5 2H goals83.3%-------
Away under 1.5 2H goals81.4%-------
Under 3.581.0%-------
Away +2 handicap80.6%-------
Over 0.5 2H goals77.2%-------
Away under 1.5 goals74.4%-------
Home or Draw72.8%-------
Home +1 handicap72.8%-------
Home over 0.5 goals71.9%-------
Under 1.5 HT goals71.5%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KP (3)
€0m
SAM (4)
€0m
GOR (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KP (2)
€0m
GOR (2)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAM (1)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
GOR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAM (2)
€0m
KP (1)
€0m
GOR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
SHT wins
0
Draws
1
O1 wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Shturmi vs Odishi 1919 · H/A from SHT
DateH/AGameScore
30/05/26AOdishi 1919 Vs SHT2-1

ShturmiShturmi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26AGori Vs SHT3-1
22/08/26HSHT Vs Samtredia0-1
15/08/26ASioni Vs SHT0-1
08/08/26HSHT Vs Merani Martvili2-1
22/06/26AKolkheti Poti Vs SHT0-0
17/06/26AGareji Vs SHT0-0
13/06/26HSHT Vs Telavi0-2
30/05/26AOdishi 1919 Vs SHT2-1
16/12/24AMerani Martvili Vs SHT0-1
12/12/24HSHT Vs Merani Martvili0-1

Odishi 1919Odishi 1919

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26ASamtredia Vs O13-0
22/08/26HO1 Vs Sioni0-1
15/08/26AMerani Martvili Vs O10-0
08/08/26HO1 Vs Kolkheti Poti2-1
22/06/26AGareji Vs O11-2
17/06/26ATelavi Vs O11-0
13/06/26HO1 Vs Aragvi Dusheti1-1
30/05/26HO1 Vs Shturmi2-1
15/12/25HO1 Vs Saburtalo II2-1
11/12/25ASaburtalo II Vs O12-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Shturmi
Shturmi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLL1.22
HomeWLLWL1.68
AwayLDDWL0.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%50%17%
AVG goals2.332.142.50
Over 1.5 %63%59%67%
Over 2.5 %41%36%46%
Over 3.5 %20%9%29%
Scored1.041.230.88
Conceded1.280.911.62
BTTS52%41%62%
Clean Sheet30%32%29%
Corners---
Cards---
Odishi 1919
Odishi 1919
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLL1.50
HomeWWDWL2.00
AwayDLWDL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%60%20%
AVG goals2.302.402.20
Over 1.5 %70%80%60%
Over 2.5 %60%60%60%
Over 3.5 %10%0%20%
Scored1.101.400.80
Conceded1.201.001.40
BTTS60%80%40%
Clean Sheet10%0%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1TelaviTelavi817
62%
2.1
83+5
1.4
38%
12%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.4
-
2GarejiGareji814
50%
1.8
1210+2
2.8
75%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
3SamtrediaSamtredia813
50%
1.6
1612+4
3.5
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.5
-
4SioniSioni813
50%
1.6
1111+0
2.8
62%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
5Aragvi DushetiAragvi Dusheti812
38%
1.5
1110+1
2.6
75%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
6Odishi 1919Odishi 1919811
38%
1.4
79-2
2.0
62%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.1
-
7GoriGori810
38%
1.2
119+2
2.5
62%
38%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
8ShturmiShturmi88
25%
1.0
59-4
1.8
50%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.1
-
9Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti86
0%
0.8
810-2
2.2
75%
38%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
10Merani MartviliMerani Martvili85
12%
0.6
511-6
2.0
75%
38%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.4
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 stats & trends →

← all matches