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Shukura vs Saburtalo Result & Analysis

Date: 05/05/2023
Time: 10:00
Final 2-3
Shukura
Shukura
Vs
25%
24%
51%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Saburtalo
Saburtalo
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Shukura win✗ Miss
24.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Saburtalo win✓ Hit
51.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

ShukuraShukura

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W12L12L02L12L20W02L02L13L14LH·SAM04/03A·SAB08/03H·TEL12/03A·DIL18/03H·DIN02/04A·SAM08/04H·TOR12/04A·GAG22/04H·DIN26/04A·SAM30/04
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.271.571.291.381.25
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (26)1.461.381.581.331.361.43
vs Weaker (3)2.000.003.000.001.500.00
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Saburtalo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SaburtaloSaburtalo

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L21W00D33D30W12L30W31W30W33DA·DIN03/03H·SHU08/03H·DIL12/03A·SAM18/03H·GAG01/04A·SAM09/04H·TEL13/04A·DIN21/04A·TOR25/04H·DIN30/04
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.471.671.331.671.60
vs Stronger (2)1.502.001.000.002.004.00
vs Similar (18)1.281.781.221.891.331.67
vs Weaker (10)2.400.802.600.602.201.00
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Shukura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.5%
Under 1.5
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.4%
Under 2.5
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.1%
Under 3.5
60.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.2%
No
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.6%
0-1
7.0%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
6.1%
1-3
6.1%
0-0
5.2%
Shukura goals ↓
Saburtalo goals →
01234
05.2%7.0%7.6%4.8%2.3%
14.3%11%9.6%6.1%2.9%
23.4%6.4%6.1%3.9%1.8%
31.4%2.7%2.6%1.6%0.8%
40.5%0.9%0.8%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Shukura goals (down), columns = Saburtalo goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dinamo Batumi
2.06
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.97
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.67
Dila
1.67
Samgurali
1.58
Gareji
1.50
Saburtalo
1.42
Telavi
1.08
Gagra
1.06
Samtredia
0.95
Spaeri
0.50
Shukura
0.47
Shukura is 0.94 points worse than Saburtalo in terms of average points per game (0.47 vs 1.42).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.58
Dinamo Batumi
2.31
Gareji
2.00
Saburtalo
1.61
Dila
1.56
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.53
Samgurali
1.47
Samtredia
1.45
Gagra
1.31
Shukura
1.06
Telavi
1.03
Spaeri
0.50
Shukura is 0.56 goals worse than Saburtalo in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.61).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.03
Dila
1.08
Dinamo Batumi
1.14
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.36
Saburtalo
1.36
Samgurali
1.42
Telavi
1.66
Samtredia
1.74
Gagra
1.81
Gareji
2.50
Spaeri
2.50
Shukura
3.11
Shukura is 1.75 goals worse than Saburtalo in terms of goals conceded per game (3.11 vs 1.36).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

ShukuraShukura

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

SaburtaloSaburtalo

For 3.7 · Against 7.3 · Total 11.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

13027475891113A·FCSH·FCSA·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 3.3 · Total 5.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

60331423655A·FCSH·FCSA·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

ShukuraShukura

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (1)---0.00.0----
vs Similar (43)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (6)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Saburtalo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SaburtaloSaburtalo

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.29.511.00.40.40.4---
vs Stronger (2)10.011.09.05.55.06.0---
vs Similar (29)10.58.013.00.30.30.4---
vs Weaker (19)---0.00.00.0---
% over line50%50%50%8%8%8%---
% under line50%50%50%92%92%92%---
This opponent (Shukura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Saburtalo
10.2
Dinamo Tbilisi
8.0
Dinamo Batumi
7.5
Dila
7.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Dila
5.5
Saburtalo
5.0
Dinamo Batumi
4.7
Dinamo Tbilisi
4.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Dinamo Batumi
27.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ShukuraShukura

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W12L11D01L11D20W01L01L01L11DH·SAM04/03A·SAB08/03H·TEL12/03A·DIL18/03H·DIN02/04A·SAM08/04H·TOR12/04A·GAG22/04H·DIN26/04A·SAM30/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.530.640.500.690.56
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (26)0.690.580.750.500.640.64
vs Weaker (3)0.670.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Saburtalo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SaburtaloSaburtalo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W00D22D20W00D20W01L20W01LA·DIN03/03H·SHU08/03H·DIL12/03A·SAM18/03H·GAG01/04A·SAM09/04H·TEL13/04A·DIN21/04A·TOR25/04H·DIN30/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.631.000.670.670.60
vs Stronger (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (18)0.610.830.671.000.560.67
vs Weaker (10)1.300.301.600.201.000.40
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Shukura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Shukura over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shukura over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shukura over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saburtalo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saburtalo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saburtalo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ShukuraShukura

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D01L01L01L00D01L01L12L03LH·SAM04/03A·SAB08/03H·TEL12/03A·DIL18/03H·DIN02/04A·SAM08/04H·TOR12/04A·GAG22/04H·DIN26/04A·SAM30/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.730.930.790.690.69
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (26)0.770.810.830.830.710.79
vs Weaker (3)1.330.003.000.000.500.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Saburtalo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SaburtaloSaburtalo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D00D11D10W12L10W30W10W32WA·DIN03/03H·SHU08/03H·DIL12/03A·SAM18/03H·GAG01/04A·SAM09/04H·TEL13/04A·DIN21/04A·TOR25/04H·DIN30/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.830.670.671.001.00
vs Stronger (2)1.001.500.000.002.003.00
vs Similar (18)0.670.940.560.890.781.00
vs Weaker (10)1.100.501.000.401.200.60
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Shukura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Shukura over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shukura over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shukura over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saburtalo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saburtalo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saburtalo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (26)
€7m
TK (22)
€7m
DB (25)
€6m
SAB (22)
€6m
DIL (23)
€4m
SAM (24)
€3m
GAG (23)
€3m
SPA (20)
€2m
SAM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (9)
€3m
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
TK (7)
€2m
DIL (8)
€2m
SAM (9)
€1m
GAG (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (5)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
DB (6)
€1m
SAM (5)
€1m
GAG (6)
€1m
DT (4)
€1m
DIL (6)
€1m
SPA (4)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
TK (10)
€2m
DIL (9)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
SAM (10)
€1m
GAG (9)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
SHU wins
0
Draws
1
SAB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Shukura vs Saburtalo · H/A from SHU
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/23ASaburtalo Vs SHU2-1

ShukuraShukura

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/04/23ASamgurali Vs SHU4-1
26/04/23HSHU Vs Dinamo Batumi1-3
22/04/23AGagra Vs SHU2-0
12/04/23HSHU Vs Torpedo Kutaisi0-2
08/04/23ASamtredia Vs SHU0-2
02/04/23HSHU Vs Dinamo Tbilisi1-2
18/03/23ADila Vs SHU2-0
12/03/23HSHU Vs Telavi1-2
08/03/23ASaburtalo Vs SHU2-1
04/03/23HSHU Vs Samgurali2-1

SaburtaloSaburtalo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/04/23HSAB Vs Dinamo Batumi3-3
25/04/23ATorpedo Kutaisi Vs SAB0-3
21/04/23ADinamo Tbilisi Vs SAB1-3
13/04/23HSAB Vs Telavi3-0
09/04/23ASamgurali Vs SAB2-1
01/04/23HSAB Vs Gagra3-0
18/03/23ASamtredia Vs SAB3-3
12/03/23HSAB Vs Dila0-0
08/03/23HSAB Vs Shukura2-1
03/03/23ADinamo Batumi Vs SAB3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Shukura
Shukura
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL1.74
HomeWLLLL1.70
AwayLLWLL1.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %55%55%55%
AVG goals2.902.852.95
Over 1.5 %86%90%82%
Over 2.5 %67%80%55%
Over 3.5 %29%20%36%
Scored1.711.701.73
Conceded1.191.151.23
BTTS55%55%55%
Clean Sheet33%35%32%
Corners---
Cards---
Saburtalo
Saburtalo
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWD1.38
HomeWDWWD1.60
AwayLDLWW1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%44%32%
AVG goals2.822.802.84
Over 1.5 %70%72%68%
Over 2.5 %56%52%60%
Over 3.5 %30%28%32%
Scored1.501.641.36
Conceded1.321.161.48
BTTS46%48%44%
Clean Sheet34%36%32%
Corners10.259.5011.00
Cards5.004.505.50

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi3674
58%
2.1
8341+42
3.4
94%
69%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.31.1
-
2Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi3671
58%
2.0
9349+44
3.9
92%
81%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3132.61.4
-
3Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi3660
44%
1.7
5537+18
2.6
67%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2221.51.0
-
4DilaDila3660
47%
1.7
5639+17
2.6
72%
56%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.61.1
-
5SamguraliSamgurali3657
44%
1.6
5351+2
2.9
72%
56%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.4
-
6SaburtaloSaburtalo3651
39%
1.4
5849+9
3.0
78%
72%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3221.61.4
-
7TelaviTelavi3841
29%
1.1
3963-24
2.7
71%
55%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
8GagraGagra3638
28%
1.1
4765-18
3.1
64%
56%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.8
-
9SamtrediaSamtredia3836
26%
0.9
5566-11
3.2
82%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
10ShukuraShukura3617
11%
0.5
38112-74
4.2
89%
75%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.13.1
-
11GarejiGareji23
50%
1.5
45-1
4.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.5
-
12SpaeriSpaeri21
0%
0.5
15-4
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.52.5
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga stats & trends →

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