Šiauliai vs Džiugas Telšiai Result & Analysis

The model sees Šiauliai as the clear favourite, assigning a 70% chance of a home win, a 20% chance of a draw and only 11% for a Džiugas Telšiai victory. That 70% comes from Šiauliai’s solid home form - averaging 1.58 goals scored and 1.08 conceded against similar opponents - while Džiugas, playing away, averages only 1.14 goals scored and concedes 1.57. The expected total goals hover at 3.0, yet the most likely single score is 2-0, with a 12.1% probability, reflecting the home side’s recent pattern of wins after two straight defeats. The model’s suggested pick, Over 1.5 goals, carries an 81.5% chance, underscoring the expectation that both sides will find the net. The match’s probabilities are 70% home win, 20% draw, 11% away win, and the single most likely scoreline is 2-0. The selection Over 1.5 goals is the only other model pick, with its probability stated.

The match saw Šiauliai extend their run after two straight defeats, while Džiugas Telšių returned from a draw. The final score was 2-0, confirming a home win that matched the model’s prediction. The favourite, Home win, had a 70% probability and the model’s call was correct. The suggested pick, Over 1.5, had an 81.5% chance and hit, as the game produced two goals. The most likely score of 2-0, with a 12.1% probability, also materialised, while the other top possibilities of 1-0 and 2-1 missed. The model’s selections largely came through, delivering a reliable forecast.