Šiauliai vs Kauno Žalgiris Result & Analysis

Šiauliai are tipped to lift the trophy at home, with a 42% chance of victory, 30% for a draw and 29% for Kauno Žalgiris. The match is expected to see about 2.4 goals, with the most probable total being two and the single most likely scoreline 1-1 at 14.1%. Šiauliai, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, average 1.75 goals scored and concede one, while Kauno Žalgiris on the road average 1.83 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 3.5 with a 77.3% chance, Over 1.5 at 71.0%, and the other picks - Home win 42%, Draw 30%, Away win 29% - all stated as percentages. The recent form shows Šiauliai after two straight defeats, last losing 1-2 to Suduva Marijampole, while Kauno Žalgiris come off a draw, 0-0 with Banga. The prediction favours a home win, with the match likely to finish 1-1.

The 1-0 victory for Šiauliai extends their recent form, following two straight defeats. The model’s pre-match favourite was a home win at 42%, and it proved correct. The predicted most likely score of 1-1 fell short, but the model’s selection for Under 3.5 goals, with a 77.3% probability, hit the mark, while its pick for Over 1.5 goals, at 71.0%, missed. The final result matched the model’s overall expectation of a home win, confirming the accuracy of the favourite call and the Under 3.5 outcome. The match delivered a modest 1-0 scoreline, in line with the model’s balanced assessment.