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Šiauliai vs Kauno Žalgiris Result & Analysis

Date: 03/09/2026
Time: 14:15
Final 0-1
Šiauliai
Šiauliai
Vs
7%
22%
72%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kauno Žalgiris
Kauno Žalgiris
Lithuania: Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The model points to a clear away win for Kauno Žalgiris, with a 72% probability versus Šiauliai’s 7% home-side chance and a 22% draw likelihood. The expected total of 2.2 goals falls just above the 2-goal mark, and the most likely scoreline is 0-1, which carries a 19% chance. Šiauliai, playing at home against a similarly-rated opponent, averages 1.54 goals scored and 1.92 conceded, while Žalgiris, on the road, averages only 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded against comparable teams. The model’s selections include Home under 3.5 goals (99.9%), Under 7.5 (99.8%), Home under 2.5 goals (99.2%) with a 13% edge, Under 6.5 (99.2%), Away +2 handicap (98.8%), Under 5.5 (97.4% edge 11%), Draw or Away (93.5% edge 15%) and Away +1 handicap (93.5%). Recent form shows Šiauliai struggling after two straight defeats and a 1-2 loss, while Žalgiris comes off a draw, reinforcing the model’s preference for an away victory.

Results analysis

The Cup clash saw Kauno Žalgiris secure a 0-1 win, extending their recent win streak and confirming the model’s prediction that the away side would triumph. The model had named an away win with a 72% probability, and it proved correct. The final score matched the most likely 0-1 outcome, with 18.9% probability. The model’s selections performed exceptionally: Home under 3.5 goals hit at 99.9%, Under 7.5 at 99.8%, Home under 2.5 goals at 99.2%, Under 6.5 at 99.2%, Away +2 handicap at 98.8%, Under 5.5 at 97.3%, Home under 1.5 goals at 93.8%, and Draw or Away at 93.5%. All eight picks settled as predicted.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Šiauliai win✗ Miss
6.5%
Avg Implied 15.1% · @ 5.91
Edge
-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
6.93
Marathonbet
6.65
Bet365
6.25
Dafabet
6.20
10Bet
6.20
Draw✗ Miss
21.7%
Avg Implied 21.2% · @ 4.22
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.40
Dafabet
4.40
William Hil
4.33
Marathonbet
4.30
1xBet
4.30
Kauno Žalgiris win✓ Hit
71.7%
Avg Implied 63.7% · @ 1.40
Edge
+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.51
Unibet
1.50
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.42
10Bet
1.40

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ŠiauliaiŠiauliai

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W21W03L04L02L13L34L10W03L12LA·ATA20/05H·DŽI24/06H·FK 05/07A·KAU18/07H·HEG24/07H·BAN03/08H·DŽI09/08H·PAN17/08A·TRA24/08H·SUD30/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.901.561.941.431.86
vs Stronger (3)0.672.001.002.500.001.00
vs Similar (24)1.382.081.541.921.182.27
vs Weaker (3)3.330.333.001.003.500.00
Clean sheet %13% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Kauno Žalgiris) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-540W00D10W05L20W12L11D03L10W00DH·ŠIA18/07A·KI 21/07H·KI 29/07A·DIN04/08H·HEG08/08H·DIN11/08H·TRA16/08A·BEŞ20/08H·BEŞ27/08A·BAN30/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.570.932.070.801.071.07
vs Stronger (4)0.502.501.001.000.004.00
vs Similar (14)1.640.932.220.780.601.20
vs Weaker (12)1.830.422.250.751.620.25
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Šiauliai) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%022%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
66.1%
@ 1.12-15.2%
Under 1.5
33.9%
@ 4.90+15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Under
Betfair
5.20
1xBet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.75
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
38.6%
@ 1.50-21.6%
Under 2.5
61.4%
@ 2.27+21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.57
Pinnacle
1.51
1xBet
1.50
Betfair
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Under
Betfair
2.40
Bet365
2.35
Unibet
2.33
Pinnacle
2.31
Marathonbet
2.28
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.7%
@ 2.25-21.4%
Under 3.5
81.3%
@ 1.51+21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.40
Marathonbet
2.29
1xBet
2.29
Pinnacle
2.28
10Bet
2.25
Under
Marathonbet
1.54
1xBet
1.54
Unibet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.52
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
28.5%
@ 1.64-26.6%
No
71.5%
@ 2.02+26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.70
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.68
Betfair
1.65
Unibet
1.58
No
Unibet
2.18
Betfair
2.10
1xBet
2.02
William Hil
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1 ✓
18.9%@ 7.50+13.3%
0-2
18.0%@ 7.10+12.1%
0-0
11.5%@ 14.88+8.7%
0-3
11.0%@ 9.35+6.5%
1-1
8.7%@ 7.90+3.4%
1-2
7.2%@ 7.47+1.6%
0-4
5.0%@ 15.08+2.3%
1-3
4.4%@ 10.07+0.3%
Šiauliai goals ↓
Kauno Žalgiris goals →
01234
012%19%18%11%5.0%
13.5%8.7%7.2%4.4%2.0%
20.9%1.6%1.4%0.9%0.4%
30.1%0.2%0.2%0.1%0.1%
40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Šiauliai goals (down), columns = Kauno Žalgiris goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Panevėžys
3.00
Džiugas Telšiai
2.50
Babrungas
2.25
Suduva Marijampole
2.25
Alternatyvus FK
2.00
Klaipėdos FM
2.00
Šiauliai
2.00
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.00
Hegelmann Litauen
2.00
Tauras
2.00
Minija
2.00
Jonava
1.75
Vilnius FA
1.50
Cementininkas Akmenė
1.50
Utenis Utena
1.50
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.50
VGTU Vilkai
1.50
Sirijus Klaipėda
1.50
Atmosfera
1.50
Banga
1.50
Garliava
1.50
Ekranas
1.50
Be1 NFA
1.50
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.50
Sveikata
1.50
Nevėžis
1.50
Kauno Žalgiris
1.33
Futboliukas Vilnius
1.00
OG Kaišiadorys
1.00
FK Sumskas
1.00
FK Ketera
1.00
Radviliškis
1.00
Svyturys
1.00
Vilniaus Vytis
1.00
FK Inter Nemencine
1.00
Nadruvis
1.00
Granitas
1.00
FK Jurbarko Imsre
1.00
Kaunas City FA
1.00
Sendvaris
0.00
Viltis Vilnius
0.00
Šilutė
0.00
Širvėna Biržai
0.00
Pempininkai Gargždai
0.00
FKS Ukmergė
0.00
Tera
0.00
Venta
0.00
Trivartis Vilnius
0.00
Geležinis Vilkas
0.00
Ataka Vilnius
0.00
Nemunas
0.00
Utenos Utena
0.00
Saned Joniškis
0.00
Dainava
0.00
FK Trakai
0.00
BFA
0.00
Šiauliai is 0.67 points better than Kauno Žalgiris in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ekranas
9.00
Tauras
6.33
Panevėžys
4.60
Atmosfera
4.00
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
4.00
Cementininkas Akmenė
3.00
VGTU Vilkai
3.00
Sirijus Klaipėda
3.00
Babrungas
3.00
Klaipėdos FM
2.50
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.50
Sveikata
2.50
Alternatyvus FK
2.33
Suduva Marijampole
2.25
Hegelmann Litauen
2.20
Utenis Utena
2.00
Pempininkai Gargždai
2.00
Nevėžis
2.00
Minija
2.00
Jonava
2.00
Džiugas Telšiai
1.75
Futboliukas Vilnius
1.65
OG Kaišiadorys
1.65
FK Sumskas
1.65
FK Ketera
1.65
Radviliškis
1.65
Svyturys
1.65
Vilniaus Vytis
1.65
FK Inter Nemencine
1.65
Nadruvis
1.65
Granitas
1.65
FK Jurbarko Imsre
1.65
Kaunas City FA
1.65
Be1 NFA
1.50
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.50
Šiauliai
1.33
Viltis Vilnius
1.00
Širvėna Biržai
1.00
Kauno Žalgiris
1.00
Venta
1.00
Geležinis Vilkas
1.00
Banga
1.00
FK Trakai
1.00
BFA
1.00
Vilnius FA
0.50
Garliava
0.50
Sendvaris
0.00
Šilutė
0.00
FKS Ukmergė
0.00
Tera
0.00
Trivartis Vilnius
0.00
Ataka Vilnius
0.00
Nemunas
0.00
Utenos Utena
0.00
Saned Joniškis
0.00
Dainava
0.00
Šiauliai is 0.33 goals better than Kauno Žalgiris in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Panevėžys
0.20
TransINVEST Vilnius
0.50
Banga
0.50
Babrungas
0.50
Be1 NFA
0.50
Hegelmann Litauen
0.60
Minija
0.67
Suduva Marijampole
0.75
Šilutė
1.00
Nemunas
1.00
Atmosfera
1.00
Džiugas Telšiai
1.00
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1.00
Ekranas
1.00
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.00
Kauno Žalgiris
1.33
Šiauliai
1.33
Tauras
1.33
Cementininkas Akmenė
1.50
Klaipėdos FM
1.50
Garliava
1.50
Sveikata
1.50
Jonava
1.75
Vilnius FA
2.00
Utenos Utena
2.00
FK Trakai
2.00
Nevėžis
2.00
Sirijus Klaipėda
2.50
Alternatyvus FK
2.67
Viltis Vilnius
3.00
Širvėna Biržai
3.00
Utenis Utena
3.00
Ataka Vilnius
3.00
BFA
3.00
Futboliukas Vilnius
3.02
OG Kaišiadorys
3.02
FK Sumskas
3.02
FK Ketera
3.02
Radviliškis
3.02
Svyturys
3.02
Vilniaus Vytis
3.02
FK Inter Nemencine
3.02
Nadruvis
3.02
Granitas
3.02
FK Jurbarko Imsre
3.02
Kaunas City FA
3.02
VGTU Vilkai
3.50
Pempininkai Gargždai
4.00
FKS Ukmergė
4.00
Geležinis Vilkas
5.00
Venta
6.00
Saned Joniškis
6.00
Dainava
6.00
Tera
8.00
Sendvaris
13.00
Trivartis Vilnius
13.00
Šiauliai and Kauno Žalgiris are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Šiauliai or Draw✗ Miss
28.3%
Avg Implied 35.8% · @ 2.56
Edge
-7.5%
7%
22%
72%
covers Šiauliai + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.80
Betfair
2.75
William Hil
2.75
Marathonbet
2.62
1xBet
2.62
Šiauliai or Kauno Žalgiris✓ Hit
78.3%
Avg Implied 79.3% · @ 1.16
Edge
-1.0%
7%
22%
72%
covers Šiauliai + Kauno Žalgiris
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Draw or Kauno Žalgiris✓ Hit
93.5%
Avg Implied 85.0% · @ 1.08
Edge
+8.5%
7%
22%
72%
covers Draw + Kauno Žalgiris
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.11
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Bet365
1.08

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Šiauliai over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
33.0%
@ 1.55-26.0%
Under
67.0%
@ 2.23+26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.58
1xBet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Under
Marathonbet
2.24
1xBet
2.24
Pinnacle
2.21
Šiauliai over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
6.2%
@ 3.75-18.2%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.21+18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.75
Marathonbet
3.75
Under
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
Šiauliai over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
0.8%
@ 9.30-99.2%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.30
Marathonbet
9.30
Under
No market prices yet.
Šiauliai over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.1%
@ 21.00-4.5%
Under
99.9%
@ 1.01+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
21.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.0%
@ 1.03-4.1%
Under
16.0%
@ 7.60+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.03
Under
1xBet
7.60
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
54.7%
@ 1.41-10.3%
Under
45.3%
@ 2.61+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
Under
1xBet
2.61
Marathonbet
2.61
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
27.8%
@ 2.31-11.9%
Under
72.2%
@ 1.52+11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.32
Marathonbet
2.30
1xBet
2.30
Under
Marathonbet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.52
1xBet
1.52
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
11.4%
@ 5.00-6.9%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.12+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.00
Under
1xBet
1.12

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Šiauliai, so a minus line means Šiauliai give that many goals of a start and Kauno Žalgiris receive them. At -1, Šiauliai must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Šiauliai win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Šiauliai)Actual: Kauno Žalgiris
Šiauliai -2
0.2%
Draw -2
1.1%
Kauno Žalgiris +2
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Šiauliai)Actual: Kauno Žalgiris
Šiauliai -1
1.2%
@ 6.60-10.7%
Draw -1
5.3%
@ 4.70-11.5%
Kauno Žalgiris +1
93.5%
@ 1.11+22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.60
Draw
Marathonbet
4.70
Away
Marathonbet
1.11
Handicap +1 (Šiauliai)Actual: Draw
Šiauliai +1
28.3%
@ 2.71-4.7%
Draw +1
27.0%
@ 3.60+2.2%
Kauno Žalgiris -1
44.7%
@ 2.12+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.80
Betfair
2.70
Marathonbet
2.62
Draw
Marathonbet
3.75
10Bet
3.55
Betfair
3.50
Away
Betfair
2.20
10Bet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.06
Handicap +2 (Šiauliai)Actual: Šiauliai
Šiauliai +2
55.3%
@ 1.62+0.5%
Draw +2
22.8%
@ 4.45+2.9%
Kauno Žalgiris -2
21.9%
@ 3.50-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.62
Draw
Marathonbet
4.45
Away
Marathonbet
3.50

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ŠiauliaiŠiauliai

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D00D02L02L12L13L10W01L01LA·ATA20/05H·DŽI24/06H·FK 05/07A·KAU18/07H·HEG24/07H·BAN03/08H·DŽI09/08H·PAN17/08A·TRA24/08H·SUD30/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.900.751.000.640.79
vs Stronger (3)0.330.670.500.500.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.621.000.771.080.450.91
vs Weaker (3)1.670.331.001.002.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Kauno Žalgiris) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D00D02L20W02L10W02L00D00DH·ŠIA18/07A·KI 21/07H·KI 29/07A·DIN04/08H·HEG08/08H·DIN11/08H·TRA16/08A·BEŞ20/08H·BEŞ27/08A·BAN30/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.400.930.270.670.53
vs Stronger (4)0.001.500.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (14)0.790.361.000.110.400.80
vs Weaker (12)1.080.081.250.251.000.00
Clean sheet %73% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Šiauliai) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Betfair
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Under
Betfair
3.80
William Hil
3.60
Marathonbet
3.28
1xBet
3.28
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.26
1xBet
2.26
Betfair
2.25
Betano
2.15
Pinnacle
2.15
Under
William Hil
1.62
Pinnacle
1.60
Betfair
1.57
Marathonbet
1.55
1xBet
1.55
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.15
1xBet
5.15
William Hil
4.60
Under
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Šiauliai over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.73
Pinnacle
2.64
1xBet
2.50
Under
1xBet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.40
Marathonbet
1.36
Šiauliai over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.70
Marathonbet
9.00
Under
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
Šiauliai over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.55
1xBet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.52
1xBet
2.45
Marathonbet
2.20
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.42
1xBet
3.30
Under
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.24
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.00
Under
1xBet
1.03

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ŠiauliaiŠiauliai

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W03L02L00D01L21W00D02L11DA·ATA20/05H·DŽI24/06H·FK 05/07A·KAU18/07H·HEG24/07H·BAN03/08H·DŽI09/08H·PAN17/08A·TRA24/08H·SUD30/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.000.810.940.791.07
vs Stronger (3)0.331.330.502.000.000.00
vs Similar (24)0.751.080.770.850.731.36
vs Weaker (3)1.670.002.000.001.500.00
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Kauno Žalgiris) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D10W03L00D10W01L01L10W00DH·ŠIA18/07A·KI 21/07H·KI 29/07A·DIN04/08H·HEG08/08H·DIN11/08H·TRA16/08A·BEŞ20/08H·BEŞ27/08A·BAN30/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.531.130.530.400.53
vs Stronger (4)0.501.001.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (14)0.860.571.220.670.200.40
vs Weaker (12)0.750.331.000.500.620.25
Clean sheet %57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Šiauliai) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Under
Marathonbet
5.05
1xBet
5.05
William Hil
4.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.80
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
Under
Marathonbet
1.99
1xBet
1.99
William Hil
1.85
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.50
1xBet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.20
Under
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Šiauliai over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.20
1xBet
2.14
Under
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.55
Šiauliai over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.20
1xBet
7.10
Under
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.02
Šiauliai over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.32
Under
1xBet
3.10
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.41
Under
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.46
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.90
Under
1xBet
1.10

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Home under 3.5 goals99.9%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+4.5%✓ Hit
Under 7.599.8%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals99.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.599.2%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap98.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.597.3%1.04
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
--+9.4%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals93.8%1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
---+18.2%✓ Hit
Draw or Away93.5%1.08
Unibet
1.11
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Bet365
1.08
+8.5%✓ Hit
Under 4.592.4%1.19
Unibet
1.21
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
-+15.3%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals88.6%1.12
1xBet
1.12
----+6.9%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals84.0%1.03
1xBet
1.03
-----4.1%✓ Hit
Home or Away78.3%1.16
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Superbet
1.16
-1.0%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals72.2%1.52
Marathonbet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.52
1xBet
1.52
--+11.9%✓ Hit
Away win71.7%1.40
Superbet
1.51
Unibet
1.50
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.42
10Bet
1.40
+8.0%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (27)
€10m
FZV (29)
€7m
PAN (28)
€6m
ŠIA (28)
€6m
SM (26)
€6m
BAN (22)
€6m
HL (22)
€6m
TV (24)
€5m
DT (22)
€5m
MIN (3)
€0m
TAU (2)
€0m
DAI (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
Šiauliai's squad is €4m less valuable than Kauno Žalgiris's (€6m vs €10m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (11)
€4m
SM (10)
€2m
BAN (7)
€2m
TV (8)
€2m
FZV (9)
€2m
PAN (8)
€2m
HL (6)
€2m
ŠIA (7)
€2m
DT (5)
€1m
TAU (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
Šiauliai's attack is €2m less valuable than Kauno Žalgiris's (€2m vs €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FZV (8)
€3m
PAN (7)
€2m
DT (7)
€2m
KŽ (4)
€2m
ŠIA (10)
€2m
HL (7)
€2m
BAN (5)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
TV (5)
€1m
DAI (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
TAU (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
Šiauliai and Kauno Žalgiris have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (12)
€4m
FZV (12)
€3m
ŠIA (11)
€3m
PAN (13)
€2m
TV (11)
€2m
HL (9)
€2m
SM (11)
€2m
BAN (10)
€2m
DT (10)
€2m
TAU (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
Šiauliai's defence is €1m less valuable than Kauno Žalgiris's (€3m vs €4m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
ŠIA wins
1
Draws
6
KŽ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Šiauliai vs Kauno Žalgiris · H/A from ŠIA
DateH/AGameScore
18/07/26AKauno Žalgiris Vs ŠIA4-0
17/10/25AKauno Žalgiris Vs ŠIA3-1
20/08/25HŠIA Vs Kauno Žalgiris2-2
23/05/25AKauno Žalgiris Vs ŠIA3-0
29/03/25HŠIA Vs Kauno Žalgiris2-3
15/09/24AKauno Žalgiris Vs ŠIA2-1
21/08/24AKauno Žalgiris Vs ŠIA3-1
01/07/24HŠIA Vs Kauno Žalgiris1-0

ŠiauliaiŠiauliai

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HŠIA Vs Suduva Marijampole1-2
24/08/26ATransINVEST Vilnius Vs ŠIA3-0
17/08/26HŠIA Vs Panevėžys1-0
09/08/26HŠIA Vs Džiugas Telšiai3-4
03/08/26HŠIA Vs Banga1-3
24/07/26HŠIA Vs Hegelmann Litauen0-2
18/07/26AKauno Žalgiris Vs ŠIA4-0
05/07/26HŠIA Vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius0-3
24/06/26HŠIA Vs Džiugas Telšiai2-1
20/05/26AAtaka Vilnius Vs ŠIA1-2

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26ABanga Vs KŽ0-0
27/08/26HKŽ Vs Beşiktaş1-0
20/08/26ABeşiktaş Vs KŽ3-0
16/08/26HKŽ Vs TransINVEST Vilnius1-1
11/08/26HKŽ Vs Dinamo Zagreb1-2
08/08/26HKŽ Vs Hegelmann Litauen2-0
04/08/26ADinamo Zagreb Vs KŽ5-0
29/07/26HKŽ Vs KI Klaksvik1-0
21/07/26AKI Klaksvik Vs KŽ0-0
18/07/26HKŽ Vs Šiauliai4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Šiauliai
Šiauliai
Lithuania: Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL1.40
HomeLLLWL1.36
AwayDWWLL1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%36%44%
AVG goals3.143.562.72
Over 1.5 %82%92%72%
Over 2.5 %72%84%60%
Over 3.5 %42%52%32%
Scored1.541.801.28
Conceded1.601.761.44
BTTS56%68%44%
Clean Sheet20%16%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Kauno Žalgiris
Kauno Žalgiris
Lithuania: Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWD1.98
HomeWWLDW2.20
AwayWDLLD1.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%68%48%
AVG goals2.562.842.28
Over 1.5 %74%84%64%
Over 2.5 %56%64%48%
Over 3.5 %22%24%20%
Scored1.762.161.36
Conceded0.800.680.92
BTTS40%44%36%
Clean Sheet46%48%44%
Corners11.008.0017.00
Cards3.673.005.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Suduva MarijampoleSuduva Marijampole616
83%
2.7
142+12
2.7
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2122.30.3
-
2FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Zalgiris Vilnius612
67%
2.0
138+5
3.5
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2332.21.3
-
3Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris511
60%
2.2
101+9
2.2
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4242.00.2
-
4PanevėžysPanevėžys811
38%
1.4
98+1
2.1
88%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.11.0
-
5TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius811
38%
1.4
910-1
2.4
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.2
-
6BangaBanga811
38%
1.4
1012-2
2.8
75%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.21.5
-
7Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai78
29%
1.1
811-3
2.7
71%
29%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.11.6
-
8Hegelmann LitauenHegelmann Litauen86
12%
0.8
1016-6
3.2
100%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.22.0
-
9ŠiauliaiŠiauliai83
12%
0.4
621-15
3.4
88%
75%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2230.82.6
-
10FK TrakaiFK Trakai00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Lithuania: A Lyga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: A Lyga stats & trends →

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